OpenAI is in talks to raise as much as $100 billion in a new funding round that could value the ChatGPT maker at up to $830 billion, according to a Wall Street Journal report on Thursday.
But the sheer scale of the valuation is also sharpening unease across financial markets, as OpenAI’s revenue generation still lags far behind the level of spending implied by such a price tag.
According to the Wall Street Journal, the ChatGPT maker is seeking to complete the funding round by the end of the first calendar quarter next year and is expected to approach sovereign wealth funds, a sign the company is looking for investors with deep pockets and long-term horizons. The Information earlier reported the talks, placing the potential valuation at about $750 billion, still an eye-watering figure for a private company with limited operating history at this scale.
For supporters, the fundraising effort is a powerful vote of confidence. It suggests that large investors believe OpenAI will sit at the center of the AI economy, capturing value across consumer products, enterprise software, developer tools, and foundational infrastructure. OpenAI’s rapid adoption, particularly of ChatGPT, and its growing influence in setting the pace of model development have made it a de facto bellwether for the sector. In that sense, the willingness to commit tens of billions more reflects a belief that AI will reshape productivity, labor, and entire industries, even if profits are still some distance away.
However, the size of the valuation is also raising red flags. At a potential $830 billion, OpenAI would be valued well above many established, profitable technology giants, despite generating a fraction of their revenue and still burning vast amounts of cash. People familiar with the company’s finances say OpenAI is currently generating about $20 billion in annual run-rate revenue, largely from subscriptions, enterprise contracts, and API usage. While that figure is impressive for a relatively young company, it remains small compared with its spending trajectory.
OpenAI’s costs are dominated by compute. Training frontier models and, increasingly, running them at scale for millions of users requires enormous investment in data centers, chips, and energy. The company has signaled plans that could ultimately involve trillions of dollars in infrastructure spending. Inferencing, the cost of serving models to users in real time, is emerging as a particularly heavy burden. Unlike model training, which has often been offset by cloud credits from partners, inferencing appears to be funded largely in cash, meaning operating expenses rise directly with usage.
This imbalance between revenue and expenditure is at the heart of investor concern. Even assuming strong growth, OpenAI’s current revenue base does not yet justify a valuation approaching $1 trillion by traditional metrics. That gap forces investors to price in years, if not decades, of rapid expansion, rising margins, and eventual dominance of multiple AI markets. Any slowdown in adoption, pricing pressure from competitors, or regulatory intervention could challenge those assumptions.
The timing of the fundraising talks also matters. Broader sentiment around AI has cooled as investors also question whether the debt-fueled investment cycle driving the sector can be sustained. Companies such as Amazon, Microsoft, and Oracle have poured tens of billions into AI infrastructure, often ahead of clear near-term returns. At the same time, constraints in the supply of advanced chips, particularly high-bandwidth memory, threaten to push costs higher and slow deployment, adding another layer of risk.
Competition is also intensifying. Rivals, including Anthropic and Google, are accelerating model releases and expanding their ecosystems, forcing OpenAI to spend aggressively to maintain its lead. That pressure has narrowed the margin for error: OpenAI must continue innovating while simultaneously proving it can convert scale into durable, high-margin revenue.
OpenAI has been rumored to be exploring an initial public offering as another way to raise capital, and there has also been talk of courting Amazon for a roughly $10 billion strategic investment tied to access to its in-house AI chips. According to PitchBook, the company already has more than $64 billion in cash and was most recently valued at about $500 billion in a secondary transaction, meaning any new round would represent a sharp step up in expectations.
In the end, the reported fundraising captures the paradox of the AI boom. Investor appetite remains strong, and confidence in the long-term impact of AI is clearly intact. But as valuations soar far ahead of revenues, OpenAI is becoming a focal point for a deeper question confronting markets: how quickly, and how convincingly, can AI’s promise be translated into profits that justify the scale of capital now being committed?






