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Bitcoin Bear Market Armor? Peter Schiff Questions MicroStrategy’s $748M Cash Reserve

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MicroStrategy has reportedly boosted its USD reserve by $748 million, bringing its total cash holdings to $2.19 billion, alongside a Bitcoin portfolio of 671,268 BTC.

The move reflects the company’s continued strategy of maintaining significant liquidity while doubling down on cryptocurrency exposure, even as the market navigates a prolonged Bitcoin bear phase.

The move, funded via recent capital raises like convertible notes, provides liquidity for opportunistic BTC buys during market volatility, countering insolvency concerns raised by critics. However, this aggressive approach has sparked debate among investors, with some questioning the risks of combining large cash reserves with heavy Bitcoin holdings.

Renowned gold advocate and economist Peter Schiff has once again taken a jab at Michael Saylor and his company, Strategy, interpreting the cash buildup as a sign of panic for the bear market.

He wrote on X,

“It seems to me that you are building dollar reserves as you realize you will soon need them.”

He argued that with expected Fed rate cuts and quantitative easing likely to fuel inflation, holding USD is risky and suggested Strategy should follow Tether’s lead by building gold reserves instead.

Tether, the issuer of the world’s largest stablecoin USDT, has indeed been aggressively accumulating physical gold. In Q3 2025 alone, it purchased 26 tonnes, pushing its total holdings to 116 tonnes, enough to rank it among the top 30 global gold holders if compared to central banks.

Meanwhile, sources indicate Strategy’s cash reserve is primarily designed for liquidity, to cover preferred stock dividends (currently funded for over 32 months) and debt obligations without forcing Bitcoin sales during volatility. With Bitcoin trading around $90,000 amid a 2025 market pullback, this move is seen by some as prudent risk management rather than a lack of faith in BTC.

Schiff advocates gold over USD reserves as a superior inflation hedge. His criticism at Strategy, highlights his long-standing view that gold is the superior inflation hedge and store of value, especially in uncertain economic times.

He claims Bitcoin has lost 46% of its value in gold terms since its November 2021 peak, verified by historical data showing BTC at $69,000 against gold at $1,800/oz then, versus current levels of BTC at $87,400 and gold near $4,490/oz yielding a ratio drop from 38 to 19 ounces.

Schiff forecasts worsening BTC-gold dynamics over the next four years, reflecting his view of gold’s intrinsic scarcity versus Bitcoin’s speculative nature, supported by gold’s historical resilience in crises per Federal Reserve studies on safe-haven assets.

The gold advocate and Bitcoin skeptic, argues in the post that Bitcoin remains correlated with risk assets like stocks, amplifying downside moves while underperforming upside rallies, unlike gold’s independent strength.

He wrote,

“I don’t believe Bitcoin has decoupled from other risk assets. It just doesn’t rally as much when they rise, and it declines much more when they fall. What should be obvious by now is that it’s not digital gold. If gold goes way up, there is no reason to expect Bitcoin to follow.”

In 2025, Bitcoin surged to a $126,000 peak in October before dropping over 30% amid market volatility, while gold advanced 55% year-to-date to new highs, driven by central bank demand and geopolitical tensions.

Recent analyses show Bitcoin’s one-month correlation with the S&P 500 has stayed positive above zero for most of 2025, supporting Schiff’s view, though some data indicate a gradual decline in ties to both equities and gold since 2020.

However, ritics of Schiff point out his repeated and often incorrect predictions of gold surges over the past decade, while Bitcoin has delivered massive returns for holders like Strategy.

Around 2008–2009, he predicted gold to reach $2,000 by 2009 and $5,000 by 2013 (gold peaked near $1,900 in 2011 but did not hit those targets on schedule).

His repeated bullish calls amid post-2008 QE and low inflation, yet gold traded sideways or lower for much of the decade (e.g., dipping below $1,300 as late as 2019).

These predictions often proved premature and incorrect in timing. Gold did not experience the explosive, sustained surge Schiff anticipated until the 2020s, particularly accelerating in 2024–2025 amid geopolitical tensions, central bank buying, and inflation concerns.

The point raised by critics is one of opportunity cost and timing. For much of the 2010s and early 2020s, Schiff’s urgent calls for imminent gold surges led investors to miss Bitcoin’s historic rally (and often stock market gains), while gold underperformed. His predictions were directionally correct long-term but repeatedly wrong on near-term execution, costing followers potential massive returns elsewhere.

Schiff remains unapologetic, dismissing Bitcoin as worthless and insisting gold’s physical utility and history make it superior. As of December 2025, with gold at record highs, his latest bullishness appears vindicated in the short run but the decade-long contrast with Bitcoin’s performance underscores the critics’ argument.

Outlook

Looking ahead, MicroStrategy’s dual strategy of holding substantial USD liquidity while maintaining a significant Bitcoin position positions the company to capitalize on market volatility without being forced into distressed BTC sales.

Analysts suggest that this approach could allow the firm to selectively accumulate Bitcoin at attractive levels during dips, potentially amplifying long-term returns if the cryptocurrency recovers or enters another bullish cycle.

Ultimately, the next 12–24 months may prove pivotal in evaluating the merits of MicroStrategy’s approach. Success could cement Bitcoin’s role as a strategic corporate asset, while significant drawdowns could embolden critics who argue for more traditional hedges like gold.

IMF Commends El Salvador’s Economic Growth as Bitcoin Strategy Continues

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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has lauded El Salvador for sustaining strong economic growth, citing expanding output and improving macroeconomic conditions.

In a press release, the IMF noted that El Salvador’s economic performance has exceeded expectations, supported by improved investor confidence, record remittance inflows, and strong investment activity.

“The economy is expanding at a faster than anticipated pace on the back of improved confidence, record remittances, and buoyant investment. Real GDP growth is projected to reach around 4 percent this year and with very good prospects for next year”, it wrote.

Reports reveal that the Salvadoran economy grew 5.1% in the third quarter of 2025, consolidating its upward trajectory after having grown 2.4% and 4.1% in the first and second quarters, respectively.

This growth was driven by factors such as: Safety conditions in the country, strength of the financial sector, boom in public and private investment in construction, among others.

In 2022, the IMF had urged El Salvador to abandon Bitcoin as a legal means of payment, saying the cryptocurrency could pose risks to national financial stability, consumer protection, and the ability to receive loans.

Despite these concerns, President Nayib Bukele’s administration made it clear that Bitcoin’s legal tender status was not up for negotiation. Government officials maintained that Bitcoin remains central to El Salvador’s long-term vision for financial innovation, inclusion, and economic sovereignty.

The recent commendation by the IMF comes as it continues to work closely with President Nayib Bukele’s administration under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) program, approved earlier this year for $1.4 billion.

As part of the EFF agreement, El Salvador committed to halting its official Bitcoin accumulation strategy. The government also agreed to sell its state-run Chivo wallet infrastructure and allow the private sector to operate freely with Bitcoin, which remains legal tender in the country.

“Negotiations for the sale of the government e-wallet Chivo are well advanced, and discussions with regard to the Bitcoin project continue, centered on enhancing transparency, safeguarding public resources, and mitigating risks,” the IMF stated in its report.

The IMF also highlighted the government’s continued commitment to fiscal consolidation. It noted that El Salvador remains on track to meet its end-2025 primary balance target, while the recently approved 2026 budget aligns with further deficit reduction alongside increased social spending. These fiscal efforts, the IMF said, are helping to boost foreign reserves and reduce domestic borrowing in line with program targets.

Beyond near-term fiscal measures, the Fund pointed to progress on key structural reforms aimed at strengthening the country’s economic foundations. The Fund concluded by reaffirming its commitment to continued close engagement with Salvadoran authorities.

According to the IMF, discussions will continue in the coming period with the goal of reaching an agreement on all remaining policies and reforms required to complete the second review of the EFF program

Despite these commitments, blockchain analytics firm Arkham reports that El Salvador has continued its daily Bitcoin purchases. On-chain data indicates that the country’s Bitcoin holdings have grown to approximately 7,508 BTC at press time, suggesting ongoing accumulation despite IMF restrictions.

Background Story

El Salvador made history in September 2021 by becoming the first country in the world to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender. The landmark policy took effect on September 7, 2021, positioning the Central American nation at the center of the global cryptocurrency debate.

The move followed the passage of the Bitcoin Law by El Salvador’s Legislative Assembly on June 9, 2021. The law was approved with a strong majority and signed by President Nayib Bukele, who championed Bitcoin as a tool for financial inclusion, innovation, and economic independence.

Under the legislation, Bitcoin became legal tender alongside the U.S. dollar, which El Salvador has used as its official currency since 2001. The law required businesses to accept Bitcoin as a form of payment, except in cases where technological limitations made it impractical. To support adoption, the government launched the Chivo digital wallet, offering incentives to encourage citizens to use Bitcoin for everyday transactions.

President Bukele argued that Bitcoin adoption would lower remittance costs, expand access to financial services for the unbanked population, and attract foreign investment. However, the decision also drew criticism from international financial institutions, including the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which raised concerns about financial stability, fiscal risks, and consumer protection.

Since its adoption, El Salvador’s Bitcoin policy has remained a defining feature of its economic strategy, sparking both global interest and controversy.

Market Impact

Since the adoption of Bitcoin as a legal tender, the crypto asset has had measurable effects on the country’s economy, financial inclusion, and investment climate.

Remittances have long been a critical pillar of El Salvador’s economy, accounting for nearly 24% of GDP. With Bitcoin. Reports show that remittance flows surged by over 10% after the introduction of Bitcoin, saving recipients millions in transfer costs compared to traditional channels.

Also, the government’s Chivo wallet, a state-backed digital platform, has helped integrate previously unbanked populations into the financial system. As of late 2025, over 3.5 million Salvadorans, roughly 50% of the adult population, actively use the Chivo wallet for payments, savings, and Bitcoin transactions. This increased access to financial services has facilitated micro-business growth and everyday transactions.

Notably, El Salvador’s Bitcoin-friendly policies have drawn tech entrepreneurs, blockchain startups, and international investors. Several Bitcoin conferences and business ventures have been hosted in the country, providing a boost to tourism revenue and creating new job opportunities. According to local reports, foreign direct investment in technology sectors rose by 15% in the two years following adoption

El Salvador’s continued support for Bitcoin has reinforced a bullish macro outlook around the asset. President Bukele has also maintained close ties with U.S. President Donald Trump, a relationship that has further amplified attention on the country’s Bitcoin adoption strategy.

Outlook

With Bitcoin’s fixed supply and increasing global demand, market observers suggest the cryptocurrency could track the long-term performance of traditional stores of value such as gold and silver.

In this context, El Salvador is increasingly viewed as being strategically positioned to benefit from potential Bitcoin price appreciation, which could strengthen its fiscal position and support public debt obligations over time.

Understanding NFL Futures Odds and Lines: Strategy Review by MoonBet

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NFL futures betting allows bettors to look far beyond the next kickoff. Instead of wagering on a single game, futures markets focus on season-long outcomes such as Super Bowl winners, conference champions, division titles, and individual awards like MVP. These bets require a different mindset from weekly spreads or totals, as they involve longer timelines, evolving odds, and greater exposure to uncertainty.

This guide breaks down how NFL futures odds and lines work, how to read them correctly, and how bettors can approach futures strategically. We’ll also examine how modern platforms, including analytical sportsbooks such as Moonbet, frame futures markets from a value and probability standpoint.

What Are NFL Futures Bets?

NFL futures are wagers placed on outcomes that will be decided later in the season or at season’s end. Common NFL futures markets include:

  • Super Bowl champion

  • AFC/NFC conference winner

  • Division winners

  • Regular-season win totals

  • MVP, Offensive Player of the Year, Defensive Player of the Year

  • Rookie of the Year

Unlike standard game bets, futures tie up bankroll for months. That longer horizon increases both risk and potential reward, which is why understanding odds movement and implied probability is critical.

How NFL Futures Odds Are Set?

Futures odds are primarily driven by power ratings, projected schedules, roster strength, and public perception. Before the season starts, sportsbooks build models using:

  • Previous season performance

  • Offseason roster changes

  • Coaching continuity

  • Strength of schedule

  • Injury recovery timelines

For example, in recent seasons, teams like the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers have opened as Super Bowl favorites due to elite quarterback play and roster depth. Conversely, rebuilding teams often carry long odds that reflect lower projected win totals and playoff probability.

As the season progresses, odds adjust weekly based on results, injuries, and playoff positioning.

Reading NFL Futures Odds and Lines

Most U.S. sportsbooks present futures using American odds:

  • Positive odds (+800) indicate how much profit a $100 bet would return.

  • Negative odds (-150) indicate how much you need to wager to win $100.

Futures lines also reflect implied probability. For example, a team priced around +600 suggests the market believes it has roughly a 14–15% chance of winning the Super Bowl. Understanding this helps bettors assess whether the price reflects real value or public hype.

One mistake newer bettors make is focusing only on payout size instead of probability. Long odds do not automatically mean good value if the underlying chance is still extremely low.

Key NFL Futures Markets Explained

NFL futures markets cover season-long outcomes, allowing bettors to evaluate team performance, projections, and value well before final results are decided.

Super Bowl Winner

This is the most popular futures market, but often the least efficient. Favorites are usually priced tightly, while longshots may look attractive but rarely win. Historically, Super Bowl winners tend to come from a short list of contenders with elite quarterbacks and top-10 defenses.

Conference & Division Winners

These markets often offer better value than Super Bowl futures. A strong team in a weak division may have favorable odds even if its championship chances are lower. Division futures also allow bettors to hedge later in the season.

Win Totals

Season win totals are among the most data-driven futures. They rely heavily on schedule analysis and roster depth. Injuries, however, remain the biggest variable. Sharp bettors often target win totals early, before preseason narratives shift public sentiment.

Player Awards (MVP, OROY, DPOY)

These futures are highly narrative-driven. Quarterbacks dominate MVP voting, while rookies on playoff-caliber teams tend to outperform those on losing rosters. Odds can swing dramatically after nationally televised games.

Strategic Considerations for Betting NFL Futures

NFL futures require patience, timing, and disciplined bankroll management, as odds evolve with injuries, schedules, public perception, and playoff scenarios.

Timing Matters

Early bets may offer better prices but carry higher uncertainty. Late bets provide more information but reduced value. Many experienced bettors split exposure, placing partial positions early and adjusting later.

Bankroll Management Is Critical

Because futures tie up funds for months, they should represent only a small percentage of total bankroll. Overexposure limits flexibility for weekly betting opportunities.

Hedge Opportunities

One advantage of futures betting is the ability to hedge. For example, a preseason division bet can be hedged late in the season by wagering on a rival team or game-by-game outcomes.

Avoid Narrative Traps

Public narratives, such as “breakout seasons” or “revenge years” often inflate odds without statistical backing. Futures markets reward disciplined analysis over hype.

How Modern Betting Platforms Approach NFL Futures

Modern sportsbooks increasingly rely on dynamic pricing models that adjust futures odds in near real time. This includes:

  • Live injury updates

  • Playoff simulation models

  • Public betting percentages

  • Sharp money indicators

Advanced platforms often publish deeper markets such as alternate win totals or segmented futures which allow bettors to fine-tune exposure rather than relying on all-or-nothing wagers.

A strategy-focused review by Moonbet highlights how futures lines can shift significantly after only a few weeks of regular-season play, reinforcing the importance of timing and market awareness.

Common Mistakes to Avoid

Futures betting rewards patience and discipline more than aggression.

  • Betting too many longshots “just in case”

  • Ignoring injury risk at key positions

  • Overreacting to early-season results

  • Locking up too much bankroll in futures

  • Chasing odds movement without understanding why it changed

Responsible Betting and Futures Risk

Because futures bets extend across an entire season, they can amplify emotional and financial exposure. Responsible bettors set limits, track open positions, and avoid using futures as a substitute for weekly analysis.

U.S. sportsbooks are required to offer responsible gambling tools, and bettors should use them, especially when engaging in long-term markets like futures.

Final Thoughts

NFL futures betting offers a deeper, more strategic way to engage with the season. By understanding how odds are set, how lines move, and how to evaluate value versus probability, bettors can approach futures with clarity rather than speculation.

Whether you’re analyzing win totals, division races, or championship odds, success in futures markets comes from timing, restraint, and data-driven thinking. Strategy-oriented platforms like Moonbet reflect this shift toward more analytical futures betting, where understanding the numbers matters more than chasing the biggest payout.

The 2026 Crossover: Preparing for Your Next Leadership Ascent

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If your company “promotes” you or you accept a new offer where you are already 100% ready on Day One, that is not true elevation. It is merely a job title evolution. Real career ascension happens when you step into responsibilities you are not yet fully prepared for, but for which you possess the inherent capacity to rise quickly and deliver.

As 2026 approaches, I invite you to plan deliberately for your next leadership ascent. Aim higher. Keep looking up. No one was born a CEO, a Director, or a President. Every leader once stood where you are today. This is the season for your next lift because you are more ready than you think. And yes, you will find visible and invisible hands holding the bridge as you cross into that next phase.

Understand this: you already have wins. However small they may seem, they matter. You must leverage them to climb. In the Igbo Nation, we say it takes the killing of one leopard to be called a killer of leopards. One victory is enough to earn the right to aim for greater ones!

But how will people know you have taken a leopard if you never tell them you did? You must let people know what you know and what you have done. Do not assume your work will speak for you. As my elementary Biology teacher, Mr. Bobo, taught us, “work” is not a living organism, it cannot talk. In other words, you must tell your story, and in this age, that means using platforms like social media to make your voice heard.

Ignore the wailers who may call you a fake engineer, fake marketer, fake doctor, or whatever name they invent. Forget them! Many hide behind anonymity because they have already lost faith in their own future. If someone cannot stand by their words with their real name, why should you be bothered? You are visible because you are building. They are invisible because they are not. Yes, you are the winner because you are real. And if you must, block the noise. Those who derail you do not add value, they only distract. Keep your eyes on the ascent.

So, what has 2025 given you? What little wins can you build upon? Plan for the crossover, because 2026 is going to be remarkable. Aim higher. Think big. Prepare to win.

Here is the fact: Nigeria has a lot of opportunities. 2026 is calling. Cross over in style!

 

Japan Signals Readiness to Step Into FX Markets as Yen Slides After BOJ Rate Hike

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Japanese authorities on Monday intensified their warnings over renewed yen weakness, saying they were prepared to take “appropriate” action against excessive and speculative foreign exchange moves, a stance that has once again put market intervention firmly in focus.

Atsushi Mimura, Japan’s top currency diplomat, said recent movements in the yen had been “one-sided and sharp,” language that Japanese officials have historically used ahead of direct intervention.

“The recent foreign exchange moves were one-sided and sharp, and I’m concerned about them,” Mimura told reporters. “We’ll take appropriate actions against excessive moves.”

Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara reinforced that message, stressing that currency markets should move in a stable way that reflects economic fundamentals.

“The government will take appropriate measures against excessive movements, including speculative ones,” Kihara said, adding that authorities were watching developments closely.

The renewed warnings come as Japan continues to struggle to stabilize its economy after years of volatility that have weighed heavily on the yen. The country has faced a difficult mix of weak domestic demand, rising import costs, stubbornly low productivity growth, and repeated external shocks, leaving policymakers with limited room to maneuver. These pressures have made the currency particularly sensitive to global interest-rate shifts and investor sentiment.

Although the Bank of Japan last week raised its policy rate to 0.75% from 0.5%, taking borrowing costs to their highest level in roughly three decades, the move did little to support the yen. Instead, the dollar rose to as high as 157.67 yen on Friday, its strongest level in four weeks, as markets focused on Governor Kazuo Ueda’s cautious tone and the lack of clear guidance on when the next rate increase might come.

That reaction underscored a central challenge for Japan. While the BOJ has begun a slow exit from ultra-loose monetary policy, interest rates remain far below those in the United States, where the Federal Reserve has kept borrowing costs elevated. The resulting rate differential continues to encourage capital outflows and put downward pressure on the yen.

The currency’s weakness carries real economic and political consequences for the government. A softer yen pushes up the cost of imports such as energy, food, and industrial raw materials, squeezing households already grappling with higher living expenses. While exporters benefit from a weaker currency, officials have repeatedly warned that sharp or disorderly moves risk undermining economic stability and public confidence.

Kihara said the government would “closely monitor the impact of higher interest rates while cooperating with the Bank of Japan,” highlighting the need to balance currency stability with the risk that tighter policy could further slow growth. Japan’s recovery has been uneven, and officials remain wary of tightening financial conditions too aggressively at a time when consumption and investment are still fragile.

Bond markets reflected the tension on Monday. Japanese government bonds weakened further following last week’s rate hike, with the two-year yield, the most sensitive to monetary policy, climbing to a record high, and the 10-year yield hitting its highest level in 26 years. Rising yields suggest investors are reassessing Japan’s long-standing low-rate environment, even as uncertainty remains over the pace of future policy tightening.

Japan has intervened directly in currency markets in the past when yen declines became too rapid, most notably in 2022. While officials typically stop short of confirming any immediate plans, repeated references to “excessive” and “speculative” moves are widely interpreted by markets as a warning signal.

With the yen again under pressure, global rates still high, and Japan’s economic recovery fragile, investors are watching closely to see whether the government’s verbal warnings will translate into concrete action to stem further currency volatility.