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Russia Finalizes Draft Bill to Legalize and Regulate Cryptocurrency Trading 

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Russia has recently finalized a draft bill to legalize and regulate cryptocurrency trading within the country, marking a significant shift toward broader acceptance of digital assets.

This development builds on the Bank of Russia’s framework announced in late December 2025, which proposed allowing both qualified (professional) and non-qualified (retail) investors to buy cryptocurrencies under strict conditions.

The new draft legislation, confirmed in mid-January 2026 by Anatoly Aksakov (Chairman of the State Duma’s Committee on Financial Markets), aims to remove cryptocurrencies from “special financial regulation” and integrate them more normally into the economy as investment assets.

They must pass a knowledge or risk-awareness test and can only buy the most liquid cryptocurrencies e.g., major ones like Bitcoin. Annual purchases are capped at 300,000 rubles approximately $3,800, and transactions must go through a single licensed intermediary.

Unlimited access to most cryptocurrencies excluding anonymous/privacy coins, after passing a risk test. Cryptocurrencies remain banned for domestic payments. They are treated strictly as investment assets, with the ruble staying the sole legal tender inside the country.

The bill supports using crypto for international settlements, cross-border transactions, and attracting foreign capital, helpful amid Western sanctions. It also aims to license exchanges, brokers, and depositories.

The draft is ready for introduction to the State Duma during the spring 2026 session. Legislative changes could be finalized by July 1, 2026, with fuller enforcement including penalties for illegal intermediation potentially starting in 2027.

This represents a pragmatic evolution in Russia’s stance. The country has moved from earlier skepticism and partial bans to controlled legalization, driven by economic pressures, growing domestic crypto use, and the need for alternative financial tools.

While not full deregulation, it’s a step that could boost Russia’s crypto market, mining sector, and international trade utility. The news has circulated widely in crypto communities and media, with some viewing it as bullish for global adoption.

However, strict limits and ongoing bans on privacy coins and domestic payments keep it cautious rather than permissive. Russia plays a major role in global cryptocurrency mining, particularly Bitcoin mining, leveraging its vast natural resources, low energy costs, and cold climate to become one of the world’s top mining hubs.

Legal and Regulatory Framework

Russia fully legalized cryptocurrency mining in late 2024, with President Vladimir Putin signing laws that took effect from November 1, 2024. This shifted mining from a legal gray area to a regulated activity.

Only Russian legal entities and individual entrepreneurs can register in a national registry, maintained by the Ministry of Digital Development, Federal Tax Service, and others to operate large-scale or commercial mining.

Individuals can mine without registration if they stay within government-set energy consumption limits. Foreign entities are prohibited from mining in Russia. Miners must report details e.g., wallet addresses, mined amounts for oversight, taxation, and anti-money laundering purposes.

The government can impose regional bans or restrictions in areas with energy shortages parts of Siberia like Irkutsk — the “mining capital” — and others up to 2031; some seasonal bans upgraded to year-round in 2026 in connected regions. Unregistered or illegal mining faces penalties— proposed in late 2025 drafts: fines up to millions of rubles, forced labor, or up to 5 years imprisonment for large-scale violations.

This framework aims to formalize the industry, curb electricity theft and grid strain, collect taxes, and treat mining as a legitimate “export” activity — especially valuable amid Western sanctions. Russia holds approximately 15-16% of the global Bitcoin hashrate around 160-175 EH/s out of a total global hashrate exceeding 1 ZH/s.

This places Russia consistently as the second-largest mining country behind the United States, which holds ~37-38%. Growth has been rapid: Mining farms increased ~44% in 2025 to nearly 197,000, with power capacity recovering toward 2.1-2.2 GW peaks expected in 2026.

Russia mined tens of thousands of BTC annually at low costs— $39,000 per BTC vs. much higher market prices at times, thanks to cheap hydropower, natural gas, and surplus energy in regions like Siberia.

Abundant cheap electricity from hydro, gas flaring, etc. and natural cooling reduce operational costs, making Russia highly competitive. Mining generates foreign currency via exported BTC or related revenue, strengthening the ruble.

Russia’s Central Bank governor, Elvira Nabiullina has called it an “undervalued export” and a factor in ruble stability. It contributes ~0.5% to GDP in some estimates, attracts investment including from energy giants like Gazprom Neft, and supports industrial-scale operations.

Rogue and illegal miners persist, many unregistered, regional energy deficits lead to bans, and enforcement tightens in 2026.

Russia’s mining sector has evolved into a pragmatic, state-supported industry: regulated but encouraged for economic benefits, export revenue, and bypassing sanctions — positioning the country as a key player in the global crypto ecosystem, even as broader crypto trading regulations remain cautious on domestic use.

Pakistan Partners with WLFI USD1 for Cross-border Payments 

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Pakistan has recently partnered with an affiliate of World Liberty Financial (WLF), the cryptocurrency platform linked to U.S. President Donald Trump’s family, to explore the integration and use of its USD1 stablecoin for cross-border payments and digital finance initiatives.

Pakistan’s Virtual Asset Regulatory Authority (PVARA) signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with SC Financial Technologies, a Delaware-registered firm affiliated with and described as a sister company to World Liberty Financial. SC Financial Technologies co-owns the USD1 stablecoin brand.

The agreement focuses on technical collaboration with Pakistan’s central bank, State Bank of Pakistan to integrate USD1 into the country’s regulated digital payments framework. This would allow it to operate alongside Pakistan’s existing digital currency infrastructure.

Primary goals include exploring stablecoins for cross-border transactions, remittances, settlement, and foreign exchange processes—aiming to modernize payments, reduce friction in international transfers, and enhance efficiency.

The announcement came during a visit to Pakistan by Zach Witkoff, CEO of both World Liberty Financial and SC Financial Technologies. He met with senior officials, including Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb, and others.

A World Liberty Financial spokesperson emphasized that the deal could help reinforce the U.S. dollar’s status as the global reserve currency by promoting a “trusted, compliant” dollar-denominated stablecoin for digital payments and remittances.

This marks one of the first public sovereign partnerships for World Liberty Financial, which launched in September 2024 and introduced USD1 in March 2025. USD1 is a U.S. dollar-pegged stablecoin aiming for a 1:1 value with USD issued by World Liberty Financial. It is fully backed by U.S. dollars, short-term Treasuries, cash equivalents, and similar assets held in regulated institutions, with periodic third-party audits for transparency.

Each USD1 token in circulation is fully backed by an equivalent value (1:1) of high-quality, liquid assets. This ensures that holders can redeem tokens directly for U.S. dollars at par value, subject to any onboarding/KYC requirements for secondary market acquisitions.

Reserve Composition: The reserves primarily consist of: Short-term U.S. Treasury bills (T-bills) and other U.S. government securities. U.S. dollar cash deposits. Cash equivalents and similar highly liquid instruments e.g., U.S. Government Money Market Funds backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government.

These assets are low-risk, easily convertible to cash, and chosen to minimize volatility or counterparty risk while supporting rapid redemptions. All reserve assets are held and maintained by BitGo Trust Company, Inc. and/or affiliated BitGo entities— federally registered money services businesses and state-licensed transmitters.

BitGo handles issuance, redemptions, and provides the technical infrastructure. New USD1 tokens are minted when users deposit U.S. dollars or equivalent with the custodian. Tokens are burned upon redemption.

It operates on multiple blockchains including Ethereum, BNB Chain, Solana, and Tron for fast, low-cost global settlements.As of recent reports, USD1 has grown significantly, surpassing $3 billion in market capitalization/circulation in late 2025, positioning it as a mid-tier stablecoin with institutional adoption, prior use in large deals like Abu Dhabi’s MGX investment in Binance.

The deal aligns with Pakistan’s push toward digital finance innovation, including crypto regulation and remittances, a major economic driver. It occurs amid warming U.S.-Pakistan ties and global interest in regulated stablecoins under frameworks like the U.S. GENIUS Act.

World Liberty Financial is also pursuing a U.S. national trust bank charter for USD1 operations, which could further legitimize and expand its use. This is an exploratory MoU—not a full adoption commitment—but it signals Pakistan’s interest in testing stablecoins for real-world financial efficiency.

“They Can’t Even Play Chess”: Saylor Mocks BTC Bears as Bitcoin Surges Towards $100k

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As Bitcoin inches closer to the highly anticipated $100,000 milestone, the crypto market is buzzing with renewed optimism.

Following the BTC rally, MicroStrategy founder and longtime Bitcoin advocate Michael Saylor has taken a swipe at bears, who anticipate a downward price action.

Saylor’s post on X mocks Bitcoin bears with a chess meme, depicting a bear futilely competing against a suited strategist, amid BTC’s 5.59% weekly gain and consolidation above $80K. He captioned it, “Bears can’t play chess.”

The image and caption underscore Saylor’s view that short-term pessimism lacks the foresight to counter Bitcoin’s institutional-driven rally toward $100K targets. The Strategy CEO posted at a moment when BTC was pushing aggressively toward $97,000 (with intraday highs briefly touching $97,924 according to multiple market trackers).

As of mid-January 2026, Bitcoin has reclaimed levels not seen consistently since late 2025. Trading data shows BTC hovering in the $96,000–$97,000 range, up roughly 1–2% in the preceding 24 hours and riding solid volume support around $29 billion daily. The price of the crypto asset has, however, retraced, trading at $95,786 at the time of writing this report.

Analysts point to several tailwinds:

– Sustained institutional and whale accumulation (addresses holding 100–10,000 BTC added tens of thousands of coins in recent days).

– Moderating inflation signals from recent U.S. CPI data

– Growing optimism around crypto-friendly regulatory tailwinds

– Technical breakout above key psychological and Fibonacci resistance zones near $95,000–$96,000.

Crypto markets are getting exciting again, and market strategist Gareth Soloway says the charts are quietly telling an important story. According to Soloway, Bitcoin is holding strong near important levels, while several altcoins are flashing bullish signals that traders should not ignore.

Bitcoin is currently trading inside a tight price range, but Soloway says that is not a bad thing. In fact, this kind of sideways movement often builds energy for the next move. As long as Bitcoin stays above its main support line, the short-term outlook remains positive.

Notably, the market narrative has shifted decisively. Short-term bears who predicted a deeper pullback after the post-election euphoria appear increasingly outmaneuvered. Recent reports reveal Bitcoin’s largest holders reaccumulating coins after a period of heavy distribution. Data indicates that whale balances have turned higher following the sharpest selloff early 2023, while the mid-sized holders continue to reduce exposure:

Prediction markets and analyst targets are now clustering around $100K+ in the short term, with longer 2026 forecasts ranging from $120K–$170K under continued adoption and macro stability. Whether Bitcoin breaks through cleanly or consolidates first, the psychological message is clear: doubters are running out of good moves.

In Saylor’s view and increasingly in the market’s price action, the bear case isn’t just wrong; it’s conceptually illiterate when applied to a fixed supply, decentralized, digitally scarce asset.

Outlook

Looking ahead, Bitcoin’s short-term trajectory appears constructive, provided it continues to hold above the $92,000–$94,000 support band. A decisive break and sustained close above the $98,000–$100,000 psychological zone could trigger a fresh wave of momentum-driven inflows, potentially pushing price discovery into uncharted territory.

However, volatility remains inevitable. Profit-taking near the $100K mark, combined with macro uncertainty around interest rate policy and global liquidity conditions, could spark temporary pullbacks. Still, most analysts view any retracements as accumulation opportunities rather than trend reversals,

Grayscale’s List of 36 Altcoins Bucked the Trend with Inflows, as Rekt Drinks Introduces Token Incentive for In Store Purchases

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The expansion of Grayscale’s “Assets Under Consideration” list to 36 altcoins for Q1 2026 carries several notable implications for the crypto market, institutional adoption, and individual investors.

While inclusion on the list is not a commitment to launch products many assets may never make it to a trust or ETF, it serves as a strong forward-looking signal from one of the largest crypto asset managers with over $35 billion AUM.

Stronger Institutional Shift Beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum

Grayscale’s growing focus on altcoins reflects a maturation in institutional thinking. The list prioritizes diversified blockchain use cases rather than pure speculation: Heavy emphasis on Smart Contract Platforms like Tron/TRX added, alongside BNB, TON, APT, ARB, etc. and Financials/DeFi like Ethena, Jupiter, Morpho, Pendle.

Rising interest in emerging narratives like AI like Grass, Kaito, Nous Research, Poseidon, tokenization/RWA such as those on ARIA Protocol for IP rights, and DePIN/Utilities in DoubleZero/2Z for low-latency infrastructure, Jito and LayerZero.

This suggests institutions are positioning for crypto as a multi-sector asset class, similar to traditional equities. 2026 is being framed by Grayscale leadership as the “dawn of the institutional era,” with clearer regulations and alternative value stores driving broader allocations.

Listing acts as early validation for projects, often boosting visibility, liquidity, and narrative momentum. Tokens like TRX added for stablecoin/high-volume utility, ARIAIP, or DePIN plays could see speculative interest or partnerships.

If even a subset launches as single-asset trusts or thematic funds, it could channel institutional capital into these ecosystems—potentially increasing demand, TVL, and price stability for included assets.

Recent Delaware trust filings show Grayscale is actively preparing regulated vehicles. This could accelerate if regulatory clarity improves under evolving U.S. frameworks, leading to more altcoin ETFs or ETPs in 2026.

The EU’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation is the key framework behind Europe’s new crypto rules. It establishes a unified, harmonized approach across all 27 member states for crypto-assets not already covered by traditional financial laws like MiFID II.

MiCA entered into force in 2023, with phased application: stablecoin rules for asset-referenced tokens or ARTs, and e-money tokens or EMTs from June 30, 2024, and the full regime—including for crypto-asset service providers (CASPs) like exchanges, custodians, and trading platforms—from December 30, 2024.

The list highlights tokenization (real-world assets/IP), AI-blockchain integration, and DePIN (decentralized infrastructure) as high-priority themes. This aligns with industry maturation toward practical utility over hype.

Not all 36 will convert to products—Grayscale stresses the list is exploratory and can change intra-quarter. Past patterns show cautious expansion, with liquidity, custody, and regulatory hurdles as gatekeepers.

Influence on narratives: Grayscale’s moves often shape market discourse. Expanded coverage could reinforce “altcoin season” expectations in 2026, especially if Bitcoin dominance eases and institutions seek higher-yield or growth-oriented exposure.

For retail or active traders: Watch for price reactions around listed tokens e.g., short-term pumps on additions like TRX or emerging AI/DePIN names. Use the list as a research starting point for sectors Grayscale deems promising.

This is institutional-grade due diligence, not a buy signal—many assets remain high-risk. The update underscores crypto’s evolution into a regulated, sector-diverse investment landscape. Grayscale is building a pipeline for broader exposure, which could drive sustained inflows and legitimacy if 2026 delivers on institutional adoption promises.

Rekt Drinks Introduces Token Incentive for In Store Purchases

Rekt Drinks, the crypto-native sparkling water brand tied to the $REKT token from the Rektguy NFT ecosystem and Rekt Brands, has long incentivized in-store and online purchases with token rewards.

Buyers earn DRANK Points through purchases—online or in physical retail like 7-Eleven and now Giant Eagle, social engagement, or other activities. These points convert to or qualify users for $REKT token claims, airdrops, or multipliers—blending real-world consumption with Web3 rewards.

This “consume-to-earn” model has been active since the brand’s early drops in late 2024, where purchases unlocked points redeemable for $REKT, an Ethereum-based “brand coin” with multi-chain presence, including Base and Solana. In 7-Eleven activations starting mid-2025, early buyers of 4-packs got direct $REKT token claims via QR codes, worth significant value.

Recent expansions include partnerships rewarding buyers with onchain claims. Tools like this often go live to let users verify eligibility for token distributions tied to past activity, such as DRANK Points from in-store buys.

Recent highlights include: Ongoing Giant Eagle in-store promo live from Jan 12 to Feb 28, 2026: Buy a 4-pack, get a coupon at checkout, scan QR to claim $REKT on Base—bringing onchain rewards directly into grocery stores across nearly 200 US locations.

Sales traction without heavy token farming, showing organic demand for the zero-alc, zero-caffeine drinks. This setup proves a real use case for crypto in consumer brands: purchases fuel loyalty, token upside, and community ownership.

$REKT powers the ecosystem, rewarding holders with priority access, governance, and brand growth shares. If you’re checking your allocation or eligibility, head to the official Rekt Rewards site for tools, claims, and updates. The brand continues expanding IRL while staying deeply tied to Web3.

The announcement that Rekt Drinks introduces token incentives for in-store purchases with the SKR allocation checker going live highlights a major step in blending real-world consumer behavior with onchain rewards.

This builds on Rekt’s established “consume-to-earn” model using DRANK Points earned via purchases, social tasks, or engagement that convert to or qualify for $REKT token claims/airdrops.

Rekt Drinks rolled out a prominent in-store promotion starting January 12, 2026, running through February 28, 2026, in partnership with Giant Eagle nearly 200 grocery locations across multiple US states: Buy a 4-pack of Rekt Drinks.

Receive a printed coupon at checkout. Scan the QR code to claim $REKT tokens directly on Base (Ethereum L2) via the Base App or rewards site. This makes crypto rewards accessible to everyday shoppers with minimal friction—no prior wallet needed in many cases, as onboarding is streamlined.

This follows earlier retail wins like 7-Eleven activations where early buyers claimed ~$100 equivalent in $REKT via QR at checkout and expansions via distributors reaching thousands of stores. Sales have surpassed 1 million cans without heavy traditional marketing, driven by community hype, collabs, and token upside.

This normalizes crypto in everyday retail. Normies buy sparkling water ? get tokens ? potentially enter Web3 (wallets, trading, holding). It’s a low-barrier “user acquisition” funnel using real products, not just speculation.

$REKT (market cap $90-100M range recently) ties token value to tangible revenue— drinks sales, partnerships. The foundation holds significant supply 33% at times as a “marketing budget” for rewards—emissions are thoughtful to balance growth vs. sell pressure. Success here could validate brand coins broadly, attracting more CPG-Web3 hybrids.

In-store claims distribute $REKT organically, rewarding loyal buyers and potentially boosting demand/liquidity especially on Base for easier UX. If the Giant Eagle test succeeds, expansion to 13,000+ retailers via partners could drive massive scale—turning $REKT into a utility token backed by real consumption.

Regulatory hurdles for token rewards in retail, potential sell pressure from claims, competition in beverages, and crypto volatility. But Rekt’s community strength from Rektguy NFTs and revenue traction provide resilience.

Proves crypto can power IRL brands profitably. A win here is a broader win for Web3 utility—showing tokens as loyalty and membership tools, not just memes. This is Rekt evolving from niche crypto experiment to scalable consumer play. If you’re in a Giant Eagle area, grab a 4-pack and test the claim.

Bitcoin ETFs Break 4 Days Streak with $117M Net Inflows, as Bitcoin Keeps Exhibiting Two-Phase Reaction on Global Escalations

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Bitcoin ETFs break 4 day outflow streak with $117M of net inflows” refers to recent data from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs.

The funds recorded approximately $116.67 million to $117 million in net inflows sources vary slightly on the exact figure, often rounded to $117M, snapping a four-day streak of outflows that totaled over $1.3 billion in withdrawals from January 6–9.

This marked a return to positive territory after challenging sessions, with outflows peaking at around $486 million on January 7. Fidelity’s FBTC was a major driver of the inflows on January 12, contributing significantly around $111–126 million in some breakdowns.

Other funds like BlackRock’s IBIT showed mixed but overall supportive activity in the rebound. This shift signaled renewed institutional interest amid Bitcoin’s price volatility early in 2026, following heavier redemptions likely tied to year-end adjustments and market consolidation.

Note that flows have been highly volatile since the start of the year: Strong inflows kicked off January e.g., $471M on Jan 2, $697M on Jan 5. Then a pullback with the mentioned outflow streak. More recently as of mid-January 2026, flows turned strongly positive again in subsequent days, with much larger inflows reported e.g., hundreds of millions to over $800M on some dates, pushing Bitcoin toward highs near $97K+ and cumulative ETF inflows climbing further.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to serve as a key barometer for institutional sentiment, with cumulative net inflows since launch now well over $58 billion and total assets under management exceeding $120–128 billion depending on the latest snapshots.

This rebound highlights the resilient demand for Bitcoin exposure through regulated vehicles despite short-term swings.

Fidelity’s Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) played a pivotal role in snapping the recent 4-day outflow streak for U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, recording the largest single-day inflow on January 12, 2026.

According to data from trackers like SoSoValue widely cited in reports, FBTC saw approximately $111.75 million in net inflows on that date. This accounted for the vast majority of the total ~$116.67 million net inflows across all spot Bitcoin ETFs, effectively driving the rebound after cumulative outflows exceeded $1.3 billion from January 6–9 with FBTC itself contributing heavily to those redemptions earlier in the week.

Key breakdown for FBTC on January 12, 2026: Daily net inflow: ~$111.75 million equivalent to roughly 1,220 BTC added, based on prevailing prices around that time. This represented a strong reversal for the fund, which had faced significant pressure in the prior sessions, outflows in the hundreds of millions during the streak, including notable redemptions on January 7–8.

Cumulative net inflows since launch: Approximately $11.83 billion at that point. Net assets under management (AUM): Around $18.19 billion post-inflow. Trading volume for FBTC that day: ~$316 million, with the ETF’s share price gaining about 1.40%.

FBTC’s inflow dominated the session, while other major funds showed mixed results, BlackRock’s IBIT experienced outflows of ~$70 million or so in some reports, offsetting part of the total positive figure. This highlighted Fidelity’s strong appeal among investors seeking Bitcoin exposure, often attributed to its low 0.25% fee, robust platform integration, and retail/institutional accessibility.

The rebound aligned with Bitcoin’s price stabilization and recovery momentum early in 2026, following year-end adjustments and consolidation. For more granular historical daily flows on FBTC including the full January 2026 volatility, reliable sources include: Farside Investors— Provides real-time daily tables in USD millions.

Flows remain highly dynamic—e.g., subsequent days in mid-January showed continued positive momentum in some sessions—but FBTC’s January 12 performance was the standout contributor to ending that specific outflow streak.

Bitcoin Typically Exhibits a Two-phase Reaction on Global Escalations

If fears of World War 3 or major global escalation spike, Bitcoin tends to exhibit a two-phase reaction based on historical patterns from geopolitical crises like Russia-Ukraine invasion in 2022, Israel-Hamas/Israel-Iran tensions in 2023–2025, and recent US-Iran escalations in early 2026.

Bitcoin typically behaves like a high-beta risk asset during the initial shock and liquidity crunch: Markets sell off uncertainty first ? risk assets (stocks, crypto) get hit hard as investors seek immediate cash or traditional safe havens.

In past episodes, Bitcoin has dropped significantly in the early days/hours e.g., 8–16% dips during specific escalations in 2024–2025, or broader volatility tied to macro fallout like rate hikes after the 2022 Ukraine invasion, which contributed to a ~65% crash over months.

As of early 2026 show Bitcoin dipping during peak tension but often rebounding quickly when macro conditions stabilize e.g., surging above $95,000 amid US-Iran fears combined with easing inflation.

In a true WW3-scale event (direct major-power conflict), the initial phase would likely see even steeper declines due to global deleveraging, internet and power disruptions in affected regions, or flight to ultra-safe assets like physical gold and cash.

Academic studies and analyses reinforce this: cryptocurrencies show higher volatility and weaker hedging properties against geopolitical risk compared to gold, USD, or oil in extreme conditions.

Potential Rise as “Digital Gold”

If the conflict drags on, Bitcoin can shift toward its portable, censorship-resistant narrative and act more like a hedge: Capital controls, sanctions, currency devaluation, or fragmented finance increase demand for borderless, non-seizable assets.

In regions with hyperinflation fears, banking restrictions, or evasion needs e.g., parts of the world during Ukraine sanctions, Bitcoin sees usage spikes. Historical data shows Bitcoin often posting positive average returns ~31% in 50 days post-major geopolitical events since 2010, per some analyses.

In prolonged scenarios with easier money (central bank stimulus to counter recession/war costs) or fragmented global rails, Bitcoin rebounds strongly and can outperform as a “non-sovereign store of value.” Recent 2025–2026 patterns, Bitcoin rallies during Middle East escalations suggest growing acceptance as a geopolitical hedge, especially with institutional adoption like ETFs, and corporate treasuries.

Gold typically outperforms in pure fear phases —more stable safe haven, while Bitcoin acts as a complement rather than direct substitute — it can decouple and rally later if policy supports risk assets.

Bitcoin likely crashes first but has a credible shot at becoming “digital gold” in the aftermath — especially if the scenario involves prolonged uncertainty, monetary debasement to fund war, sanctions, or capital flight rather than total infrastructure collapse e.g., nuclear doomsday, where most assets including Bitcoin become irrelevant.

Ethereum likely crashes or drops sharply first in a geopolitics spike— risk-off liquidity hit, often amplified vs. Bitcoin, but has solid potential to recover and perform as a “digital utility/hedge” in the medium term — particularly if the scenario involves sanctions, capital controls, inflation, or decentralized demand rather than total collapse. It’s more volatile and ecosystem-dependent than Bitcoin, so resilience depends on broader crypto adoption trends.

In extreme WW3 scenarios, portfolio survival trumps speculation — but history shows crypto (including ETH) often rebounds when fragmentation favors non-sovereign assets.

This isn’t guaranteed — Bitcoin remains more volatile than traditional havens — but evidence from real crises shows resilience and eventual upside in fragmented, inflationary environments. In a full-scale WW3 nightmare, survival trumps portfolio performance anyway.