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Johann Wadephul Calls for a Stronger Crackdown on Russia’s So-called Shadow Fleet

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German Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul has called for a stronger crackdown on Russia’s so-called “shadow fleet” — a network of aging oil tankers that Moscow uses to evade Western sanctions on its oil exports following the 2022 invasion of Ukraine.

In statements made during talks in Riga with Latvian Foreign Minister Baiba Braže on January 26, 2026, Wadephul emphasized the dual threats posed by these vessels: They generate revenue for Russia to fund its war efforts.

Many are in poor technical condition, with inadequately trained crews, raising the risk of major accidents like groundings or oil spills in the Baltic Sea. He warned that an oil tanker running aground could cause immediate heavy pollution along Latvian and German coasts, leading to an ecological disaster with severe economic impacts, particularly on tourism.

Wadephul demanded urgent reforms to international maritime law to allow authorities to act against such ships and their operators, even when ownership or registration is unclear. He stressed closing all loopholes exploited by Russia, improving international coordination, and enhancing communication among nations.

This comes amid broader concerns over Russian hybrid threats in the Baltic region, including damage to undersea cables often attributed to Russia and other security issues. Germany has been ramping up actions against the shadow fleet in recent months and years, including: Insurance checks on passing tankers starting mid-2025.

Denying entry to suspected vessels like the Tavian in January 2026. Coordinating with Baltic and Nordic countries to disrupt the fleet. The shadow fleet has grown significantly since sanctions began, often involving old tankers with opaque ownership, flags of convenience, and no proper insurance — heightening environmental risks in busy European waters.

Wadephul’s remarks align with ongoing EU and G7 efforts to tighten sanctions and enforcement on these operations, though challenges remain due to the fleet’s evasive tactics.

The Russian shadow fleet — the network of aging, often poorly maintained oil tankers used to transport sanctioned Russian crude and products while evading Western sanctions — poses significant environmental risks, primarily through the heightened potential for major oil spills, pollution, and ecological damage in sensitive marine areas.

These vessels differ markedly from standard commercial tankers in ways that amplify hazards: — Many shadow fleet tankers are over 15–20 years old with averages around 16–20 years, compared to ~13 years for the global fleet.

Older ships are more prone to mechanical failures, structural weaknesses, corrosion, engine breakdowns, fires, explosions, and loss of steerage. Reports indicate over 70% of some analyzed vessels exceed 15 years, exponentially raising malfunction risks.

A core issue is the lack of credible Protection & Indemnity (P&I) coverage from established international groups, the International Group of P&I Clubs. Many rely on Russian insurers like Ingosstrakh often sanctioned itself or opaque offshore providers, with frequent cases of falsified, expired, or voided certificates due to sanctions clauses.

In an accident, unreliable insurers may refuse payouts, leaving coastal states, taxpayers, or other parties to fund cleanup — costs that can reach billions of euros for a major spill. Shadow vessels often disable or spoof AIS transponders making them “dark” or hard to track, bypass pilotage in narrow straits, change flags frequently and operate with opaque ownership via shell companies.

This increases collision risks in busy routes and complicates accountability. The fleet transports millions of barrels daily, with heavy traffic through chokepoints like the Baltic Sea where ~40–60% of Russian seaborne oil transits, Danish Straits, North Sea, Black Sea, and others.

These include ecologically fragile zones with bird sanctuaries, nature reserves, ice-prone waters (worsening winter spills), and narrow passages prone to accidents. While no single “Exxon Valdez”-scale disaster has yet occurred from the shadow fleet in European waters, incidents highlight the dangers.

Dozens of collisions, fires, engine failures, and oil slicks linked to shadow vessels between 2022–2025. December 2024: Two tankers linked to Russian operators caused severe oil spills in the Black Sea due to negligence/storm damage, polluting coastlines.

Fires and explosions on vessels like Kairos and Virat off Turkey (2025). Near-misses in the Baltic, including collisions where empty hulls prevented worse spills. Experts like Greenpeace, Kyiv School of Economics, Atlantic Council describe a “major environmental disaster” as inevitable or “only a question of time,” especially in the Baltic’s congested, semi-enclosed waters.

A large spill could devastate marine ecosystems, fisheries, tourism, and coastal economies: Long-term pollution of beaches, wildlife, and food chains. Cleanup costs in the billions, with limited recovery from owners/insurers. Exacerbated in icy Baltic winters, where response is nearly impossible.

Broader impacts on biodiversity in protected areas along German, Latvian, Finnish, Swedish, Danish, and other coasts. Western nations increasingly view these risks as unacceptable, prompting calls for tighter enforcement — such as denying access to vessels without verifiable insurance, enhanced monitoring, and reforms to maritime law.

However, the fleet’s evasive tactics and growth now over 1,000 vessels in some estimates make full mitigation challenging.

Vennre Raises USD 9.6M Pre-Series A to Redefine Private Market Access in MENA

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Vennre, a wealth creation platform enabling HENRYs (High Earners, Not Rich Yet) to access private market opportunities, today announced the successful close of its Pre-Series A funding round, raising USD 9.6 million through a hybrid equity and debt structure.

The round was co-led by Vision Ventures and anb seed Fund, with participation from Sanabil 500, Ace & Co, Plus VC, and strategic individual investors from the private banking, technology and entrepreneurship ecosystems.

This investment reflects growing confidence from leading regional VCs and strategic backers in Vennre’s mission to democratize access to curated private investments for high income retail investors. By bypassing traditional gatekeepers, Vennre offers a transparent, Shariah-compliant solution previously available only to institutions and ultra-wealthy participants.

Founded by Ziad Mabsout, Anas Halabi and Abdulrahman AlMalik, Vennre has also reached two operational milestones: the appointment of Dr. Ibrahim AlMojel as Chairman of its Saudi board and surpassing USD 40 million in transaction value across its platform – clear evidence of growing market traction and investor trust.

Ziad Mabsout, CEO and Co-Founder of Vennre, said:

“A generation of ambitious professionals across the region has earned success but has not been given the tools required to compound it. This funding is not just another round — it is a clear endorsement from leading institutions that a large, long-underserved HENRY segment is ready for a better wealth-building experience. We are building for long-term wealth creation, not one-off transactions — starting with curated and vetted private investment opportunities and expanding into a full wealth journey built on discipline, trust, and alignment. This round allows us to raise the bar for what private wealth platforms in the region should deliver.”

Khalid S. Alghamdi, CEO of anb capital, added:

“We are pleased to co-lead Vennre’s Pre-Series A through the anb seed Fund. Private markets globally already manage more than USD 14 trillion in assets, yet individual investors account for less than 5% of that exposure. Vennre directly addresses this imbalance by offering Shariah-compliant access to a segment long excluded from these opportunities. Having already facilitated over USD 40 million in transactions, Vennre is proving that high-income Saudis are ready to engage with private markets at scale — fully aligned with Vision 2030’s mandate to broaden capital markets participation.”

Kais Al-Essa, Founding Partner and CEO of Vision Ventures, said:

“We are glad to co-lead Vennre’s Pre-Series A and excited to support such an amazing founding team. We’re always ready to back founders who use technology to make people’s lives easier and give them access to opportunities that were not available to them before. Vennre enables access to high quality investment opportunities in real estate, private equity, venture capital and private credit. These four asset classes were previously available to a select few. Democratizing such access is one of our investment goals at Vision Ventures as it enables generational wealth creation and empowers everyone to access vetted income generating and high return investments, in line with Saudi Arabia’s financial sector development plan and fintech momentum.”

Looking ahead, Vennre plans to deploy this capital to grow its client network, launch new platform features, and deepen its Saudi presence in line with ongoing financial sector liberalization and fintech momentum. More here https://www.vennre.com/

Microsoft rolls out Maia 200 AI chip as it deepens bid to cut costs and loosen Nvidia’s grip on cloud computing

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Microsoft Corp. has begun deploying its second-generation artificial intelligence chip, Maia 200, marking a major step in the company’s long-term effort to build its own AI hardware, rein in soaring computing costs, and reduce dependence on Nvidia’s dominant processors.

The Maia 200 chip, produced by Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., is now being deployed in Microsoft data centers in Iowa, with further rollouts planned for the Phoenix area. Microsoft has invited developers to begin using the chip’s control software, though it has not said when Azure cloud customers will be able to directly access Maia-powered servers.

Some of the earliest Maia 200 units will be allocated to Microsoft’s superintelligence team, where they will generate data to help improve the next generation of AI models, according to cloud and AI chief Scott Guthrie. The chips will also power Microsoft’s Copilot assistant for businesses and support AI models, including OpenAI’s latest systems, that the company offers to enterprise customers through Azure.

At one level, Maia 200 is about performance and efficiency. Microsoft says the chip outperforms comparable offerings from Google and Amazon Web Services on certain AI tasks, particularly inference, the process of running trained models to generate answers. Guthrie described Maia 200 as “the most efficient inference system Microsoft has ever deployed,” a pointed claim at a time when power consumption has become one of the biggest constraints on AI expansion.

But at a strategic level, Maia 200 reflects a much broader shift across Big Tech. As AI workloads explode, the cost of buying and running Nvidia’s industry-leading GPUs has become a central concern. Demand continues to outstrip supply, prices remain high, and access to the most advanced chips has become a competitive differentiator. Designing custom chips gives hyperscalers more control over costs, performance, and supply chains, while allowing tighter integration with their own software and data center architectures.

Microsoft is not the only Big Tech company toeing this path. Amazon has spent years developing its own processors, including Trainium chips for AI training and Inferentia chips for inference, which it markets as lower-cost alternatives to Nvidia hardware for certain workloads on AWS. Google has long relied on its Tensor Processing Units, or TPUs, which are deeply embedded in its data centers and underpin many of its AI services, including search and generative models.

Meta Platforms has also joined the push, developing its own in-house AI accelerator, known as MTIA, to support recommendation systems and generative AI workloads across Facebook, Instagram, and other services. Apple, while focused more on on-device intelligence than data centers, has built its Neural Engine into iPhones, iPads, and Macs, giving it tight control over how AI features run on its hardware.

Together, these efforts point to a clear trend: AI has become too central, too expensive, and too power-hungry for the largest technology firms to outsource entirely to third-party chipmakers.

Microsoft’s late start in custom silicon compared with Amazon and Google has not diminished its ambitions. The company says it is already designing Maia 300, the next generation of its AI chip, indicating a long-term roadmap rather than a one-off experiment. It also has a fallback option through its close partnership with OpenAI, which is exploring its own chip designs, potentially giving Microsoft access to alternative architectures if needed.

Analysts say energy efficiency is now as important as raw computing power. AI data centers consume vast amounts of electricity, and in many regions, new power generation and grid capacity are not keeping pace. Gartner analyst Chirag Dekate said projects like Maia are becoming essential as power constraints tighten.

“You don’t engage in this sort of investment if you’re just doing one or two stunt activities,” he said. “This is a multigeneration, strategic investment.”

For Microsoft, the implications extend beyond cost savings. Custom chips strengthen its negotiating position with suppliers, reduce exposure to supply shortages, and allow it to tailor hardware more precisely to workloads such as Copilot, Azure AI services, and OpenAI models. Over time, that could translate into more predictable pricing and performance for enterprise customers, a key advantage as businesses scale AI across operations.

Maia 200 does not mean Microsoft is abandoning Nvidia. GPUs will remain critical, especially for the most demanding training tasks. Instead, the chip represents a hedge and a pressure valve, part of a diversified hardware strategy designed to keep AI growth economically viable.

The deployment of Maia 200 reinforces a clear message: Microsoft is no longer content to be just a buyer of AI hardware. It wants to shape the economics of AI computing itself, even as competition intensifies and the cost of staying at the cutting edge continues to rise.

Investors Are Watching for Updates on AI Investments and Spending Trends

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This week kicks off the peak of Q4 2025 earnings season, with a heavy focus on Big Tech and the “Magnificent 7” stocks driving much of the attention. Investors are particularly watching for updates on AI investments, consumer spending trends, and forward guidance amid ongoing economic uncertainties.

Smaller but notable names like SoFi Technologies (SOFI), Brown & Brown (BRO), W.R. Berkley (WRB), and Ryanair (RYAAY).
Tuesday, January 27: Microsoft (MSFT) and Alphabet (GOOGL/GOOG) – expect scrutiny on cloud growth, AI initiatives, and ad revenue.
Wednesday, January 28: Meta Platforms (META), Tesla (TSLA), and potentially others like Boeing or IBM.

Tesla’s report could highlight EV demand and robotaxi progress, while Meta focuses on metaverse and ad metrics. Thursday, January 29: Apple (AAPL) and possibly Amazon (AMZN) – key themes include iPhone sales, services revenue for Apple, and e-commerce/AWS performance for Amazon.

Friday, January 30: Wrap-up with reports from companies like Chevron or Caterpillar, though less tech-heavy. Overall, S&P 500 earnings are projected to grow over 15% in 2026, and this week’s results could set the tone for broader market sentiment.

Other reports throughout the week include financials like Visa and chipmakers like AMD, adding to the mix. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 27-28, with the policy decision and statement released at 2:00 PM ET on January 28, followed by Chair Powell’s press conference.

Current market pricing via the CME FedWatch Tool shows a high probability of the fed funds rate holding steady at 3.50%-3.75% – estimates range from 88% to 96%, which is in line with your 99% figure, variations depend on the exact data snapshot and source.

A small minority prices in a 25 basis point cut, but no hike is expected. This reflects stable inflation data and a resilient jobs market, though any surprises in the dot plot or economic projections could move bonds and stocks.

The Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, officially the U.S. Employment Situation Summary from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), is one of the most market-moving economic releases each month. It measures the change in the number of paid U.S. workers during the prior month excluding farm workers, private household employees, and non-profits, along with the unemployment rate, average hourly earnings, and other labor details.

Why NFP Has Such a Big Impact

NFP is a key gauge of U.S. economic health and labor market strength. Markets react strongly because: It influences Federal Reserve policy — Strong job growth (high NFP) can signal overheating/inflation risks, potentially delaying rate cuts or supporting hikes. Weak numbers suggest cooling, boosting cut expectations.

It affects interest rate-sensitive assets — Bonds (yields often rise on strong data, fall on weak), stocks (risk-on/risk-off shifts), and the U.S. dollar (strong data strengthens USD via higher rates; weak weakens it). Volatility spikes around the release typically the first Friday at 8:30 AM ET, with whipsaws common as traders digest the headline figure, revisions, unemployment rate, and wages which tie into inflation.

In the context of the current busy week with major earnings and the January 27-28 FOMC meeting: The most recent NFP was released January 9, 2026 for December 2025 data, showing modest job gains around 50K-66K various sources report slight variations, e.g., consensus ~66K, actual close to expectations or slightly below in some reads.

This followed softer prior months and reflected a resilient but moderating labor market post-rate adjustments. The next NFP for January 2026 is scheduled for Friday, February 6, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET — not this week.

However, the lingering effects of the January 9 release are still relevant: It showed average hourly earnings up modestly ~0.3% MoM, unemployment steady/edge lower, and overall a picture of cooling but not collapsing demand. This helped reinforce market pricing for the current FOMC to hold rates steady (high probability, as noted).

Fed decision this week: With the January FOMC underway, officials likely viewed the recent December NFP as supportive of a “higher for longer” stance — not hot enough to force hikes, not weak enough to demand immediate easing. Any hawkish/dovish Powell comments Wednesday could amplify echoes of that jobs data.

Earnings overlap: Strong labor (implying solid consumer spending) can boost cyclical/tech stocks in reports while weak signals hurt. The recent NFP’s moderation may temper enthusiasm if companies cite hiring slowdowns.

Broader market reaction: USD pairs, Treasuries, and equity futures often see pre-FOMC positioning influenced by recent jobs strength. A “Goldilocks” jobs print not too hot/weak tends to support equities by keeping soft-landing hopes alive.

U.S. SEC Dismisses Lawsuit Against the Winklevoss Twins 

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A man walks past the logo of Gemini Trust, a digital currency exchange and custodian, during the Bitcoin Conference 2022 in Miami Beach, Florida, U.S. April 6, 2022. REUTERS/Marco Bello/Files

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has recently dismissed its lawsuit against Gemini, the cryptocurrency exchange founded by billionaire twins Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss.

The SEC originally filed the enforcement action in January 2023, accusing Gemini of illegally offering unregistered securities through its now-defunct Gemini Earn lending program. The product allowed users to earn interest on their crypto assets by lending them out, but it collapsed amid the broader crypto downturn in late 2022, particularly tied to issues at partner Genesis which led to frozen funds and bankruptcy proceedings.

Gemini and affected users reached settlements, including a 2024 agreement with the New York Attorney General. Investors in Gemini Earn ultimately recovered 100% of their assets through the Genesis bankruptcy resolution process.

On January 23, 2026, the SEC and Gemini filed a joint stipulation/motion in federal court in Manhattan to dismiss the case with prejudice meaning it cannot be refiled. The court approved or the dismissal proceeded based on this.

This move is part of a broader shift in SEC crypto enforcement actions in 2026, with multiple cases reportedly paused, penalties reduced, or dismissed outright—Gemini being at least the eighth such instance mentioned in reports.

It’s widely seen as a win for the Winklevoss twins and the crypto industry, signaling a more favorable regulatory environment especially post-2024 U.S. election changes and pro-crypto influences. The dismissal does not indicate the SEC’s changed stance on the underlying issues in other cases, as the agency noted in statements.

The dismissal of the SEC’s lawsuit against Gemini and by extension the Winklevoss twins carries several significant implications across regulatory, industry, and market dimensions.  For Gemini and the Winklevoss TwinsLegal closure and reduced risk: The case was dismissed with prejudice, meaning the SEC cannot refile the same claims.

This removes a major overhang that had lingered since January 2023, allowing Gemini to operate with greater certainty and potentially refocus on growth without ongoing litigation costs or reputational drag.

Strong vindication on investor protection: The primary justification cited in the joint filing was that Gemini Earn users recovered 100% of their assets in-kind where possible through the Genesis bankruptcy process. This outcome strengthens Gemini’s narrative that it prioritized user restitution, even as the program itself collapsed due to Genesis’s issues.

Gemini can now more aggressively pursue expansion like new products, international growth, or partnerships without the shadow of potential SEC penalties or restrictions tied to the Earn program.

This is reportedly one of several at least the eighth mentioned in reports crypto enforcement actions paused, settled with reduced penalties, or fully dismissed in recent months.

It reflects a broader de-escalation in aggressive “regulation by enforcement” under the current environment—possibly influenced by post-2024 political shifts, pro-crypto appointees/influences, and a focus on cases where investors have already been made whole.

Precedent for crypto lending/yield products: While the dismissal doesn’t formally change the SEC’s view that many staking/lending offerings qualify as unregistered securities, it shows that full investor recovery can lead to case closure rather than prolonged battles.

This may encourage platforms to prioritize restitution in future disputes and could reduce fear around similar (compliant) yield products. The crypto sector views this as a regulatory win, contributing to improved market confidence.

It closes a chapter from the 2022 FTX and Genesis fallout era and aligns with a more pragmatic enforcement stance. The dismissal includes no penalties, admissions, or ongoing monitoring for Gemini unlike some prior settlements. This avoids setting a costly precedent.

The SEC has explicitly noted this doesn’t signal a blanket policy change—enforcement in areas like unregistered securities offerings continues elsewhere (e.g., ongoing actions against other platforms). Gemini-linked equities or related tokens saw minor movements (some dips on the news day, but overall neutral-to-positive context).

Broader crypto prices benefit from reduced regulatory fear. This is a clear win for Gemini and a symbolic step toward a more balanced U.S. crypto regulatory landscape in 2026, emphasizing outcomes (like full recoveries) over punitive actions in resolved matters.

It doesn’t overhaul securities law for crypto but eases pressure on one high-profile player and hints at a less adversarial era ahead.