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Averting Strikes, Tinubu Rolls Out Palliative Measures, But Which Do Nigerians Need Most?

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The Federal Government of Nigeria is running against time to avert a nationwide strike, due to commence on Wednesday by organized labor unions.

The recent strike threat was issued last week by the Nigerian Labour Congress (NLC) and the Trade Union Congress (TUC) as a way of getting the government to act fast to ameliorate the economic impact of its recent policies – the removal of fuel subsidy and the floating of the FX market.

The President Bola Tinubu-led administration, in the wake of these policies, promised to roll out a range of palliative measures to mitigate their effect. The measures include the World Bank-backed cash transfer to poor Nigerian households and releasing of grains to boost food security.

But the palliative measures have been deemed significantly insufficient, bolstering the belief that the government is insensitive to the plights of Nigerians – instigating the current faceoff between the government and labor unions.

The removal of fuel subsidy and the deregulation of the forex market saw the price of fuel shoot up to N617 from N195 per liter and the naira exchange at around N800/$1 from N464/$1 at Investor & Export window. This means an unprecedented increase in the cost of goods and services – overwhelming the meager spending power of Nigerians.

Following the threat of a nationwide strike, and the backlash that followed an earlier announcement by the government to disburse N8,000 to 12 million Nigerian households, the federal government appears to have amended the palliative measures.

In his national address on July 31, Tinubu outlined 8 key palliative measures his administration is rolling out to cushion the adverse effects of the FX and subsidy reforms. They are the following:

Reducing the high cost of food: Tinubu said that to ensure food remains affordable, the government will release 2000 metric tons of grains from strategic reserves to households across all 36 states and the Federal Capital Territory. Furthermore, 225,000 metric tons of fertilizer, seedlings, and other inputs will be provided to farmers committed to the nation’s food security agenda.

Boosting agriculture with N200 billion: The president said agricultural development will be supported with the disbursement of N200 billion to cultivate 500,000 hectares of farmland. This program will focus on cultivating rice, maize, wheat, and cassava, benefiting small farmers as well as large-scale private sector players in the agricultural industry.

Minimum wage: He added that by collaborating with labor unions, the government is working to introduce a new national minimum wage for workers. The salary review will be implemented once agreed upon and budget provisions are made.

N125 billion for MSMEs: President Tinubu said the federal government will commit N125 billion in funding to support Micro, Small, and Medium-Sized Enterprises (MSMEs). From this fund, N50 billion will be dedicated to providing grants to 1 million nano businesses by March 2024. Each of the 774 local governments in Nigeria will receive a minimum grant of N50,000, benefiting a total of 1,300 nano business owners in each area.

N100 billion for mass transit: Additionally, the government will invest N100 billion to purchase 3000 units of 20-seater Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) fuel buses. These buses will be distributed to major transportation companies in states based on travel intensity. Participating transport companies can access credit with a maximum interest rate of 9% and a repayment period of 60 months.

9 percent interest loan for SMEs and Startups: Tinubu said 100,000 SMEs and startups will receive support through a scheme with a budget of N75 billion. Entrepreneurs can access loans ranging from N500,000 to N1 million at a maximum interest rate of 9% per annum, with a repayment period of 36 months.

Student loans: According to the president, the federal government plans to push over N1 trillion saved from fuel subsidy payments into providing student loans for higher education, ensuring that no Nigerian student has to abandon their studies due to financial constraints.

Infrastructure fund for states: To improve living conditions and address critical areas, a new infrastructure fund will be available to states. The fund will be utilized for healthcare and educational infrastructure upgrades, as well as to improve transportation routes for the transportation of farm produce to markets.

Which do Nigerians need more?

Among the many demands made by labor unions, wage increase has stood out, drawing overwhelming support from Nigerians who believe it will go a long way to boost their spending power, and in turn, help the informal sector to stay afloat. In addition, it is believed that other palliative measures like grain distribution and the CNG-powered mass transit initiative can only reach a limited number of people and the agriculture scheme will not yield immediate result.

Compared to other countries where petrol sells above N500 per liter, Nigeria has one of the poorest minimum wages.

The TUC had demanded N200,000 monthly minimum wage, but many doubt if it would be possible considering how broke Nigeria currently is. Some analysts believe that a significant increase from the current N30,000 monthly salary is achievable based on revenue boost from the removal of fuel subsidy. FAAC (federation account allocation committee) allocations to the federal, state, and local governments are expected to jump following the removal of fuel subsidy.

“We Will Fund 100,000 MSMEs and Start-ups with N75bn” (Full Text of Tinubu’s Address to Nigerians on July 31 2023)

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TEXT OF THE NATIONAL BROADCAST BY PRESIDENT BOLA TINUBU TO NIGERIANS ON CURRENT ECONOMIC CHALLENGES.

AFTER DARKNESS COMES THE GLORIOUS DAWN

My fellow citizens,

I want to talk to you about our economy. It is important that you understand the reasons for the policy measures I have taken to combat the serious economic challenges this nation has long faced.

  1. I am not going to talk in difficult terms by dwelling on economic jargon and concepts. I will speak in plain, clear language so that you know where I stand. More importantly, so that you see and hopefully will share my vision regarding the journey to a better, more productive economy for our beloved country.
  2. For several years, I have consistently maintained the position that the fuel subsidy had to go. This once beneficial measure had outlived its usefulness. The subsidy cost us trillions of Naira yearly. Such a vast sum of money would have been better spent on public transportation, healthcare, schools, housing and even national security. Instead, it was being funneled into the deep pockets and lavish bank accounts of a select group of individuals.
  3. This group had amassed so much wealth and power that they became a serious threat to the fairness of our economy and the integrity of our democratic governance. To be blunt, Nigeria could never become the society it was intended to be as long as such small, powerful yet unelected groups hold enormous influence over our political economy and the institutions that govern it.
  4. The whims of the few should never hold dominant sway over the hopes and aspirations of the many. If we are to be a democracy, the people and not the power of money must be sovereign.
  5. The preceding administration saw this looming danger as well. Indeed, it made no provision in the 2023 Appropriations for subsidy after June this year. Removal of this once helpful device that had transformed into a millstone around the country’s neck had become inevitable.
  6. Also, the multiple exchange rate system that had been established became nothing but a highway of currency speculation. It diverted money that should have been used to create jobs, build factories and businesses for millions of people. Our national wealth was doled on favorable terms to a handful of people who have been made filthy rich simply by moving money from one hand to another. This too was extremely unfair.
  7. It also compounded the threat that the illicit and mass accumulation of money posed to the future of our democratic system and its economy.
  8. I had promised to reform the economy for the long-term good by fighting the major imbalances that had plagued our economy. Ending the subsidy and the preferential exchange rate system were key to this fight. This fight is to define the fate and future of our nation. Much is in the balance.
  9. Thus, the defects in our economy immensely profited a tiny elite, the elite of the elite you might call them. As we moved to fight the flaws in the economy, the people who grow rich from them, predictably, will fight back through every means necessary.
  10. Our economy is going through a tough patch and you are being hurt by it. The cost of fuel has gone up. Food and other prices have followed it. Households and businesses struggle. Things seem anxious and uncertain. I understand the hardship you face. I wish there were other ways. But there is not. If there were, I would have taken that route as I came here to help not hurt the people and nation that I love.
  11. What I can offer in the immediate is to reduce the burden our current economic situation has imposed on all of us, most especially on businesses, the working class and the most vulnerable among us.
  12. Already, the Federal Government is working closely with states and local governments to implement interventions that will cushion the pains of our people across socio-economic brackets.
  13. Earlier this month, I signed four (4) Executive Orders in keeping with my electoral promise to address unfriendly fiscal policies and multiple taxes that are stifling the business environment. These Executive Orders on suspension and deferred commencement of some taxes will provide the necessary buffers and headroom to businesses in the manufacturing sector to continue to thrive and expand.
  14. To strengthen the manufacturing sector, increase its capacity to expand and create good paying jobs, we are going to spend N75 billion between July 2023 and March 2024. Our objective is to fund 75 enterprises with great potential to kick-start a sustainable economic growth, accelerate structural transformation and improve productivity. Each of the 75 manufacturing enterprises will be able to access N1 Billion credit at 9% per annum with maximum of 60 months repayment for long term loans and 12 months for working capital.
  15. Our administration recognizes the importance of micro, small and medium-sized enterprises and the informal sector as drivers of growth. We are going to energize this very important sector with N125 billion.
  16. Out of the sum, we will spend N50 billion on Conditional Grant to 1 million nano businesses between now and March 2024. Our target is to give N50,000 each to 1,300 nano business owners in each of the 774 local governments across the country.
  17. Ultimately, this programme will further drive financial inclusion by onboarding beneficiaries into the formal banking system. In like manner, we will fund 100,000 MSMEs and start-ups with N75 billion. Under this scheme, each enterprise promoter will be able to get between N500,000 to N1million at 9% interest per annum and a repayment period of 36 months.
  18. To further ensure that prices of food items remain affordable, we have had a multi-stakeholder engagement with various farmers’ associations and operators within the agricultural value chain.
  19. In the short and immediate terms, we will ensure staple foods are available and affordable. To this end, I have ordered the release of 200,000 Metric Tonnes of grains from strategic reserves to households across the 36 states and FCT to moderate prices. We are also providing 225,000 metric tonnes of fertilizer, seedlings and other inputs to farmers who are committed to our food security agenda.
  20. Our plan to support cultivation of 500,000 hectares of farmland and all-year-round farming practice remains on course. To be specific, N200 billion out of the N500 billion approved by the National Assembly will be disbursed as follows:

-Our administration will invest N50 billion each to cultivate 150,000 hectares of rice and maize.

-N50 billion each will also be earmarked to cultivate 100,000 hectares of wheat and cassava.

  1. This expansive agricultural programme will be implemented targeting small-holder farmers and leveraging large-scale private sector players in the agric business with strong performance record.
  2. In this regard, the expertise of Development Finance Institutions, commercial banks and microfinance banks will be tapped into to develop a viable and an appropriate transaction structure for all stakeholders.
  3. Fellow Nigerians, I made a solemn pledge to work for you. How to improve your welfare and living condition is of paramount importance to me and it’s the only thing that keeps me up day and night.
  4. It is in the light of this that I approved the Infrastructure Support Fund for the States. This new Infrastructure Fund will enable States to intervene and invest in critical areas and bring relief to many of the pain points as well as revamp our decaying healthcare and educational Infrastructure.
  5. The fund will also bring improvements to rural access roads to ease evacuation of farm produce to markets. With the fund, our states will become more competitive and on a stronger financial footing to deliver economic prosperity to Nigerians.
  6. Part of our programme is to roll out buses across the states and local governments for mass transit at a much more affordable rate. We have made provision to invest N100 billion between now and March 2024 to acquire 3000 units of 20-seater CNG-fuelled buses.
  7. These buses will be shared to major transportation companies in the states, using the intensity of travel per capital. Participating transport companies will be able to access credit under this facility at 9% per annum with 60 months repayment period.
  8. In the same vein, we are also working in collaboration with the Labour unions to introduce a new national minimum wage for workers. I want to tell our workers this: your salary review is coming.
  9. Once we agree on the new minimum wage and general upward review, we will make budget provision for it for immediate implementation.
  10. I want to use this opportunity to salute many private employers in the Organised Private Sector who have already implemented general salary review for employees.
  11. Fellow Nigerians, this period may be hard on us and there is no doubt about it that it is tough on us. But I urge you all to look beyond the present temporary pains and aim at the larger picture. All of our good and helpful plans are in the works. More importantly, I know that they will work.
  12. Sadly, there was an unavoidable lag between subsidy removal and these plans coming fully online. However, we are swiftly closing the time gap. I plead with you to please have faith in our ability to deliver and in our concern for your well-being.
  13. We will get out of this turbulence. And, due to the measures we have taken, Nigeria will be better equipped and able to take advantage of the future that awaits her.
  14. In a little over two months, we have saved over a trillion Naira that would have been squandered on the unproductive fuel subsidy which only benefitted smugglers and fraudsters. That money will now be used more directly and more beneficially for you and your families.
  15. For example, we shall fulfill our promise to make education more affordable to all and provide loans to higher education students who may need them. No Nigerian student will have to abandon his or her education because of lack of money.
  16. Our commitment is to promote the greatest good for the greatest number of our people. On this principle, we shall never falter.
  17. We are also monitoring the effects of the exchange rate and inflation on gasoline prices. If and when necessary, we will intervene.
  18. I assure you my fellow country men and women that we are exiting the darkness to enter a new and glorious dawn.
  19. Now, I must get back to work in order to make this vision come true.
  20. Thank you all for listening and may God bless the Federal Republic of Nigeria.

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Where is Marx in President Tinubu’s Fuel Subsidy Removal Economic Reforms Speech?

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As citizens, public affairs analysts, and social commentators continue to scrutinise President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s nationwide broadcast on his plans to mitigate the effects of the recently removed fuel subsidy, our analyst examines the broadcast using Karl Marx’s political economy approach in this piece.

Class Struggle and Inequality: President Tinubu’s speech highlights the existence of a select group of unelected individuals who hold enormous influence over the country’s political economy. This group, referred to as the “elite of the elite,” is portrayed as having amassed significant wealth and power, creating a form of class struggle where the privileged few benefits at the expense of the majority. This observation resonates with Marx’s critique of capitalism, where he argues that society is divided into two classes – the bourgeoisie (the owners of capital) and the proletariat (the working class).

Capitalist Exploitation: The President’s condemnation of the fuel subsidy and the multiple exchange rate system reflects concerns over the diversion of national wealth towards a small group of individuals. Marx’s political economy focuses on the inherent exploitation within capitalist systems, where profits are extracted from the labor of the working class and concentrated in the hands of the capitalist class. The speech implies that these economic policies serve the interests of a privileged few at the expense of the wider population.

Commodification of Labour: The President’s emphasis on the need to end the fuel subsidy can be interpreted as a recognition of the commodification of labour. Marx argued that under capitalism, labour is treated as a commodity, and its value is reduced to the wages workers receive. In the speech, the President appears to challenge the notion that subsidizing fuel serves as a mechanism to control the cost of labour and maintain profits for a select group of capitalists.

Democratic Governance and Power: President Tinubu’s call for democratic governance and the sovereignty of the people aligns with Marxist critiques of the political superstructure under capitalism. Marx argued that the ruling ideas in society are the ideas of the ruling class, and democracy under capitalism may be distorted or influenced by the dominant economic interests. The President’s concern over the unelected elite influencing the political economy reflects this critique.

Promoting the Welfare of the Masses: While President Tinubu advocates for the removal of the fuel subsidy and the overhaul of the exchange rate system, he also emphasizes his commitment to promoting the welfare of the masses. This aligns with Marxist ideals of socialism, which advocate for a society where the means of production are collectively owned and the benefits are distributed more equitably among the population. The President’s proposed interventions to support small businesses, farmers, and education, as well as his focus on financial inclusion, echo these socialist principles.

Our analyst notes that it is essential to reiterate that this analysis is based on the content of the speech and does not provide a comprehensive understanding of President Tinubu’s overall political ideology or actions. Additionally, Marxist analysis is one among many lenses through which political economy can be examined, and other perspectives may offer different insights into the issues addressed in the speech.

President Tinubu Unveils Post-Fuel Subsidy Removal Economic Reforms, Promises Nigerians Better Future

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In a televised address to the nation, President Bola Tinubu addressed Nigeria’s pressing economic challenges and unveiled a series of reforms to steer the country towards prosperity.

President Tinubu began his speech by reaffirming his commitment to speak plainly and transparently about the nation’s economic issues. He stressed the necessity of removing the fuel subsidy, which he believed had outlived its usefulness and cost the country trillions of Naira annually.

“The subsidy costs us trillions of Naira yearly. Such a vast sum of money would have been better spent on public transportation, healthcare, schools, housing, and even national security,” President Tinubu said.

He expressed his concern over the disproportionate influence wielded by a select group of unelected individuals in the country’s political economy, emphasizing the need for the people’s sovereignty to drive Nigeria’s democratic system.

The President highlighted that the multiple exchange rate system had become a highway for currency speculation, diverting funds from essential sectors. He emphasized the urgent need to reform this system to ensure fair and equitable distribution of resources.

President Tinubu reassured the nation that these measures were essential to secure a better future for Nigeria. He acknowledged the immediate hardships facing citizens due to increased fuel prices and rising costs of goods.

However, he went on to unveil an array of interventions aimed at mitigating the impact on the most vulnerable and stimulating economic growth.

Among the key measures, the President announced a N75 billion investment to support 75 manufacturing enterprises. These enterprises would receive access to credit at a low-interest rate, fostering sustainable economic growth and job creation.

Additionally, the administration is set to energize micro, small, and medium-sized enterprises and the informal sector with a N125 billion stimulus package. This initiative aims to provide conditional grants to one million nano businesses and fund 100,000 MSMEs and start-ups.

President Tinubu also underscored the government’s commitment to agricultural development, with a plan to cultivate 500,000 hectares of farmland for rice, maize, wheat, and cassava. This ambitious program targets small-holder farmers and private-sector players, fostering growth and food security.

President Tinubu unveiled the Infrastructure Support Fund for States, aimed at revamping healthcare and educational infrastructure and improving rural access roads.

President Tinubu acknowledged the immediate difficulties Nigerians faced but urged them to focus on the broader picture. He expressed confidence that these reforms would lead Nigeria out of the darkness into a brighter, more prosperous future.

The government assured Nigerians that the implementation of the reforms would be closely monitored, and interventions would be made if necessary to address inflation and gasoline prices.

President Tinubu ended his address by reaffirming his dedication to work for the welfare of the people and the progress of the Federal Republic of Nigeria.

Meanwhile, mixed reactions from citizens have been trailing President’s address, with some expressing optimism about the proposed changes and others expressing concerns over the immediate economic impact.