The world is now broken into three: the West, China/Russia and the Un-allied. Today, according to CNN, “Chinese and Russian bombers jointly flew around Japan, Japanese Defense Minister Nobuo Kishi told reporters Tuesday, adding that the country’s Air Self Defense Force had to scramble its fighter jets and conducted surveillance…China’s Ministry of Defense confirmed that China and Russia’s air forces conducted joint strategic air patrols over the Sea of Japan, the East China Sea and the Western Pacific Ocean on Tuesday”.
This is a turning point and what that means is that everyone is affected. People, Russia and China are forming their own version of NATO and they have become bold to make that known. President Joe Biden’s statement that the US will go to war to defend Taiwan means China has to shift on many things. It is no more hypothetical: the US will fight for Taiwan and because China truly wants to bring Taiwan home, alliances must be formed!
If the US goes to war, NATO follows. China sees a shift here; it needs an ally. For all nations in the world, only about 6 make useful military gear: – US, UK, “EU”, Japan, China, and Russia. The first four are entwined and the last two are coming together.
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If US/NATO wins in Ukraine and pushes Russia and China together, I am not sure that will be super-great for Europe. For all its recent shortcomings, Russia remaining aligned with Europe is better for the region, compared to having a strong Chinese military ally within Europe.
The Un-allied include Africa, Arab world and Latin America. They are in very complicated positions here: if you annoy US/NATO, they will stop selling you weapons. And if you annoy Russia, the same fate comes.
So, Africa, for example, is going back to Dr. Kwame Nkrumah theory: no west, no east, just forward. In other words, Africa must not fight US “wars”, or “Russia ”wars”, but focus on moving forward as a continent – and that means America’s or Russia’s interests must not automatically become Africa’s interests. That is the current playbook in the continent.
If the state of the world now is not managed well, the world will break economically. I do not expect any military conflict at a global level but I expect a severe economic paralysis.
Many bad things could happen…I am concerned.
Japan scrambled jets after Russian and Chinese warplanes neared its airspace on Tuesday, when Tokyo was hosting the leaders of the Quad grouping of countries that includes the United States, Defence Minister Nobuo Kishi said.
Tokyo conveyed “grave concerns” to both Russia and China through diplomatic channels, Kishi said at a news conference that was broadcast online.
He characterised the incident as a likely provocation by both Beijing and Moscow on a day when U.S. President Joe Biden, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Australia’s newly elected leader, Anthony Albanese, were meeting in Tokyo.
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Africa is the the Mother of all continents, so she does not need to take sides, rather she welcomes all the warring parties, because a mother cannot take sides.
Africa’s pressing interest is to make all her children believe in her motherhood, making them understand that there’s no other continent endowed as much as hers, so she will also be a symbol of peace and love, for all humans.
The headquarters of the United Nations ought to be in Africa, it’s the only continent that has everything to remain militarily neutral, doing business with all nations, because all are her children and friends.
This continent doesn’t need unnecessary distractions, if those flexing their muscles end up making some places uninhabitable, at least the refugees can be welcomed into Africa, where nature and human are destined to live in perfect harmony.
If there is any modicum of sanity still left in our world, that hope rests in Africa, so she must be preserved from the eternal corruption engulfing the world, she cannot be violated; all nations shall look towards Africa whenever they wish to restore their dignity.
God bless Mother Africa.
Francis has gone to Rome and became a priest