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‘A Huge Mistake’: Peter Schiff Criticizes Gold-To-Bitcoin Sellers

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American investor and strong Gold advocate Peter Schiff, has renewed his criticism of Bitcoin, arguing that investors who sold their gold holdings to buy the cryptocurrency made “a huge mistake.”

The longtime Bitcoin critic insists that abandoning the traditional safe-haven asset for digital coins could prove increasingly costly, especially as market volatility persists and economic uncertainty deepens.

In a post on X, he wrote,

“Bitcoin is back below $66,000. More significantly, it is back below 13 ounces of gold 64% below its November 2021 high. People who sold gold to buy Bitcoin made a huge mistake. The longer they wait to correct it, the more costly it becomes.”

At the time of Schiff’s post, Bitcoin was trading just under $66,000. His comment comes as the crypto asset recent attempt at recovery appears to be losing momentum as bearish pressure creeps back into the market.

After a brief period of optimism that saw prices stabilize trading above $72,000, BTC has been on a downward trajectory, reflecting a sharp shift in investor sentiment.

Earlier this year, Bitcoin has been very volatile with a selloff that worsened after U.S President Donald Trump announced Kevin Warsh as the nominee to become the next Federal Reserve chair.

Federal Reserve governor Christopher Waller had said that the crypto sector is detached from the traditional finance world and can therefore see big crashes. “I think there was a lot of sell off, just because firms that got into it from mainstream finance had to adjust their risk positions,” he said.

Market indicators now suggest that fear is once again dominating trader psychology, raising concerns about whether the slight pullback that saw BTC trade to around $68,000, is a temporary correction or the start of a deeper slide.

The Santiment chart shows that Bitcoin traders are still in strong fear mode, even after the price recovery. Market sentiment has not recovered at the same pace as the price.

With spot gold hovering near $5,000–$5,080 per ounce, one Bitcoin equated to roughly 12.9–13.2 ounces of gold. In November 2021, during Bitcoin’s previous bull-market climax, BTC briefly approached or exceeded ratios equivalent to about 36–37 ounces of gold (when Bitcoin hit $69,000 and gold was around $1,800–$1,900/oz).

A drop to 13 ounces represents a roughly 64–65% decline in Bitcoin’s gold-denominated purchasing power framing it, in Schiff’s view, as a long-term bear market when measured against the yellow metal.

As of the early hours of February 12, Bitcoin stabilized slightly higher around $67,000–$67,500, but the ratio remains in the low-13-ounce range given gold’s continued strength above $5,000/oz.

Schiff’s who famously predicted the 2008 financial crisis and has consistently promoted physical gold and silver, has used the BTC/gold ratio as a key metric for years.

He argues that Bitcoin lacks the intrinsic qualities of precious metals scarcity backed by geology, industrial/monetary history, and non-reliance on electricity/internet infrastructure and serves more as a speculative asset prone to boom-bust cycles.

Since 2013, Bitcoin has delivered massive gains compared to gold’s more modest returns, even after corrections. Many view the current dip as part of normal crypto volatility within a larger adoption cycle, not a fundamental failure.

Replies to Schiff’s post were polarized with some mocking his repeated “Bitcoin is dead” style calls (which have persisted since 2013), others agreeing that gold’s stability looks attractive amid crypto’s leverage-driven swings.

Outlook

Looking ahead, the Bitcoin–gold debate is unlikely to fade anytime soon. Much will depend on macroeconomic conditions, including U.S. monetary policy, inflation trends, ETF inflows, and overall risk appetite in global markets.

If the Federal Reserve signals tighter liquidity or delays rate cuts, risk assets like Bitcoin could face renewed pressure, potentially strengthening Schiff’s argument in the short term.

However, Bitcoin’s long-term outlook continues to be driven by institutional adoption, regulatory clarity, and its positioning as a digital store of value.

While Schiff frames the shift from gold to Bitcoin as a costly error, some portfolio strategists argue that a diversified exposure to both traditional safe-haven assets and digital alternatives may better position investors for an increasingly complex financial landscape.

Fed Set for Extended Pause as January Jobs Beat Masks 2025 Hiring Stall

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January’s 130,000 job gain offers the Federal Reserve breathing room, but sweeping downward revisions show hiring in 2025 nearly flatlined, complicating the policy outlook.

Federal Reserve officials appear poised to keep interest rates steady for longer after new data showed the U.S. labor market opened 2026 in firmer shape than forecast, even as major revisions revealed that job creation slowed to a crawl last year.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics, in a report delayed by a federal shutdown, said nonfarm payrolls rose by 130,000 in January. Economists surveyed by Reuters had expected a gain of 70,000. The unemployment rate edged down to 4.3% from 4.4%.

The headline strength provides reassurance after months of cooling labor momentum. Yet the broader picture is less straightforward. Revisions released alongside the January data show average monthly job growth in 2025 was about 15,000 — a pace typically associated with the onset of recession rather than a period of solid economic expansion.

A labor market sending mixed signals

The Fed last month voted 10–2 to hold its benchmark rate in a 3.50%–3.75% range, after cutting at each of its final three meetings in 2025. January’s stronger-than-expected payroll figure reduces pressure for immediate action and supports the case for patience.

“With the policy rate around neutral, January’s guidance pointing toward patience and the economy chugging along, an extended pause still seems likely,” Oren Klachkin, financial market economist at Nationwide, wrote in a note.

Interest-rate futures markets shifted after the report. While traders still expect the next rate cut could come at the Fed’s June 16–17 meeting, they now see nearly a 40% probability that policymakers will stay on hold, up from roughly 25% before the release.

Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid described the January job gain as “good news.” He has argued that slower hiring last year was more closely linked to demographic shifts and immigration policy than to weak labor demand.

The revision that changed the narrative

The more consequential development may be the recalibration of 2025 employment data. According to Reuters, the new estimates show average monthly payroll growth of roughly 15,000 for the year. By comparison, from 2010 to 2019, the U.S. economy added an average of 183,000 jobs per month.

That revision materially alters the narrative of labor resilience that prevailed through much of last year. A near-stagnant hiring environment suggests businesses were far more cautious than previously understood.

A sharp drop in immigration during President Donald Trump’s first year back in office likely contributed to the slowdown. With slower labor-force growth, the economy does not need to generate as many jobs to keep unemployment stable. A smaller pool of workers can mask weak hiring dynamics.

Still, parsing structural supply constraints from softening demand is challenging. The unemployment rate has remained relatively contained, but underlying hiring flows appear subdued.

Laura Ullrich, director of economic research in North America for the Indeed Hiring Lab, described conditions as balanced but fragile.

“The low-hire/low-fire environment continues for now, and the declining unemployment rate is always a welcome sign,” she wrote. “But this balance is precarious.”

Productivity surge complicates policy calculus

Another layer of complexity is productivity. U.S. GDP grew at an annualized 4.4% pace in the third quarter, and although growth is expected to moderate, it continues to exceed the sub-2% speed limit that many Fed officials consider sustainable.

Reuters quoted Rick Rieder, BlackRock’s chief investment officer of global fixed income, saying the divergence between economic growth and hiring could signal rising efficiency.

“In past cycles, GDP growth like this has usually required far more hiring,” he wrote. “The fact that hiring has slowed while growth has advanced may potentially be an early signal of a productivity boom that we expect to continue.”

Whether driven by artificial intelligence adoption, capital deepening, or firms operating leaner amid tariff uncertainty and shifting policy signals, higher productivity could allow output to expand without corresponding employment gains.

If that dynamic holds, it may ease inflationary pressure from wages, giving the Fed more room to wait. However, it also raises the possibility that the labor market is weaker than top-line figures suggest.

Internal debate within the Fed

Fed Governor Christopher Waller, who dissented in favor of holding rates steady last month, had previously argued the labor market in 2025 was weaker than widely believed. On January 30, he said he expected revisions to show “Zero. Zip. Nada” job growth.

While the updated data do not confirm outright stagnation, they reinforce the sense of a labor market that has cooled considerably. The risk for policymakers is that prolonged weak hiring could eventually translate into higher unemployment if economic growth slows.

Currently, inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% target, keeping price stability at the forefront of policy discussions. With rates considered close to neutral and the economy still expanding, officials appear inclined to maintain their current stance while assessing incoming data.

The January report provides near-term reassurance. The revisions, however, introduce a longer-term question: whether the labor market is stabilizing at a lower equilibrium or quietly edging toward vulnerability.

That uncertainty is likely to anchor the Fed’s cautious posture in the months ahead.

Musk Restructures xAI Amid Co-Founder Exodus and Regulatory Scrutiny

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xAI has undergone a reorganization “to improve speed of execution,” Elon Musk said, as the company grapples with leadership exits, regulatory probes, and a blockbuster merger with SpaceX.

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk on Wednesday confirmed that his artificial intelligence company, xAI, has implemented a reorganization that resulted in the departure of some employees, marking another turning point for a firm already facing leadership churn and mounting regulatory pressure.

In a post on X, Musk said the restructuring “required parting ways with some people,” adding that the overhaul was designed “to improve speed of execution.” He did not specify which employees were affected or whether the exits were voluntary or part of workforce reductions.

“We are hiring aggressively,” Musk wrote.

The reorganization follows a wave of high-profile departures. Earlier this week, co-founders Jimmy Ba and Tony Wu announced they were leaving the company. Their exits add to previous departures of founding members, including Igor Babuschkin, Kyle Kosic, Christian Szegedy, and Greg Yang. With these moves, roughly half of xAI’s original 12 co-founders have exited since the company’s 2023 launch.

The shake-up comes just days after Musk unveiled an all-stock transaction in which SpaceX agreed to acquire xAI. According to documents viewed by CNBC, the deal values SpaceX at $1 trillion and xAI at $250 billion following the merger.

The transaction consolidates Musk’s aerospace, social media, and artificial intelligence interests under a more tightly integrated structure. xAI already owns and operates the social network X and develops Grok, its generative AI chatbot and image system. Musk previously used xAI to acquire X in an all-stock deal announced in March 2025.

The SpaceX-xAI merger creates a combined entity valued at $1.25 trillion, positioning it among the most highly valued private technology groups globally. SpaceX is reportedly preparing for a public offering later this year, a move that would expose the newly consolidated structure to deeper investor scrutiny.

The reorganization at xAI appears aimed at aligning internal operations with that strategic integration. By centralizing decision-making and accelerating product cycles, Musk may be seeking to streamline AI development in tandem with SpaceX’s infrastructure ambitions, including large-scale data center deployment.

At the same time, xAI faces regulatory probes in multiple jurisdictions across Europe, Asia, and the United States. Authorities are investigating whether the company violated regional laws after Grok enabled the mass creation and distribution of non-consensual explicit images, commonly referred to as deepfake pornography.

The images reportedly involved photos of real individuals, including minors, raising potential legal exposure under child protection, privacy, and digital safety statutes. Regulators are examining platform moderation systems, content safeguards, and whether xAI complied with applicable obligations to prevent harmful synthetic media dissemination.

The investigations add to the operational complexity of reshaping the company’s structure. For a firm positioning itself as a competitor to OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic, regulatory compliance and reputational management now sit alongside engineering performance as core strategic priorities.

Competitive pressure in the AI race

Musk founded xAI in 2023 with 11 other researchers and engineers, stating at the time that the company’s goal was to “understand the true nature of the universe.” The launch followed Musk’s public criticism of OpenAI, which he co-founded but later left.

Since then, competition in generative AI has intensified. OpenAI and Anthropic continue to release increasingly capable models, while Google has expanded its Gemini platform across consumer and enterprise applications. To compete effectively, xAI must scale model training, improve inference performance, and secure sufficient computing capacity.

The integration with SpaceX may provide structural advantages. SpaceX’s capital base and satellite infrastructure could support Musk’s broader ambition to build data centers in space, a concept he has previously floated as a way to address energy and cooling constraints facing terrestrial AI infrastructure.

However, leadership stability is critical in high-performance AI labs, where research continuity and model iteration cycles depend on tightly coordinated teams. The departure of multiple founding technologists may affect institutional knowledge and product momentum.

IPO timing and investor scrutiny

The restructuring also comes as SpaceX prepares for a potential public listing. An IPO would subject the merged entity to enhanced disclosure requirements, including detailed reporting on governance, risk exposure, and regulatory proceedings.

Investors typically scrutinize founder-driven conglomerate structures, particularly where cross-holdings and related-party transactions are involved. Consolidating xAI under SpaceX simplifies ownership architecture but may also concentrate operational risk within a single corporate umbrella.

Musk’s statement that the company is “hiring aggressively” suggests that while some personnel were cut, recruitment continues as part of a broader reset. Whether the reorganization stabilizes leadership and accelerates product delivery will likely become clearer in the months leading up to any public offering.

House Rebukes Trump, Passes Resolution Disapproving Tariffs on Canada as GOP Divisions Spill Into Open

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In a rare and politically fraught move, the House of Representatives on Wednesday approved a resolution disapproving of President Donald Trump’s tariffs on Canada, delivering an unmistakable rebuke to one of the president’s defining economic policies and exposing fault lines within the Republican conference.

The resolution passed 219–211, with several Republicans breaking ranks to join Democrats, according to CNBC. One Democrat, Rep. Jared Golden of Maine, voted against the measure. The outcome underscored the volatility of governing with a razor-thin majority and forced GOP lawmakers into a stark choice between party loyalty and policy concerns in districts where tariffs have become a political liability.

The House action comes as the Supreme Court is expected to weigh in on legal challenges to Trump’s tariffs, a decision that could redefine the scope of executive authority over trade. By moving now, lawmakers have inserted Congress directly into a legal and institutional contest that has simmered for some time: how much unilateral power the president should wield in imposing tariffs under statutes that delegate trade authority from Capitol Hill.

The measure, introduced by Rep. Gregory Meeks, D-N.Y., advanced after a dramatic procedural defeat the day before. On Tuesday, three Republicans joined all Democrats to block a rule that would have prevented House challenges to Trump’s tariffs through July 31. That failed rule vote opened the door to Wednesday’s resolution.

Trump, who has made tariffs central to his “America-first” trade posture, publicly pressured Republicans during the vote.

“Any Republican, in the House or the Senate, that votes against TARIFFS will seriously suffer the consequences come Election time, and that includes Primaries!” Trump wrote on his TRUTH Social account. “TARIFFS have given us Economic and National Security, and no Republican should be responsible for destroying this privilege.”

The warning did not deter all members.

Rep. Don Bacon, R-Neb., who is retiring at the end of his term, voted in favor of the anti-tariff resolution. He said the White House attempted to sway him.

“I voted on principle,” Bacon told reporters, referring to Tuesday’s procedural vote. “They were trying to do sweeteners for Nebraska, but I said what about the other 49 states?”

Bacon has been explicit in his economic critique. After Tuesday’s vote, he posted on X: “I don’t like putting the important work of the House on pause, but Congress needs to be able to debate on tariffs. Tariffs have been a ‘net negative’ for the economy and are a significant tax that American consumers, manufacturers, and farmers are paying.”

That framing — tariffs as a de facto tax — captures the argument animating many of the Republicans who defected. For members representing agricultural states, manufacturing-heavy districts, or suburban swing seats, tariffs on Canada raise concerns about retaliatory measures, higher input costs, and consumer price pressures.

Canada is one of the United States’ largest trading partners, deeply integrated into North American supply chains spanning energy, agriculture, autos, and construction materials. Tariffs can ripple quickly through those systems, affecting everything from fertilizer and farm exports to auto parts and household goods. Lawmakers in politically competitive districts are acutely sensitive to the downstream cost implications.

For Democrats, the vote was both policy and politics.

“The Speaker continues to abdicate his responsibilities, ceding Congress’s Article I authority to Donald Trump,” Meeks, the top Democrat on the House Foreign Affairs Committee, said in a statement posted to X. “Republicans now face a clear choice: go on the record and join Democrats in ending these cost-raising tariffs, or keep forcing American families to pay for them.”

The Article I reference is central to the constitutional argument underpinning the resolution. Congress holds the power to regulate commerce with foreign nations, though over the decades it has delegated significant authority to the executive branch. Trump has relied on that delegated authority to impose tariffs, often invoking national security or emergency powers. Wednesday’s vote signals that at least some lawmakers are uneasy with the breadth of that discretion.

Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., framed the resolution as misguided and strategically ill-timed.

“This is life with a razor-thin majority,” Johnson said Wednesday morning on Fox Business. “I think it’s a big mistake. I don’t think we need to go down the road of trying to limit the president’s power while he is in the midst of negotiating America-first trade agreements with nations around the world.”

Johnson’s margin for error is exceptionally narrow. With the GOP holding only a slim majority, he can afford to lose just one Republican vote if all Democrats are present and united. That structural fragility has magnified the influence of individual members willing to buck leadership, particularly on issues that cut across ideological lines.

The tariff vote illustrates a broader tension within the Republican Party. While Trump’s base remains strongly supportive of his trade posture, segments of the traditional pro-business wing remain wary of tariffs as market distortions that can suppress growth, raise costs, and invite retaliation.

Reps. Thomas Massie of Kentucky and Kevin Kiley of California joined Bacon on Tuesday in defeating the rule that would have shielded the tariffs from House challenge. Their votes reflected a mix of constitutional, fiscal, and economic arguments — skepticism about executive overreach and concern over the economic drag associated with trade barriers.

Still, the immediate practical effect of the resolution may be limited. Even if the Senate were to approve the measure, Trump would almost certainly veto it. Overriding a presidential veto would require a two-thirds majority in both chambers — a highly unlikely threshold given current partisan alignments.

In that sense, the vote is as much a political marker as a legislative milestone. It places lawmakers on the record at a time when trade policy is once again central to economic debate. For Republicans in competitive districts, it provides an opportunity to demonstrate independence from the White House.

Yet the longer-term implications may lie less in the fate of this specific tariff and more in the precedent it sets. With Trump doubling down on trade as a tool of economic and national security policy, congressional resistance — even symbolic — suggests that tariff policy will remain contested terrain inside his own party.

As the administration continues to pursue what Johnson described as “America-first trade agreements,” the House vote signals that not all Republicans are prepared to grant the White House a blank check on tariffs. The resolution stands as a rare congressional rebuke of a sitting president’s signature economic approach.

Brad Jacobs Doubles Down on Scale as QXO Strikes $2.25bn Kodiak Acquisition Deal

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Building-products distributor QXO has agreed to acquire privately held Kodiak Building Partners for about $2.25 billion, according to two people with direct knowledge of the matter, who spoke to Reuters.

The transaction marks QXO’s second major deal after its $11 billion purchase of Beacon Roofing Supply last year and signals a renewed push by Jacobs to build a national heavyweight capable of competing with industry titans Home Depot and Lowe’s.

The deal comes months after Jacobs’ failed attempt to acquire GMS, a drywall and ceilings distributor that ultimately agreed to be bought by Atlanta-based Home Depot. That setback slowed QXO’s expansion ambitions and sharpened scrutiny around its ability to scale quickly in a consolidating market. Kodiak now offers Jacobs both a rebound opportunity and a strategic pivot beyond roofing.

QXO, which distributes roofing and waterproofing materials, currently generates roughly $5 billion in annual revenue and carries a market capitalization exceeding $16 billion. By contrast, Home Depot and Lowe’s are valued at approximately $388 billion and $160 billion, respectively, underscoring the scale disparity Jacobs is attempting to close.

Kodiak brings $2.4 billion in annual revenue, 110 locations across 26 states, and a workforce of about 5,500 employees. While QXO has historically concentrated on roofing and related categories, Kodiak distributes lumber, trusses, gypsum, and other core construction materials essential to large homebuilders and regional contractors. It also provides in-house fabrication and installation services, giving QXO exposure to higher-margin value-added operations.

The acquisition, therefore, does more than increase revenue; it diversifies product mix and deepens QXO’s presence in structural building materials, positioning it more squarely within the mainstream construction supply chain.

Purchasing Power and Supplier Leverage

One of the most immediate strategic advantages lies in procurement scale. Sixteen of Kodiak’s top 20 vendors already supply QXO. That overlap provides an opportunity to consolidate purchasing volumes, negotiate better pricing, and streamline logistics across a broader platform.

In an industry where margins are often tight and inventory management is critical, scale directly translates into leverage. Larger distributors can negotiate improved payment terms, volume rebates, and preferential supply allocations—advantages that become especially important during periods of constrained materials availability.

By integrating Kodiak’s supplier base, QXO could expand its cross-selling opportunities, offering customers a wider array of products while deepening vendor relationships. The shared supplier footprint also reduces integration friction compared to a more dissimilar acquisition.

Financial Structure and Valuation

Under the terms of the agreement, QXO will pay approximately $2 billion in cash and issue 13.2 million shares to Kodiak’s owners. QXO retains an option to repurchase those shares at $40 apiece, according to one of the sources.

The implied enterprise value equates to roughly 10.7 times Kodiak’s projected 2025 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, and about 0.95 times sales. For a distribution business operating in a cyclical sector, that multiple sits within the range seen in recent building products transactions, particularly where scale and geographic footprint are attractive.

QXO has bolstered its financial capacity ahead of further deals. The company recently secured a $3 billion convertible preferred financing led by Apollo and Temasek, providing fresh capital and borrowing flexibility. That war chest, combined with the Kodiak purchase, suggests additional acquisitions may follow in the coming months, potentially involving both private and public targets.

A Consolidating Industry

The deal comes when high U.S. mortgage rates have weighed on new home construction and large renovation projects. Builders face slower starts, and homeowners have been more cautious about major remodeling expenditures. Yet distributors are positioning for a cyclical rebound, with expectations that interest rates could ease.

Industry consolidation has accelerated over the past two years. Home Depot acquired SRS Distribution for about $18.25 billion in 2024 and later agreed to acquire GMS through SRS. Lowe’s countered with an $8.8 billion purchase of Foundation Building Materials and earlier bought Artisan Design Group.

These transactions signal that large retailers are pushing aggressively into professional contractor distribution channels. Jacobs’ strategy appears to be building a focused distribution platform that can operate with the speed and specialization of a pure-play wholesaler, rather than a big-box retail hybrid.

Technology as a Differentiator

Jacobs has repeatedly emphasized the use of artificial intelligence to forecast demand and optimize inventory management. In distribution, where margins can hinge on inventory turnover and working capital efficiency, predictive analytics can reduce stockouts, cut excess inventory, and improve service levels.

If effectively implemented, AI-driven demand planning could differentiate QXO from more traditional operators. The scale gained through acquisitions like Kodiak increases the dataset available for forecasting, potentially strengthening model accuracy.

However, execution risk remains significant. Integrating multiple acquisitions while layering in new technology platforms can strain operational systems and management bandwidth. Investors will likely watch closely to see whether promised efficiencies materialize.

The Kodiak acquisition serves multiple purposes for Jacobs. It restores acquisition momentum after the GMS setback. It broadens QXO’s product categories into structural materials central to homebuilding. It increases purchasing leverage. And it demonstrates to investors that QXO remains committed to its ambitious goal of expanding revenue toward $50 billion over time.

Yet the competitive gap with Home Depot and Lowe’s remains vast. Those companies benefit from entrenched supplier relationships, vast distribution networks, and diversified revenue streams. QXO’s path to parity will depend on sustained dealmaking, disciplined integration, and capital market support.

This deal is a clear indicator that the consolidation race in building products distribution is intensifying. With private equity capital flowing into the sector and large retailers pushing deeper into professional channels, mid-sized distributors may increasingly find themselves acquisition targets.