Starknet (STRK) is set to unlock 3.79% of its circulating supply worth $18.29 million could not be verified with the available information. Starknet would unlock 3.79% of its circulating supply, valued at $19.04 million, on July 15, 2025. As of July 14, 2025, the circulating supply of STRK is approximately 3.59 billion tokens, with a price of around $0.1418 per token, resulting in a market cap of about $509.91 million.
A 3.79% unlock of the circulating supply would equate to roughly 136 million tokens. At the current price, this would be worth approximately $19.29 million. Token unlocks are often scheduled to release locked tokens to contributors, investors, or the community, and Starknet’s tokenomics include a plan for gradual unlocks over time.
The unlock will increase the circulating supply of STRK by 127 million tokens, which could lead to selling pressure if early contributors, investors, or other token holders decide to liquidate their newly unlocked tokens. This may cause a downward price movement, especially if the market is not prepared for the additional supply. Historical data shows that token unlocks can lead to price volatility.
For instance, Starknet’s previous unlock schedule adjustments in April 2024 were made to mitigate community concerns about large token dumps, which initially caused a 10% price increase after the announcement of a more gradual unlock plan. However, the July 2025 unlock could still trigger caution among investors, potentially leading to a bearish sentiment if not accompanied by positive project developments.
If demand for STRK remains strong—due to network growth, staking incentives, or new use cases—the price impact might be minimal. For example, the introduction of staking in Q4 2024 and the potential for liquid staking tokens (LSTs) could encourage holders to stake rather than sell, reducing sell-off pressure. Starknet faced criticism in February 2024 for its original unlock schedule, which was perceived as favoring insiders by allowing a large token release (1.34 billion tokens) shortly after the token became tradable.
The revised, more gradual schedule (0.64% monthly until March 2025, then 1.27% monthly until March 2027) was well-received, boosting the token price by 10% at the time. The July 2025 unlock aligns with this revised schedule, which may reassure investors due to its predictability and smaller size compared to the original plan. StarkWare’s proactive communication about token unlocks and its responsiveness to community feedback (e.g., adjusting the schedule in 2024) could mitigate negative sentiment.
However, any unexpected changes or lack of strategic announcements around the unlock could erode trust, especially if the market perceives the unlock as benefiting insiders over retail investors. The introduction of permissionless staking in November 2024 allows STRK holders (except the Starknet Foundation, StarkWare, and locked token holders) to stake tokens for network security and rewards. This could encourage holders to lock up their tokens rather than sell them post-unlock, potentially stabilizing the token’s value.
Additionally, the availability of liquid staking tokens (LSTs) enables participation in DeFi while staking, which could increase STRK’s utility and demand. Starknet’s roadmap includes significant upgrades like the Stwo prover (expected in Q1-Q2 2025), which aims to reduce transaction costs and improve scalability. If these developments coincide with the unlock, positive sentiment around the project’s progress could offset potential selling pressure.
For example, StarkWare’s efforts to scale Bitcoin with STARK technology and the launch of Starknet v0.13.3 (featuring lower gas fees) have been highlighted as major milestones, potentially boosting investor confidence. Starknet’s integration with major oracles like Chainlink and Pyth, as well as native wallet improvements (e.g., Argent and Braavos), enhances its appeal for developers and users. These advancements could drive adoption, increasing demand for STRK and counteracting the unlock’s supply increase.
The July 15, 2025, unlock is part of a broader wave of token unlocks across multiple projects (e.g., WalletConnect, Cyber, Arbitrum), which could contribute to overall market volatility. If the crypto market is in a bearish phase, the combined effect of these unlocks might amplify downward pressure on STRK’s price. Conversely, a bullish market could absorb the additional supply with minimal impact.
Some analyses suggest a bearish outlook for STRK in July 2025, with projections indicating a potential price drop to $0.08–$0.10 due to the unlock and broader market trends. However, longer-term forecasts remain bullish, with predictions of STRK reaching $1.10–$2.78 by the end of 2025, driven by ecosystem growth and staking adoption.
External events, such as the release of China’s Q2 2025 GDP data or the U.S. Consumer Inflation CPI for June (both scheduled for July 15, 2025), could influence overall crypto market sentiment, indirectly affecting STRK’s price reaction to the unlock. Investors should monitor market sentiment and trading volume around July 15, 2025, as large unlocks can lead to rapid price movements if holders sell en masse.
Historical data shows STRK’s price dropped significantly (89% from its all-time high of $3.66 in February 2024 to $0.3973 by October 2024), partly due to unlock-related concerns and market downturns. The ability to stake STRK or use LSTs in DeFi protocols could provide opportunities for investors to earn yields rather than sell, potentially mitigating the unlock’s impact. Investors should assess the staking rewards and DeFi yields available at the time.
Despite short-term risks, Starknet’s focus on scalability, low-cost transactions, and cross-chain scaling (e.g., Bitcoin and Ethereum) positions it as a strong Layer 2 solution. Investors with a long-term horizon may view temporary price dips as buying opportunities, especially if Starknet delivers on its roadmap. The Starknet token unlock on July 15, 2025, could introduce short-term price volatility due to increased supply, with a potential downward pressure if holders sell their tokens.
However, factors such as staking incentives, ongoing ecosystem developments (e.g., Stwo prover, lower fees), and StarkWare’s history of addressing community concerns could mitigate negative impacts. Investors should closely monitor market sentiment, project announcements, and broader market conditions around the unlock date.