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Nigerian Corporations Turn to Short-Term Debt as SEC Approves N1.37tn Commercial Paper Programmes

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Nigeria’s commercial paper (CP) market recorded rapid expansion in 2025, underscoring how corporates are reshaping their funding strategies amid persistently high borrowing costs in the banking system.

Data from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) show that CP programmes worth about N1.37 trillion had been approved as of October 23, 2025. Yet only about N753 billion was actually raised, pointing to a utilization rate of roughly 54% and highlighting a cautious, phased approach by issuers.

The growing gap between programme approvals and actual drawdowns suggests that while companies are securing headroom for funding, many are choosing to access the market selectively rather than exhaust approved limits at once. Analysts say this reflects a strategy of flexibility, allowing firms to respond to cash flow needs and interest rate movements without locking themselves into larger short-term obligations.

Issuance activity during the period was heavily skewed towards a handful of large corporates, with Dangote Sugar Refinery Plc standing far ahead of the rest. Operating under a N300 billion CP programme, the company accounted for more than 45% of total issuance, raising over N300 billion across multiple series and tranches. Individual issuances ranged from as little as N4.7 billion to as much as N96.7 billion, spanning Series 10 through Series 16.

Dangote Sugar’s repeated and sizeable market access highlights how large, cash-intensive firms are leaning on commercial paper to manage working capital cycles, refinance short-term obligations, and smooth liquidity pressures. Its dominance also illustrates the confidence investors place in top-tier corporates with strong balance sheets and predictable cash flows.

Beyond Dangote Sugar, issuance was more fragmented across sectors such as financial services, agribusiness, and consumer goods. Johnvents Industries Limited raised about N52.6 billion from its N100 billion programme, while UAC Nigeria Plc issued N45 billion under a N65 billion approval. In the financial sector, Citibank Nigeria Limited, despite holding one of the largest approved programmes at N300 billion, issued only N26.7 billion across two series, signaling restrained utilization even among well-capitalized institutions.

The data also point to a broadening of the issuer base, with fintechs and mid-sized corporates playing a more visible role in the market. Payaza Africa Limited emerged as one of the most active non-industrial issuers, raising nearly N43 billion across three series under a N50 billion programme. Golden Fertilizer Company Limited issued N20 billion from its N40 billion programme, while Skymark Partners Limited raised just over N11 billion despite a similar approval size, reinforcing the view that many firms are issuing strictly to meet near-term working capital needs.

Other contributors, including Champion Breweries Plc, Valency Agro Nigeria Limited, Neveah United Capital Plc, and several special-purpose vehicles, added smaller but steady volumes, collectively deepening market liquidity and reinforcing commercial paper as a mainstream funding option.

Market participants link the surge in CP activity to the broader macroeconomic environment. With the monetary policy rate standing at 27%, commercial bank lending rates remain elevated, often with additional risk and cost margins layered on top. While large corporates with strong credit profiles may negotiate rates closer to base lending levels, smaller or riskier firms typically face significantly higher borrowing costs.

Against this backdrop, commercial paper has emerged as a relatively cheaper and more flexible alternative for short-term funding, particularly for issuers able to attract institutional investors.

Maturity profiles across issuances were largely concentrated between December 2025 and mid-2026, reinforcing the role of CP as a liquidity management tool rather than a substitute for long-term financing. This clustering reflects deliberate balance sheet management, allowing firms to bridge cash flow gaps without committing to the premium costs associated with longer-tenor bank loans.

Analysts note that the large volume of approved but undrawn programmes represents a strong pipeline that could sustain issuance momentum into 2026. If interest rates remain high and access to long-term credit continues to be constrained, more corporates, including those not listed on the Nigerian Exchange, are expected to deepen their reliance on the CP market. In that sense, the cautious utilization seen in 2025 may be less a sign of weak demand and more an indication of increasingly sophisticated treasury strategies in a tight monetary environment.

Meta Advanced Its AI Infrastructure By Acquiring Manus to Accelerate Adoption

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Meta Platforms has acquired Manus, a Singapore-based AI startup originally founded in China, specializing in general-purpose autonomous AI agents.

Reports indicate around $2 billion or slightly more, up to $3 billion in some sources, though Meta has not officially disclosed terms. This makes it one of Meta’s largest acquisitions in recent years, behind WhatsApp ($19B) and its investment in Scale AI up to $15B equivalent.

Manus was founded in 2022 in China (Beijing/Wuhan) by entrepreneur Xiao Hong as part of Butterfly Effect Technology also known as Monica.im. The company relocated headquarters to Singapore in mid-2025 amid US-China tech tensions.

It gained fame in early 2025 for launching what it called the world’s first fully autonomous general AI agent, capable of complex tasks like market research, coding, data analysis, vacation planning, and job screening with minimal prompting.

Manus quickly reached over $100 million in annual recurring revenue (ARR) just months after launch, with a run rate exceeding $125 million. It processed 147 trillion tokens and created over 80 million virtual computers, serving millions of users via subscription plans.

Meta plans to integrate Manus’s agent technology into its products like Meta AI, Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp to enhance automation for consumers and businesses. Manus will continue operating independently as a subscription service from Singapore, with its team including CEO Xiao Hong, who becomes a Meta VP joining Meta.

Due to Manus’s Chinese origins and ongoing US scrutiny of China-linked AI prior reviews of US investments like Benchmark’s $75M round, Meta stated there will be no remaining Chinese ownership interests post-acquisition. Manus will discontinue operations and services in China.

This move caps Meta’s aggressive 2025 AI push, including other acquisitions like Limitless for AI wearables, PlayAI, WaveForms, Rivos and heavy investments in talent and infrastructure under CEO Mark Zuckerberg’s focus on “superintelligence” and agentic AI.

Meta’s acquisition of Manus accelerates its push toward agentic AI—autonomous systems that execute complex, multi-step tasks independently, beyond chatbots. Manus excels in market research, coding, data analysis, resume screening, and automation, processing over 147 trillion tokens and creating 80+ million virtual computers while serving millions of users.

Integration into Meta’s Ecosystem 

The technology will enhance Meta AI, WhatsApp, Instagram, Facebook, and business tools, enabling automation for billions of consumers and millions of SMBs like AI-driven ad optimization, content creation, customer service.

Meta has lagged in fully autonomous agents compared to OpenAI’s projects like Operator/Deep Research and Google’s tools. This deal provides a proven, revenue-generating product ~$100M+ ARR in months, fast-tracking Meta’s “personal superintelligence” vision under Mark Zuckerberg.

Manus’s ~100-person team, including CEO Xiao Hong, joins Meta, complementing recent hires like Alexandr Wang from Scale AI and open-source Llama efforts. This positions Meta more aggressively against leaders in the AI race: Vs. OpenAI and Anthropic ? Manus previously outperformed OpenAI’s Deep Research on benchmarks like GAIA; now scaled by Meta’s distribution, it could challenge ChatGPT’s dominance in consumer/enterprise agents.

Enhances Meta’s edge in user-facing automation, potentially disrupting Google’s search/tools and Microsoft’s Copilot integrations. Signals Big Tech’s shift to acquiring mature agent tech rather than building solely in-house, intensifying talent wars and M&A in AI.

Overall, it strengthens Meta’s transition from social media to a general-purpose AI platform. Manus’s subscription model, $20/month for businesses provides Meta its first direct AI revenue stream amid massive infrastructure spending ($60B+ planned). Premium features like advanced agents in WhatsApp/Instagram could drive new subscriptions/ads.

Acquiring a startup that hit $100M+ ARR in ~9 months highlights agentic AI’s commercial viability, potentially boosting investor confidence in Meta’s AI bets. Encourages AI-native workflows, reducing reliance on traditional software; businesses may shift to Meta’s ecosystem for automation.

Manus’s Chinese origins (founded in Beijing/Wuhan, relocated to Singapore in 2025) make this a rare US-China tech crossover amid tensions. National security scrutiny — Likely CFIUS review due to AI’s strategic importance; US lawmakers like Sen. John Cornyn have flagged China-linked investments.

Meta explicitly states: no remaining Chinese ownership, full discontinuation of China operations/services. This aims to preempt blocks but won’t eliminate oversight. Underscores AI innovation’s borderless nature, with Singapore emerging as a hub; could influence US policy on foreign AI acquisitions.

This ~$2-4B deal is a high-stakes bet that bolsters Meta’s AI leadership, delivers near-term revenue potential, and navigates geopolitical risks—potentially reshaping autonomous AI adoption in 2026 and beyond.

Meta Expands AI Ambitions With Acquisition of Manus in Multi-Billion Dollar Deal

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Tech giant and Facebook parent company Meta, has announced the acquisition of Manus, a Singapore-based developer of general-purpose AI agents as it deepens its aggressive push into Artificial Intelligence.

Launched in 2025, Manus is a general AI agent that bridges the gap between conception and execution, delivering results. Since the launch, Manus has focused on building a general-purpose AI agent designed to help users tackle research, automation, and complex tasks.

Through continuous product iteration, the company has been working hard to make these capabilities more reliable and useful across a growing range of real-world use cases. In just a few months, the AI agent has processed more than 147 trillion tokens and powered the creation of over 80 million virtual computers.

Announcing the acquisition by Meta, Xiao Hong, CEO of Manus said,

“Joining Meta allows us to build on a stronger, more sustainable foundation without changing how Manus works or how decisions are made. “We’re excited about what the future holds with Meta and Manus working together and we will continue to iterate on the product and serve users who have defined Manus from the beginning.”

Also commenting, Meta wrote,

We are excited to welcome the Manus team and help improve the lives of billions of people and millions of businesses with their technology”.

Manus has developed one of the leading autonomous, general-purpose AI agents capable of independently handling complex tasks such as market research, coding, and data analysis. Meta stated that it plans to continue operating and commercializing the Manus service while integrating its capabilities into Meta’s products.

Following the acquisition, Manus’s exceptional talent will join Meta’s team to deliver general-purpose agents across our consumer and business products, including in Meta AI.

Meta’s aggressive push in AI comes as the company faces intense competition from industry heavyweights like OpenAI, Google, and Microsoft, and has had to poach top talent to catch up in the AI race. The tech giant’s AI ambition is centered on developing a “personal superintelligence” that integrates seamlessly into daily life through its platforms and devices.

One of the most significant developments in 2025 was Meta’s scale of investment. The company committed tens of billions of dollars to AI-related spending, largely focused on data centers, specialized chips, and computing infrastructure required to train and deploy large language models at a global scale

CEO Mark Zuckerberg envisions AI that surpasses human intelligence across virtually all domains, acting as a companion, assistant (e.g., booking reservations, planning travel), and creative partner rather than just a productivity tool.

A major highlight this year, was the rapid expansion of Meta AI, the company’s consumer-facing assistant. Meta AI was deeply integrated into Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, and Messenger, making it accessible to users in everyday conversations, searches, and content discovery. The recent acquisition of AI startup Manus underscores this focus, aiming to embed these agents into WhatsApp, Instagram, and Facebook to enhance user and business experiences.

Through massive infrastructure investment, rapid deployment of Meta AI, advancements in the Llama model ecosystem, and strategic acquisitions like Meta has demonstrated its determination to compete at the highest level of the global AI race.

Key Implications of Iranian President Pezeshkian’s “Total War” Remarks

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Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian made highly escalatory remarks in a lengthy interview published on December 27-28, 2025, on the official website of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

He described Iran as being in a “full-scale war”, “total war”, or “full-fledged war” with the United States, Israel, and Europe. Key quotes from the interview, as reported consistently across multiple outlets:” In my opinion, we are at total war with the United States, Israel and Europe. They want to bring our country to its knees.”

He compared it unfavorably to the 1980-1988 Iran-Iraq War: “This war is worse than the war with Iraq… it is far more complex and difficult,” referring to multifaceted pressures including economic sanctions, cultural influences, political isolation, security threats, and prior military strikes.

Pezeshkian claimed Iran is “besieged from every aspect” and warned that any future attacks would meet a “more decisive response,” asserting Iran’s military is now stronger. These statements come amid heightened regional tensions in late 2025.

A direct 12-day air war between Israel and Iran with U.S. involvement in June 2025, triggered by Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear and military sites, resulting in ~1,100 Iranian deaths including commanders and scientists and Iranian retaliatory missiles killing 28 in Israel.

Renewed UN sanctions on Iran’s nuclear program reimposed by France, Germany, and the UK in September 2025. Concerns over Iran rebuilding nuclear facilities and ballistic missiles.

The remarks were timed just before Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump at Mar-a-Lago on December 29, 2025, where Iran was a key topic; Trump warned against Iran rebuilding its nuclear program.

This is rhetorical escalation, framing ongoing hybrid confrontations (sanctions, proxy conflicts, cyberattacks, and past strikes) as a comprehensive “war.” It is not a formal declaration of conventional war or an announcement of immediate military mobilization against the U.S., Israel, or Europe.

Iran has long used such language to rally domestic support amid economic woes like rial at record lows, protests in Tehran and external pressures. The statement has been widely covered by reputable sources including AP News, with no indications it is fabricated or a hoax.

Regional risks remain high, with potential for miscalculation, but as of December 30, 2025, no new direct hostilities have erupted from this rhetoric. President Masoud Pezeshkian’s declaration frames ongoing hybrid pressures as a comprehensive “total war” worse than the 1980-1988 Iran-Iraq War.

This is rhetorical escalation, not a formal war declaration or mobilization for direct conflict. No new hostilities have erupted immediately, but the statement carries significant short- and long-term risks. Pezeshkian calls for internal cohesion amid economic crisis, inflation >53%, rial at record lows, reduced oil revenue.

It deflects blame for hardships onto external enemies, justifying sacrifices and suppressing dissent. Published on Supreme Leader Khamenei’s site, it aligns the reformist-leaning president with the regime’s core narrative, potentially strengthening IRGC positions while Pezeshkian navigates parliamentary and economic challenges.

If economic woes worsen without relief, rhetoric could fuel protests rather than unity. Warning of a “more decisive response” to future attacks signals stronger retaliation, raising chances of spiral in proxy conflicts like Houthis in Red Sea, Hezbollah in Lebanon, militias in Iraq/Syria.

Iran’s Rebuilding Efforts

Tehran views survival of June 2025 strikes as victory, potentially emboldening missile and nuclear reconstitution. Israel monitors this closely; renewed strikes could trigger broader war.

Bolsters ties with Hamas/Houthis/Hezbollah, complicating Gaza ceasefire (Phase 2 stalled over disarmament) and Lebanon stability. Released just before Netanyahu-Trump Mar-a-Lago meeting, it aims to preempt tougher stances. Trump warned Iran against rebuilding nuclear/missile programs, threatening strikes and supporting potential Israeli action.

Its reinforces Trump’s “maximum pressure” revival; complicates any nuclear diplomacy, talks stalled since June strikes. Trump indicated openness to deals but prioritized Israeli concerns. White House/Israeli Embassy declined comment initially; focus remains on deterrence rather than direct engagement.

Its justifies Iran’s defiance against reimposed UN/E3 sanctions. Risks further isolation if enrichment resumes. Escalation could disrupt oil routes like the Strait of Hormuz, spike prices, or draw in Gulf states. Analysts warn of multi-front crisis in 2026 if diplomacy fails.

Primarily propaganda to consolidate power and signal resilience; unlikely to trigger immediate war. Increases volatility—Tehran’s “survivalist” mindset may encourage riskier behavior, while US-Israel alignment signals readiness for preemptive action.

De-escalation hinges on backchannel talks or economic relief, but prospects dim amid mutual distrust. Regional tensions remain elevated but contained as of December 30, with no reports of new strikes or mobilizations.

Alleged Drone Attack on Putin’s Valdai Residence Might Derail Ongoing Peace Negotiations with Ukraine

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Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov accused Ukraine of launching a large-scale drone attack involving 91 long-range drones targeting President Vladimir Putin’s state residence in the Novgorod region known as Valdai or Dolgiye Borody.

Russian officials stated that air defenses intercepted and destroyed all drones, with no damage or injuries reported. Lavrov described the alleged incident as “state terrorism” and warned that “such reckless actions will not go unanswered”, indicating Russia would review its position in ongoing peace negotiations and prepare retaliatory strikes.

Kremlin aide Yuri Ushakov reported that Putin personally informed U.S. President Donald Trump of the alleged attack during a phone call, prompting Trump to express anger, calling it “not good” and distinguishing it from general offensives as an attack on Putin’s “house.”

Trump noted he was “very angry” about it but has not independently verified the claim. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy swiftly rejected the accusation as a “complete fabrication” and “typical Russian lies,” aimed at justifying further Russian attacks on Ukrainian cities including potential strikes on Kyiv government buildings and derailing U.S.-brokered peace talks.

Ukraine’s foreign ministry emphasized that no evidence has been provided by Russia, and independent verification is lacking. The claim emerged shortly after Zelenskyy’s meeting with Trump in Florida, where progress toward a peace deal was discussed, though key issues like territory remain unresolved.

Russia has used the allegation to signal a tougher stance in negotiations, while Ukraine and some Western observers view it as a pretext to escalate or stall diplomacy. No photos, videos, or third-party confirmation of the attack have surfaced, and Russia has declined to provide evidence, attributing details to military sources.

This echoes a similar unverified Russian claim of a Ukrainian drone strike on the Kremlin in May 2023, also denied by Kyiv. Tensions remain high amid ongoing peace efforts.

Diplomatic Implications

The unverified Russian claim of a Ukrainian drone attack on Putin’s Valdai residence in Novgorod Oblast has significantly strained ongoing U.S.-brokered peace negotiations.

Just one day after optimistic talks between U.S. President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Florida—where both sides described a draft peace deal as 90-95% complete—Russia announced it would revise and toughen its negotiating position.

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov explicitly linked the alleged attack to this shift, stating that “such reckless actions will not go unanswered” and that retaliatory targets had already been selected. This timing suggests the claim serves as a pretext for Russia to: Stall or derail diplomacy, especially on contentious issues like territorial control and security guarantees.

Demand further concessions from Ukraine, reinforcing Russia’s battlefield initiative. Zelenskyy countered by calling it a “complete fabrication” designed to justify escalated strikes on Ukrainian cities and government buildings, potentially including Kyiv.

Independent analyses, from ISW and opposition Russian media note the lack of evidence undermines Russia’s credibility, echoing the disputed 2023 Kremlin drone incident.

Trump, who spoke with Putin twice in two days before and after meeting Zelenskyy, expressed anger, saying the alleged attack was “not good” and distinguishing it from general warfare: “It’s one thing to be offensive… It’s another thing to attack his house.”

He noted it occurred during a “delicate period” but deferred on evidence, saying “we’ll find out” while accepting Putin’s account. This response risks tilting U.S. mediation toward Russia, potentially pressuring Ukraine to make unilateral concessions.

However, Trump maintained optimism about peace, describing talks as productive and aiming for resolution on “thorny issues.” Russia has vowed retaliation, raising fears of intensified strikes on Ukrainian infrastructure or leadership targets.

Lavrov labeled it “state terrorism,” a rhetoric often preceding major operations. Ukraine denies involvement, and no third-party verification exists—local accounts in Valdai report no signs of air defense activity despite claims of 91 drones intercepted.

If fabricated, this could embolden Russian advances while portraying Ukraine as obstructing peace. Conversely, if real unlikely per experts due to heavy defenses around Valdai, it would mark a bold Ukrainian escalation targeting Putin personally.

Dents momentum from Trump-Zelenskyy meeting; Russia rejects proposed ceasefires as prolonging the war. Its omplicates Western support for Ukraine, as Trump emphasizes quick deals potentially at Kyiv’s expense. It highlights Russia’s pattern of using unproven claims to justify aggression, eroding trust in negotiations.

As of now, no retaliation reported, but tensions are elevated amid winter energy attacks on Ukraine. The incident—real or invented—benefits Russia by shifting blame for stalled talks onto Ukraine, while highlighting the fragility of Trump-era diplomacy. Progress remains possible but now faces greater hurdles.