DD
MM
YYYY

PAGES

DD
MM
YYYY

spot_img

PAGES

Home Blog Page 15

Nigeria’s Commercial Paper Market Surges Past N753bn As Reforms, Investor Appetite Reshape Capital Flows

0

Nigeria’s capital market recorded more than N753 billion in commercial paper (CP) issuances between April and October 2025, underlining the growing importance of short-term debt instruments in corporate financing.

This also signals renewed investor confidence in the country’s regulatory and macroeconomic direction.

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which disclosed the figures, said the strong issuance activity reflected deepening liquidity in the market, sustained demand from investors, and the impact of reforms aimed at strengthening market transparency and efficiency.

In a statement released on Sunday, December 28, SEC Director-General Emomotimi Agama described the commercial paper segment as one of the most active areas of the capital market during the period, providing critical funding support to companies across key sectors of the economy.

According to Agama, firms in manufacturing, agriculture, energy, and other strategic industries tapped the CP market extensively to meet short-term working capital needs, as tighter bank credit conditions and elevated interest rates pushed corporates to seek alternative funding channels.

“Commercial paper issuance remained vibrant, with over N753 billion raised to support short-term funding needs across diverse sectors,” he said, adding that the scale and frequency of the issuances point to growing sophistication among both issuers and investors.

Beyond commercial paper, the SEC said the broader debt market also recorded landmark transactions that highlighted investors’ increasing willingness to back longer-dated and thematic instruments. Agama cited the N500 billion Climate Funding Special Purpose Vehicle and the N200 billion Elektron Finance bond issuance as examples of deals that underscore rising interest in infrastructure-linked and sustainable finance products.

“These figures are not just numbers; they represent confidence in our regulatory framework and the resilience of our market architecture,” the SEC chief said, noting that the transactions reflect a shift toward more diversified capital-raising structures.

Agama explained that the strong CP performance formed part of a wider set of capital-raising activities approved by the Commission across debt, equity, and hybrid instruments between April and October. He said the market showed “remarkable depth and adaptability” during the period, reinforcing its role as a key channel for mobilizing funds to support economic expansion.

The SEC also pointed to supportive macroeconomic developments that helped shore up investor sentiment. Nigeria’s recent sovereign credit rating upgrade and its removal from the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) grey list were cited as major confidence boosters, particularly for foreign portfolio investors who have historically been cautious about regulatory and compliance risks.

“These achievements signal renewed confidence in our economy,” Agama said. “They will attract greater investment and enhance capital inflows.”

On monetary conditions, the SEC boss said easing inflationary pressures has created room for innovation across capital market products, while urging market participants to move decisively from policy discussions to practical execution.

“The time for passive observation is over. Our collective responsibility is to activate opportunities and position the market as an engine of inclusive growth,” he said.

Agama also addressed recent volatility in the equities market. In November, the Nigerian Exchange lost about N6.54 trillion in market capitalization, a sharp downturn he attributed to profit-taking ahead of the proposed 30% capital gains tax, weak sentiment around banking stocks, and broader global uncertainties. He said the market has since staged a rebound, helped by policy assurances and renewed investor confidence.

A key structural reform highlighted by the SEC is the migration of the equities settlement cycle from T+3 to T+2, a change Agama described as a landmark step that has improved liquidity and reduced counterparty risk. He said plans are already in motion to move to T+1 and, ultimately, same-day settlement under a T+0 framework.

Commercial paper, which is a short-term unsecured debt instrument typically issued for maturities of 270 days or less, has become increasingly attractive to both issuers and investors. For companies, it offers faster access to funding at competitive rates, while investors benefit from relatively high yields in a regulated environment.

The strong CP issuance comes as Nigeria’s capital market closes 2025 at a historic high. Total market capitalization stood at N149.88 trillion as of December 24, just shy of the N150 trillion mark for the first time. The growth has been driven by robust performance across equities, bonds, and exchange-traded products, supported by regulatory reforms, high domestic investor participation, and solid corporate actions.

Equities accounted for N97.89 trillion, or about 65% of total market value, while bonds contributed N51.55 trillion and ETPs added N43.20 billion. The NGX All-Share Index delivered a 49.17% year-to-date gain, placing the Nigerian Exchange among Africa’s top-performing bourses in 2025. Market turnover more than doubled over the year, driven largely by domestic retail and institutional investors seeking higher returns in a tight monetary environment.

Taken together, the SEC said the surge in commercial paper issuance, major debt deals, improving macroeconomic indicators, and ongoing market infrastructure reforms are strengthening Nigeria’s positioning as one of Africa’s most attractive investment destinations, with the capital market playing an increasingly central role in financing growth.

Air Peace CEO Warns Nigeria’s New Tax Regime Could Push Domestic Airfares Above N1 Million

0

The Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Air Peace, Allen Onyema, has warned that domestic economy airfares in Nigeria could surge beyond N1 million from 2026, as airlines brace for the implementation of new tax reform laws that he says threaten the survival of the local aviation industry.

Speaking on The Morning Show on Arise News on Sunday, Onyema linked the potential fare spike directly to provisions in the tax reform package scheduled to take effect in January 2026. According to him, the reforms roll back key incentives introduced under the 2020 Finance Act, incentives that had offered airlines temporary relief in an already high-cost operating environment.

At the core of Onyema’s concern is the reintroduction of Value Added Tax on aircraft, spare parts, and air tickets. These items had been exempted under the 2020 Finance Act as part of efforts to stabilize Nigeria’s aviation sector, which has struggled for years with high costs, limited access to credit, and persistent foreign exchange pressures.

Onyema explained that the implications are severe. An aircraft imported at a value of around $80 million would immediately attract 7.5% VAT under the new rules, translating into billions of naira in additional costs at today’s exchange rates. He said airlines would have little choice but to pass those costs on to passengers.

“By the time you bring these things in, at the end of the day, the cost of operation will be huge,” Onyema said during the interview. “Your ticket fares will hit N1. something million soon.”

He added that Nigerian airlines lack the financial buffers to absorb new taxes, noting that borrowing costs in the country can reach as high as 35%. In his words, expecting airlines to take on additional fiscal burdens under such conditions is unrealistic and potentially destructive.

“If we implement that tax reform, Nigerian airlines could go down within three months,” he warned.

Onyema also questioned the policy direction behind taxing air transportation, citing the International Civil Aviation Organization’s annexes, which state that VAT should not be imposed on air transport services. He argued that aviation should be treated as a strategic sector that enables trade, tourism, and economic integration, not as a revenue source to be squeezed.

Beyond the looming tax changes, Onyema painted a broader picture of an industry under sustained pressure. He said Nigerian airlines face a combination of high fuel prices, multiple statutory charges, and foreign exchange constraints that significantly erode their revenue.

To illustrate the point, Onyema disclosed that for a domestic ticket priced at about N350,000, airlines retain roughly N81,000, with the balance taken up by taxes, levies, charges, and fees payable to various agencies. This, he said, undermines the narrative that airlines are profiteering at passengers’ expense.

He pushed back against frequent public criticism over high fares, arguing that Nigerian domestic ticket prices remain among the cheapest in the world when converted to U.S. dollars. Even at current levels, he said, many routes are barely viable. Flights to parts of the Southeast, in particular, often return with few passengers, leaving airlines to absorb losses.

On operational challenges, Onyema addressed complaints about flight delays and cancellations, saying many disruptions stem from factors beyond airlines’ control. These include bird strikes, inadequate airport infrastructure, and lapses by ground handling companies. He said airlines are often blamed for issues rooted in systemic weaknesses across the aviation value chain.

His comments come at a time when the wider policy environment remains uncertain. While Nigeria is preparing to implement tax reforms that could raise costs for airlines, a separate regional initiative points in the opposite direction. Under a 2024 agreement by ECOWAS member states, all air ticket taxes across the sub-region are to be abolished from January 1, 2026, with the aim of reducing fares and boosting regional connectivity.

That contrast has raised questions about how Nigeria will align its domestic tax regime with regional commitments. In 2024, data from the International Air Transport Association showed that Nigeria earned about $62 million from airline ticket taxes, part of the $1.97 billion collected across Africa. For governments facing fiscal pressures, aviation remains an attractive source of revenue, even as airlines warn of the long-term consequences.

Earlier in December 2025, Nigeria also implemented an additional $11.5 security levy under the Advance Passenger Information System, pushing total charges on international tickets to $31.50. Airlines say such incremental charges, when layered on top of each other, steadily weaken the sector.

Against this backdrop, people are asking whether regional initiatives under ECOWAS will force a rethink, easing costs and preventing the sharp fare increases Onyema now warns could be imminent.

The Lessons from the Billionaires, Make an A+ in Your Process in 2026

1

As the march to 2026 continues, I want to focus on PROCESS, the most important non-graded course in the university of life. It does not appear on any transcript, yet it determines the soul and purpose of education. Because education, at its core, is the liberation of the mind. And minds are liberated not just by content, but by the evolution of processes through which we learn, think, and act.

Across the world, a familiar question keeps coming up: why are many billionaires not the best graduating students in their classes? In the worlds of Dangote, Elumelu, Ovia, Gates, and Musk, I am confident none graduated top of their classes. Yet, they command empires. Meanwhile, Ndubuisi, who finished top of his university class, and set all-time academic records in his secondary school that remain unbroken, is not yet billionaire. Lol.

Why? Because Ndubuisi was excellent at passing the exams of classrooms, but not as great at passing the exams of markets. Simply, classrooms and markets run on different operating systems. An A in calculus does not guarantee an A in customer satisfaction for noodles. Academic grades are not destiny; at best, they are indicators of process. What truly matters is not the grade itself, but the discipline, effort, and tenacity that produced it.

Effort that earns a First Class in one university may not even secure a Second Class in another, because standards differ. In secondary school, I was not the most gifted mind, but I was relentless. What talent withheld, hard work delivered. One teacher called me “oku na egbu akwukwo”, the fire that consumes books, because if reading Modern Biology four times was the key to an A, I would light that fire.

I never apologized for being a bookworm. I was not constrained by WAEC subjects: even though I did not take Literature as a student, I acted in plays with Literature students. When Papa Iyke heard I had memorized The Lion and the Jewel (I read all the recommended books), he invited me to join. I became Lakunle, the teacher! In university, some classmates earned Bs effortlessly. I sweated for As. Effort became my equalizer. The smartest student I met at FUTO never finished first year. Brilliance without process is fragile. He missed exams out of nonchalance and was dismissed.

So, when you look at Ovia, Elumelu, Musk, Gates, and Dangote, do not look for their transcripts. Look for their processes: grit, resilience, curiosity, and the hunger to understand customers and markets. Yes, forget that connection nonsense we love to peddle in Nigeria. Connections only work when you have done the work. Ovia returned as a young man and built. Elumelu was a mid-level banker who raised money and bought a bank. Musk was an immigrant who found alpha. Unlike perfect classroom A-students like me, they developed superior market-processes to solve real problems and deliver products and services people would pay for. That is why they are billionaires.

Good People, here is the lesson: over a long horizon, a hardworking C-student often outperforms a complacent B-student, because process endures. If your process is great, even when grades stall because talent does not align with interest (for instance, you were pushed to study medicine instead of music), this world will still give you A-results somewhere.

So, as 2026 approaches, make this your daily resolution: I will score an “A+” in my PROCESS on productive things.

Bitcoin Set For A Decade-Long Climb – Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan

0

Bitcoin could be entering a new phase of sustained growth rather than explosive, short-term rallies, according to Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan.

He says increasing institutional adoption and a maturing market structure may support steady returns for Bitcoin over the next decade, even as volatility gradually declines.

Speaking on CNBC on Friday, the crypto expert said he expects Bitcoin to enter a prolonged period of gradual appreciation marked by lower volatility. He described the outlook as a “10-year grind upward” characterized by strong but unspectacular returns, punctuated by periodic pullbacks.

Hougan maintained his bullish outlook for 2026, reiterating a forecast he first shared in July months before Bitcoin surged to a new all-time high of $125,100 in October. “Next year should be positive,” he said, expressing confidence that the broader trend remains intact despite recent market weakness.

Using what he described as conservative assumptions, Hougan developed a valuation model that projects Bitcoin’s price could climb to as high as $1.3 million by 2035. His outlook reflects growing confidence that Bitcoin’s maturing market structure and increasing adoption could support sustained long-term returns, positioning it as a major investment asset rather than a speculative trade.

In recent times, Bitcoin’s market structure has significantly improved. Liquidity is deeper than ever, with high trading volumes across regulated exchanges and the presence of institutional-grade custodians and brokers.

The introduction of spot Bitcoin ETFs in major markets has further strengthened this structure, allowing traditional investors to gain exposure through familiar, regulated vehicles. These developments have reduced extreme volatility compared to earlier cycles and made price discovery more efficient.

Notably, institutional participation has reshaped Bitcoin’s investor base. Pension funds, asset managers, hedge funds, and publicly listed companies now view Bitcoin as a strategic allocation rather than a short-term trade. Many hold it as a hedge against inflation, currency debasement, and macroeconomic uncertainty, aligning Bitcoin more closely with assets like gold than with high-risk speculative instruments.

However, Bitcoin’s recent decline has reignited debate around the relevance of its traditional four-year market cycle. The crypto asset in October 2025 hit an all time above $126,000 before retracing to the $80,000 zone. BTC is currently trading at $87,627 at the time of this report.

Hougan attributed the recent sell-off largely to fast-moving retail investors who exited positions toward the end of the year in anticipation of a cyclical downturn. In contrast, he argued that Bitcoin’s downside has been cushioned by consistent institutional inflows. Unlike past cycles that saw drawdowns of up to 60%, Bitcoin’s current decline has been more contained due to what Hougan described as “persistent, slow-moving institutional buying.”

ReserveOne CIO Sebastian Beau noted that it remains unclear whether the cycle is still valid, pointing out that Bitcoin has fallen roughly 30% from its October peak to around $87,000 in a relatively short period. The timing of the October highs, which closely resembles peaks from previous cycles, has fueled speculation that 2026 could be a down year.

Still, caution remains among some market veterans. Renowned trader Peter Brandt has warned that Bitcoin could fall as low as $60,000 by the third quarter of 2026.

At the time of publication, Bitcoin was trading at $87,818, down 3.81% over the past 30 days, according to CoinMarketCap.

Outlook

Looking ahead, Bitcoin appears poised to transition into a more mature investment phase, where long-term fundamentals matter more than short-term hype.

If Hougan’s thesis holds, the coming years may be defined less by dramatic boom-and-bust cycles and more by steady, compounding growth supported by institutional demand, improved infrastructure, and broader acceptance within traditional finance.

Overall, the outlook suggests a Bitcoin market that is growing up less explosive, but potentially more resilient. For investors, this implies a shift in mindset, from chasing rapid rallies to positioning for long-term value creation in an asset increasingly viewed as a core component of the global financial system.

Improve This To Win The Year 2026

1

As we close 2025 and look ahead to the promises of 2026, here is a playbook to win. In our places of work, there is a truth we must first understand: the Human Resources department is not primarily established to help you; it is established to help the company and advance its mission. That is not criticism; it is simply how organizations are designed. HR will always interpret policies in favor of the firm before the individual. If no one has told you this before, read it here, as you prepare for a productive and profitable 2026.

This also means we must discard the illusion that the workplace is a family reunion square where everyone gathers daily and goes home happy. Companies are not built as family unions. They are platforms where people assemble to pursue a mission, to fix identified frictions in the market by mobilizing ideas, capital, and execution, to create products and services.

In that translation from mission to market, everyone must deliver. You must get your job done. Even in the most supportive organizations, if the mission no longer sees a path into the future with you, it will act accordingly, regardless of how anyone feels. The core objective is not to make individuals happy; it is to accomplish the strategic mission. In the tri-pillars of people, processes, and tools, if you are perceived as weak in the people pillar, you will be asked to move on.

What does this teach us about work, careers, and job titles? A lot. And it leads to one of the greatest forms of career liberation: do not allow your job title or workplace to define your identity. Titles and organizations are ephemeral. If you anchor your self-worth solely on them, the day they change or disappear, you will be miserable. You must matter to people because of who you are, not just where you work or what you are called.

So, pursue a positive professional personality. Personality does not expire in the minds of people, even when titles and workplaces do. In truth, the only permanent professional “title” any of us carries is our personality.

Indeed, when the moment comes, will a colleague recommend you for an opportunity? Will a classmate invest in a venture you are starting? In those moments, no one remembers titles. They remember how you treated people, how you showed up, and how you made them feel. And that is my challenge to you for 2026: getting people to recommend you in your absence because the best time to audition for a GREAT job is when none is advertised!

Build relationships anchored on respect, trust, and positive energy. That is a fountain from which you can draw living waters of abundance after job titles, companies, and workplace brands have faded.

People like to work, and do business, with people who bring positive vibes. If you become that person, your professional options will widen. May 2026 work for all of us. Have a truly great one ahead.