Google announced a major update to its Google Finance platform, incorporating real-time prediction market data from two leading platforms: Kalshi and Polymarket.
This integration allows users to access crowd-sourced probabilities on future events—like elections, economic indicators, sports outcomes, and regulatory decisions—directly alongside traditional financial data such as stocks, commodities, and currencies.
The feature is part of a broader AI-powered overhaul aimed at enhancing research tools and providing more interactive, forward-looking insights. Users can query natural language questions (e.g., “Will the U.S. enter a recession in 2025?” or “Who will win the Super Bowl?”) in Google Search or Google Finance, and the platform will display live odds and probability trends from Kalshi and Polymarket.
This includes historical changes in market sentiment over time, leveraging the “wisdom of the crowds” for sharper forecasts. The data will begin appearing in the coming weeks, starting with Google Labs users before wider availability.
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Platforms Involved: Kalshi: A U.S.-regulated exchange under the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), focusing on event contracts for topics like inflation, policy, and sports. It recently raised $300 million at a $5 billion valuation.
Polymarket: A decentralized, blockchain-based platform on Polygon, known for high-volume trading on politics, culture, and tech events. It operates outside the U.S. but hit record volumes in October 2025 and raised funds valuing it at $9 billion.
Polymarket confirmed the partnership via an X post, highlighting its role in bringing on-chain transparency to Google’s ecosystem. Financial terms of the deals were not disclosed, but this marks one of the first mainstream integrations of prediction markets into a tech giant’s consumer tools.
Prediction markets have exploded in popularity, with weekly volumes surpassing $2 billion in late October 2025, driven by events like U.S. elections and sports betting expansions. Google’s move signals growing legitimacy for these platforms as sentiment indicators, potentially rivaling traditional economic models.
Analysts note that prediction odds often react faster to news than stocks or bonds, offering traders an edge in hedging risks.This isn’t isolated—other players are jumping in:Robinhood partnered with Kalshi in August 2025 for sports contract trading, calling the space “on fire.”
The NHL became the first major league to integrate with Kalshi and Polymarket. MetaMask plans Polymarket integration, and exchanges like CME are developing similar products. However, regulatory hurdles remain: Polymarket faced past CFTC scrutiny for U.S. operations, while Kalshi’s licensed model provides a compliant contrast.
As adoption grows, this could push for clearer policies on event contracts. The news sparked buzz on X (formerly Twitter), with users hailing it as validation for prediction markets: Polymarket’s announcement post garnered over 7,000 likes, emphasizing “Polymarket x Google” integration.
Traders like @cryptovcdegen called it a “first foray into event-based financial tracking,” stressing its use for elections and crypto regs. @ThuanGlobal noted the shift from “online betting tools” to “market sentiment indicators.”
Overall, this positions prediction markets as a core part of modern finance, blending AI, blockchain, and crowd intelligence for more predictive tools. If you’re trading or analyzing events, keep an eye on Google Finance for these updates—they could become your new go-to for spotting alpha.