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FG Nexus Ethereum DAT Sells 20% of ETH Holdings, as Kalshi Faces $650M Market Liquidation Risk

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FG Nexus Inc, a publicly traded Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) firm focused on Ethereum holdings and real-world asset (RWA) tokenization, announced the sale of approximately 10,922 ETH from its treasury.

This transaction, valued at around $31–33 million based on ETH prices near $2,850–$3,000 at the time, represented roughly 21% of its pre-sale ETH holdings approximately 50,927 ETH. The proceeds, combined with $10 million in borrowed funds, were used to repurchase 3.4 million shares—about 8% of its outstanding float—at an average price of $3.94 per share.

This move aims to address the firm’s market-to-net asset value (mNAV) trading below 1.0, where its stock price $2.41 as of November 20 close undervalues its underlying assets. As of November 19, 2025 pre-close of the announcement day.

DATs are publicly traded companies mostly NASDAQ/OTC whose primary business is to hold large amounts of a single cryptocurrency almost always Bitcoin or Ethereum as their core treasury asset, similar to how MicroStrategy holds BTC.

They raise capital by issuing equity or convertible debt, buy the crypto, and then hold or lightly stake it. Shareholders get leveraged exposure to the crypto price without directly owning the coin.

FG Nexus’s stock has plummeted ~37% in the past month and >85% over six months, down from a $40 peak in August 2025. This sale is part of an ongoing buyback program launched in October, targeting undervaluation to boost per-share NAV.

CEO Kyle Cerminara stated the firm will “continue buying back shares while our stock trades below NAV,” creating an “asymptotic effect” on valuation as shares decline and NAV per share rises. The company also stakes portions of its ETH for yield and issues SEC-registered shares on Ethereum via Securitize for on-chain trading.

The sale contributed to ETH dipping below $2,850 support on November 20, down 6% intraday amid broader crypto market weakness. On-chain data shows spot exchange ETH balances at historic lows 6.5 million ETH, but sales from DATs like FG Nexus highlight liquidity risks for treasury firms.

FG Nexus is the second major ETH treasury to sell assets for buybacks this month, following similar moves by peers like SharpLink Gaming. Earlier in 2025, firms accumulated aggressively via $5B shelf offerings, but plunging stocks have reversed some strategies.

Venture capital views this as unlikely to become widespread, but it raises questions about long-term holding commitments. Recent discussions emphasize the ~21% dump as a bearish signal for ETH, with users noting “DATs are selling” and speculating on buyers like ETFs or whales. “FG Nexus dumped 21% of their $ETH. DATs are selling. Guess who’s buying? ”

This development underscores volatility in the DAT sector, where ETH’s price crash below $3,000 has amplified pressures. While buybacks aim to unlock value for shareholders, they signal potential consolidation or shifts away from pure accumulation plays.

Most DATs trade at a discount to their Net Asset Value (NAV) — sometimes 30-70% below the actual value of their crypto holdings. Example: Company holds 50,000 ETH worth $150 million. Market cap = only $80 million ? trades at 0.53× NAV. This persistent discount is the central “game” that DAT management tries to solve.

Direct Crypto Sale ? Share Buyback; FG Nexus style; Sell a portion of ETH/BTC treasury on the open market ? use USD proceeds to repurchase and retire own shares. Instantly narrows or eliminates NAV discount; very visible accretion to remaining shareholders.

Direct selling pressure on the crypto price; reduces treasury size; signals “we don’t believe ETH will moon soon”. Issue low-interest convertible notes or fixed-income bonds (often 0–1% coupon) ? use proceeds to (a) buy more BTC/ETH and (b) repurchase shares.

Adds leverage; if crypto rises, huge upside. Buybacks still close discount | Massive dilution risk if conversion price is hit; interest burden if crypto crashes.

ATM Equity Offerings + Immediate Crypto Purchase + Buyback Later; Sell new shares via At-The-Market (ATM) facility when trading above NAV ? buy crypto ? when discount re-appears, use cash or sell tiny crypto slices for buybacks. Opportunistic; only raises capital when premium exists.

Very hard to execute because premium windows are rare and brief. Stake ETH or wrapped BTC on platforms ? use 3–6% annual yield in ETH to either (a) sell yield for USD buybacks or (b) compound ETH and claim “we never sell principal.” Looks more “HODL-friendly”; no principal sale.

Yield is small a few million $ per year for mid-sized DATs; slow impact. Sell 5–25% of holdings in tranches most common 2025 version. Pre-announce or quietly sell 5–25% of treasury over weeks/months via OTC or exchanges ? run aggressive buyback while discount <0.7×.

Balances “keep most of the upside” with aggressive discount closure | Still creates selling pressure; community often angry. FG offering to buy back 10–30% of shares at a fixed price slightly above market but still below NAV. Very powerful one-time accretion; cleans up float.

After selling 20% ETH & buying back 20% of shares. Same ETH per share, but far fewer shares ? remaining holders own same crypto exposure for much higher stock price. Bitcoin DATs (MSTR, Metaplanet, Semler Scientific) ? still mostly accumulate or use debt; very few outright sales.

Ethereum DATs (FG Nexus, SharpLink, Nine Realms) ? much more aggressive selling + buybacks because ETH underperformed BTC in 2025 and their discounts reached 60-80%. BTC maxis cheer MicroStrategy debt model; ETH community often calls selling DATs “traitors” or “fake accumulation.”

When a DAT trades at a deep discount, management faces intense pressure to either (1) sell some crypto and buy back shares or (2) issue cheap debt and double down. The first strategy closes the discount fastest but damages the “crypto treasury” narrative; the second keeps the narrative but adds leverage risk. Most 2025 Ethereum DATs have chosen door #1.

Kalshi Faces $650M Market Liquidation Risk Pending Massachusetts Court Ruling

Kalshi, a federally regulated prediction market platform designated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), allows users to trade “event contracts” on outcomes like sports results.

These are binary options—essentially yes/no bets structured as financial derivatives—offered nationwide without state-specific gambling licenses.

However, Massachusetts Attorney General Andrea Joy Campbell views them as unlicensed sports wagering, violating state laws that require operators to obtain a gaming license from the Massachusetts Gaming Commission.

This has led to ongoing litigation, with a critical hearing scheduled for December 9, 2025, in Suffolk County Superior Court. Kalshi argues federal law the Commodity Exchange Act preempts state gambling regulations, positioning its platform as a financial exchange rather than a sportsbook.

Massachusetts counters that Kalshi’s contracts mimic sports betting comparing them to FanDuel and expose users to addiction risks without state-mandated protections like age verification, funding caps, or taxes.

The $650 Million Liquidation Risk

In a November 19, 2025, court filing, Kalshi warned that if the court grants the state’s preliminary injunction request, it would be forced to immediately halt trading on Massachusetts-based contracts.

This could trigger the liquidation of approximately $650 million in open derivative positions—not just from Massachusetts users, but nationwide, as markets are interconnected.

Kalshi’s VP of Markets, Xavier Sottile, described this as creating a “false signal” to the market, disrupting users’ positions and potentially causing widespread havoc for traders across the U.S.A forced pause would: Prevent new trades on sports events involving Massachusetts residents.

Require unwinding existing contracts at current values, leading to immediate gains/losses for holders. Impact integrated platforms like Robinhood, which intermediates Kalshi trades and has separately sued to block enforcement.

Kalshi estimates this as a “disastrous” outcome, emphasizing that prediction markets are a “critical innovation” for hedging risks, not gambling. The state, however, prioritizes public health, citing harms like compulsive gambling and financial losses.

This isn’t isolated—Kalshi faces similar challenges in over a dozen states:Wins: Preliminary injunctions in Nevada and New Jersey federal courts, blocking state enforcement. Denied in Maryland; Nevada judge is reconsidering its injunction; cease-and-desist letters from Arizona, Illinois, and Montana.

Kalshi is appealing a CFTC denial of sports contracts to the Third Circuit. A parallel Robinhood federal suit in Massachusetts was dismissed on November 13, 2025, sending the case to state court— non-appealable, heightening risks.

Experts predict escalation to the U.S. Supreme Court, especially as competitors like DraftKings, FanDuel, Polymarket, and ProphetX eye similar products. The President Donald Trump administration may favor deregulation, given ties to prediction markets.

AG suit claims unlicensed wagering; $650M risk if halted. Injunction granted, but reversal likely. Judge leaning against Kalshi post-reconsideration.

The December 9, 2025 upcoming ruling could set a precedent: approval of the injunction forces Kalshi’s hand on liquidations, while denial reinforces federal oversight. Kalshi vows to “defend [its] innovations in court,” but a loss might prompt appeals or operational pauses.

For Kalshi users, monitor open positions closely whereby abrupt changes could affect portfolios. This case highlights the tension between innovation in financial tools and state control over gambling, with billions in market value at stake industry-wide.

UK Launches Major Crypto Fraud Probe with Arrests Tied to $28M Basis Markets Collapse

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The Serious Fraud Office (SFO), the country’s primary agency for investigating serious financial crimes, has described this as its first major investigation into crypto-related fraud. Here’s a breakdown of what happened, based on official statements and reporting.

Two men—one in his 40s and the other in his 30s—were detained on suspicion of fraud and money laundering. Their identities haven’t been publicly disclosed, but one may be linked to Adam Cobb-Webb, a 48-year-old UK national previously fined $150,000 by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in 2023 for market manipulation in oil futures.

Coordinated raids occurred on November 20 in Herne Hill south London and Bradford West Yorkshire. The men were released on bail pending further inquiries. The probe stems from the 2022 collapse of Basis Markets, a project that raised approximately $28 million from investors in late 2021 but allegedly diverted funds to personal wallets without delivering any product.

Basis Markets pitched itself as a “decentralized hedge fund” offering “delta-neutral” yields through sophisticated arbitrage basis trades—strategies typically reserved for institutional investors. The team claimed over 80 years of combined experience in traditional finance, software, and crypto.

Despite assurances of locked team allocations and a project treasury, investigators found funds were funneled directly to founders’ personal wallets. No platform was built, and the project shut down months later without refunds.

Pitch materials hyped unrealistic returns, like a single NFT earning up to $18,000 monthly by year three later revised down but still inflated. Founders reportedly flaunted luxury purchases like watches in their Discord community.

This fits the pattern of “rug pulls” from the 2021 crypto boom, where hype around NFTs and DeFi lured retail investors into unaccountable schemes. The SFO is urging victims and whistleblowers to come forward, signaling this could be the start of a wave of prosecutions.

It reflects a national strategy to tackle digital asset crimes, especially as the UK pushes for crypto regulation via the Financial Services and Markets Act 2023. Blockchain forensics and NFT traceability were key to tracing funds.

Similar probes are underway elsewhere—e.g., the U.S. SEC’s actions against high-profile rug pulls. This case highlights ongoing risks in crypto, even years later, and may deter future fraud by emphasizing accountability.

The investigation is ongoing, with potential for more arrests. The SFO is analyzing blockchain transactions from the sales. A basis trade is a low-risk arbitrage strategy that exploits small price differences (“basis”) between two closely related assets.

In traditional finance, the most famous version is the cash-and-carry trade in futures markets (e.g., Treasury futures vs. actual bonds, or Bitcoin futures vs. spot Bitcoin). In crypto, the basis trade almost always refers to: Long spot Bitcoin or ETH + Short perpetual futures or quarterly futures at a higher price

You lock in the difference (the “basis”) as nearly risk-free profit. Immediately short the same amount of BTC on a perpetual futures exchange using cross-margin or stablecoin-margin. You are now delta-neutral no net directional exposure. Collect funding rate payments from the short perpetual position. This is the key profit source.

Hold the position until the basis shrinks or you decide to unwind. Profit = cumulative funding received minus borrowing costs and fees. Unlike traditional markets, crypto perpetual futures almost always trade at a premium to spot because:Most retail traders are long-only and leveraged ? they pay funding to shorts.

Funding rates can stay positive for months or even years especially in bull markets. Example historical rates: 2021 bull market: often 0.05–0.30% per 8 hours ?18–100% annualized. 2024–2025 bull market: frequently 0.01–0.10% per 8 hours ?10–80% annualized on good days.

When funding is positive ? shorts get paid by longs ? basis traders (who are short) earn steady yield.Simplified Profit & Loss Example (2025 numbers)You run a $1 million basis trade when funding is 0.05% every 8 hours

In late 2024 and early 2025, large hedge funds like Millennium, Balyasny, Exodus, etc. reportedly made hundreds of millions doing exactly this trade.  Risks Funding rate flips negative ? You start paying instead of receiving happened briefly in crashes. Exchange insolvency or forced liquidation.

Margin calls if you over-leverage the short leg. Opportunity cost — your capital is tied up earning 20–40% instead of going 5× long in a bull run. The fraudulent project Basis Markets  promised investors they were running sophisticated basis trades and other delta-neutral strategies with decades of TradFi experience.

In reality, they allegedly just took the money and never executed any trades — classic rug pull dressed up in impressive-sounding hedge-fund jargon. The crypto basis trade = buy spot Bitcoin, short the same amount in perpetual futures, collect funding payments from leveraged longs.

It’s one of the closest things crypto has to a “risk-free” trade, which is why real hedge funds love it — and why scammers love name-dropping it.

Congrats Eloquent AI, And Welcome to Tekedia Capital

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Tekedia Capital congratulates our portfolio startup, Eloquent AI, for winning the Money 20/20 Award for Novel Technologies.

This prestigious award honors the boldest innovators shaping the future of money and the global financial ecosystem. Winners were selected from hundreds of worldwide entries by an independent jury of more than 40 leading fintech experts.

At Tekedia Capital, we have always believed that Eloquent AI is building the most amazing Financial AI Operator in this emerging era of AI. Their recognition on the world stage affirms that belief.

Eloquent AI, win the future.

BlackRock Moves Toward a Staked Ethereum ETF

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BlackRock filed a Delaware name registration for the iShares Staked Ethereum Trust ETF, marking an early but significant step in launching a new exchange-traded fund (ETF) focused on staked Ethereum (ETH).

This filing, handled by Daniel Schweiger—a BlackRock managing director who previously registered the firm’s iShares Ethereum Trust (ETHA) in late 2023—signals preparation for a formal Securities Act of 1933 (Form S-1) submission to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas noted that a full filing is “coming soon.” Unlike BlackRock’s existing ETHA ETF launched in July 2024 with over $11.5 billion in assets, this new product would allow investors to earn staking rewards—typically 3-5% annually—on top of ETH price exposure. Staking involves locking ETH to secure the Ethereum network and validate transactions.

Delaware Registration Process: Such filings are a standard preliminary action for new ETFs, creating a statutory trust entity. They often precede SEC applications by weeks or months and have reliably predicted launches for crypto products like spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs.

This comes amid evolving SEC rules. Nasdaq submitted a 19b-4 filing in July 2025 to add staking to ETHA, but recent changes eliminated the need for product-specific 19b-4 approvals under new generic listing standards for crypto ETPs. BlackRock’s Head of Digital Assets, Robert Mitchnick, has called ETH ETF staking “the next phase” of development.

BlackRock is joining a wave of issuers racing to offer staked ETH products. This competition could drive more institutional inflows into Ethereum, building on the $13+ billion BlackRock has already attracted to ETHA.

ETH prices hovered around $2,800, up slightly amid broader market optimism, though no immediate surge tied directly to this filing. Investors should watch for the S-1 filing, expected imminently, and SEC feedback on staking mechanics.

Nvidia’s Q3 Earnings Ignite Rally in Bitcoin Mining Stocks

Nvidia’s fiscal Q3 2026 earnings, released after market close, delivered a resounding beat on both revenue and earnings per share, while guidance for Q4 exceeded analyst expectations.

This performance alleviated mounting concerns over an “AI bubble” and sparked a broad tech rebound, with Nvidia’s own shares surging 2.85% to $184.66 in after-hours trading. The ripple effects extended to bitcoin mining companies increasingly pivoting to AI and high-performance computing (HPC) infrastructure, as their power-secured data centers align perfectly with surging demand for GPU-heavy AI workloads.

$57.01 billion up 62% YoY, beating estimates of $54.92–$55.19 billion. EPS: $1.30 adjusted vs. $1.25–$1.26 expected. Q4 Guidance: $65 billion in sales vs. $61.66 billion forecast, driven by data center revenue hitting a record $51 billion up 66% YoY.

Jensen Huang dismissed AI bubble fears, emphasizing “AI is going everywhere, doing everything, all at once.” CFO Colette Kress noted the company is on track for $500 billion in AI chip orders through 2025–2026, with potential for more.

The results boosted bitcoin prices from sub-$89,000 to around $91,000, while miners’ stocks—many now retrofitting facilities for Nvidia H100/Blackwell GPUs—saw sharp after-hours gains. This reflects their strategic shift: bitcoin mining’s energy-intensive infrastructure is being repurposed for AI hosting, with deals like IREN’s $9.7 billion Microsoft contract and Cipher’s $5.5 billion AWS pact underscoring the trend.

After-Hours Stock Performance

Bitcoin miners led the charge, acting as “leveraged beta” plays on Nvidia’s dominance amid power constraints for AI data centers. Here’s a snapshot of key movers after-hours/pre-market as of November 20, 2025.

Up >10x YTD (+215%); AI hosting deal with AWS/Fluidstack. Up >10x YTD (+367%); $9.7B Microsoft AI cloud deal for GB300 GPUs. Multi-year AI leases; 360 MW capacity. Focused on efficient, renewable-powered ops.

These gains followed a brutal selloff last week, where the sector shed billions amid AI skepticism and debt concerns like IREN -35%, CIFR -30%. Nvidia’s beat has restored momentum, with analysts viewing miners as undervalued AI enablers—faster to scale than building new power plants.

Miners like IREN and Cipher control vast, low-cost power assets ideal for Nvidia’s power-hungry chips. They’ve paused BTC expansion to prioritize AI, with IREN’s AI cloud revenue up 33% QoQ in Q3 2025. AI infrastructure spend could hit $3–4 trillion annually by decade’s end; miners offer “plug-and-play” capacity to hyperscalers like Microsoft and Google.

High debt loads and volatility remain. Earnings volatility from BTC prices could pressure pure miners, but AI deals provide revenue stability. This rally validates the hybrid model: bitcoin as a hedge, AI as the growth engine.

With Nvidia signaling sustained demand, these stocks could extend gains if Q4 delivers—watch for updates on GPU deployments and hyperscaler contracts.

Michael Selig Faces Probing Questions from US Senate Agriculture Committee

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Michael Selig, President Donald Trump’s nominee to chair the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), faced probing questions from the Senate Agriculture Committee during his confirmation hearing.

The session highlighted tensions around the agency’s role in regulating the burgeoning crypto market, especially as Congress advances major legislation to expand CFTC oversight.

Selig, currently chief counsel for the SEC’s crypto task force and a senior advisor to SEC Chair Paul Atkins, emphasized a balanced, innovation-friendly approach to digital assets while avoiding firm commitments on key concerns like funding and bipartisanship.

The hearing comes at a critical juncture: The CFTC, with its 543 full-time staff compared to the SEC’s 4,200, is poised to gain primary authority over crypto spot markets under pending bills. Lawmakers expressed bipartisan support for clearer rules but voiced worries about the agency’s capacity and independence from executive influence.

Lawmakers focused on three main areas: agency independence, resource needs for crypto oversight, and preventing future crises like the 2022 FTX collapse. Sen. Elissa Slotkin (D-MI) warned that operating as the sole commissioner could make Selig “vulnerable to the pressure of the president,” urging commitments to bipartisan appointments.

She tied this to broader Trump administration efforts to remove Democrats from independent agencies, which is under Supreme Court review. Selig acknowledged valuing diverse viewpoints but deferred to the president on nominations, stating he would “honor such decisions.”

He avoided endorsing a specific number of Democratic commissioners. Sen. John Boozman (R-AR), the committee chair, pressed on regulating decentralized finance (DeFi) and spot trading for assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum. He advocated for “the CFTC, and only the CFTC” to handle digital commodities. Others asked about overhauling crypto rules and election betting markets.

Selig called crypto a “critical mission” for the CFTC, supporting a “cop on the beat” for investor protection in on-chain markets and DeFi. He advocated for frameworks that foster software developers and exchanges with proper disclosures, warning that unclear rules could drive firms overseas. He cautioned against an “enforcement-only approach.”

Funding and Resources

Multiple senators, including Democrats, repeatedly asked if the CFTC needs more funding to oversee the $4 trillion crypto market, especially with pending bills like the CLARITY Act. The draft bill proposes $150 million initially, shifting to fees later.

Selig declined to commit, calling it “premature” and saying he’d assess needs upon confirmation. He noted the agency’s recent staff reductions down ~20% but focused on internal efficiencies, like bolstering enforcement with specialized prosecutors.

Selig also addressed preventing another FTX-like scandal, stressing robust controls for exchanges and intermediaries. The hearing aligns with accelerating legislative efforts.

CLARITY Act: Would grant the CFTC exclusive jurisdiction over spot digital commodity trading (e.g., Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin), requiring exchanges to register. It includes DeFi provisions targeting intermediaries rather than open-source code. The Senate Agriculture Committee is set to consider it soon, with optimism for passage before year-end despite a partial government shutdown.

Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (House-passed): Approved in July 2025 (294-137 bipartisan vote), it clarifies SEC vs. CFTC roles, covers stablecoins, custody, and DeFi. Senate reconciliation is ongoing. These bills stem from years of regulatory ambiguity, with the CFTC already handling crypto derivatives but seeking spot market authority.

If confirmed, Selig would replace Acting Chair Caroline Pham who plans to depart immediately, initially as the sole commissioner on the five-member panel. The committee scheduled a vote on his nomination for November 20, 2025, potentially fast-tracking him to the full Senate.

Crypto advocates, including The Digital Chamber’s CEO Cody Carbone, welcomed Selig’s nomination as “exciting” and pro-innovation. On X (formerly Twitter), reactions were positive but cautious. Posts highlighted Selig’s SEC experience and potential for “unified digital-asset oversight.”

Industry figures like David Sacks— White House AI/crypto czar praised him for modernizing regulation to keep the U.S. competitive. Some noted his pro-crypto stance could accelerate rulemaking on tokens and stablecoins.

Bitcoin and Ethereum saw modest gains post-hearing (~2-3%), reflecting optimism for regulatory clarity. However, critics worry about underfunding and politicization, with Democrats pushing for safeguards in the bills.

This development underscores Trump’s push to make the U.S. the “Crypto Capital of the World,” as Selig himself posted on X upon nomination. Confirmation could reshape crypto’s regulatory landscape by early 2026.