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China Issues First 2026 Fuel Export Quotas, Holding Volumes Steady as Domestic Balance Takes Priority

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China has issued 19 million tons of export quotas for refined oil products in the first batch of allowances for 2026, underscoring Beijing’s continued use of administrative controls to balance domestic fuel supply with its role as a major exporter in regional and global energy markets.

According to three trade sources familiar with the allocations, who spoke to Reuters, the quotas cover gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, with volumes largely unchanged from the first batch released for 2025. In addition, authorities granted 8 million tons of export quotas for low-sulphur marine fuel, a product that has become increasingly important as global shipping complies with stricter environmental standards.

China, the world’s second-largest oil consumer and one of the biggest refining hubs globally, manages refined fuel exports through a quota system aimed at preventing domestic shortages, stabilizing prices, and ensuring refineries align output with local demand conditions. The steady size of the first 2026 tranche suggests policymakers are maintaining a cautious stance, avoiding aggressive increases in exports while leaving room to adjust later in the year depending on economic conditions and fuel demand.

State-owned oil giants once again dominated the allocation. Sinopec and China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC), the country’s two largest refiners, were awarded a combined 13.76 million tons of export allowances for gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, accounting for more than 70% of the total volume. Their dominant share reflects Beijing’s preference for relying on state firms to execute energy policy objectives, particularly during periods of economic uncertainty.

Major private refiner Zhejiang Petrochemical received 1.56 million tons in this first batch, maintaining its position as the leading non-state beneficiary of export quotas. While private refiners have expanded rapidly over the past decade and now account for a significant share of China’s refining capacity, their access to export quotas remains tightly controlled, with state companies retaining the lion’s share.

A similar pattern emerged in the allocation of low-sulphur marine fuel quotas. Of the 8 million tons issued, almost 85% went to Sinopec and CNPC, reinforcing their central role in supplying bunker fuel to international shipping markets. China has become a key supplier of compliant marine fuel in Asia, particularly after the International Maritime Organization’s 2020 sulphur cap reshaped global bunker demand.

The steady quotas come against a backdrop of softer refined fuel exports this year. In the first 11 months of 2025, China exported 52.65 million tons of refined oil products, including gasoline, diesel, aviation fuel, and marine bunker fuel, down 3.2% from the same period a year earlier. Traders attribute the decline to weaker refining margins, uneven overseas demand, and Beijing’s preference for keeping more fuel at home amid sluggish but still uncertain domestic consumption trends.

Market participants say the early issuance of the first 2026 batch provides refiners with planning visibility while signaling that authorities are unlikely to significantly loosen export controls in the near term. Subsequent quota rounds later in 2026 will likely depend on factors such as domestic fuel demand, refinery utilization rates, oil prices, and broader economic conditions.

With global fuel markets still shaped by geopolitical tensions, energy transition policies, and uneven post-pandemic demand recovery, China’s quota decisions remain a closely watched barometer of how aggressively it intends to compete in refined product exports next year.

Google Takes on Nvidia With Public Launch of Ironwood, Its Most Powerful AI Chip Yet

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Google is pushing deeper into the battle for control of the artificial intelligence infrastructure stack, announcing that its most powerful custom chip to date will soon be available for broad public use as it intensifies efforts to win over AI companies and large enterprise customers.

The search giant said on Thursday that the seventh generation of its Tensor Processing Unit (TPU), known as Ironwood, will be released to customers in the coming weeks. The chip was first unveiled in April and has since been tested by select partners for deployment. Its wider availability marks a significant step in Google’s long-running attempt to reduce the industry’s dependence on Nvidia and position its cloud platform as a serious alternative for the most demanding AI workloads.

Built entirely in-house, Ironwood is designed to handle the full spectrum of modern AI tasks, from training massive foundation models to running real-time applications such as chatbots and autonomous AI agents. Google says the chip can be scaled aggressively, with up to 9,216 Ironwood TPUs linked together in a single pod, a configuration the company claims eliminates data bottlenecks that often slow down large-scale AI systems.

According to Google, this architecture gives customers “the ability to run and scale the largest, most data-intensive models in existence,” a clear pitch to AI labs and enterprises struggling with the cost and complexity of training and deploying next-generation models.

The move comes as Google, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta pour unprecedented sums into building the infrastructure that will underpin the AI economy. So far, much of the boom has been powered by Nvidia’s graphics processing units, which dominate the market for training and inference. Google’s TPUs fall into the category of custom silicon, purpose-built chips that can deliver advantages in performance per dollar, energy efficiency, and tighter integration with cloud software.

TPUs are not new. Google has been developing them for roughly a decade, initially for internal use and later as a selling point for Google Cloud. Ironwood, however, represents a major leap. The company says it is more than four times faster than its predecessor, a gain that matters as model sizes and computational demands continue to rise.

Major customers are already committing at scale. Google disclosed that AI startup Anthropic plans to use up to one million Ironwood TPUs to run its Claude model, a sign that leading AI developers are increasingly willing to diversify away from Nvidia-only infrastructure. Such deals also strengthen the strategic ties between Google and fast-growing AI labs that need vast amounts of compute to compete.

Ironwood’s launch is part of a broader push to make Google Cloud cheaper, faster, and more flexible as it goes head-to-head with Amazon Web Services and Microsoft Azure, both of which still command larger shares of the cloud market. Alongside the new chip, Google is rolling out software and pricing upgrades aimed at improving performance and lowering costs for customers running AI workloads.

The strategy appears to be gaining traction. In its earnings report last week, Google said third-quarter cloud revenue rose 34% year on year to $15.15 billion. While that still trails rivals, the growth rate compares with a 40% increase at Microsoft Azure and 20% growth at AWS over the same period. Google also said it has signed more billion-dollar cloud contracts in the first nine months of 2025 than in the previous two years combined, underscoring rising demand from large customers.

That surge in interest is forcing Google to spend heavily. The company raised the upper end of its capital expenditure forecast for the year to $93 billion, up from $85 billion, reflecting massive investments in data centers, chips, and networking equipment needed to support AI demand.

“We are seeing substantial demand for our AI infrastructure products, including TPU-based and GPU-based solutions,” chief executive Sundar Pichai told analysts on the earnings call.

He described AI infrastructure as one of the main drivers of Google’s growth over the past year and said the company expects demand to remain strong as it continues to invest.

Ironwood’s public release highlights how the AI race is no longer just about models and software, but about who controls the underlying hardware and cloud platforms. Google is signaling that it intends to challenge Nvidia’s dominance directly by betting on custom silicon at scale, while also trying to narrow the gap with Amazon and Microsoft in cloud computing.

Europe Bristles as U.S. Imposes Visa Bans on Architects of Tech Regulation, Deepening Transatlantic Digital Rift

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A sharp diplomatic row has erupted between Washington and European capitals after the United States imposed visa bans on five prominent European figures linked to efforts to regulate American technology companies, prompting accusations of “coercion and intimidation” from leaders including French President Emmanuel Macron.

The bans, announced on Tuesday, target Thierry Breton, the former EU commissioner who played a central role in designing the bloc’s Digital Services Act (DSA), alongside four anti-disinformation campaigners based in Germany and the UK. Those affected include Imran Ahmed, chief executive of the US-based Center for Countering Digital Hate; Anna-Lena von Hodenberg and Josephine Ballon of the German non-profit HateAid; and Clare Melford, co-founder of the Global Disinformation Index.

Washington framed the move as a defense of free speech and U.S. interests. Writing on X, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio accused European “ideologues” of leading organized campaigns to pressure American platforms into suppressing viewpoints they oppose.

“The Trump administration will no longer tolerate these egregious acts of extraterritorial censorship,” Rubio said, casting the DSA as a threat to freedom of expression and U.S. tech firms.

The response across Europe was swift and unusually unified. France, Germany, Spain, and the UK joined senior EU officials in condemning the bans, while Brussels warned it could “respond swiftly and decisively” if necessary. The episode has added fuel to an already strained relationship between Donald Trump’s administration and the European Union, with artificial intelligence and digital regulation emerging as a new frontline in broader cultural, political, and economic tensions.

Macron denounced the visa bans in forceful terms, calling them an attempt to undermine Europe’s digital sovereignty. In a statement posted on X, he said the measures amounted to “intimidation and coercion” and stressed that EU digital rules were adopted through a democratic process involving both the European Parliament and member states.

“The rules governing the European Union’s digital space are not meant to be determined outside Europe,” he wrote.

Macron later confirmed he had spoken with Breton, thanking him for his work and vowing that Europe would not retreat.

“We will protect Europe’s independence and the freedom of Europeans,” he said.

France’s foreign minister, Jean-Noël Barrot, echoed that stance, arguing that Europeans could not accept external powers dictating the rules of their digital space. Similar language came from Berlin and Madrid. Germany’s justice ministry described the bans as unacceptable and expressed solidarity with the German campaigners, noting that HateAid supports victims of unlawful online hate speech. German foreign minister Johann Wadephul said the DSA was democratically adopted for use within the EU and had no extraterritorial effect.

The DSA, passed in 2022, requires large digital platforms to demonstrate how they are addressing systemic online risks, including illegal content, hate speech, and the manipulation of elections through disinformation. EU officials argue the law is about enforcing existing legal standards in the digital sphere, not censoring speech. Washington, however, sees it as an attempt to impose European norms on U.S.-based companies and users.

Breton, a former French finance minister who served as EU commissioner for the internal market from 2019 to 2024, responded sharply to the U.S. action.

“Is McCarthy’s witch-hunt back?” he asked, pointing out that the DSA was approved by 90% of the European Parliament and unanimously by all 27 member states. “To our American friends: censorship isn’t where you think it is,” he said.

EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen also weighed in, emphasizing that freedom of speech underpins European democracy and vowing to protect it. A commission spokesperson reinforced that message, warning that the EU would defend its regulatory autonomy against what it described as unjustified measures.

The dispute comes against the backdrop of increasing enforcement of the DSA. Earlier this month, Elon Musk’s X platform was fined €120 million for multiple violations, largely linked to transparency failures, including misleading users over verification checks and restricting researchers’ access to data. The penalty has become a rallying point for U.S. critics of the EU’s regulatory approach, who argue it is designed to weaken American tech giants under the guise of regulation.

In Washington, officials have insisted the EU’s actions amount to undue restrictions on expression, while European leaders counter that safeguarding democratic discourse requires clear rules for powerful platforms. Stéphane Séjourné, who succeeded Breton as commissioner for the internal market, publicly backed his predecessor, saying no sanction would silence the sovereignty of European peoples.

The row has also drawn in politicians and civil society figures. Dennis Radtke, a German MEP from the ruling CDU, questioned why free speech arguments appear to be deployed selectively. Raphaël Glucksmann, a French socialist MEP, accused Washington of confronting democracies while accommodating authoritarian regimes, telling Rubio that Europe must stand up for its laws and interests.

Beyond the immediate dispute, analysts see the episode as emblematic of a deeper shift in transatlantic relations. Michel Duclos, a former senior French diplomat, compared the treatment of Breton with Washington’s engagement with figures linked to Russia, warning that Europe risks being recast as an adversary rather than an ally in U.S. strategic thinking.

The visa bans also revive memories of earlier confrontations. In August, Washington sanctioned a French judge at the International Criminal Court over investigations involving Israeli leaders and U.S. officials, a move that had already unsettled European governments.

As AI and online platforms grow ever more central to economic influence and political discourse, the clash between Europe’s regulatory ambitions and Washington’s defense of U.S. tech interests looks set to intensify, with broader consequences for the future of transatlantic cooperation.

India Eases Import Quality Checks in Bid to Streamline Trade and Advance U.S. Deal

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India has unveiled a series of reforms aimed at simplifying and accelerating its import quality control procedures, including reduced paperwork, shorter approval timelines, fewer physical inspections, and greater reliance on technology-driven systems like digital certifications and risk-based sampling.

The announcement, made on Wednesday by the Ministry of Commerce and Industry, directly addresses longstanding U.S. complaints about “burdensome” requirements that have acted as non-tariff barriers, complicating bilateral trade flows and delaying shipments of goods ranging from electronics and medical devices to steel and toys. The reforms target standards enforced by key agencies such as the Bureau of Indian Standards (BIS) and the Food Safety and Standards Authority of India (FSSAI), which have been criticized for mandatory factory audits, extensive documentation demands, and processing delays often extending months.

Under the new framework, importers meeting compliance thresholds will benefit from streamlined registrations, self-certification options, and automated approvals via digital portals, potentially cutting compliance costs by 20-30% and halving processing times, according to initial ministry estimates.

Implementation will roll out in phases starting January 2026, prioritizing high-volume categories to minimize disruptions.

“The reforms aim to accelerate processes, reduce turnaround times, and leverage technology-driven systems to make quality assurance faster, more transparent, and more accessible for enterprises, institutions, and citizens,” said Jaxay Shah, chairman of the Quality Council of India (QCI), in the ministry’s statement.

Shah emphasized that the changes will enhance India’s “Ease of Doing Business” ranking while maintaining product safety and quality standards. U.S. officials and industry groups, including the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR), have long flagged these rules as impediments, arguing they disproportionately burden American exporters despite being applied universally.

The issue has been a recurring theme in bilateral dialogues, with Washington viewing regulatory simplification as a key confidence-building measure for deeper economic engagement. The announcement comes amid intensifying efforts to finalize a bilateral trade agreement (BTA) between the world’s largest democracy and its biggest economy.

India seeks relief from punitive 50% tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump on select exports, enacted as retaliation for New Delhi’s continued imports of discounted Russian crude oil amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict.

The tariffs, effective August 27, 2025, build on an initial 25% “reciprocal” duty announced in July, escalating to 50% specifically targeting India’s Russian oil trade, which has exceeded 2 million barrels per day in 2025—making Russia India’s top supplier and helping Moscow circumvent Western sanctions.

Affected Indian exports include textiles, gems and jewelry, agricultural products (e.g., shrimp, rice), pharmaceuticals, and precious metals like gold—impacting roughly $8-10 billion in annual shipments and potentially shaving 0.5 percentage points off India’s GDP growth, per estimates from firms like Barclays.

Indian negotiators, led by Commerce Secretary Sunil Barthwal, have pushed for phased tariff reductions in exchange for market access commitments, regulatory alignment, and possibly capping Russian oil imports.

U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai welcomed the quality-control reforms in a brief statement, calling them “a constructive step toward reducing trade frictions and facilitating smoother trade flows.”

Analysts view the reforms as pragmatic concessions from Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government, balancing domestic industry protection with export ambitions amid a record $824.9 billion in total exports for FY2024-2025 (services at $387.5 billion, merchandise at $437.4 billion).

“This is clearly timed to build goodwill ahead of a potential BTA breakthrough,” said Biswajit Dhar, former professor at Jawaharlal Nehru University and trade policy expert.

Despite tariff headwinds, India’s exports have shown resilience, defying initial forecasts of a 10-15% drop and strengthening New Delhi’s negotiating position.

Markets reacted positively to the reforms: The Nifty 50 index closed 0.4% higher, with export-oriented sectors like IT (up 0.6%), pharmaceuticals (0.7%), and textiles (1.2%) leading gains, reflecting optimism for eased U.S. trade barriers.

As talks continue, potentially culminating in a mini-deal early 2026, these regulatory tweaks signal India’s willingness to meet halfway in a relationship increasingly vital for supply chain diversification, technology cooperation, and countering Chinese economic influence, without fully conceding on sensitive issues like Russian energy ties.

S&P 500 Hits Fresh Intraday Record as AI Rally Reignites and Rate-Cut Bets Return

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U.S. stocks pushed into uncharted territory on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 notching its first intraday record in more than a month as investors returned aggressively to artificial intelligence-linked stocks and renewed bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates again next year.

The benchmark index rose as much as 0.2% to 6,920.88 points, edging past its previous intraday high of 6,920.34 set on October 29. That earlier peak came during a powerful surge in heavyweight technology names, led by Nvidia, which helped lift the combined market value of the index above the $5 trillion mark for the first time.

Wednesday’s move underscores a revival in risk appetite following a turbulent November, when markets pulled back sharply on concerns over stretched valuations in big technology stocks and fears that enthusiasm around AI-linked companies had run too far, too fast. From its October high, the S&P 500 slid as much as 5.7% last month as investors reassessed positioning, even as Nvidia delivered upbeat third-quarter earnings that reinforced its dominance in the AI chip market.

Sentiment has since turned more constructive. A benign U.S. inflation report and a steady jobs print have reinforced expectations that the Fed is nearing the end of its tightening cycle, with markets increasingly pricing in further rate cuts in 2026. Lower borrowing costs tend to support equity valuations, particularly for growth stocks whose earnings are expected further into the future, helping to draw investors back into large-cap technology and AI names as the year-end approaches.

The renewed momentum in the AI trade gathered pace last week after Micron Technology issued a stronger-than-expected profit forecast, signaling sustained demand for memory chips used in data centers and AI applications. CEO Sanjay Mehrotra delivered the warning during the company’s latest earnings call, telling investors that tight conditions across memory markets are likely to persist for years rather than quarters.

“Sustained and strong industry demand, along with supply constraints, are contributing to tight market conditions and we expect these conditions to persist beyond calendar 2026,” Mehrotra said, tempering expectations that new capacity will quickly ease shortages.

The outlook helped lift sentiment across the semiconductor space, which remains a key pillar of the broader U.S. equity rally.

Market leadership, however, has broadened beyond technology alone. As tech stocks swung in recent weeks, investors also rotated into more cyclical sectors such as financials and materials, providing additional support for the S&P 500 and aiding its recovery from November’s slump. Financial stocks have benefited from resilient economic data and stable credit conditions, while materials have drawn support from expectations of improved industrial demand.

So far this year, U.S. equities have delivered strong gains. The S&P 500 is up more than 17% year to date, the tech-heavy Nasdaq has climbed over 21%, and the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average has advanced more than 13%. The performance gap highlights the continued dominance of technology and AI-linked stocks in driving market returns, even as other sectors have recently joined the rally.

With major indexes hovering near record levels, investor focus is shifting toward the sustainability of earnings growth and the path of monetary policy in the months ahead. For now, optimism around artificial intelligence, combined with expectations of easier financial conditions, is keeping U.S. stocks firmly supported as markets head into the final stretch of the year.