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Experts Cast Doubt on Space-Based AI Data Centers as Engineering and Economic Hurdles Mount

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The idea of moving artificial intelligence data centers into orbit has captured the imagination of investors and technology entrepreneurs seeking to overcome mounting constraints on Earth.

But aerospace engineers are warning that the concept remains far from practical, arguing that enormous technical, financial, and operational obstacles make space-based AI infrastructure one of the industry’s most ambitious and controversial proposals.

Demand for AI computing power has exploded over the past two years as companies race to build sophisticated foundation models. That surge has triggered an unprecedented wave of spending on data centers, with major technology companies committing hundreds of billions of dollars to new facilities worldwide.

The rapid expansion, however, is running into growing bottlenecks. Utilities are struggling to provide enough electricity for new AI campuses, aging power grids require costly upgrades, and local communities have become increasingly resistant to large-scale data center developments because of their heavy energy and water consumption.

Against that backdrop, several companies have begun promoting orbital data centers as a long-term solution. Among the most prominent is Starcloud, a startup backed by Y Combinator, which raised $170 million earlier this year to develop space-based data centers with support from SpaceX. The concept envisions massive satellites powered continuously by solar energy, eliminating dependence on terrestrial electricity grids while providing dedicated computing capacity for AI workloads.

Supporters believe that uninterrupted solar power in orbit could eventually offer a cleaner and potentially more scalable source of energy than increasingly constrained land-based infrastructure.

However, a detailed engineering critique released by Irish aeronautical engineer Brian McManus, creator of the YouTube channel Real Engineering, in collaboration with IEEE Spectrum, argues that the proposal dramatically understates the technological barriers involved.

McManus was particularly critical of Starcloud’s technical white paper, questioning both its engineering assumptions and the optimism surrounding the project.

“It really seems like anyone with some renders and a white paper written by someone being gassed up by an overly agreeable AI can get VC funding these days.”

He added, “Billionaires will attempt to pull the rug over your eyes and convince you that this technology makes total sense, but reality is, this technology is dumb.”

The criticism comes at a time when enthusiasm surrounding SpaceX remains exceptionally high following the company’s public listing, which significantly boosted its valuation. Investors now see AI infrastructure, including Elon Musk’s broader vision of orbital computing, as a potential long-term growth driver.

Yet aerospace specialists argue that building industrial-scale computing facilities in space would require breakthroughs across multiple engineering disciplines simultaneously.

One of the most immediate challenges is heat.

Modern AI processors generate enormous amounts of heat even inside conventional data centers, which rely on sophisticated liquid cooling systems, chillers and air-conditioning infrastructure to maintain stable operating temperatures. Cooling becomes significantly more complicated in space because there is no atmosphere to dissipate heat through convection. Instead, thermal energy must be radiated away, requiring extensive cooling systems and massive radiator surfaces.

According to McManus, the quantities involved would be extraordinary. Using conventional coolants such as glycol, each orbital facility would need to circulate more than 150,000 pounds of coolant every second.

He compared the required flow rates to industrial-scale infrastructure.

“Emptying an Olympic swimming pool in 40 seconds,” he said.

He noted that such volumes are typically associated only with gravity-fed hydroelectric dams.

Scale presents another major obstacle.

Starcloud’s proposed facilities would reportedly deliver five gigawatts of computing capacity, placing them among the largest computing installations ever conceived. To generate sufficient electricity, each spacecraft would require solar arrays covering approximately 1.6 square miles, nearly 5,000 times the surface area of the solar panels attached to the International Space Station.

The sheer size would translate into unprecedented launch requirements. McManus estimated that, even before accounting for coolant, pumps, fuel, shielding, structural components, and attitude-control systems, each station would exceed 113 million kilograms.

He described the scale in stark terms.

“More than an aircraft carrier sitting in orbit.”

He continued: “More than six times the total mass launched into space in history.”

Beyond construction, orbital operations introduce additional risks. The Earth’s orbital environment is becoming increasingly congested with satellites and debris. Millions of fragments, ranging from defunct satellites to tiny metal shards, already pose collision hazards.

Large solar arrays spanning square miles would present enormous targets. Even small debris traveling at orbital speeds could puncture cooling systems or damage power-generating panels, necessitating expensive repair missions.

The risks are already familiar to SpaceX.

The company disclosed that its Starlink satellite constellation performed approximately 300,000 collision-avoidance maneuvers during 2025 alone, illustrating the growing congestion in low-Earth orbit.

Radiation represents another challenge.

Unlike terrestrial data centers, computers operating in space are continuously exposed to high-energy particles capable of damaging semiconductor components or corrupting stored data.

McManus warned that these effects could be especially problematic for AI workloads.

“Ionizing particles passing through satellites will burn out a transistor or flip a bit of information stored inside.”

He added: “This would result in the mother of all AI hallucinations without a software constantly checking results.”

To address that risk, spaceborne computers typically perform redundant calculations and continuously compare outputs to detect corrupted data. Systems aboard the International Space Station already employ such techniques, but extending them to AI data centers operating at multi-gigawatt scale would add further complexity and computational overhead.

Maintenance also poses difficult economic questions.

AI chips generally remain commercially competitive for only two to four years before being replaced by newer generations. On Earth, operators can routinely swap processors during scheduled maintenance. In orbit, replacing millions of aging chips would require repeated launch campaigns and robotic servicing technologies that remain largely experimental.

McManus also questioned Starcloud’s financial assumptions.

He argued that the project’s projected launch costs and payload estimates appear overly optimistic given current launch economics and the unprecedented mass involved.

He concluded that Starcloud appears designed more to capitalize on investor enthusiasm surrounding artificial intelligence than to solve near-term infrastructure challenges.

“This is just one early rushed concept to fundraise and move on,” he said.

He added: “In the ever evolving world of tech, first movers are being heavily rewarded.”

While orbital data centers remain a compelling long-term concept for some technologists, experts say terrestrial power grids, advanced cooling systems, and more efficient semiconductor designs are likely to remain the industry’s primary focus for years before computing in space becomes technically or economically viable.

Microsoft Plans Another Round of Job Cuts Amid AI Transformation

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Microsoft is reportedly preparing for another round of job cuts, underscoring the profound changes reshaping the global technology industry.

The anticipated layoffs come as the company continues to invest heavily in artificial intelligence (AI), cloud computing, and next-generation digital infrastructure while seeking greater operational efficiency.

Microsoft remains one of the world’s most valuable and profitable technology companies, the planned workforce reductions reflect a broader trend among major tech firms that are adapting to changing economic conditions and evolving business priorities.

The technology sector has experienced significant fluctuations over the past few years. After expanding rapidly during the pandemic, many companies have reassessed their staffing levels in response to slower economic growth, changing customer demand, and rising operational costs.

Microsoft has already implemented several rounds of layoffs since 2023, affecting thousands of employees across various departments. These decisions have been part of a broader restructuring strategy aimed at aligning resources with the company’s long-term vision.

A key driver behind Microsoft’s restructuring efforts is its aggressive investment in artificial intelligence. The company has committed billions of dollars to expanding AI capabilities across its products and services, including its partnership with OpenAI.

AI-powered features are now integrated into products such as Windows, Microsoft 365, GitHub, Azure, and Dynamics 365, transforming how businesses and consumers interact with technology. Building the infrastructure required to support these innovations—including advanced data centers and specialized AI chips.

While layoffs are often viewed negatively, companies argue that workforce adjustments can help maintain competitiveness in rapidly changing markets.

Microsoft is expected to prioritize hiring in AI engineering, cybersecurity, cloud services, and data infrastructure while reducing positions in areas where automation, organizational restructuring, or shifting business priorities have reduced staffing needs.

This reflects an industry-wide movement toward specialized technical expertise capable of supporting AI-driven products and services. For employees, however, job cuts bring significant uncertainty. Beyond the immediate financial consequences, layoffs can affect morale, productivity, and confidence among remaining staff.

Many workers must quickly adapt by acquiring new skills that match the demands of an increasingly AI-focused labor market. As automation becomes more widespread, continuous learning and professional development are becoming essential for long-term career security.

Investors typically evaluate such restructuring differently. Cost-cutting measures often improve operating margins and demonstrate management’s commitment to efficiency, which can positively influence market sentiment.

At the same time, investors closely monitor whether companies can balance financial discipline with sustained innovation. Microsoft’s strong cloud business through Azure and its leadership in enterprise software continue to provide a solid foundation for future growth, even as it restructures parts of its workforce.

The broader implications extend beyond Microsoft itself. The technology industry is entering a new phase where AI investment is becoming a defining competitive advantage. Companies are increasingly reallocating capital from traditional business operations toward AI research, cloud infrastructure, and automation technologies.

This shift is likely to reshape employment patterns across the sector, creating new opportunities in emerging fields while reducing demand for certain traditional roles. Microsoft’s planned job cuts highlight the difficult balancing act facing modern technology companies.

While the organization seeks to position itself at the forefront of the AI revolution, it must also navigate the human impact of restructuring. The coming years will demonstrate whether these strategic decisions strengthen Microsoft’s long-term leadership while successfully adapting its workforce to the rapidly evolving digital economy.

OpenAI Acquires A Tekedia Capital Portfolio Firm

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I have mixed feelings about sharing that last month, OpenAI acquired one of our portfolio companies. Some members of the Tekedia Capital family are understandably disappointed, believing the transaction did not capture the company’s state of play. I agree. Nonetheless, I have encouraged everyone to focus on the bigger picture because we’re learning fast on people you back.

At Tekedia Capital, our mission is simple: invest in companies that can create meaningful value from the moment we write our cheques. But beyond identifying great opportunities, we also hope to partner with founders who are building enduring companies, not merely seeking the fastest exit possible.

Just as patient capital matters, executional patience matters as well. You build with the conviction that the true win lies in solving market frictions, creating lasting value, and transforming industries, not in cashing out the moment a large cheque appears.

Every outcome offers lessons, and every journey strengthens our conviction. To the Tekedia Capital family: better deals and even greater opportunities lie ahead. To OpenAI, appreciation that you can even discover something valuable in an enterprise we are involved in.

Bitcoin Faces Fresh Selling Pressure After Nine Straight Days of ETF Outflows

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Bitcoin’s institutional investment narrative faced renewed pressure as U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recorded approximately $230 million in net outflows, extending their losing streak to nine consecutive trading days.

At the same time, reports that the Winklevoss twins, founders of the Gemini cryptocurrency exchange, had sold a portion of their Bitcoin holdings added another layer of uncertainty to an already cautious market.

These developments have fueled speculation about investor sentiment and the short-term direction of the world’s largest cryptocurrency. The continued ETF outflows are particularly significant because spot Bitcoin ETFs have become one of the primary channels through which institutional and retail investors gain regulated exposure to Bitcoin.

Since their launch, these investment products have attracted billions of dollars, helping to legitimize digital assets in traditional financial markets. However, sustained withdrawals suggest that many investors are choosing to reduce risk amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty, fluctuating interest rate expectations, and increased market volatility.

Nine consecutive days of net outflows indicate more than just routine profit-taking. It reflects a period during which investors have consistently preferred to move capital away from Bitcoin-linked investment products rather than increase their exposure. While a single day of outflows may not be concerning, an extended streak often signals weakening short-term confidence.

This trend can also create additional selling pressure, as ETF issuers may need to sell underlying Bitcoin to meet redemption requests. Adding to market concerns are reports that the Winklevoss twins have sold Bitcoin.

As two of the earliest and most recognizable Bitcoin advocates, Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss have long been viewed as steadfast believers in the asset’s long-term value.

Their cryptocurrency exchange, Gemini, has played an important role in the industry’s development, and their personal investment decisions are closely monitored by market participants.

Insider sales should not automatically be interpreted as a loss of faith in Bitcoin. Large investors frequently rebalance portfolios, diversify holdings, or liquidate assets to fund business operations and new investments.

Without broader context regarding the size, timing, and purpose of the reported sale, it would be premature to conclude that the transaction reflects a bearish outlook on Bitcoin’s future. Even long-term supporters occasionally adjust their positions while maintaining confidence in an asset over the long run.

The combination of ETF outflows and high-profile Bitcoin sales nevertheless affects market psychology. Cryptocurrency markets are heavily influenced by sentiment, and negative headlines often amplify fear, uncertainty, and caution among traders.

This can lead to additional selling, increased volatility, and short-term price weakness, even when the underlying fundamentals remain unchanged. Bitcoin continues to enjoy growing institutional infrastructure, expanding global adoption, and increasing recognition as a legitimate alternative asset.

Major financial institutions remain involved in digital asset services, governments continue exploring crypto regulation, and blockchain innovation continues at a rapid pace.

Periods of market weakness have historically been common throughout Bitcoin’s history, with previous corrections often followed by renewed accumulation and long-term growth.

The latest $230 million in ETF outflows and the reported Bitcoin sale by the Winklevoss twins represent important developments, but they should be viewed within the broader context of an evolving market. While these events may weigh on short-term sentiment, Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory will continue to depend on institutional adoption, macroeconomic conditions, regulatory clarity, technological progress, and investor confidence.

For both supporters and skeptics, the coming weeks will provide valuable insight into whether the current wave of selling marks a temporary pause or the beginning of a more prolonged market correction.

Global Manufacturing Shows Resilience as AI Demand Cushions Asia While Europe Navigates Energy Shock, PMIs Show

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Manufacturing activity across major economies demonstrated notable resilience last month, with Europe recording its strongest quarter since early 2022 and Asian producers receiving a significant lift from the ongoing artificial intelligence investment boom, according to business surveys released on Wednesday.

The data offered some reassurance amid the lingering effects of the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran, though persistent cost pressures and supply chain strains highlighted the challenges still facing industrial sectors worldwide. While energy costs tied to the Middle East disruptions have eased somewhat, analysts caution that the full impact on global supply chains may not yet be fully reflected in the latest figures.

S&P Global noted that most survey responses were collected before the signing of a memorandum of understanding for a ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran on June 17, meaning the complete effects on supply chains and energy prices are still working their way through the system.

Inflation in the euro zone came in lower than expected at 2.8% last month, though it remained well above the European Central Bank’s 2.0% target, according to official data.

“The inflation rate in the euro zone fell noticeably in June,” said Ralph Solveen at Commerzbank. “A key reason is that oil prices fell significantly over the past month due to the partial reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.”

The ECB had raised interest rates on June 11 in response to a war-related energy cost surge that had pushed inflation above 3%. The S&P Global Eurozone Manufacturing PMI slipped to a four-month low of 51.4 in June from 51.6 in May, but remained above the 50.0 threshold separating growth from contraction for a fifth consecutive month. The reading was slightly above a preliminary estimate of 51.3. German factory activity expanded modestly, while France’s grew slightly faster than initially forecast. In Britain, manufacturing cooled despite a boost to output from stockpiling ahead of anticipated price increases.

AI Boom Provides Critical Support for Asian Producers

The surveys underscored how the global AI investment wave is reshaping economic fortunes across Asia. Strong demand for chips, data-center equipment, and other technology goods has provided a powerful engine for growth, acting as a buffer against mounting geopolitical and trade risks.

China, Japan, and South Korea all saw factory activity expand in June on solid demand for chips, computers, and other AI-related products, along with stockpiling by firms seeking to guard against shortages and price rises linked to the Middle East conflict.

RatingDog’s General Manufacturing China PMI hit 51.7 in June, marking expansion for a seventh straight month. It eased slightly from May’s 51.8 but exceeded analysts’ forecast of 51.6. The reading aligned with an official survey on Tuesday, showing factory activity returning to expansion on robust export orders.

Japan’s PMI rose to 54.8 from 54.5, expanding for a sixth consecutive month with new orders growing at their fastest pace in more than two years. However, input cost inflation remained at a nearly four-year high, signaling mounting price pressures that could crimp corporate margins and contribute to broader inflation.

South Korea’s factory activity expanded for a seventh consecutive month, though at a slower pace due to falling export demand.

“Firms frequently reported that rising raw material prices, alongside difficulties sourcing and receiving inputs due to delays and shortages, weighed on sector performance,” said Usamah Bhatti, economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence.

Factory activity in most other Asian emerging economies also continued to expand. The Philippines held steady at 50.9 from 50.8, while Malaysia rose to 50.7 from 49.9. Taiwan and Vietnam also recorded expansion.

A separate survey showed India’s manufacturing sector expanded at its second-slowest pace in four years as export orders suffered from softer demand in Europe.

Across both regions, cost pressures moderated somewhat but stayed elevated. Supply shortages and shipping delays continued to lengthen lead times, suggesting the energy shock from the Middle East conflict could still intensify in the coming months.

The data provides a mixed picture for policymakers. In Europe, the modest manufacturing expansion offers some relief as the ECB grapples with above-target inflation. In Asia, the AI-driven strength highlights the region’s growing role in global technology supply chains and its relative resilience to geopolitical disruptions.

For businesses, the surveys point to an environment where demand for technology-related goods remains robust, but input costs and supply chain frictions require careful management. Companies in AI-adjacent sectors appear better positioned to weather current challenges, while those more exposed to traditional manufacturing and energy costs face greater headwinds.