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U.S. Ethereum Spot ETFs Record Largest Weekly Outflows in History

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U.S. spot Ethereum (ETH) exchange-traded funds (ETFs) experienced their most severe weekly outflows since launching in July 2024, with net redemptions totaling approximately $795.8 million over the five trading days from September 22 to 26, 2025.

This marks a sharp reversal from earlier positive flows and surpasses the previous record of $787.7 million set in the week ending September 5, 2025. The outflows reflect heightened investor caution amid broader market volatility, including a flash crash that pushed Bitcoin below $110,000 and Ethereum under $4,000, resulting in over $1.5 billion in liquidated leveraged positions across crypto.

The week saw intense capitulation, with ETH dropping as much as 12% and triggering $309 million in liquidations. Analysts described the moves as a “sign of capitulation” due to panic selling, exacerbating the ETF redemptions.

This was the first instance of five straight days of net outflows since early September, culminating in $248.4 million redeemed on September 26 alone—the highest single-day figure in recent history.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs also faced heavy outflows of $902.5 million in the same week, contributing to a total of $1.69 billion in combined crypto ETF redemptions. The overall crypto market cap dipped below $4 trillion.

Impact on Major ETFs

ETH traded around $4,020 as of September 27, rebounding slightly from lows near $3,750 but struggling to hold the $4,000 psychological level. Technical analysts warn of further downside to $3,500–$3,750 if support fails, while a break above $4,841 could signal a reversal toward $5,864.

The outflows have amplified price pressure, though some view them as a potential bottoming signal amid reduced leverage. Investor sentiment remains volatile, with anticipation building around potential SEC approval for staking features in ETH ETFs—Grayscale has already prepared to stake portions of its holdings.

Meanwhile, the debut of DOGE and XRP ETFs this week highlights expanding institutional interest in altcoins, but ETH’s flows underscore short-term bearish pressure.

The massive outflows signal a wave of investor redemptions, reducing demand for ETH within ETF structures. This contributed to Ethereum’s price dipping below $4,000, with a 12% drop during the week and $309 million in liquidated leveraged positions.

Continued outflows could push ETH toward lower support levels $3,500–$3,750, especially if broader market volatility persists. Investors may face heightened downside risk in the near term, though some analysts view heavy outflows as a potential capitulation signal, indicating a market bottom.

The outflows, alongside $902.5 million from Bitcoin ETFs, reflect institutional caution amid a crypto market cap dip below $4 trillion. This is a stark reversal from earlier inflows Institutional investors may be de-risking due to macroeconomic concerns. This could deter new capital inflows, slowing Ethereum’s adoption via regulated investment vehicles.

The five consecutive days of outflows, culminating in a $248.4 million single-day redemption on September 26, highlight panic selling and capitulation. This aligns with a broader crypto market flash crash, where Bitcoin fell below $110,000.

Retail and institutional investors may be reacting to short-term price volatility rather than Ethereum’s long-term fundamentals via staking, DeFi, layer-2 scaling. This could create buying opportunities for contrarian investors if sentiment stabilizes, but persistent outflows may delay recovery.

Major players like BlackRock ETHA, $15.2B AUM and Fidelity FETH, $158M daily outflow example face challenges as investors redeem shares. Grayscale’s ETHE, with $4.5B in cumulative outflows since inception, is particularly strained as investors shift to lower-fee alternatives.

ETF providers may need to innovate like introducing staking features, as Grayscale is pursuing or lower fees to retain and attract investors. Failure to adapt could lead to further outflows, weakening the competitive position of ETH ETFs versus direct crypto holdings or other altcoin ETFs.

The outflows coincide with anticipation around SEC approval for ETH ETF staking, which could enhance yields and attract long-term holders. However, regulatory delays or rejections could exacerbate investor exits. Approval of staking could reverse outflow trends by aligning ETF returns with Ethereum’s native yields currently ~3–5% via staking.

Conversely, regulatory hurdles may reinforce bearish sentiment, pushing investors toward unregulated platforms or alternative assets. The combined $1.69 billion in crypto ETF outflows ETH + BTC signals broader market deleveraging, with $1.5 billion in liquidated leveraged positions across crypto.

The debut of DOGE and XRP ETFs suggests shifting interest to other altcoins. Ethereum may lose market share to emerging altcoin ETFs if outflows persist, though its established DeFi and smart contract ecosystem provides resilience. A prolonged crypto downturn could dampen mainstream adoption of digital assets via ETFs.

Heavy outflows and price drops often signal capitulation, historically preceding recoveries in crypto markets. Ethereum’s fundamentals remain strong despite short-term ETF flows.
Savvy investors may view this as a buying opportunity, particularly if ETH holds above $3,500 or breaks resistance at $4,841. Long-term ETF adoption could rebound if market sentiment improves or staking features are approved.

The record ETH ETF outflows reflect a confluence of panic selling, institutional caution, and market volatility, pressuring Ethereum’s price and ETF providers. While short-term risks include further price declines and reduced institutional participation, long-term opportunities may emerge from capitulation signals and potential regulatory catalysts like staking.

China’s DeepSeek Unveils New “Experimental” AI Model, Echoes Trade Playbook of Undercutting Rivals on Cost

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Chinese artificial intelligence developer DeepSeek has released a new experimental large language model, touting efficiency gains and steep price cuts that could intensify global competition in generative AI — in a manner reminiscent of how China has disrupted other industries, from solar panels to 5G equipment, by driving down costs.

The Hangzhou-based company said its DeepSeek-V3.2-Exp model is an “intermediate step toward our next-generation architecture,” describing it as more efficient to train and better at processing long sequences of text compared with earlier iterations. The announcement was made in a post on the developer platform Hugging Face.

DeepSeek, which rattled Silicon Valley in January with the launch of its V3 and R1 models, is once again signaling ambitions to undercut global rivals. The firm said the V3.2-Exp incorporates a new mechanism called DeepSeek Sparse Attention, designed to cut computing costs while boosting certain types of model performance.

In a parallel move aimed squarely at market adoption, DeepSeek said in a post on X on Monday that it was slashing API prices by “50%+.”

A Step Toward Next-Gen AI Architecture

While the V3.2-Exp is labeled “experimental,” analysts believe the release points toward a much larger leap. DeepSeek itself described the model as a bridge to its forthcoming next-generation architecture, which it framed as its most important product release since V3 and R1.

Those earlier rollouts drew extraordinary attention in January, not just from China’s domestic AI rivals like Alibaba’s Qwen, but also from U.S. giants including OpenAI, whose models dominate enterprise AI deployments. Investors and policymakers alike were startled at the pace with which a Chinese firm appeared able to close the gap with the West’s leading labs.

Although DeepSeek acknowledged that V3.2-Exp will not “roil markets” on the scale of those January debuts, the company suggested it could still mount meaningful pressure on competitors if it sustains a record of offering high capability at dramatically lower cost.

Winning by Efficiency and Price

The release draws parallels with how China has previously leveraged low-cost efficiency and scale to dominate global industries. Solar panel manufacturers, for example, flooded global markets in the 2010s with products priced far below Western rivals, reshaping the renewable energy supply chain. Telecoms giant Huawei took a similar path in 5G, offering cheaper infrastructure than European or U.S. firms.

DeepSeek’s move to halve API prices positions it in the same mold — a challenger using affordability and streamlined design to win share in markets where U.S. companies are charging premium rates.

The release puts renewed pressure on China’s domestic AI ecosystem, where companies like Alibaba, Baidu, and Tencent have poured billions into developing their own large models. Alibaba’s Qwen suite has been aggressively marketed to enterprise customers, while Baidu’s Ernie Bot remains a key government-backed project.

DeepSeek, by contrast, has staked its strategy on efficiency and affordability — an approach that resonates in both Chinese and global markets at a time when AI training costs are soaring.

For U.S. rivals, the implications are equally notable. OpenAI, backed by Microsoft, has positioned its GPT-4 and GPT-5 models as premium products, betting that enterprises will pay for frontier performance. Google’s Gemini and Anthropic’s Claude models are pursuing similar paths, with heavy investment in infrastructure and enterprise tooling. DeepSeek’s promise of comparable performance at half the cost could force pricing pressure in both consumer and enterprise segments.

Global Stakes of a Cheaper AI Alternative

What sets DeepSeek apart is not just its model architecture, but its pricing strategy. If the firm can demonstrate reliable performance in enterprise-grade tasks while cutting API costs by more than 50%, it could accelerate adoption in emerging markets — from Southeast Asia to Africa — where price sensitivity has slowed the uptake of U.S.-made AI tools.

Analysts warn that this could also sharpen the geopolitical dimension of the AI race. Washington has sought to curtail China’s access to advanced semiconductors, fearing Beijing’s rise in AI capabilities. But efficiency-driven architectures like DeepSeek’s could allow Chinese firms to do more with less, reducing their dependence on cutting-edge hardware.

While DeepSeek has cast V3.2-Exp as a stepping stone, if its next-generation release builds on the efficiency and cost trajectory it has outlined, analysts expect it to once again challenge assumptions about where the frontier of AI development lies — and at what price point it can be deployed globally.

Microsoft Introduces “Vibe Working” to Excel and Word

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Microsoft is betting that the same “vibe coding” trend that made app-building accessible to non-programmers can do the same for office work.

The company today introduced Agent Mode in Excel and Word and a new Office Agent in Copilot chat, both designed to turn prompts into complex documents, spreadsheets, and presentations.

“Today we’re bringing vibe working to Microsoft 365 Copilot with Agent Mode in Office apps and Office Agent in Copilot chat,” said Sumit Chauhan, corporate vice president of Microsoft’s Office Product Group. “In the same way vibe coding has transformed software development, the latest reasoning models in Copilot unlock agentic productivity for Office artifacts.”

At the product level, Agent Mode uses OpenAI’s GPT-5 to handle multi-step planning in Excel and Word, showing users a transparent breakdown of its reasoning in a sidebar. Microsoft stressed that it built in validation loops to ensure spreadsheets remain “auditable, refreshable, and verifiable.” Early benchmarks place Agent Mode at 57.2 percent accuracy on SpreadsheetBench, better than Shortcut.ai and Claude Files Opus 4.1 but still below the 71.3 percent human benchmark.

Agent Mode in Word pushes beyond summarization tools into what Chauhan calls “vibe writing”—a conversational drafting system where Copilot drafts, suggests refinements, and highlights what’s missing. The new Office Agent in Copilot chat, powered by Anthropic’s models, takes on PowerPoint and Word creation, offering structured slide decks with live previews and built-in web research.

“Productivity is our DNA, we’re Office,” Chauhan said. “While others will try to replicate us, there is no substitute for the real thing.”

For markets, these moves highlight a calculated hedge. Microsoft has leaned heavily on OpenAI, but by threading Anthropic’s models into GitHub Copilot, Office Agent, and Copilot Studio, the company is broadening its AI portfolio. That diversification could reassure enterprise customers wary of overreliance on a single provider. Yet it also raises questions for investors about the cost and complexity of maintaining parallel partnerships, especially as Anthropic’s models run on Amazon Web Services rather than Microsoft’s Azure.

The 57.2 percent accuracy rate in Excel is another detail financial analysts may seize on. For enterprise buyers, the number shows meaningful progress over rivals but still underscores the risk of errors in mission-critical areas like finance and compliance. Analysts suggest early adoption may skew toward use cases where errors carry lower stakes—drafting reports or presentations—before finance chiefs and auditors are comfortable entrusting balance sheets to Agent Mode.

Meanwhile, investors will likely parse the rollout strategy. Microsoft signals a controlled entry aimed at testing scale and reliability before pushing deeper into the desktop suite, where most enterprise workloads still reside, by confining Agent Mode to the web versions of Excel and Word at launch. That may slow adoption in the near term but could be read by markets as a risk-mitigation tactic designed to protect Office’s core reputation.

Agent Mode and Office Agent arrive as startups flood the market with AI-native productivity tools. Microsoft’s counter is not just integration but brand trust—positioning Copilot as a digital consultant capable of doing “what a first-year consultant would do, delivered in minutes.” Enterprise buyers weighing vendor sprawl versus bundled reliability could see this as a reason to keep their spend anchored in the Microsoft ecosystem, a factor that investors may interpret as a defensive but stabilizing moat around Office’s recurring revenue streams.

Agent Mode in Excel and Word, alongside Office Agent in Copilot chat, launches today in the Frontier program for Microsoft 365 Copilot customers and Microsoft 365 Personal/Family subscribers in the US. Desktop support will follow in the months ahead.

Stablecoin Market Cap Hits Historic $300B Milestone

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The total market capitalization of stablecoins has indeed crossed $300 billion for the first time, marking a significant acceleration in crypto adoption during 2025. This surge reflects stablecoins’ evolution from trading tools to essential infrastructure for DeFi, cross-border payments, and institutional finance.

As of late September 2025, the market cap stands at approximately $307 billion according to CoinMarketCap, though slight variations exist across trackers—CoinGecko reports $299 billion, and DeFiLlama shows $295.5 billion. These discrepancies arise from differences in how platforms account for circulating supply and chain-specific data.

The sector added nearly $4 billion in the past week alone, building on a 120% increase since January 2024. It first surpassed $200 billion in December 2024 and has since doubled, driven by regulatory clarity like the U.S. GENIUS Act passed in July 2025.

Tether (USDT) remains dominant, with over 60% of issuance on Ethereum ($162B), followed by Tron ($77B), Solana ($13B), and BNB Smart Chain ($12B). Stablecoins are no longer just a crypto safe haven—they’re bridging traditional finance and blockchain. Institutional players like JPMorgan, PayPal, and BlackRock are integrating them for faster, cheaper settlements, cutting cross-border costs by 40-60%.

In emerging mamarket like Nigeria, Argentina, they’re hedging inflation and powering $5B+ in annual remittances. Yield-bearing variants like USDe are also gaining traction, blending stability with DeFi returns.

Traders are calling it a “surging” phase toward global payment rails, with whales accumulating amid regulatory tailwinds. This milestone signals stablecoins could hit $400B by year-end if U.S. legislation keeps momentum.

The stablecoin market cap crossing $300 billion has far-reaching implications for crypto, finance, and global economies: Stablecoins like USDT and USDC are becoming standard for banks like JPMorgan and fintechs PayPal. to settle transactions, cutting costs by 40-60% compared to traditional systems like SWIFT.

This signals a shift toward blockchain-based rails in traditional finance. The U.S. GENIUS Act and similar global frameworks legitimize stablecoins, encouraging institutions to allocate capital. Expect more regulated issuers and higher trust, potentially pushing market cap to $400B by 2026.

Stablecoins underpin over 70% of DeFi TVL $150B+ enabling lending, borrowing, and yield farming. The $300B milestone suggests DeFi could scale further, with USDe and DAI driving innovation in yield-bearing assets. Larger market caps deepen liquidity pools, reducing volatility in crypto markets and attracting more retail and institutional traders.

In countries like Nigeria and Argentina, stablecoins hedge against inflation, Nigeria’s 25%+ inflation rate and power $5B+ in remittances annually. This milestone reflects growing reliance on stablecoins as alternative currencies. Stablecoins cut remittance fees from 6-10% to under 1%, potentially reshaping $800B global remittance markets.

Historical depegging events like UST in 2022 highlight risks. Tether’s dominance 58% share raises concerns about transparency and reserve backing. While clarity boosts growth, stricter rules could limit issuers or impose reserve requirements, impacting scalability.

CBDCs could challenge stablecoin dominance, especially if governments prioritize control over decentralized systems. X posts highlight trader optimism, with “whale” accumulation signaling bets on stablecoins as a crypto bull market catalyst. However, some warn of over-reliance on Tether, citing systemic risk if confidence wanes.

This milestone cements stablecoins as critical infrastructure, driving efficiency in finance and crypto while posing risks that need careful monitoring. The path to $400B looks plausible, but regulatory and stability hurdles loom. Overall, it’s a bullish sign for crypto’s maturation, but watch for risks like peg stability and evolving regs.

Snapchat Monetizes Memories, Puts Storage Behind Paywall as Investors Eye Recurring Revenue Play

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After nearly a decade of offering Memories as a free digital time capsule, Snapchat is drawing a line. The company said Monday that access to the feature will now be capped at 5GB, with additional storage pushed behind a paywall.

The new tiered system includes an introductory plan of 100GB for $1.99 per month, bundled as a standalone subscription. Snapchat+ subscribers ($3.99 monthly) will see their allotment raised to 250GB, while Snapchat Platinum subscribers ($15.99 monthly) will be granted a hefty 5TB of storage.

In an email to TechCrunch, Snapchat explained that when Memories launched, it was not expected to balloon into a repository of this scale. But user behavior told a different story: more than 1 trillion Memories have now been saved, underscoring the feature’s durability.

“It’s never easy to transition from receiving a service for free to paying for it, but we hope the value we provide with Memories is worth the cost,” Snapchat wrote in a blog post. “These changes will allow us to continue to invest in making Memories better for our entire community.”

To ease the transition, the company will offer 12 months of temporary storage for Memories that exceed the new 5GB limit. Users can also download their archives directly to personal devices. If no plan is chosen after that period, Snapchat says older Snaps will be preserved while newer ones exceeding the threshold will be deleted.

Snap insists the change won’t affect most of its user base, noting the “vast majority” remain under 5GB of saved Memories. Instead, the move targets what it calls “power users” — those with thousands of Snaps stored on its servers.

Investor Lens on Monetization

The policy shift is more than a product tweak — it is a signal to Wall Street. Snap has struggled to stabilize its advertising-dependent revenue model amid stiff competition from Meta and TikTok. The company is creating what investors often prize most: a recurring subscription stream tied to an emotionally sticky product by introducing paid storage.

Photos and videos, unlike premium filters or experimental AR features, are rarely abandoned by users once they’re archived. Analysts say this creates a strong incentive for subscribers to keep paying rather than face the risk of losing digital memories. That dynamic mirrors Apple’s iCloud and Google One, both of which have become reliable profit engines in their respective ecosystems.

However, the move reflects a broader trend for Snap, where platforms are monetizing infrastructure as much as content. The enormous costs of storing over one trillion Memories — a data set rivaling mid-sized cloud platforms — have become difficult to justify under a purely free model. Snap is attempting to avoid the backlash that often accompanies a universal paywall by selectively charging heavy users while keeping access free for casual ones.

Comparisons to Rivals

The structure resembles what Apple did with iCloud, initially offering free tiers before capping storage at 5GB and building out paid tiers that today contribute billions annually to its services revenue. Google Photos made a similar pivot in 2021, when it ended unlimited free storage. Both companies successfully conditioned users to see storage as a subscription commodity rather than a permanent free service.

Snap’s difference is its narrower focus: unlike Apple and Google, it does not control the hardware ecosystem. That means its leverage is primarily emotional — the attachment users have to Snaps as personal history. Analysts say that could either prove more fragile than ecosystem lock-in or, conversely, even stickier given the intimacy of Snapchat’s role in teen and young adult social lives.

Market Behavior

Some analysts believe that from a financial-market perspective, Snap’s move could shift investor narratives around the stock. Instead of being viewed purely as an ad-tech play competing against larger social platforms, Snap is attempting to reposition itself with hybrid economics: advertising for scale, subscriptions for stability.

The recurring storage subscriptions are believed to be sticky revenue, and investors tend to reward that stability. The bigger question, however, is whether Snap can scale these offerings enough to materially shift its revenue mix.

The introduction of Snapchat Platinum at $15.99 per month with 5TB of storage also places the company closer to enterprise-style pricing tiers seen in cloud computing — albeit aimed at consumers. If uptake is meaningful, markets may begin to value Snap less like a purely ad-driven social platform and more like a consumer-facing SaaS hybrid, a framing that could alter expectations on margins and cash flow.

For now, Snap is careful to stress that most users will not feel the change. But in financial markets, the focus will be on the minority who do. If even a small slice of Snapchat’s 400 million daily active users converts to paid storage, analysts say it could open a new recurring revenue channel worth hundreds of millions annually.