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Gold Experiencing a Significant Sell-off in March 2026

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Gold has experienced a significant sell-off in March 2026, dropping to 1-month lows amid a sharp correction from recent highs.

Gold prices peaked around early March; above $5,200–$5,300 per ounce in the first week or so but have declined steeply over the past couple of weeks. As of March 19–20, 2026: Spot gold has traded in the $4,550–$4,700 range per ounce. For example, reports show levels around $4,535–$4,652 per ounce on March 19–20, with futures settling near $4,652 after sharp daily drops.

This represents a pullback of roughly 10–12% from levels a week or two earlier from ~$5,000–$5,200, and it’s the lowest since early February 2026 in many cases. The sell-off intensified particularly mid-March, with multi-day declines: Sharp drops of 3–6% on certain days.

Gold broke below the $5,000 psychological level for the first time in over a month. Several factors appear to be driving this correction, based on market reports: Stronger U.S. dollar — The dollar index rose amid uncertainty, making gold more expensive for non-USD buyers and pressuring prices.

Inflation fears and higher-for-longer rates — Escalating geopolitical tensions; Middle East conflicts involving Iran, potential oil disruptions like Strait of Hormuz issues spiked energy prices and inflation expectations. This reinforced views that the Federal Reserve would keep interest rates elevated longer, reducing gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset.

After a strong run-up; gold hit all-time highs near $5,600 in January 2026, institutional investors and traders likely took profits, with some “paper” (futures/commodities trading) liquidation accelerating the move lower. Hawkish Fed signals, hot economic data, and risk-off sentiment in commodities contributed.

Despite the pullback, some analysts note this as a healthy correction within a longer-term bull trend, supported by ongoing central bank buying, geopolitical risks, and inflation hedging demand. Risks remain tilted to the downside short-term if dollar strength or rate expectations persist, but many see potential support around current levels or lower.

Gold price forecasts for 2026 remain predominantly bullish among major analysts and institutions, despite the recent sell-off pushing spot prices to around $4,550–$4,700 per ounce as of mid-March 2026.

This correction follows an extraordinary run-up in prior periods, with all-time highs exceeding $5,500 earlier in the year. The consensus views the current pullback as a healthy reset within a longer-term structural bull market, driven by sustained central bank buying, investor diversification away from dollars, geopolitical risks, inflation hedging, and potential shifts in monetary policy.

However, forecasts vary based on assumptions about Fed rates, dollar strength, global growth, and risk events. J.P. Morgan: Stands out as one of the most bullish, maintaining a year-end 2026 target of $6,300 per ounce. They expect strong demand from central banks and investors to drive prices higher, with an average for Q4 2026 around $5,000–$5,055 in some scenarios, and a raised long-term floor to $4,500.

Goldman Sachs: Year-end 2026 target at $5,400 per ounce; upgraded from prior levels like $4,900, citing private-sector inflows and persistent supportive factors.

UBS: Projects $5,900–$6,200 per ounce by year-end 2026, with potential peaks toward $6,200 in coming months before consolidation; upside scenario up to $7,200 in extreme risk events.

Average/median forecast around $4,746 per ounce for the full year 2026 (highest in poll history), reflecting upward revisions amid uncertainties. Consolidation in $4,000–$4,500 range as base case, with upside to $5,000 possible from reallocations and geopolitics.

Macquarie: Full-year average around $4,323 per ounce. Conservative estimates hover in the $4,200–$5,000 area; annual averages or end-year, while bullish ones target $5,900–$6,300+, implying 20–35%+ upside from current ~$4,600–$4,700 levels. Central bank purchases, ETF/investor inflows, geopolitical escalation, persistent inflation, and de-dollarization trends.

Bearish/counter risks: Stronger-than-expected dollar, delayed Fed cuts or hikes, profit-taking after the rally, or resolved global tensions leading to risk-on flows elsewhere. Many note the rally won’t be linear—corrections like the current one are expected, but the structural demand story supports higher averages over time.

These are forward-looking opinions and subject to rapid change with new data. If you’re considering positions, this isn’t financial advice—consult professionals and consider your risk tolerance.

South Korea’s Opposition Party Introduced Bill to Abolish Crypto Capital Gains Tax 

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South Korea’s main opposition party, the People Power Party (PPP), has recently introduced a bill to abolish the planned cryptocurrency capital gains tax.

This tax, often referred to as a 20% rate; technically 20% national income tax plus 2% local surcharge, totaling up to 22%, targets annual gains exceeding 2.5 million Korean won roughly $1,665–$1,900 USD. It was originally legislated in 2020 but has been postponed multiple times due to industry pushback, investor concerns, and political debates—shifting from an initial 2022 start to the current scheduled date of January 1, 2027.

As of March 2026, cryptocurrency gains remain untaxed in South Korea—no capital gains tax on crypto applies yet. The PPP’s bill, proposed around March 19, 2026 spearheaded by figures like Rep. Song Eon-seok, seeks to amend the Income Tax Act by completely removing the provisions for digital asset taxation.

Key arguments include: Tax unfairness — Traditional investments like stocks are no longer subject to similar income taxes following recent policy changes, creating an uneven playing field for crypto investors. Risk of stifling innovation in the blockchain and digital asset sector.

Concerns over enforcement, double taxation risks, and disproportionate impact on retail investors. The ruling Democratic Party has indicated it will review and discuss the proposal, though no firm commitment to support or oppose has been finalized.

This is the latest development in a long-running saga, with prior delays reflecting similar pressures.This move has generated positive sentiment in crypto communities, including on X, where users highlighted it as potentially bullish for adoption, liquidity, and market momentum in South Korea—one of the world’s largest crypto markets.

If passed, it would eliminate the tax entirely rather than just delay it again. However, the bill must go through the National Assembly process, so the outcome remains uncertain at this stage. Japan’s cryptocurrency tax policies remain in a transitional phase, with significant reforms proposed but not yet fully implemented.

Cryptocurrency gains in Japan are classified as miscellaneous income under the National Tax Agency (NTA) guidelines. This includes profits from trading, mining, staking rewards, airdrops, and other crypto-related activities. Gains are added to your total taxable income and subject to progressive income tax rates (national) plus a flat 10% local inhabitant tax.

National income tax brackets range from 5% (on lower income) up to 45% (on income over ¥40 million, approx. $260,000+ USD), resulting in a maximum effective rate of around 55% for high earners when including local tax.

There is no separate capital gains tax category for crypto unlike stocks or other securities, which enjoy a flat ~20% rate under separate taxation. Losses from crypto can offset other miscellaneous income but not salary or business income in most cases, and carry-forward rules are limited.

Reporting is required if annual miscellaneous income exceeds ¥200,000 (~$1,300 USD), with detailed transaction records needed in yen terms. This high progressive rate has been criticized for discouraging retail and institutional participation, pushing some trading activity overseas or into indirect vehicles like Bitcoin-related stocks.

In late 2025 (December), Japan’s ruling coalition released the 2026 Tax Reform Outline, proposing major changes to align crypto more closely with traditional financial assets like equities:Introduce a flat separate taxation rate of 20.315%; 20% national + 0.315% reconstruction surtax, often rounded to 20% on gains from specified crypto assets.

This would apply to certain transactions involving digital assets handled by registered Financial Instruments Business Operators under the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act (FIEA). Major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum are expected to qualify as “specified” assets on licensed domestic exchanges.

The reform aims to level the playing field with stocks/investment trusts (already at ~20%) and boost domestic adoption, innovation, and revenue through increased activity. Additional elements include potential loss carry-forwards, mandatory disclosures for listed tokens, insider trading rules, and broader regulatory oversight.

The changes are contingent on amendments to the FIEA and other laws. Implementation is targeted for transactions on or after January 1, 2028, though some sources reference earlier application or phased rollout starting 2026/2027 for eligible assets.

As of March 2026, these reforms have been approved in the tax blueprint and supported by the government/FSA, with momentum following political developments. However, they await full legislative passage in the Diet (parliament) during 2026 sessions. No major changes have taken effect yet—crypto remains under the progressive miscellaneous income regime.

This shift is viewed positively in the crypto community as a step toward making Japan more competitive globally, similar to how stock taxation works, and could encourage institutional entry and domestic trading revival.

Nissan Bets on Plug-Free Hybrid to Bridge EV Gap as U.S. Buyers Hesitate

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Nissan Motor is preparing to introduce a new hybrid system to the U.S. market that departs sharply from conventional designs, CNBC reports.

The move positions the automaker as a middle ground between gasoline vehicles and full electric cars at a time when consumer demand is shifting more cautiously than expected.

The system, branded “e-Power,” is a series hybrid—an architecture in which a gasoline engine never directly drives the wheels. Instead, the engine functions solely as a generator, producing electricity that powers electric motors responsible for propulsion. The result, according to company engineers, is a driving experience closer to a battery-electric vehicle, without the need for charging infrastructure.

“This is a unique powertrain for the U.S.,” said Kurt Rosolowsky, a vehicle evaluation and test engineer at Nissan North America. “This is an electrically driven vehicle, as far as what is powering the wheels, but it doesn’t have a plug, and you fill it up with gas like you do with a normal car.”

The technology differs from traditional hybrids, such as the Toyota Prius produced by Toyota Motor, where both the electric motor and the internal combustion engine can power the wheels. In Nissan’s configuration, the internal combustion engine is decoupled from the drivetrain, eliminating the need for a conventional transmission and driveshaft. That mechanical simplification reduces noise, vibration, and harshness, commonly referred to in the industry as NVH.

Nissan plans to roll out the system later this year in a redesigned version of its Rogue compact SUV, one of its best-selling models in the United States. The timing aligns with a broader recalibration across the auto industry. After heavy spending on electric vehicles yielded weaker-than-expected returns, manufacturers are pivoting toward hybrids as a more commercially viable near-term solution.

S&P Global Mobility forecasts hybrid vehicles will account for 18.4% of new U.S. vehicle sales this year, up from 12.6% last year and 7.3% in 2023. By contrast, fully electric vehicles are projected to decline to 7.1% of sales from 8% a year earlier.

The move is also expected to address a competitive gap for Nissan. The company has lagged rivals such as Honda Motor and Toyota in hybrid adoption, even as it was an early entrant in electric vehicles with the Leaf. The financial strain from EV investments has pushed the company to diversify its electrification strategy.

The e-Power system is not new globally. Nissan introduced it in Japan in 2016 and has since sold more than 1.6 million vehicles equipped with the technology across nearly 70 countries. What is new is its adaptation for U.S. consumer expectations, which have historically favored higher power output and sustained highway performance.

To address that, Nissan has developed a more powerful 1.5-liter, three-cylinder turbocharged engine specifically for the U.S. version.

“The turbo is only there to serve efficiency at higher speeds for the gas engine to deliver energy,” Rosolowsky said, acknowledging a known limitation of series hybrids: reduced efficiency at sustained high speeds compared with conventional hybrids.

Industry analysts say the approach could find traction if execution matches expectations. “I think it’s going to be a really good system. I think it’s going to be very popular for Nissan in the new Rogue when it arrives later this year,” said Sam Abuelsamid, vice president of market research at Telemetry.

Early driving impressions from European models equipped with e-Power suggest the system delivers strong low-speed acceleration and effective regenerative braking, hallmarks of electric vehicles, while maintaining the familiarity of a gasoline-powered car. Drivers hear the engine rev, but without gear shifts or the mechanical lag associated with traditional transmissions.

The absence of a plug may also prove decisive. While fully electric vehicles continue to face infrastructure and range concerns in parts of the U.S., e-Power offers a transitional model: electric drive characteristics without dependence on charging networks. That could appeal to buyers reluctant to commit to battery-only vehicles but seeking improved fuel efficiency.

Fuel economy remains a key selling point. A European version of the Rogue Sport equipped with e-Power has demonstrated more than 40 miles per gallon in heavy city driving, compared with just over 30 mpg for current U.S. Rogue models, based on data from the Environmental Protection Agency. Nissan has not yet released official figures for the upcoming U.S. variant.

The system’s modular design could allow broader deployment across Nissan’s lineup. “If we were to expand this to other vehicles, you can theoretically bolt this onto another gasoline engine of a different size and have more options for an e-Power system,” Rosolowsky said.

Rising fuel prices, partly driven by geopolitical tensions in energy-producing regions, are reshaping consumer priorities. At the same time, slower EV adoption is forcing automakers to reconsider timelines for full electrification.

In that environment, Nissan’s series hybrid enters the U.S. market as a calculated compromise.

Palantir’s Maven AI System Gains Official Program of Record Status at Pentagon, Locking in Long-Term Funding and Expanded Military Use

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Deputy Secretary of Defense Steve Feinberg has directed the U.S. military to designate Palantir Technologies’ Maven Smart System as an official “program of record,” a formal status that secures stable, long-term funding and accelerates its adoption across all branches of the armed forces, according to a March 9, 2026, letter reviewed by Reuters.

In the memo sent to senior Pentagon leaders and U.S. military commanders, Feinberg wrote that embedding Maven would equip warfighters “with the latest tools necessary to detect, deter, and dominate our adversaries in all domains.”

The designation is expected to take effect by the end of the current fiscal year on September 30, 2026. The move transfers oversight of Maven from the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency to the Pentagon’s Chief Digital and Artificial Intelligence Office within 30 days. Future contracting will shift to the Army, streamlining procurement and integration.

“It is imperative that we invest now and with focus to deepen the integration of artificial intelligence across the Joint Force and establish AI-enabled decision-making as the cornerstone of our strategy,” Feinberg stressed.

Maven’s Role in Current Operations

Maven serves as the U.S. military’s primary AI command-and-control platform for analyzing battlefield data from satellites, drones, radars, sensors, and intelligence reports. The system uses AI to automatically identify potential threats, including enemy vehicles, buildings, and weapons stockpiles. It has supported thousands of targeted strikes against Iran over the past three weeks amid the ongoing U.S.-Israeli war.

During a presentation at a Palantir event earlier this month, Pentagon official Cameron Stanley demonstrated Maven’s capabilities for weapons targeting in the Middle East. He showed heat map screenshots from the platform and noted: “When we started this, it literally took hours to do what you just saw.”

Palantir maintains that Maven does not make lethal decisions. Humans remain responsible for selecting and approving targets. The company stresses that its software is a decision-support tool, not an autonomous weapon.

Path to Program of Record Status

The program originated in 2017 as Project Maven, initially focused on labeling drone imagery. Palantir took over as the primary contractor in 2024 with a deal worth up to $480 million. That contract ceiling was raised to $1.3 billion in May 2025.

In testimony before the House Armed Services Committee in 2024, Palantir Chief Technology Officer Shyam Sankar said Maven had “tens of thousands” of users and urged Congress to provide additional funding.

Official program of record status will make Maven a permanent line item in defense budgets, reducing reliance on annual ad hoc appropriations and enabling broader deployment across combatant commands, services, and joint operations.

One lingering issue is Maven’s integration of Anthropic’s Claude AI model. Reuters previously reported that Anthropic was deemed a supply-chain risk by the Pentagon in early March 2026 after refusing to remove restrictions on mass domestic surveillance and fully autonomous lethal weapons.

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth imposed a six-month phase-out of Anthropic tools across federal agencies and contractors, though a later Pentagon memo allowed continued use if deemed critical to national security.

United Nations expert panels have repeatedly warned that AI-assisted targeting without human intervention raises ethical, legal, and security risks due to potential biases in training data. Palantir insists humans retain ultimate responsibility for lethal decisions.

The designation is a major victory for Palantir, which has secured a growing portfolio of defense contracts, including a 2025 U.S. Army deal worth up to $10 billion. These awards have helped double the company’s stock price over the past year, lifting its market value to nearly $360 billion.

The decision also reflects the Pentagon’s accelerating embrace of AI as a core enabler of modern warfare. With the Middle East conflict ongoing and no clear end in sight, Maven’s expanded role could deepen U.S. reliance on commercial AI providers while intensifying debates over the ethics, reliability, and strategic risks of automated targeting systems.

As the military moves to institutionalize Maven, after jettisoning Anthropic, the U.S. is potentially setting the framework for AI policy and the broader integration of commercial technology into national security missions.

Trump Administration Temporarily Waives Sanctions on Iranian Oil to Ease Surging Prices Amid Iran War

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The administration of Donald Trump has temporarily relaxed sanctions on Iran’s oil exports, allowing purchases at sea for 30 days in an effort to contain surging global energy prices driven by the ongoing U.S.-Israeli conflict.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the waiver could inject about 140 million barrels of crude into global markets, offering short-term supply relief after oil prices climbed roughly 50% since the war began on February 28.

“In essence, we will be using the Iranian barrels against Tehran to keep the price down as we continue Operation Epic Fury,” Bessent said, framing the move as a tactical adjustment rather than a shift in broader policy.

The license, posted by the Treasury Department, allows Iranian crude already loaded onto vessels to complete its sale or delivery, including potential import into the United States, though such imports remain unlikely given decades of sanctions dating back to the 1979 revolution. The waiver excludes jurisdictions such as Cuba, North Korea, and Crimea and will run until April 19.

It marks the third sanctions reprieve in just over two weeks, following similar steps to allow the movement of stranded Russian oil and earlier Iranian shipments. The administration has also eased domestic shipping restrictions under the Jones Act to allow foreign-flagged vessels to move fuel between U.S. ports, underscoring the urgency of containing price pressures.

The immediate impact is expected to be felt most in Asia, where refiners, particularly independent Chinese operators, have long been the primary buyers of discounted Iranian crude. Energy Secretary Chris Wright said supplies could reach Asian markets within days and filter into refined products over the next several weeks.

Still, the intervention highlights the limits of economic tools in a conflict-driven market. Much of the price surge has been tied not simply to supply constraints but to heightened geopolitical risk, including attacks on energy infrastructure and disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a corridor responsible for roughly a fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas flows.

Analysts say that unless those risks are removed, additional barrels alone are unlikely to produce sustained price relief. Brett Erickson of Obsidian Risk Advisors warned that loosening sanctions during an active conflict signals diminishing policy options.

“If we’ve reached the point of loosening sanctions on the country we are at war with, we’re really running out of options,” he said.

Economists broadly share that assessment. While the waiver may temper prices briefly, potentially for a window of 10 to 14 days, as Bessent suggested in earlier remarks, structural stability in energy markets depends on a cessation of hostilities. As long as the conflict continues, traders are likely to price in the risk of further supply disruptions, keeping crude elevated regardless of incremental supply increases.

The administration has attempted to balance two competing pressures: maintaining maximum economic pressure on Iran while shielding U.S. consumers from the inflationary fallout of the war. Bessent insisted Tehran would struggle to access any proceeds from the oil sales, saying Washington would continue to restrict Iran’s access to the international financial system.

Yet the policy carries contradictions since allowing Iranian oil to flow, even temporarily, introduces additional supply that indirectly benefits Tehran’s export position, even if revenues are constrained. At the same time, the move underscores growing concern within the White House about the domestic political cost of high energy prices ahead of the November midterm elections, when Republicans are seeking to maintain control of Congress.

The near-closure of the Strait of Hormuz, combined with repeated strikes on oil and gas facilities across Iran and neighboring Gulf states, continues to overshadow supply-side interventions. Insurance costs for tankers have risen sharply, and shipping disruptions have tightened available flows regardless of official policy changes.

Supporters of the waiver believe it is a pragmatic step. Mark Dubowitz said the move could help “win the fight against the regime” while easing price pressure. But even proponents acknowledge its limits in the absence of broader de-escalation.

The underlying dynamic remains unchanged. The war has introduced a risk premium into energy markets that cannot be legislated away. Until the conflict between the U.S., Israel, and Iran subsides, or a durable security arrangement restores confidence in supply routes, oil prices are likely to remain volatile.