In a development that underscores one of the most significant shifts in global reserve management, gold has officially overtaken U.S. Treasuries in central bank foreign exchange reserves for the first time in at least 20 years.
Recent data show that global official gold holdings, valued at current market prices, have climbed to approximately $5.0 trillion, surpassing $3.9 trillion in foreign official holdings of U.S. Treasuries.
This crossover highlighted by analyses from the World Gold Council, IMF cross-referenced data, and market observers marks a symbolic turning point in how nations define and protect “safe” reserve assets.
Against a backdrop of persistent economic uncertainty, rising geopolitical tensions, and inflation risks, central banks have steadily rebalanced their reserve portfolios. The shift reflects a strategic move toward hard assets and away from debt-based securities.
Since the fourth quarter of 2019, central bank gold holdings have effectively tripled in value, driven by aggressive accumulation and surging prices. Over this period, central banks have added an estimated 4,500 tonnes of gold, including unreported purchases. In contrast, foreign holdings of U.S. Treasuries have remained largely unchanged.
Gold now accounts for roughly one-fifth of all mined gold held in central bank vaults worldwide, reinforcing broader de-dollarization efforts led by major economies such as China and India.
During January, the U.S. dollar fell 2%, its weakest monthly performance since mid-2025, amid geopolitical strains, shifting trade policies, and growing concerns over long-term U.S. fiscal sustainability.
Meanwhile, foreign holdings of U.S. Treasuries have hovered around $3.9 trillion, according to U.S. Treasury International Capital (TIC) data, showing little growth over the same period.
Why Gold Is Gaining Favor
Unlike U.S. Treasuries, which offer yield but carry counterparty, policy, and sanctions risks, gold provides central banks with:
•No default risk
•No dependence on any single government
•A long-standing hedge against currency debasement and geopolitical shocks
As a result, gold now represents a growing share of total reserves, approaching or exceeding 25–26% by market value in some estimates while the dollar’s share of allocated reserves has gradually declined, even as it remains the largest single currency component.
Historically, this shift echoes patterns seen before the 1990s, when gold played a more dominant role in reserves before European central bank sales ahead of the euro’s launch helped elevate U.S. Treasuries.
Implications for the Global Financial System
This development is more than an accounting milestone, it reflects evolving trust in the international monetary system.
•Reserve diversification accelerates: Central banks increasingly treat gold as strategic “heritage money” rather than a passive portfolio diversifier.
•Dollar dominance faces pressure: While the dollar still accounts for roughly 57–60% of allocated FX reserves, gold’s resurgence reduces the relative appeal of Treasury securities.
•Gold price support strengthens: Sustained official-sector demand provides a structural floor under gold prices, even during periods of correction.
Recently, gold prices did experience a sharp pullback, falling more than 8% below the $5,000 level as the dollar strengthened amid expectations surrounding the appointment of a new U.S. Federal Reserve chair.
Even so, gold remained on track for its strongest monthly performance since 1982, after setting multiple record highs.
Major buyers have continued accumulating gold despite elevated prices, with monthly central bank purchases in late 2025 frequently ranging between 40 and 45 tonnes, well above historical averages.
Outlook
Looking ahead, most analysts expect central banks to maintain a structurally higher allocation to gold. While short-term price volatility is likely especially as monetary policy expectations and currency dynamics shift the underlying drivers of gold demand remain intact.
Geopolitical fragmentation, sanctions risk, rising sovereign debt levels, and efforts to reduce over-reliance on the U.S. dollar are expected to sustain official-sector interest. Even if Treasury holdings stabilize rather than decline sharply, incremental reserve growth is increasingly likely to flow toward gold.
As one market observer noted, this rotation is not sudden but the culmination of years of deliberate strategy.






