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BMNR’s Tom Lee Says That The DAT Bubble May Have Already Burst, as Over $1.2B In Leveraged Positions Liquidated in the Crypto Markets

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Tom Lee, the well-known strategist from Fundstrat Global Advisors and current chairman of BitMine Immersion Technologies (ticker: BMNR), recently stated that the “bubble” in digital asset treasury (DAT) companies may have already burst.

He made these comments during an appearance on Fortune’s Crypto Playbook podcast amid a broader discussion on the crypto market’s volatility and the rise and potential fall of DATs.

What Are DATs?

DATs are publicly traded companies designed to give investors indirect exposure to cryptocurrencies by holding large amounts of digital assets like Bitcoin or Ethereum on their balance sheets.

They’re often modeled after Strategy’s Bitcoin-heavy strategy, but applied to various cryptos. The sector exploded in popularity over the past two years as a way for institutions and retail investors to bet on crypto without directly buying coins—especially useful before widespread ETF approvals.

However, with hundreds of DATs now launching, the model has faced scrutiny for creating speculative hype without enough underlying value creation.Lee highlighted that many DATs are now trading below their net asset value (NAV)—meaning their stock prices are lower than the market value of the cryptocurrencies they hold.

He quipped, “If that’s not already a bubble burst, how would that bubble burst?” This reflects thinning liquidity, reduced institutional demand, and a market that’s grown “discerning” about which firms actually add shareholder value beyond just holding crypto.

He warned that simply “holding crypto on a balance sheet doesn’t guarantee long-term performance,” pointing to a $19 billion liquidation event in crypto derivatives earlier that week as a symptom of broader fragility.

Estimates suggest the total DAT market is worth around $162 billion, but 80% of firms are now underwater relative to their holdings. Despite the bearish tone, Lee positioned BMNR which recently completed an $827 million Ethereum buying spree, bringing its holdings to over 3 million ETH worth ~$11.88 billion as an exception.

He described it as more than a “passive DAT”—it’s the world’s largest Ethereum holder, acting as a “liaison between Wall Street and blockchain innovation.” BMNR aims to accumulate 5% of Ethereum’s circulating supply, emphasizing Ethereum’s role in tokenized assets and stablecoins.

Ethereum (ETH) has been under pressure, with recent liquidations wiping out leveraged positions, and broader market fears of a “trade war” under a potential Trump administration adding to the downside.

The hype phase is done. Now it’s builders, believers, and value creators time,” tying it to a potential setup for the next bull run. Skeptics like Raremints questioned if the “biggest ETH bull” (Lee) is turning bearish.

Many DATs trading below NAV signals a market correction, with investors losing confidence in firms merely holding crypto. Weaker DATs may fail or consolidate, favoring stronger players like BMNR with scale and strategic focus.

Reduced hype and liquidity suggest investors should prioritize fundamentals over speculative crypto exposure. Recent liquidations and macro fears like trade war risks could further pressure DAT stocks and crypto prices.

BMNR’s Ethereum focus and proactive strategy may position it to outperform in a maturing market. Lee’s take signals a shakeout in the DAT space—survival of the fittest, where scaled players like BMNR might thrive while smaller ones consolidate or fail.

If you’re invested in BMNR or similar, this could be a moment to reassess NAV discounts versus long-term crypto bets.

Over $1.2B In Leveraged Positions Liquidated in the Crypto Markets

The crypto market is experiencing significant volatility today, October 17, 2025, with over $1.2 billion in leveraged positions liquidated in the past 24 hours alone.

This comes on the heels of a broader sell-off triggered by escalating U.S.-China trade tensions, including President Trump’s announcement of 100% tariffs on Chinese imports, which ignited panic selling earlier in the week.

The total market capitalization has indeed plunged to around $3.75 trillion—levels last seen in early July 2025—wiping out approximately $730 billion in value since the peak last week.

The $1.2B figure primarily affects long positions bets on rising prices, with nearly 79% of liquidations coming from bullish trades. This has hit over 307,000 traders, with standout losses including a $20.4M Ethereum position on Hyperliquid.

This is a continuation of the historic October 10-11 liquidation cascade, which saw a record-breaking $19B some estimates up to $40B in forced closures across the market—the largest single event in crypto history, surpassing the COVID crash $1.2B in 2020, FTX collapse ($3.5B in 2022), and Terra/Luna unwind $8.6B in 2022.

Low liquidity and high leverage amplified the downturn, leading to cascading effects on exchanges. Bitcoin (BTC) has dropped below $106,000, shedding over 5% in the last day, while Ethereum (ETH) and altcoins like Solana (SOL) and Ripple (XRP) saw even steeper declines of 7-10%.

This purge of over-leveraged positions could act as a “healthy reset,” flushing out excessive speculation and potentially stabilizing prices in the medium term—similar to past corrections that preceded recoveries.

However, ongoing geopolitical risks and thinner liquidity in credit markets are heightening caution among investors. Options traders are piling into protective puts on BTC (e.g., at $95K and $115K strikes), signaling bets on further downside.

This cascade wasn’t just a price drop—it exposed deep vulnerabilities in leverage, liquidity, oracles, and stablecoins, turning a geopolitical shock into a systemic purge.

The meltdown unfolded rapidly on a low-liquidity Friday evening into Saturday, amplifying the chaos: October 10, ~4:00 PM U.S. equities close down sharply S&P 500 -2.7%, Nasdaq -3.4% amid broader trade war fears. Crypto, trading 24/7, begins feeling the heat.

President Donald Trump posts on Truth Social about imposing a 100% tariff on all Chinese imports effective November 1, 2025, plus export controls on “critical software.” This escalates U.S.-China tensions, triggered by China’s rare earth mineral export bans, hitting supply chains for chips like NVIDIA and AI/tech sectors.

Bitcoin (BTC) instantly wicks down $3,000. BTC plunges from ~$122,000 to below $110,000 (-10% in hours). Ethereum (ETH) drops 7-12% to ~$3,844. Over $6B-$8B liquidated in the first hour alone, with $3B in the first 60 minutes.

Prices bottom out—BTC at $101,000-$104,782 (-14% to -21% from highs), ETH at $3,373-$3,500 (-18%), Solana (SOL) below $140 (-30%). Altcoins like Dogecoin (DOGE) -50%, Cosmos (ATOM) flash-crash -99% (partial recovery). Total liquidations hit $19B+ by Saturday morning, with $16.7B from long positions (86% longs vs. shorts).

Partial rebound—BTC to $113,000-$114,000, ETH to $3,900+. But fear lingers, with options traders loading protective puts. BTC saw $5.39B in liquidations mostly longs, ETH $4.44B. Altcoins bore the brunt—127K+ traders hit, with meme coins and low-cap assets dropping 50-99% before rebounds.

Tragic reports emerged, including the suicide of Ukrainian crypto influencer Konstantin Galish in a Lamborghini, linked to massive losses. Public firms like Bitmine reported $1.9B floating losses on ETH holdings.

 

Trump’s tariff announcement ignited trade war fears, strengthening the USD (DXY +2%) and crushing risk assets. Crypto, correlated with tech stocks, got hammered as “collateral damage” from equity deleveraging—no chips without rare earths, no NVIDIA rally, no risk-on vibe.

High leverage up to 100x on perps created a domino effect—margin calls triggered sells, which hit more stops. 99.4% of BTC supply was in profit pre-crash, but short-term holders (STHs) dumped 26K+ BTC.

Weekend thinness + market makers withdrawing to manage inventory starved bids. Exchanges like Binance, Coinbase, and Kraken reported “glitches,” halts, and delays up to 25 minutes, turning a 5-10% dip into a rout. Hyperliquid’s auto-deleveraging (ADL) forced profitable shorts to close, worsening the spiral.

Centralized oracles Chainlink/Pyth fed “faulty” CEX prices (e.g., Binance-dominant), poisoning DEX liquidations. Ethena’s USDe yield-bearing stable depegged to $0.6567 (-34%), exposing multi-asset reserve mismatches under redemption stress.

Suspicious pre-crash activity—whales opened $1.1B in shorts like the $438M BTC at 10x on Hyperliquid hours before the announcement, netting $200M+ profits. On-chain data shows BlackRock-like clusters dumping $970M BTC/ETH “disguised” as rebalancing.

Analysts like Lark Davis called it the “worst ever,” but a “healthy deleveraging” flushing speculation. Leverage ratios dropped sharply, potentially paving for Q4 stability. Options activity spiked on downside protection.

Exposed CEX/oracle centralization risks, stablecoin fragility, and crypto’s macro sensitivity. Regulators may push for better safeguards; meanwhile, inflows to platforms like Kalshi prediction markets surged.

Remnants linger in today’s $1.2B liqs, but this cascade could precede a rebound—historical flushes often yield 20-300% rallies. If you’re in the game, remember: position sizing over predictions.

Investors Flock to Gold as Bitcoin Suffers Sharp Weekly Decline

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Bitcoin recent sharp decline, have forced investors to pull out their resources from the crypto asset, redirecting it toward gold, according to multiple market reports.

The leading cryptocurrency declined more than 5% to around $105,105 on Friday, extending its losses to roughly 13% below its October 6 peak of nearly $126,000. The crypto asset saw a slight pull back to trade to $106,917 at the time of writing.

Analysts attributed the selloff to heavy crypto liquidations, which added significant pressure to the market. While Bitcoin continued on its downward trajectory, gold surged to new record highs. Spot gold prices climbed above $4,300 an ounce, reaching a session peak near $4,312, while U.S. futures briefly touched $4,328.70. The rally reflected a strong shift toward traditional safe-haven assets as investors weighed mounting economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions. Reports indicated that gold is on pace for its biggest weekly gain since 2008.

Several factors fueled this week’s contrasting trends. Forced selling in the crypto derivatives market amplified downward moves, with one report estimating $1.23 billion in liquidations over a 24-hour period. Of that, $453 million came from Bitcoin positions and $277 million from Ethereum. Simultaneously, renewed concerns over regional U.S. banks and uncertainty surrounding future interest rate decisions strengthened demand for gold.

Exchange-traded funds also played a crucial role. Gold ETFs experienced robust inflows, with some funds reaching long-term holding highs as investors sought security. In contrast, spot Bitcoin ETFssaw net outflows in parts of the week, signaling a clear rotation from digital to traditional assets. Analysts observed that during times of financial stress, the liquidity and behavioral differences between gold and cryptocurrencies become more apparent.

The week’s events reignited the long-standing debate over whether Bitcoin truly serves as “digital gold.” Critics noted that Bitcoin’s volatility and tendency to decline alongside other risk assets during market selloffs undermine its role as a reliable store of value.

Gold advocate Peter Schiff stated on X that “Gold is eating Bitcoin’s lunch”, claiming that Bitcoin is “down 32% priced in gold since its August high.” He further argues that a “brutal” bear market for Bitcoin is imminent.

However, amid BTC massive decline, several others have pointed out that the crypto asset has still provided strong returns for certain investors throughout the year, even if it fails to match gold’s resilience in times of crisis.

Crypto analyst and Investor Miles Duetscher, believes that Bitcoin has superseded Gold to become a far superior asset for purchase

He made this statement in response to a post on X that stated that Gold has been very much outperforming Bitcoin since the start of March. He replied, “BTC is a much better buy than Gold now”.

While the speed of gold’s rise is remarkable, Deutscher argues that Bitcoin presents a more asymmetric opportunity moving forward. He suggests that much of gold’s upside may already be priced in after this year’s extraordinary performance.

The crypto market has failed to sustain the initial “Uptober” hype as prices of leading cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin, have returned to levels not seen in months, with bearish sentiments increasingly intensifying. While Bitcoin has continued to plunge deeper, renowned crypto market prediction platform Polymarket has disclosed data showing a 52% chance that Bitcoin will fall below $100,000 this month.

Despite the discouraging price trend, institutional investors like Michael Saylor’s Strategy have not given up on their aggressive Bitcoin accumulation. Although the firm appears to be exercising caution, it has continued its weekly accumulation but has significantly reduced the volume of its purchases amid the declining price trend.

Outlook

Market attention now turns to the Federal Reserve and the outlook for U.S. banks. Should expectations for rate cuts strengthen, gold may continue its upward momentum. Conversely, if risk appetite returns, some of the capital currently parked in gold could flow back into cryptocurrencies.

ChatGPT’s Mobile App Growth Slows as User Engagement Declines, Signaling End of Early Boom Phase

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ChatGPT’s mobile app appears to be entering a new phase of maturity after more than a year of explosive growth, as new data suggests that its download momentum and user engagement are beginning to flatten.

According to analytics firm Apptopia, global download growth of the app has slowed sharply since April, and daily active user (DAU) trends are now leveling off, signaling that OpenAI’s most popular product may have reached its early adoption peak.

Apptopia’s analysis shows that the percentage change in new global downloads began tapering off in the second quarter of the year, with October on pace to record an 8.1% month-over-month decline in new downloads. While millions of people continue to install the app each day, the data highlights a slowdown in growth rate rather than a fall in total numbers — a key distinction that nonetheless suggests the initial viral surge is cooling.

The stagnation in download growth coincides with declines in several engagement metrics. In the United States, Apptopia found that the average time spent per DAU has dropped by 22.5% since July, while average sessions per DAU are down by 20.7%. This means users are not only spending less time in the ChatGPT app but also opening it fewer times per day.

However, there’s a nuance to the shift: user churn in the U.S. has stabilized, suggesting that while casual experimenters are leaving, the app is now retaining a loyal base of regular users who incorporate ChatGPT into their routines for productivity, research, or creative tasks.

Apptopia analysts interpret these findings as a sign that ChatGPT has transitioned out of its “experimentation phase” — a period when millions of users downloaded the app simply to test its capabilities — and into a more normalized phase of sustained, functional use.

That transition is not necessarily bad news for OpenAI. In fact, it mirrors the trajectory of many viral apps that initially surge on novelty before finding a stable, long-term user base. But for OpenAI, it underscores the challenge of maintaining engagement as the product matures.

Part of the slowdown, analysts suggest, may stem from increased competition and changes in user perception of ChatGPT’s AI behavior. Following an April update intended to make the chatbot’s responses less sycophantic, and the August release of GPT-5 — a model described as more factual but less personable — some users have reported the app feels more transactional and less “conversational” than before.

That tonal shift, coupled with competition from Google’s rapidly expanding Gemini ecosystem, may have chipped away at the app’s stickiness. Gemini’s recent surge in downloads, especially following the release of Google’s AI image model Nano Banana in September, has vaulted it to the top of app charts in several countries, drawing attention from users seeking alternative AI experiences.

Still, Apptopia cautions against attributing the full decline in ChatGPT’s engagement to Gemini’s rise. The downward trend in average session time and frequency began months before Google’s latest AI push, suggesting deeper behavioral changes among users.

The firm points out that if only the average time per DAU were falling, it could imply users were simply becoming more efficient with their prompts. But the simultaneous drop in both time spent and session frequency suggests that people are using ChatGPT less intensively overall.

Many note that this pattern — a surge in early engagement followed by normalization — is common in the lifecycle of transformative technologies. In its first months, ChatGPT was a global curiosity, drawing hundreds of millions of users who tested its capabilities across everything from writing poems to generating code. But as the novelty fades, sustained growth now depends on continual product innovation, integration, and value creation.

For OpenAI, that means shifting from viral growth to user retention. The company has already begun deepening partnerships that extend ChatGPT’s utility beyond text generation — including deals with Walmart and India’s National Payments Corporation to enable in-app shopping and AI-powered payments via UPI. These integrations are part of a broader strategy to embed ChatGPT into everyday commerce and productivity ecosystems, potentially reigniting user engagement through functionality rather than novelty.

Nevertheless, the report suggests that OpenAI can no longer rely on organic growth alone to expand its user base. To sustain momentum, it will likely need to increase marketing investment, roll out new features, and perhaps expand the personalization capabilities that once made ChatGPT feel more conversational and engaging.

With an estimated 800 million users worldwide — more than 10% of the global adult population — ChatGPT remains by far the world’s most widely used AI application. Yet the Apptopia data underscores that even technological revolutions must evolve beyond their hype cycle. The challenge for OpenAI now is to ensure that ChatGPT’s next phase is defined not by slowing growth, but by deeper integration into the everyday fabric of digital life.

Jefferies CEO Rich Handler Says Bank Was Defrauded by Bankrupt Auto Parts Maker First Brands Group

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Jefferies Financial Group CEO Rich Handler said Thursday that the Wall Street investment bank was defrauded by bankrupt auto parts manufacturer First Brands Group, marking the latest fallout from a corporate collapse that has rattled U.S. credit markets.

“I’ll just say this is us personally — we believe we were defrauded,” Handler told analysts and investors during the firm’s investor day, according to a regulatory filing released Friday.

He did not provide specific details about the alleged fraud, but said Jefferies remains confident in the overall business environment despite the episode.

His comments come as the U.S. Department of Justice investigates First Brands Group and as several financial institutions have reported potential losses tied to the company. The auto parts maker filed for bankruptcy protection in late September, listing more than $10 billion in liabilities, sending shockwaves through leveraged credit markets.

Fallout Across Credit Markets

The collapse of First Brands — alongside that of subprime lender and car dealership Tricolor — has deepened concerns in Wall Street’s multitrillion-dollar credit ecosystem, which spans leveraged loans, collateralized loan obligations (CLOs), trade-finance funds, and subprime auto lending.

“I’m not saying there aren’t other issues like this,” Handler said. “I think there’s a fight going on right now between the banks and direct lenders who each want to point fingers at each other and say, ‘It’s your fault, no, it’s your fault.’”

Those remarks point to growing tension between traditional banks and private credit funds, as both sides grapple with defaults that threaten to expose weaknesses in risk management and underwriting standards across the market.

Jefferies’ stock tumbled sharply after First Brands’ bankruptcy filing, though it rebounded 5% on Friday after Thursday’s steep selloff. Analysts at Oppenheimer said the drop was driven largely by “atmospheric” credit concerns rather than by any material financial weakness at Jefferies, noting that credit managers, business development companies (BDCs), and several banks had come under similar pressure.

Jefferies President Brian Friedman stressed that the investment bank’s exposure to First Brands was isolated from its core operations.

“Kind of Chinese Wall 101. Nothing more to be said,” Friedman told investors. “The two have absolutely no relationship and, in fact, the decision in 2019 of the asset management Point Bonita team to engage with First Brands was absolutely independent and disconnected from anything on the investment banking side.”

Friedman said the fund involved was managed by Leucadia Asset Management, a Jefferies subsidiary that oversees alternative investments. Jefferies disclosed earlier this month that Leucadia holds about $715 million in receivables tied to First Brands but reiterated that its direct exposure after potential recoveries is under $100 million.

“We’ve estimated the firm’s direct exposure to the First Brands fallout to be relatively small — comfortably under $100 million,” said Morningstar analyst Sean Dunlop, noting that the potential loss is “readily absorbable” given Jefferies’ capital position.

Broader Sector Ripples

The First Brands bankruptcy has compounded broader credit jitters in the U.S. banking sector. Shares of several regional lenders slumped this week after Zions Bancorporation disclosed a $50 million charge-off in the third quarter, while Western Alliance Bank filed a lawsuit alleging borrower fraud.

The concerns briefly spilled over into European and Asian markets, where investors reacted to fears of contagion in corporate credit. However, U.S. banking stocks later recovered after a series of strong earnings reports reassured investors about the sector’s underlying health.

DOJ Probe Deepens

Meanwhile, the Justice Department’s probe into First Brands is said to be focusing on accounting irregularities and the company’s relationships with key creditors, according to people familiar with the investigation. The inquiry is expected to widen as regulators examine whether the company’s financing structure concealed deeper liquidity problems.

Handler’s acknowledgment of fraud adds a personal dimension to Jefferies’ response and underscores how the First Brands collapse has become a flashpoint for tensions between traditional and private lenders in the $1.6 trillion leveraged-loan market.

Jefferies insists the damage is currently contained. But the episode highlights a larger question looming over Wall Street: whether the boom in complex, high-yield lending over the past decade has left the financial system vulnerable to more hidden risks — risks that may only surface when credit conditions tighten.

Micron to Exit China’s Data Centre Chip Market After 2023 Ban, Citing Irrecoverable Losses and Rising U.S.-China Tech Tensions

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Micron Technology, the U.S. semiconductor manufacturer, is pulling out of China’s data center chip market after the business failed to recover from Beijing’s 2023 ban on its products in critical infrastructure, Reuters reports, citing two people briefed on the decision.

The move points to the deepening decoupling between the world’s two largest economies in advanced technology sectors and highlights how Washington’s trade restrictions have triggered retaliatory measures from Beijing, reshaping the global semiconductor industry.

Micron was the first major American chipmaker to be directly targeted by the Chinese government, a move widely interpreted as retaliation for U.S. export controls aimed at curbing China’s access to advanced chips and manufacturing equipment. The company’s withdrawal signals that the lingering effects of the ban have rendered its data center operations in China commercially unviable.

Micron shares slipped about 1% following reports of its exit. In a statement to Reuters, the company acknowledged that the data center division had been impacted by the ban and emphasized that it “abides by applicable regulations where it does business.”

Micron will continue to supply chips to two Chinese companies that operate major data centers outside mainland China, including Lenovo, the Hong Kong–listed technology giant. However, its domestic data center business in China will wind down. Micron generated about $3.4 billion — roughly 12% of its total revenue — from mainland China in its most recent fiscal year, with the bulk of that coming from sales to smartphone and automobile manufacturers. Those segments will continue, according to one of the sources.

Industry analysts said the company’s strategic withdrawal reflects a broader realignment of semiconductor supply chains.

“Micron will look for customers outside of China in other parts of Asia, Europe and Latin America,” said Jacob Bourne, an analyst at Emarketer. “China is a critical market, however, we’re seeing data centre expansion globally fueled by AI demand, and so Micron is betting that it will be able to make up for lost business in other markets.”

The company’s exit also comes amid heightened U.S.-China tensions that have persisted since 2018, when then-President Donald Trump imposed sweeping tariffs on Chinese goods and tightened scrutiny on technology transfers. Washington subsequently targeted Chinese tech firms such as Huawei, accusing them of posing national security threats — allegations Beijing and the companies involved have consistently denied.

Micron’s troubles began in May 2023 when China’s cyberspace regulator barred its chips from being used in key infrastructure, claiming the products posed “significant security risks.” The U.S. government responded by calling the move “economic coercion” and defending the security of American chip technologies. Although China has since expanded its domestic chipmaking capacity, the action against Micron marked one of its few large-scale regulatory interventions against a U.S. firm in response to Washington’s sanctions.

The ban has cost Micron dearly in what remains the world’s second-largest market for server memory chips. Chinese investment in data centers surged ninefold last year to 24.7 billion yuan ($3.4 billion), according to a Reuters review of government procurement records. That boom has instead benefited Micron’s global rivals — South Korea’s Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix — as well as Chinese semiconductor firms YMTC and CXMT, which are expanding with heavy state support.

While Micron has struggled to regain its footing in China, the company has simultaneously been buoyed by the explosion in demand for artificial intelligence infrastructure elsewhere. The global buildout of AI-driven data centers has helped offset its losses in China, allowing Micron to post record quarterly revenue this year.

Even so, the company continues to scale down parts of its Chinese operations. Reuters reported that Micron employs over 300 people in its China data center team, though it is unclear how many positions may be affected by the pullout. The chipmaker also laid off several hundred employees in August from its universal flash storage program in China after announcing it would end development of mobile NAND products globally.

However, Micron maintains a significant presence in the country through its packaging and testing facility in Xi’an, one of its largest operations outside the United States.

“We have a strong operating and customer presence in China, and China remains an important market for Micron and the semiconductor industry in general,” the company said in its statement.

For now, Micron’s exit from China’s data center market signals a turning point in the long-simmering tech rivalry between Washington and Beijing. As both powers deepen restrictions on each other’s technology sectors, global semiconductor supply chains are being redrawn. While Chinese chipmakers continue to ramp up local production, American firms are accelerating efforts to diversify markets and reduce supply to China.

The consequence, experts say, is a more fragmented global tech ecosystem — one in which geopolitical considerations increasingly shape where and how advanced chips are produced, sold, and deployed.