TreeHouse Foods said Monday it has agreed to be taken private by European investment firm Investindustrial in an all-cash transaction valued at $2.9 billion, marking one of the largest private-equity acquisitions in the U.S. packaged food sector this year.

The announcement sent TreeHouse shares soaring 20% in early trading, as investors welcomed what analysts described as a “logical exit” for a company grappling with slowing growth and market pressures.

Under the deal, TreeHouse shareholders will receive $22.50 per share in cash and one contingent value right (CVR) per share, granting them potential future payments tied to proceeds from the company’s ongoing coffee business litigation. The offer represents a 38% premium over TreeHouse’s September 26 closing price of $16.30, before reports of a possible buyout surfaced.

Inflation-weary consumers and a shrinking shelf space

The move comes amid mounting pressure on U.S. food manufacturers as consumers continue to downshift toward cheaper, smaller-packaged goods to cope with inflation and trade-related uncertainty. Packaged food makers, once buoyed by pandemic-era demand, have struggled to maintain sales volumes in 2024 as shoppers seek private-label or discount alternatives.

Analysts see the buyout as a pragmatic outcome. “Likely the best path forward for the company given the still pressured macro and uncertainty around the Food sector,” said Jefferies analyst Scott Marks, who noted that persistent challenges around supply chain efficiency and declining volumes make TreeHouse a stronger candidate for private ownership, where it can restructure away from quarterly market scrutiny.

Financial performance and forecast withdrawal

TreeHouse withdrew its annual financial guidance following the announcement and reported third-quarter net sales of $840.3 million, which fell short of Wall Street expectations of $851.1 million, according to data from LSEG.

The company’s profitability has been squeezed by rising input costs and the lingering effects of logistics disruptions, even as it has diversified its private-label portfolio across snacks, beverages, and ready-to-eat meals.

A key feature of the deal is the CVR linked to TreeHouse’s 2014 lawsuit against Keurig Green Mountain, in which the company alleged antitrust and unfair competition violations tied to Keurig’s dominance in the single-serve coffee pod market.

The case, which has dragged on for years, is estimated to involve potential damages between $719 million and $1.5 billion. While no resolution has been announced, the CVR structure allows shareholders to benefit from any eventual payout.

Strategic fit for Investindustrial

The transaction expands Investindustrial’s growing footprint in the food and consumer goods sector, building on earlier acquisitions of U.S. private-label manufacturer Winland Foods and European ingredients suppliers CSM Ingredients and Italcanditi. The firm, which manages over €12 billion in assets, has been actively consolidating mid-sized food companies to create scale and operational synergies in the fragmented packaged goods industry.

Once the acquisition closes — expected in the first quarter of 2026, pending regulatory approval — TreeHouse Foods will be delisted from the New York Stock Exchange, marking its full transition into private hands.

Founded in 2005 and headquartered in Oak Brook, Illinois, TreeHouse Foods has long positioned itself as a major player in private-label manufacturing, supplying store-brand products to some of the largest retailers in North America. However, the sector has become increasingly competitive as inflation drives grocers to tighten supplier margins while consumer behavior shifts rapidly.

It has been suggested that the company could benefit from private ownership under Investindustrial, allowing for longer-term investments in automation, product reformulation, and distribution efficiencies — changes that are harder to implement under public market pressures.

The deal underscores a growing private-equity appetite for U.S. mid-cap food producers, with global funds betting that strategic repositioning and private control can unlock value in an industry still adjusting to post-pandemic demand patterns and persistent economic uncertainty.

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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has set an ambitious target for its data center chip business, forecasting that the market could hit $1 trillion by 2030, driven largely by artificial intelligence.

Chief Executive Officer Lisa Su made the projection during the company’s analyst day in New York, highlighting AI as the most transformative force shaping the industry’s future.

“It’s an exciting market,” Su told investors. “There’s no question, data center is the largest growth opportunity out there, and one that AMD is very, very well positioned for.”

The trillion-dollar market projection includes AMD’s central processing units (CPUs), networking chips, and specialized AI accelerators—areas where the company has been aggressively investing to compete with rivals Nvidia and Intel. While AMD has carved out a strong position in the CPU market, Nvidia continues to dominate AI data center chips with its powerful GPUs, including the widely used H100.

AMD is now betting that its next-generation AI hardware and acquisitions will help close that gap. Its upcoming MI400 series—set for release in 2026—will feature chips optimized for generative AI and scientific applications. The company is also developing a full server rack system to rival Nvidia’s GB200 NVL72, signaling its intention to compete across the full AI infrastructure stack.

Chief Financial Officer Jean Hu told investors that AMD expects its overall business to grow by 35% annually and its data center segment by 60% over the next three to five years. The company also projects earnings to rise to $20 per share in that timeframe. Following the announcement, AMD’s stock gained nearly 4% in after-hours trading, after closing down 2.7% at $237.52.

The optimism comes amid a broader race to capture the AI hardware market, which Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang recently valued at between $3 trillion and $4 trillion by the end of the decade. AMD’s projection, while more conservative, underscores the enormous expectations around the long-term AI buildout—from cloud computing and hyperscale data centers to edge and enterprise deployments.

AMD’s expansion strategy includes a string of acquisitions aimed at strengthening its AI and data center ecosystem. Over the past year, it has acquired companies such as ZT Systems, a server manufacturer, and several software startups focused on AI applications. On Monday, it announced the acquisition of MK1, a move intended to bolster its AI software expertise.

“We’ll continue to do AI software tuck-ins,” Chief Strategy Officer Mat Hein told Reuters, adding that the acquisitions are as much about acquiring talent as technology.

The company’s recent partnership with OpenAI marks one of its most significant strategic wins yet. Under a multiyear deal signed in October, AMD will supply chips for OpenAI’s infrastructure, a contract estimated to generate more than $100 billion in revenue over four years from OpenAI and other related customers. In return, OpenAI will receive warrants allowing it to purchase up to a 10% stake in AMD—a rare equity-linked arrangement that reflects the growing interdependence between AI developers and chip suppliers.

The partnership also gives AMD a direct foothold in the high-performance AI computing market, an area in which it has lagged compared to Nvidia. Analysts view the deal as a critical inflection point for AMD, which until recently had been overshadowed by Nvidia’s dominance in AI accelerators.

AMD’s last analyst day was in 2022, before the generative AI wave reshaped global chip demand. Since then, the Santa Clara-based company has sought to pivot from being primarily a CPU manufacturer into a diversified AI computing powerhouse. The timing appears favorable: data center operators and cloud firms worldwide are racing to expand infrastructure for AI workloads, a trend that could keep demand elevated for years.

Still, the competitive landscape remains unforgiving. Nvidia continues to capture the lion’s share of AI spending, while Intel is repositioning itself through its Gaudi AI chips and new manufacturing strategy. Yet AMD’s combination of a diversified chip portfolio, strategic acquisitions, and a landmark partnership with OpenAI could help it capture a meaningful share of the projected trillion-dollar market.

Now, AMD’s future is believed to rest on how effectively it can merge its hardware strength with AI-specific software and systems integration—turning its growing presence in CPUs into a full-fledged player across the AI computing spectrum.