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FTX’s Caroline Ellison Moves to Community Confinement Amid HYPE Trading Below $25

By
Paul Ugbede Godwin
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Caroline Ellison, former CEO of Alameda Research and a key cooperating witness in the FTX fraud case, was transferred from federal prison to community confinement on October 16, 2025.

This move occurred after she served approximately 11 months of her original two-year sentence at the low-security Federal Correctional Institution in Danbury, Connecticut.

Community confinement typically involves either home confinement or placement in a halfway house, while remaining under Federal Bureau of Prisons supervision. Her projected full release date is now February 20, 2026—about nine months earlier than the end of her original sentence.

The Bureau of Prisons has not disclosed the exact location or specific conditions, citing privacy, safety, and security reasons. This transfer is described as routine, potentially based on factors like good behavior, sentence length, and eligibility for reentry programs.

Ellison pleaded guilty to multiple fraud and conspiracy charges related to the misuse of FTX customer funds and testified against Sam Bankman-Fried. The news of her transfer surfaced publicly in mid-December 2025, sparking discussions about sentencing disparities in the FTX case.

Hyperliquid’s HYPE Token Falls Below $25

The native token of the Hyperliquid decentralized perpetuals exchange, HYPE, has recently dipped below $25 for the first time since May 2025.

HYPE is trading around $24.46 USD, reflecting ongoing bearish pressure amid broader market volatility, token unlocks, and liquidations. This breach of the $25 support level has triggered significant events, including a major whale facing over $19.6 million in unrealized losses on a 5x leveraged long position with liquidation risk at ~$20.65.

Down ~10% in the past week, with analysts noting oversold RSI indicators but warning of potential further declines toward $20–$22 if support fails. HYPE had rallied strongly earlier in 2025— ATH around $58–$59 in September, driven by platform growth, but faced sell pressure from unlocks and competition in the DeFi perp space.

Ellison’s extensive testimony against Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) was praised by the judge as exceptional, contributing to sentence reductions and early reentry eligibility. Good behavior and short sentence: Short federal sentences often qualify for early transfer to less restrictive settings for reintegration.

Highlights perceived leniency for white-collar crypto fraud cooperators vs. SBF’s 25-year term, potentially fueling discussions on justice disparities in high-profile cases. The news emerged quietly in mid-December 2025 with minimal backlash or viral outrage on social platforms; mostly factual reporting.

Reinforces incentives for cooperation in large fraud prosecutions, but underscores ongoing scrutiny of FTX-related sentencing. This appears standard rather than controversial, with location kept private for safety.

Implications of HYPE Falling Below $25

Oversold RSI ~28, bearish MACD crossover, declining open interest, and negative social dominance signal continued downside risk. Analysts warn of potential drops to $20–$22 or lower if $24 support fails.

High-leverage perps trading on Hyperliquid amplified sell-offs; recent token unlocks ~1.75M HYPE added supply pressure, triggering ~9–15% weekly declines. Some large positions face unrealized losses > $19M on leveraged longs, with liquidation risks near $20.65.

Hyperliquid’s DEX/perps volume hit records ~$419B monthly, with ongoing upgrades like HyperEVM expansion, permissionless markets. A proposed $1B token burn could reduce circulating supply, adding deflationary pressure. Pending ETF filings could drive institutional inflows if approved. Buyback mechanisms support value accrual.

Ranked #13–25 by market cap around $8.2B, HYPE’s performance is tied to broader crypto sentiment and DeFi perp competition. Oversold conditions suggest possible rebound if BTC stabilizes, but further macro weakness could push toward $20 or below.

Both reflect ongoing crypto ecosystem dynamics: regulatory fallout from past scandals and volatility in high-growth DeFi projects.

Hut 8 Partners with Google on Data Center Deal

By
Paul Ugbede Godwin
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Bitcoin mining and energy infrastructure company Hut 8 announced a major deal, involving a 15-year lease valued at approximately $7 billion with potential to reach $17.7 billion including renewal options for 245 MW of AI-optimized data center capacity at its River Bend campus in Louisiana.

The lessee is Fluidstack, an AI infrastructure provider. Google via Alphabet provides a financial backstop, guaranteeing lease payments and certain obligations if Fluidstack defaults, significantly de-risking the deal for Hut 8.

This ties into a broader partnership with Anthropic— the AI company behind Claude, in which Google is a major investor, where Hut 8 could develop up to 2.3 GW of additional AI data center infrastructure in phases.

The project expects to generate around $6.9 billion in net operating income for Hut 8 over the base term ~$454 million annually, with construction starting soon and the first halls online by Q2 2027.

Financing involves major banks like JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs covering up to 85% of costs. The news drove Hut 8’s stock ($HUT) up over 20% in pre-market and intraday trading on December 17–18, with analysts raising price targets.

This reflects a growing trend where Bitcoin miners leverage their power infrastructure and sites to pivot into high-demand AI/high-performance computing, securing stable, long-term revenue amid crypto volatility.

Similar deals have been struck by peers like Core Scientific, Cipher Mining, and Galaxy Digital. It’s not a direct “partnership” with Google as equals, but Google’s backing adds substantial credibility and security to the transaction.

Hut 8 Corp. announced a strategic AI infrastructure partnership with Anthropic and Fluidstack an AI cloud infrastructure provider. The partnership aims to accelerate the deployment of hyperscale AI data center infrastructure in the United States, leveraging Hut 8’s expertise in power sourcing and site development.

This is not a direct equity partnership but a multi-tranche development and delivery agreement where: Hut 8 develops the power and data center facilities. Fluidstack designs, deploys, and operates high-performance compute clusters.

Anthropic is the primary end-user for the AI training and inference capacity. The deal expands Anthropic’s existing relationship with Fluidstack and introduces Hut 8 as a key collaborator for scaling infrastructure.

The partnership provides a pathway to deliver at least 245 MW and up to 2,295 MW of AI-optimized data center capacity. Starts at Hut 8’s River Bend campus in Louisiana. 245 MW of IT load capacity. Supported by 330 MW of utility power from Entergy Louisiana.

Construction begins soon; first data halls online by Q2 2027, with additional halls throughout 2027. Tranche 2; Right of first offer (ROFO) for up to 1,000 MW additional IT capacity at River Bend, subject to power expansion.

Tranche 3; Optional joint development with Anthropic for up to 1,050 MW across Hut 8’s other sites in its development pipeline. Hut 8 signed a separate 15-year triple-net lease with Fluidstack for the initial 245 MW at River Bend.

Approximately $7 billion. With three 5-year renewal options: Potential total up to $17.7 billion. Expected annual net operating income for Hut 8: ~$454 million from the base term.

Google, a major partner of Anthropic provides a financial backstop/guarantee on the lease payments and obligations, significantly reducing risk for Hut 8 if Fluidstack defaults. Up to 85% loan-to-cost from banks like JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs.

Asher Genoot, CEO of Hut 8: “Scaling frontier AI infrastructure is, at its core, a power challenge… Through our partnership with Anthropic and Fluidstack, we are aligning power, data center design, and compute deployment into an integrated platform capable of delivering at gigawatt scale.”

James Bradbury, Head of Compute at Anthropic: “This partnership is an expansion of our existing work with Fluidstack and marks a new opportunity to collaborate with Hut 8 to bring additional capacity online by early 2027.”

Gary Wu, CEO of Fluidstack: Emphasized solving compute challenges at scale for leading AI labs. This deal positions Hut 8 as a major player in the AI/HPC data center space, diversifying from its Bitcoin mining roots amid surging demand for energy-intensive AI infrastructure.

It follows similar pivots by other miners and highlights Louisiana’s growing role in attracting large-scale AI projects.

The PayPal Bank and Vertical Fintechnolization

By
Ndubuisi Ekekwe
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PayPal is signaling a major shift in its business model with plans to establish a bank. According to reports, the payments giant has applied for regulatory approval to create PayPal Bank, a move that would allow it to lend directly to small businesses in the United States.

Explaining the rationale, PayPal CEO Alex Chriss noted that establishing a bank would strengthen the company’s business and operational efficiency, enabling PayPal to better support small business growth and expand economic opportunity across the U.S.

At one level, this move makes perfect sense. PayPal already extends small business loans to merchants based on their average monthly transaction volumes. Relying on third-party banks to intermediate those loans increases costs and limits flexibility. Bringing lending fully in-house is therefore a logical step.

But there is a deeper dynamic at play. PayPal is feeling the pressure of fintechnolization. As digital platforms mature, they increasingly embed financial services directly into their ecosystems. Banks are now partnering with platforms to offer payments, lending, and financial products seamlessly on websites and apps, often bypassing intermediaries like PayPal. This shift is gradually eroding PayPal’s addressable market.

Fintechnolization  is the process by which every mature digital platform evolves into a financial services provider, embedding payments, lending, insurance, savings, and other financial primitives directly into its core product, often without looking like a traditional fintech company.

To counter this disintermediation, PayPal must vertically integrate. Securing a banking charter allows it to control more of the value chain, reduce dependence on partner banks, and retain economics that would otherwise be shared or lost. In doing so, PayPal also avoids “feeding” banks that are simultaneously competing with it through banking-as-a-service models. A good move for PayPal even though PayPal did not treat Nigeria well, but gracious goodness, we do not miss it in Nigeria.

PayPal Seeks Regulatory Approval to Launch PayPal Bank, Targeting Small Businesses

A Look at FIFA’s Supporter Entry Tier Ticket

By
Paul Ugbede Godwin
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FIFA announced a new “Supporter Entry Tier” priced at a flat $60 for every match in the 2026 World Cup hosted by Canada, Mexico, and the United States, including the final.

This came directly in response to widespread global backlash over high ticket prices, particularly for the allocation given to national federations for their most dedicated fans.

Previously, the cheapest tickets in that supporter allocation for the final were around $4,185 with general public cheapest final tickets even higher in some categories.

Now, a portion of those supporter tickets—specifically 10% of each team’s 8% allotment roughly hundreds to about 1,000 per match, split between the two teams—will be capped at $60.

These discounted tickets are distributed by the national football associations like the FA for England, US Soccer for the USA to “loyal fans” based on their own criteria, not available to the general public through FIFA’s main sales.

Fan groups like Football Supporters Europe welcomed the change as proof that pressure works but criticized it as a limited “appeasement tactic,” noting it doesn’t address broader issues like dynamic pricing for general tickets, accessibility for disabled fans, or the overall high costs which remain significantly higher than previous World Cups.

Over 20 million requests in the current sales phase but persistent criticism. Ticket accessibility issues for the 2026 FIFA World Cup have become a major point of criticism amid the broader backlash over high prices.

Football Supporters Europe (FSE) and its Disability & Inclusion Fan Network sent an open letter to FIFA President Gianni Infantino on December 15, 2025, expressing “profound concern” that current policies are effectively excluding fans with disabilities.

No access to cheapest tickets — Accessibility tickets including wheelchair spaces and easy access seats are only available in higher-priced Categories 1–3, not the lowest Category 4. This means the cheapest group-stage accessibility tickets start at around $140–$450, compared to lower general prices in some allocations.

For the first time in World Cup history, companions essential for many disabled fans must pay full price, described as an “unfair tax” on disabled supporters. In contrast, the 2022 Qatar World Cup offered accessible tickets at ~$10–$11 with a free companion ticket.

Accessibility tickets are appearing on FIFA’s official resale site at up to six times face value with no price cap, defeating the purpose of protected allocations and allowing speculation. Tickets are sold without requiring proof of disability eligibility or clear details on stadium accessibility features.

These policies contradict FIFA’s own claims that the 2026 tournament will set “new standards in diversity and inclusion,” as well as its statutes on human rights and accessibility.

Even after FIFA’s announcement of the $60 “Supporter Entry Tier” for some loyal fans, FSE noted that no specific improvements were made for disabled supporters or companion pricing.

Reports from The Athletic, The Independent, The Guardian, ESPN, and FSE’s own statement confirm these issues remain unaddressed. FIFA’s official ticketing FAQ states that limited accessibility tickets are available like wheelchair spaces with up to one or two companions, easy access amenity seats.

Varying by stadium and host country laws such as US, Canada, Mexico, but critics argue the pricing and structure make them prohibitively expensive for many.

Gold Racing Back to ATH, As Patterns Suggest Rotation from other Assets

By
Paul Ugbede Godwin
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0

Gold is trading near its all-time high, hovering around $4,300–$4,305 per ounce. This puts it very close to its October 2025 peak of approximately $4,379–$4,381.

Gold has delivered exceptional performance this year, up over 55–65% YTD, driven by central bank buying, geopolitical tensions, falling interest rates, and its role as a traditional safe-haven asset.

Bitcoin, meanwhile, is trading around $87,000–$88,000, down significantly from its all-time high of $126,210 reached on October 6, 2025. This represents a roughly 30% drawdown from the peak, with BTC showing negative or low single-digit YTD returns in recent months.

It has behaved more like a risk asset, correlating with equities and suffering from profit-taking, ETF outflows, and broader market consolidation.Is a Rotation Ahead?Yes, there are strong signals pointing to a potential capital rotation from gold back into Bitcoin or risk assets more broadly in the near term.

The Bitcoin-to-Gold ratio— ounces of gold per BTC has fallen ~50% in 2025, dropping from ~40 to ~20. This highlights gold’s massive outperformance. Analysts note that Bitcoin’s relative strength index (RSI) against gold has dipped below 30 for only the fourth time in history—previous instances (2015, 2018, 2022) marked major BTC bottoms, followed by strong recoveries.

Gold appears “overvalued” relative to Bitcoin on historical metrics, with wide gaps from moving averages suggesting an imbalance ripe for correction.

Market commentary describes a “great divergence” and “major market rotation” underway in late 2025, with investors shifting to safe havens like gold amid volatility—but some predict a reversal as BTC looks oversold.

However, this isn’t guaranteed. Gold’s strength is structural— central banks projected to buy ~900 tonnes in 2025, robust ETF inflows, while Bitcoin remains volatile and sentiment-driven. If risk appetite returns via renewed ETF inflows or macro easing, BTC could catch up quickly.

Conversely, persistent uncertainty could extend gold’s dominance.In summary, the setup mirrors past cycles where extreme divergences preceded BTC rallies. A rotation toward Bitcoin seems plausible heading into 2026, but monitor key levels.

BTC support ~$86,000–$88,000, gold resistance near $4,381. Bitcoin and gold are often compared as “hard assets” or stores of value, but their performance diverges based on market sentiment: gold thrives in risk-off environments, while Bitcoin behaves more like a risk-on asset correlated with equities, driven by liquidity, adoption, and speculation.

This leads to recurring rotations, where capital shifts between them. The key metric is the Bitcoin-to-Gold ratio (BTC/XAU: how many ounces of gold one BTC buys). A rising ratio means Bitcoin outperforming gold; falling means gold outperforming.

Bitcoin emerged post-financial crisis. Ratio rose sharply as BTC went from ~$1 to $1,200, vastly outperforming gold which was stable post-2011 peak. From obscurity to BTC hype. Gold slightly outperformed during BTC’s 2014–2015 bear market. Ratio bottomed. Then, post-2016 halving, BTC surged, ratio reversed upward.

BTC bull run to $20,000; ratio hit all-time highs 15–18 oz per BTC. BTC massively outperformed. Post-peak crash (2018), ratio declined as gold held steady—gold outperformance during risk-off. Gold rallied strongly in 2020, outperforming BTC initially. BTC bottomed, then exploded post-halving up 10x to $69k in 2021. Gold peak in Aug 2020 ($2,070) coincided with BTC starting its historic ascent.

Analysts noted capital rotating from gold to BTC as risk appetite returned. Ratio peaked ~40 oz/BTC in late 2021, then plunged ~60% as BTC crashed to $16k. Gold outperformed amid inflation/Rate hikes. BTC surged with ETF approvals; ratio recovered strongly. BTC outperformed until mid-2024.

Gold has dominated YTD up ~55–65%, new ATHs ~$4,300+, driven by central banks, de-dollarization, and uncertainty. BTC down ~30% from Oct 2025 peak of $126k. Ratio ~20 oz/BTC down ~50% in 2025. Mirrors past periods where gold led during volatility, but setups = oversold RSI vs. gold echo pre-rotation bottoms.

Gold leads during uncertainty/bear phases e.g., 2018–2019, early 2020, 2022, 2025. BTC catches up explosively in bull phases (post-halving liquidity, risk-on). Extreme divergences (ratio lows) have historically preceded BTC recoveries (2015, 2018, 2022 bottoms).

2020 is the clearest precedent: Gold ATH ? rotation ? BTC multiplies. Long-term since 2011, BTC has vastly outperformed ~millions % vs. gold’s ~100–200%, but short-term rotations are common.

Current setup suggests potential shift back to BTC if risk appetite returns like ETF inflows, macro easing, but gold’s structural drivers remain strong. Monitor ratio ~20 as key support.

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