Erebor, a digital banking startup co-founded by Palmer Luckey known for founding Oculus and leading Anduril Industries and backed by Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund, is raising fresh capital at a $4.35 billion valuation.
The company recently secured $350 million in a funding round led by Lux Capital, with participation from existing investors like 8VC and Haun Ventures.
This more than doubles its previous valuation and comes on the heels of key regulatory milestones, including FDIC approval for deposit insurance last week and preliminary conditional approval from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) in October to operate as a national charter bank.
Positioned to serve Silicon Valley’s tech ecosystem—particularly in crypto, AI, defense, and aerospace—Erebor aims to fill voids left by the 2023 collapse of Silicon Valley Bank.
The name draws from J.R.R. Tolkien’s “Lord of the Rings,” referencing the Lonely Mountain. The news has sparked discussions about its potential as a “crypto superbank,” with users noting the strong backing and timely approvals amid growing interest in digital finance.
The 2023 collapses of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), Silvergate, and Signature created a massive gap in banking services for high-risk sectors like crypto, AI, defense, and aerospace startups. Many traditional banks remain wary of these clients due to regulatory scrutiny and volatility.
Erebor positions itself as a direct replacement: a fully regulated national bank offering insured deposits, stablecoin settlements, crypto collateral loans, and tailored services. With recent FDIC deposit insurance approval and conditional OCC charter, it’s poised to capture billions in deposits previously handled by failed banks.
Easier access to payroll, payments, and lending for underserved startups, potentially accelerating innovation in frontier tech. This could reduce “debanking” risks that have plagued crypto firms.
The sharp valuation jump reflects hot investor demand for regulated on-ramps to digital assets, especially stablecoins. Backers like Lux Capital, Founders Fund (Peter Thiel), 8VC (Joe Lonsdale), and Haun Ventures are betting on Erebor as a “crypto superbank” in a more favorable U.S. regulatory environment.
Timing aligns with post-2024 election shifts: greater crypto clarity, stablecoin legislation progress, and Trump administration’s pro-digital asset stance. Signals maturing crypto-finance integration.
Erebor joins a wave e.g., Coinbase, Circle, Ripple seeking charters, potentially normalizing crypto in traditional banking and attracting more institutional capital. Pre-launch valuation of $4.35B bank not yet operational; expected early 2026 is aggressive, driven by founder pedigree and regulatory momentum.
Palmer Luckey has emphasized ultra-conservative practices.
Concentration in volatile sectors could echo SVB’s pitfalls like interest rate sensitivity, depositor flight. Critics note potential for another taxpayer bailout if mismanaged; high valuation leaves limited room for error.
Impact: Success could validate billionaire-backed fintech disruption; failure might reignite regulatory backlash against crypto banks.
A compliant, insured bank could boost stablecoin adoption, on-chain finance, and defense/AI funding—areas Luckey/Thiel prioritize. Challenges incumbents like Lead Bank, Cross River and neobanks; may pressure big banks to re-engage crypto clients.
X discussions highlight excitement “next crypto superbank,” “BTC banks coming soon” alongside hype, reflecting bullish crypto narrative in late 2025. Erebor’s raise underscores a pivotal moment: regulated banking catching up to crypto/tech innovation, potentially unlocking growth but with inherent concentration risks reminiscent of past crises. Launch in early 2026 will be the real test.
Phantom Officially Launches Prediction Markets Powered by Kalshi
Phantom has announced that its Prediction Markets feature—powered by the regulated platform Kalshi—is rolled out to 100% of eligible users. Trade simple Yes/No positions on real-world events (politics, sports, crypto prices, culture, economics, etc.) directly inside the Phantom mobile app.
Fund trades using any Solana token in your wallet, including the CASH stablecoin—no need for separate accounts or external deposits. Real-time odds, live event updates, and push notifications for settlements.
Every market has a live community chat for discussing sentiment and ideas as odds shift. Built on Solana for fast, low-cost transactions, with tokenized positions referencing Kalshi’s regulated markets.
This integration makes Phantom one of the first major crypto wallets to embed regulated prediction markets natively, turning it into a more comprehensive financial hub alongside swaps, perps, and staking.
Availability depends on your jurisdiction not everywhere due to regulations, and trading involves risk of loss.To get started: Open the Phantom app > Tap “Predictions” > Browse markets. Phantom’s full rollout of Prediction Markets powered by the CFTC-regulated platform Kalshi marks a significant evolution in crypto wallets.
By embedding regulated real-world event trading directly into a wallet with over 20 million users primarily on Solana, this feature has broad implications across user experience, the crypto ecosystem, regulation, and competition.
Trading Yes/No positions on events (politics, sports, crypto prices, culture, economics) is now as seamless as swapping tokens—no need for separate accounts, external deposits, or navigating complex interfaces.
Users can fund trades with any Solana token including CASH stablecoin or even memecoins, leveraging Solana’s fast, low-cost transactions. Social features like live community chats per market add engagement, turning trading into a communal activity with real-time sentiment tracking.
Lowers barriers for crypto natives and newcomers, potentially driving higher wallet retention and daily active users. Wallets are evolving into “super apps” (swaps, perps, staking, now predictions), making crypto more intuitive and sticky.
Increases on-chain activity and token utility on Solana, as trades settle quickly and cheaply. Positions Solana as a hub for consumer-facing finance apps, blending DeFi with real-world assets (RWA-like event contracts via tokenized positions).
Could attract more liquidity and users to Solana, reinforcing its edge in high-throughput use cases. Short-term price impact on $SOL appears muted, but long-term engagement may support ecosystem growth. Kalshi’s CFTC regulation provides legitimacy, offering users access to compliant event contracts without direct exposure to unregulated platforms.
Tokenized positions reference Kalshi’s markets, combining blockchain efficiency with regulatory oversight. Its elps legitimize crypto as a gateway to traditional finance tools. Attracts “super power” crypto users as Kalshi calls them to regulated markets, potentially accelerating mainstream integration.
However, ongoing state-level challenges (e.g., gambling classifications in Connecticut, Massachusetts) highlight regulatory risks. Directly challenges crypto-native platforms like Polymarket which partnered with MetaMask on Ethereum.
Kalshi gains massive distribution through Phantom’s user base, aiming for integrations in “every large crypto app.” Wallets/exchanges (MetaMask-Polymarket, potential Coinbase-Kalshi) are racing to embed prediction markets.
Intensifies rivalry between regulated (Kalshi) and decentralized (Polymarket) models. Could fragment liquidity but also grow the overall sector, with volumes already surging, Kalshi hit billions in 2025. Availability restricted by jurisdiction not in the US via wallet integration due to licensing; direct Kalshi platform only in permitted areas.
Potential total loss on incorrect predictions, plus fees and volatility. While innovative, it underscores trading risks and regulatory fragmentation—users must check eligibility. This launch accelerates the convergence of crypto wallets with real-world finance, making prediction markets a core feature rather than a niche.
It strengthens Phantom’s position as a multi-chain financial hub and signals growing maturity in blending DeFi with regulated products. For Solana and crypto broadly, it’s a step toward broader utility beyond speculation.






