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In The Very Hot Prediction Market, When The World Turns Events Into Markets, Wisdom Becomes Your Hedge

By
Ndubuisi Ekekwe
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0

Three things:

Mr Doe will be the president in 2026.

Ovim FC will win the CAF Champions League in Dec 2025.

Trump will sneeze 3 times before 10pm tomorrow (lol).

Those may sound like random assertions, but in today’s world, they are data points in prediction markets, a new frontier where people stake value on possibilities. If an event is open, observable, and verifiable, it becomes tradable. From elections to sports and celebrity movements, everything has become a potential game.

Companies like Polymarket are now worth $billions for hosting and providing ecosystems for people to wager on news, events or political comments.

Good People, this is unbelievable. Yes, this is uncommon that people do this at scale we’re witnessing. DraftKings, which has laboured on sports, is in with an acquisition and very soon will enable people to predict if a celeb will travel to Ovim from New York and spend one week.

Prediction market is one of the hottest categories in the game of startup right now: “Prediction markets have officially entered “Uptober” overdrive, clocking in over $2 billion in trading volume for the week ending October 20, 2025—a new all-time high that eclipses even the frenzied peaks of the 2024 U.S. presidential election. This surge reflects booming interest in event-based betting on everything from NFL games to New York City mayoral races, fueled by a friendlier U.S. regulatory landscape and massive funding injections into key platforms.”

The animal spirit is real, and the farmland has been prepared by Trump with his “no regulation” regulation allowing young people to scale any idea with no fear. Play, but be careful! And then remember this: when the world turns events into markets, wisdom becomes your hedge.

Prediction Markets Smash $2B Weekly Volume Milestone

Prediction Markets Smash $2B Weekly Volume Milestone

By
Paul Ugbede Godwin
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0

Prediction markets have officially entered “Uptober” overdrive, clocking in over $2 billion in trading volume for the week ending October 20, 2025—a new all-time high that eclipses even the frenzied peaks of the 2024 U.S. presidential election.

This surge reflects booming interest in event-based betting on everything from NFL games to New York City mayoral races, fueled by a friendlier U.S. regulatory landscape and massive funding injections into key platforms.

For the first time, sports betting outpaced politics, with $414.7 million in volume compared to $322.6 million on political outcomes. Platforms like Kalshi have leaned hard into NFL and college football markets, capturing over 70% of their activity from sports alone.

With November midterms looming, bets on outcomes like government shutdowns 65% chance on Polymarket and gubernatorial races are spiking. NYC’s mayoral election has been a particular hotspot, driving “frenzy-level” activity.

The CFTC’s recent “no-action” relief and Polymarket’s U.S. relaunch beta app live as of early October have unlocked American users, boosting accessibility without full KYC for non-U.S. traders.

This comes after Kalshi became the first federally regulated prediction market in the U.S. Polymarket has clawed back the top spot after trailing Kalshi for eight weeks, but the duo is neck-and-neck in a high-stakes rivalry. Smaller players like Limitless and Myriad are scaling fast, hinting at broader ecosystem growth.

The sector’s not just hot—it’s venture-backed rocket fuel. A Certuity report projects $95.5B in total volume by 2035 (46.8% CAGR), driven by institutional adoption and tools like AI-powered analysis (e.g., Polyfactual on Polymarket).

Polymarket’s rumored native token launch 15% chance in 2025 per its own markets could spark airdrop farming frenzy, with users already grinding for $1K+ rewards. Traders are calling it “Wall Street on steroids” and a shift from token speculation to outcome forecasting.

“Betting on outcomes might end up bigger than betting on tokens.” Risks like manipulation linger (e.g., past oracle disputes), but blockchain transparency and 95% accuracy rates make it more reliable than traditional polls.

The record-breaking $2B weekly volume in prediction markets signals a seismic shift in how people engage with event-based betting and information aggregation. With sports outpacing politics and platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi hitting billion-dollar valuations, prediction markets are moving beyond niche crypto circles into mainstream finance.

The $95.5B projected volume by 2035 46.8% CAGR suggests a growing asset class, rivaling traditional derivatives in niche sectors. Massive investments indicate Wall Street’s bet on prediction markets as a new frontier for hedging and speculation. This could draw in hedge funds and retail investors alike, boosting liquidity but also volatility.

Rumors of Polymarket’s native token and Myriad’s $MYR airdrop are fueling user growth through gamified rewards. This could spark a speculative bubble, with users farming points for potential payouts, but also risks market saturation if token launches underdeliver.

With 95% accuracy in forecasting outcomes surpassing polls, prediction markets are becoming a go-to for real-time sentiment on elections, policy, and cultural events. This could challenge traditional media and polling industries, especially as platforms like Polymarket predict events like government shutdowns with precision.

High-stakes betting on midterms and local races (e.g., NYC mayoral) could amplify public focus on niche outcomes, potentially swaying voter behavior. However, risks of manipulation or oracle disputes could invite regulatory pushback, especially if markets are seen as influencing elections.

The CFTC’s softened stance and Kalshi’s federal approval signal a friendlier U.S. environment, but evolving rules could either unlock further growth or impose stricter KYC/AML requirements, impacting accessibility.

On-chain transparency via Polygon for Polymarket, Myriad, etc. ensures trust and auditability, but scalability and gas fee spikes during high-volume events could strain user experience. AI tools like Polyfactual hint at tech-driven analysis becoming a competitive edge.

Past oracle disputes highlight vulnerabilities in decentralized platforms. As volumes grow, bad actors could exploit low-liquidity markets, undermining trust. Airdrop farming and speculative frenzy could lead to user fatigue if rewards disappoint or platforms fail to sustain engagement post-election cycles.

While non-U.S. users face fewer KYC hurdles, regulatory fragmentation could create a two-tier system, limiting global participation. Expect volume spikes as bets on congressional races and policy outcomes (e.g., shutdown odds) intensify. Polymarket and Kalshi will likely dominate, but Limitless and Myriad could steal share with innovative features.

AI and blockchain advancements will likely deepen market efficiency, but platforms must balance user-friendliness with sophistication to retain retail traders. Prediction markets are no longer just a crypto experiment—they’re a cultural and financial juggernaut.

A Look At Evernorth’s $1B Raise for XRP Treasury

By
Paul Ugbede Godwin
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0

Evernorth Holdings Inc., a Ripple-backed digital asset venture, announced on October 20, 2025, plans to go public on Nasdaq through a merger with special-purpose acquisition company (SPAC) Armada Acquisition Corp II (ticker: AACI).

The deal is expected to raise over $1 billion in gross proceeds and close in Q1 2026, subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals. The primary goal is to create the world’s largest publicly traded institutional XRP treasury, focusing on accumulating and managing XRP—the native token of the XRP Ledger, currently the fifth-largest cryptocurrency by market cap around $150 billion as of October 21, 2025.

The raise includes:$200 million from Japan’s SBI Holdings. Investments from Ripple Labs, Rippleworks, Pantera Capital, Kraken Ventures, GSR Markets, and Ripple co-founder Chris Larsen.

Most net proceeds after operational costs will fund open-market XRP purchases to build a resilient treasury. This positions Evernorth as a regulated vehicle for institutions to gain liquid exposure to XRP, blending traditional finance (TradFi) strategies like lending with decentralized finance (DeFi) yields.

Asheesh Birla, former Ripple executive and board member stepping down from Ripple’s board to lead Evernorth. Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse, General Counsel Stuart Alderoty, and CTO David Schwartz.

Beyond passive holding, Evernorth aims to grow XRP per share via liquidity provisioning, staking, and tokenized asset integration. It will run XRP validators and incorporate Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin for DeFi.

Birla emphasized: “Evernorth is built to provide investors more than just exposure to XRP’s price… while supporting XRP’s utility and adoption.” This move aligns with Ripple’s push for XRP in corporate treasuries, following its $1 billion acquisition of GTreasury last week to target the multi-trillion-dollar treasury market.

XRP surged past $2.50 on October 20 up from a dip below $1.90, with $73.9 million in ETP inflows and 25% volume spike. Under a crypto-friendly U.S. administration, this signals accelerating institutional adoption. XRP discussions on X exploded, with over 317,500 large-holder wallets at record highs.

Similar to Ethereum-focused treasuries (e.g., SharpLink’s $3.5B ETH hoard), but Evernorth targets XRP’s strengths in payments and remittances.

XRP Ledger (XRPL) is a decentralized, open-source blockchain designed for fast, low-cost transactions, primarily for payments and remittances. Validators play a critical role in its operation, ensuring the network’s integrity and consensus.

Validators are nodes computers in the XRP Ledger network that participate in the consensus process to validate and agree on the order and validity of transactions. Unlike Bitcoin or Ethereum, which use proof-of-work or proof-of-stake, XRPL uses the XRP Ledger Consensus Protocol (a variant of Practical Byzantine Fault Tolerance).

This allows for rapid transaction confirmation (3-5 seconds) and high throughput (up to 1,500 transactions per second). Validators collect proposed transactions, verify their correctness (e.g., sufficient funds, valid signatures), and vote to reach consensus on which transactions to include in the ledger’s next state.

Ripple publishes a default UNL, but operators can customize their lists, promoting decentralization. Overlap in UNLs ensures network agreement, but diversity prevents centralized control.

Running a validator is lightweight, requiring modest hardware (e.g., a server with 8GB RAM, 100GB SSD) and a stable internet connection, making it accessible for institutions like Evernorth. Validators must be reliable and secure, as malicious or faulty validators could disrupt consensus if they dominate a UNL.

Evernorth’s Validator Strategy

Evernorth, as mentioned in the context of its $1B raise for an XRP treasury, plans to operate XRPL validators. This aligns with its goal to actively manage its XRP holdings and support the ecosystem. Running validators allows Evernorth to contribute to XRPL’s governance, ensuring transaction reliability and network uptime, which enhances XRP’s credibility for institutional adoption.

By validating transactions, Evernorth reinforces XRP’s utility in payments and DeFi, potentially increasing its treasury’s value through broader adoption. Validators don’t earn XRP, but Evernorth’s participation could yield indirect benefits, like signaling commitment to investors and enabling DeFi strategies.

More validators, especially from diverse entities like Evernorth, reduce reliance on Ripple or any single party, strengthening XRPL’s resilience. Validators enable XRPL’s high transaction throughput, critical for its use in global payments via RippleNet’s cross-border transfers.

For Evernorth’s treasury, running validators signals a long-term commitment to XRPL, reassuring investors about XRP’s stability and utility. Ripple has reduced its share of trusted validators to under 10%, per Ripple’s Q3 2025 report, countering earlier centralization critiques.

By joining as a validator, Evernorth adds institutional credibility, especially under a crypto-friendly U.S. regulatory environment, potentially boosting XRP’s market perception (XRP recently hit $2.50, with 317,500 large-holder wallets).

As a public company post-SPAC, Evernorth’s validator operations may face SEC or global regulatory oversight, especially if tied to DeFi. Validator effectiveness relies on a robust UNL. Poorly chosen peers could risk consensus failures, though XRPL’s design mitigates this.

This development could catalyze XRP’s integration into capital markets, but as with all crypto ventures, outcomes depend on execution and macro factors like Fed policy.

Top 28 in Sight? BlockDAG’s $430M Funding, 3.5M+ Miners, and Live Tools Fuel Its Push Toward the $600M Mark

By
TI Partners
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0

The 2025 market for new Layer-1 launches is tougher than ever, where visibility, infrastructure, and real traction define early success. While projects like Aptos and Sui entered with heavy VC funding and bold goals, many lacked true usability at launch.

Others, such as Kaspa, grew gradually through proof-of-work validation and strong community support. Now, BlockDAG (BDAG) joins the race through action, not promises. Having raised over $430 million toward its $600 million goal, deployed over 3.5 million mobile miners, shipped more than 20,000 hardware miners, and partnered with BWT Alpine Formula 1® Team, BlockDAG arrives fully functional. This makes it one of the top crypto projects to watch as it targets a position among the Top 30 by market cap.

The Competitive Scene for Layer-1 Chains

Past trends show that Layer-1 projects with strong fundamentals and working systems tend to secure early mid-tier rankings. Aptos, for example, launched near Rank 30 thanks to major backing and developer excitement, even with limited public traction.

Sui gained visibility with parallel processing but fluctuated between Ranks 60–40 based on volume. Kaspa, on the other hand, advanced steadily with real hashrate growth and low inflation.

These examples highlight that most projects rely on one strength: network size, utility, or verified tokenomics, but few manage all three. BlockDAG enters as a rare case that checks all boxes: full infrastructure, tested performance, and live ecosystem tools. Its foundation could help it secure a Top 30 position faster than most new Layer-1s and establish itself among the top crypto projects right from launch.

What Gives BlockDAG the Edge Over Other Newcomers

BlockDAG’s defining strength lies in miner participation. With over 3.5 million X1 mobile miners and 20,000 hardware miners already shipped, the network is live and expanding. Unlike many others still selling validators or testing systems, BlockDAG has a working setup, using the Stratum Protocol for real-time miner synchronization, a feature common only among advanced PoW chains.

Its hybrid DAG and Proof-of-Work design enhances scalability and decentralization, with full EVM and WASM compatibility allowing developers to create both Ethereum-compatible and high-performance dApps. Combined with Smart Account functionality (EIP-4337) and the removal of outdated UTXO models, BlockDAG offers a seamless environment for apps, staking, and onboarding.

Having raised over $430 million, sold more than 27 billion BDAG coins, and grown to over 312,000 holders, BlockDAG shows measurable momentum. Batch 31 is now active with BDAG priced at $0.0015, while early participants have already seen gains of 2,940% since Batch 1.

Furthermore, a milestone AMA is coming as BlockDAG partners with Binance on October 24 at 3 PM UTC. The session will spotlight critical roadmap updates, insider perspectives, and what’s next in the journey toward Keynote 4 and GENESIS DAY. BDAG remains priced at $0.0015 in Batch 31, giving buyers a final chance to use code “TGE” before the dashboard upgrade and price climb.

Alongside that, the BlockDAG Explorer and analytics tools provide live tracking of validators, transaction activity, and account abstraction, features that place BlockDAG’s transparency and readiness on par with long-standing networks. With its combination of working tools, global community, and continuous delivery, BlockDAG’s trajectory makes it one of the top crypto projects shaping the next wave of Layer-1 innovation.

Why Rank #28 Seems Achievable for BlockDAG

The basis for BlockDAG’s Rank #28 projection comes from its capital strength, supply structure, and ecosystem progress. With over $430 million raised in its presale, BlockDAG could reach a post-launch valuation between $1.2 billion and $2 billion, depending on how much supply circulates and the vesting rate. According to CoinMarketCap data, that range would position BlockDAG just below chains like Arbitrum and Mantle but ahead of developing Layer-1s such as Aleph Zero or Conflux.

This estimate is further reinforced by BlockDAG’s confirmed brand partnerships, especially its collaboration with the BWT Alpine Formula 1® Team, which has expanded its visibility beyond crypto circles. Public activations in cities like Singapore and Austin show that BlockDAG is building awareness through real events instead of relying on online hype.

Developer interest is also growing. During the testnet phase, several tools have already been created for staking dashboards, multi-chain bridges, and NFT minting systems. The project’s transparency is supported by verified tokenomics documents, audited multi-sig wallets, and ongoing coordination with Tier-1 and Tier-2 exchanges for post-launch listings.

When compared to the early conditions of Aptos, ICP, or SUI, BlockDAG holds a stronger advantage. It is launching with real users, running tools, and active miners, showing why it deserves a place among the top crypto projects of 2025.

Why BlockDAG Appears Built for Lasting Growth

BlockDAG isn’t entering the market without a foundation. With its layered system, wide user base, working mining hardware, and verified capital, it has all the signs of a network designed for long-term credibility.

Many smaller projects with limited user adoption have reached the Top 30 temporarily. However, BlockDAG’s transparent ecosystem, live metrics, and brand-level partnerships make its Rank #28 goal not only reasonable but supported by clear evidence. Its proven network readiness gives it a structure that few new Layer-1s have matched at launch, reinforcing its place among the top crypto projects to monitor closely.

As other Layer-1 platforms struggle to scale post-launch, BlockDAG’s approach stands out. By releasing its core tools, miners, and user functions before launch, it flips the usual order of development. This early delivery model could set a new example for how future projects aim for sustainable ranking growth.

What’s Next on the Road for BlockDAG

The coming 90 days are crucial for BlockDAG’s next phase. The spotlight is now on upcoming centralized exchange listings, staking module deployment, and expanded developer onboarding. If the project maintains transparency, keeps rolling out ecosystem updates, and activates its partnerships with clear traction, its Rank #28 target might only be the beginning.

For anyone following top crypto projects that combine working tools with real scalability, BlockDAG stands out as a practical case study. Its early launch success could signal a shift in the market, where projects built on real technology and measurable delivery finally surpass those based only on speculation.

Presale: https://purchase.blockdag.network

Website: https://blockdag.network

Telegram: https://t.me/blockDAGnetworkOfficial

Discord: https://discord.gg/Q7BxghMVyu

BlockDAG Set for a Top 32 CoinMarketCap Debut? Analysts Reveal Why It Could Happen Sooner Than Expected

By
TI Partners
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0

As BlockDAG approaches its TGE, experts predict it could debut near #32 on CoinMarketCap. Having raised over $430 million in presale funding, sold more than 27 billion BDAG coins, and drawn 3.5 million daily users to its X1 app, the project is gathering serious attention in the top trending crypto space.

This analysis looks at how verified audits, seasoned leadership, and early user adoption give BlockDAG (BDAG) a clear edge for a strong post-launch ranking among the Top 50 cryptocurrencies.

By comparing its pre-launch strength with Layer-1 projects like Stellar and Algorand, it becomes clear why BlockDAG’s fundamentals indicate potential to reach a market cap close to theirs after launch.

Strong Pre-Launch Metrics Build a Powerful Base

BlockDAG’s presale success has been remarkable, raising over $430 million so far. The current Batch 31 price is $0.0304 per coin, with early supporters already seeing a 2940% rise since Batch 1. Over 27 billion BDAG coins have been sold, confirming steady market confidence and ongoing demand. The limited-time price of $0.0015 has only intensified the buzz, driving its reputation as a top trending crypto before launch.

However, beyond its numbers, the true strength lies in its massive user network. With 3.5 million daily users on the X1 mobile mining app, BlockDAG enters the market with an active and engaged ecosystem. Most new blockchain projects begin from zero, but BlockDAG’s users and miners will instantly fuel network activity from day one.

When matched against the debut data of other Layer-1 networks, BlockDAG clearly stands out for readiness. Stellar and Algorand both had strong beginnings, yet lacked the blend of active hardware miners, mobile engagement, and user participation that BlockDAG already has.

For instance, Algorand’s initial user base was limited, and Stellar’s early growth relied on partnerships rather than on-chain activity. In contrast, BlockDAG’s pre-existing community and mining structure provide immediate traction and scalability, setting it apart in the top trending crypto landscape and supporting the view that it could enter CoinMarketCap’s Top 32 sooner than expected.

Trusted Leadership and Verified Audits Strengthen BlockDAG’s Position

Analysts linking BlockDAG’s possible Top 32 debut to its early success point first to its leadership and security validation. Antony Turner, the CEO of BlockDAG, brings extensive blockchain experience that positions the project for consistent growth. His open governance style and consistent visibility build confidence across the community and the broader market. Turner’s proven record in previous blockchain ventures reinforces the project’s credibility, helping it stand out as a top trending crypto.

In addition, BlockDAG has cleared comprehensive CertiK and Halborn audits, confirming that it operates with strong security measures. This level of transparency is vital in maintaining confidence across the crypto landscape, especially in a market that values accountability. Verified audits show that the network takes risk management seriously, a quality that sets it apart from many newer projects.

A major AMA is on the horizon as BlockDAG teams up with Binance this October 24 at 3 PM UTC. Expect exclusive insights into roadmap progress, fresh announcements, and critical updates leading into Keynote 4 and GENESIS DAY. Buyers still have access to BDAG at $0.0015 in Batch 31, with code “TGE” available to enhance returns before the upgrade.

Projects that meet such high audit standards often attract stronger attention, as participants tend to favor verifiable safety and clear development practices. In a space where trust and security define long-term value, BlockDAG’s transparent audit record and visible leadership offer reassurance of technical reliability and responsible management, solidifying its place among the top trending crypto projects right now.

Analysts Predict BlockDAG Could Rival Leading Layer-1 Valuations

As discussions grow around BlockDAG’s projected post-launch rank near #32, analysts are backing their predictions with data on scalability and tokenomics. The project’s 15,000 TPS capability, hybrid DAG + Proof-of-Work model, and dual compatibility with EVM and WASM make it a strong contender among Layer-1 ecosystems. These qualities place BlockDAG in direct comparison with networks like Stellar and Algorand in terms of performance and adoption potential.

Considering the launch valuations of top-performing Layer-1 chains, BlockDAG’s presale achievements and user activity suggest that it could quickly reach a multi-billion market cap range. With a structure that supports staking and sustainable liquidity, the project’s tokenomics give it a foundation for stable long-term value. Analysts expect network staking to enhance liquidity, creating steady pricing after launch.

When benchmarked against other Layer-1 networks, BlockDAG’s prospects align closely with Stellar’s $1 billion debut and Algorand’s $1.5 billion launch cap. The combination of 3.5 million users, accessible developer tools, and growing institutional confidence places BlockDAG on a similar trajectory. Its pre-launch metrics and expanding visibility underline why analysts see it as a top trending crypto entering 2025 with major momentum.

Transparency and Growth Potential Shape Market Confidence

Analysts also highlight that BlockDAG’s commitment to transparency plays a major role in its projected success. With verified audits, public leadership engagement, and a robust technical foundation, BlockDAG is seen as a reliable network that can attract strong participation. Unlike many newer blockchains that struggle with visibility and governance, BlockDAG maintains an open approach that builds trust among users and market watchers alike.

Its combination of widespread pre-launch adoption, certified security, and scalable performance makes it appealing to those seeking credible blockchain projects capable of consistent growth. Analysts see this transparency and readiness as key to helping BlockDAG maintain its position and avoid the high volatility often seen with new market entrants.

Final Takeaway

Based on current data and forecasts, BlockDAG appears ready for a solid post-launch debut, with a CoinMarketCap ranking around #32 seen as achievable. With over $430 million raised in presale, more than 27 billion BDAG coins sold, and a daily user base of 3.5 million, the project has built strong momentum.

Its verified audits, high-speed network design, and staking model create a solid base for value stability. Combining these elements with early user activity and cross-platform development tools positions BlockDAG to compete with major Layer-1 networks such as Stellar and Algorand.

If performance aligns with market projections, BlockDAG could secure its place among the Top 50 cryptocurrencies, with a Top 32 debut marking only the start of its climb. Its steady growth and technical strength reinforce why analysts are calling it one of the top trending crypto names to watch closely.

Presale: https://purchase.blockdag.network

Website: https://blockdag.network

Telegram: https://t.me/blockDAGnetworkOfficial

Discord: https://discord.gg/Q7BxghMVyu

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