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Home Blog Page 5012

The Naira Crashes to Its Biggest Fall – Exchanges N710 Per Dollar

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Naira USD

The naira has crashed further to its deepest fall, hitting N710/$1 on Wednesday at the parallel market, according to the rates published by exchange rate aggregator Aboki Forex.

The N710/$1 rate is a 6.7% crash from the naira’s N670/$1 position on Monday, worsening Nigeria’s inflation that was last pegged at 17.71 by the Nigerian Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN)’s policies and measures geared towards protecting the naira from hitting the bottom at the foreign exchange market have failed. There also appears to be no plan by the apex bank, which has taken to blame, to wedge the embattled currency from falling further.

Last week, the CBN warned Nigerians using naira to purchase dollar to desist or be prosecuted. Nigerians opting to save their funds in dollar indicates the loss of faith in Nigeria’s economy and the CBN’s ability to save the naira.

In addition to apportioning blame, the central bank had gone after some players in the parallel market. Last year, it had prohibited the sale of foreign currency to bureau de change operators, accusing them of sabotaging the naira by selling foreign currencies above the approved price.

The decision brought further burden on the naira as it compounded the liquidity challenge that has spurred dollar scarcity in the country.

The BDCs, Nigeria’s major operators of the parallel market, were major sources of foreign currency supply to those who don’t have access to the CBN.

Since then, the exchange rate has fallen from around N501/$1 to over N700/$1.

Experts have repeatedly issued timely warning that measures being taken by the CBN governor, Godwin Emefiele, to protect the naira will breed disaster.

The naira’s ordeal has been partly attributed to the central bank’s excess printing of new notes since 2015. The apex bank has been accused of minting money in excess to lend to the federal government.

The Ways and Means Advance, an arrangement through which the federal government can borrow from the CBN, has illegally yielded about N20 trillion converted to long term (30-year) loans to the government.

The CBN Act prohibits it from giving more than 5% of the federal government’s previous year’s revenue.

Another factor that has been fingered in the naira’s downfall is fuel importation. The oil windfall is supposed to serve as a panacea to Nigeria’s liquidity crisis, but it has greatly been undermined by lack of functioning refineries in the country, which forces the government to import refined petroleum products – spending earned foreign currencies that should have boosted the country’s foreign reserve and dollar liquidity.

The naira has greatly lost its value in both the parallel market and the Investor and Export window. In March 2014 when Emefiele became the CBN governor, the naira stood at N164 at the I&E window, but has depreciated through devaluations to N430.

The mission of Egoras – Refurbishing Africa and Import Substitution

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Simple: we buy your old or broken household items (electronics, furniture, phones, dishwashers, etc) and take them to the largest refurbishment factory in Nigeria. Our young engineers, trained by the best in the game, transform those items. In our Egoras supermarkets, we sell those items at close to 75% lower than what you could have bought a new import. We provide up to a 6-month warranty (some items, 12 months).

We create jobs (will hit more than 2,000 by Dec 2022), we clean the earth preventing wastes in the landfills, we train future makers and builders on practical engineering, we empower families by saving them money – and we HELP Naira by substituting imports. That is the mission of Egoras.

See locations of our stores here ; more are coming across Nigeria. (If you are a technical person, we’re hiring REAL engineers and technicians; you will work with CEO Ugoji Harry and also get to attend leadership developments events I will anchor)

 

Meaning of Egoras: Ras is a family of genes that undergo mutation to oncogenes.  “Ego” expresses self-esteem. When a product passes through our processes, it undergoes a transformation, making it better at the other end. We think your used items will become better with Egoras because in Egoras, our engineers do what biological RAS do in the positive aspect of transmutation of household items!

Unicorns: The Trophies of the FUTURE

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This is it: the Kuda team waited for me for 3 hours in Lagos for a possible small investment in Kuda. When it was all done, I did not write that cheque. I had arrived from US to run a program for our nation’s leading CEOs; the innovators abandoned everything in the startup, and camped as I guided the executives on the mechanics of business systems.

Today, Kuda is worth at least $500 million. I wanted to write them a cheque of $100k but later pulled out as I did not understand how they would make money (it is a self-styled bank of the free). Had I pushed the trigger, that $100k would have become at least $7.5 million within two years!

Do not pity me (I am fine…lol); pity the 99.99% who are disconnected from this new dimension of value creation and capture. It is because of that anomaly that I created Tekedia Capital, to provide opportunities for We The People to co-own a piece of the empires of the future.

While early startup investment is risky, the fact remains that out of these new species of companies, the future empires will emerge. The largest financial institution by market cap in Nigeria (yes, Flutterwave) is less than 7 years old.

 People, open your playbook because by 2025, Nigeria would be radically transformed if you check what is happening in these new species of companies. Upon them, I see a promise, to win trophies called Unicorns, special startup-like-animals worth at least $1 billion. Africa is breeding them at scale (click and watch my video – Africa’s Unicorn Farms).

The current insecurity wave in Abuja

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Abuja used to be the safest city in Nigeria and this is not even debatable. We the Abuja residents used to boast about how safe and secure our city is. Abuja residents used to throw jabs and shades at residents of other cities and states but nobody dwelling or residing in Abuja can boldly talk about how safe the city is anymore.

The insecurity situation keeps getting worse. It has been bad but never this bad as the whole security formation collapsed after the kuje prison break. According to the security report, there are Boko Haram and ISWAP members loitering in the Abuja metropolis and scattered and strategically placed in different parts of Abuja waiting for the right time to strike.

National Parks and recreational centers in Abuja are being shut down for fear of invasion. Private Restaurants and private businesses are being asked to shut down or if they must operate they must not operate late at night for fear of invasion. There are constant newsletters from security operatives about the planned attacks by Boko Haram and ISWAP.

Soldiers lost their lives yesterday after they were ambushed by terrorists around the Bwari area of Abuja and the report is that the terrorists were actually heading to the headquarters of the Nigerian Law school which is located in Bwari to carry out their attack.

I as an Abuja resident who has resided in Abuja for a while now haven’t experienced this type of security breach in the capital city. Abuja residents have been living in constant fear; fear of the unknown. No one knows where they are going to attack next.

For the record, this is not a political witch-hunt neither is it criticism against the government or those in governance or against whomsoever but this is a statement of fact, verified facts and not to induce fear or panic in the minds of residents of Abuja but to let those who may not be aware to know that Abuja is actually one of the unsafest places to live right now in Nigeria. The person seating close to you or sharing that Keke ride or boarded that taxi with you may be a Boko Haram member that was “jailbroken” out of Kuje prison.

It is disheartening that Abuja residents are still struggling with fuel scarcity which started last year and they will now sleep with one eye closed hoping they don’t die in their sleep. 

It has never been this bad!. 

 

BudgIT Asks Nigerian Government to Reform Subsidy, Stop Indiscriminate Borrowing

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Nigeria’s rising debt, which is being accelerated by subsidy payments that have been compounding the nation’s economic situation, is increasingly becoming a cause for concern to both people and organizations. With the impact tearing through people and industries as inflation rises, more organizations are joining the call to the federal government to curtail it.

BudgIT has joined the chorus of organizations expressing concerns over the impact of borrowing and subsidy payments on the fiscal performance of the federal government’s 2022 budget.

On Monday, the civic-tech organisation said in a statement signed by Iyanu Fatoba, assistant head, media and communications, that Nigeria’s economic misfortune has deteriorated over the last eight months.

Nigeria’s total debt, including the central bank’s Ways and Means Advance, stands around N61 trillion and is likely going to increase as the subsidy payments continue amidst dwindling revenue.

BudgIT said the most pressing concern is the debt service-to-revenue ratio, which has reached alarming levels within the first four months of 2022.

The organization cited the 2022 fiscal performance report released last week, which indicated that Nigeria is now borrowing to pay debt. The report noted that in the first four months of the year (Jan-April 2022), Nigeria generated N1.64 trillion, whereas it spent N1.94 trillion, N310 billion more than its generated revenue, on debt servicing.

According to the statement issued by BudgIT, “This is in spite of warnings given by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) that Nigeria would be spending over 100 percent of its revenue on debt service in 2026. Unfortunately, those predictions are Nigeria’s current realities.”

The organization lamented that debt servicing is not only worsening the nation’s poverty situation, but it is also gulping budgetary allocation for capital expenditures for key sectors such as education.

“Recall that BudgIT, in a consultation memo released in February 2022 titled: ‘Leveraging budget reforms for economic development,’ had articulated several reform issues bordering on Nigeria’s public financial management regime that affect the very core of governance, separation of powers, expenditure efficiency, and the livelihoods of millions of Nigerians; 83 million of whom live in extreme poverty.

“Four months later, some of those same challenges exist, with additional ones, if not properly managed, may spell fiscal crisis for an already impoverished nation. In particular, the debt service spending is only N93.6 billion less than the combined total personnel and capital expenditure for the period under review. Also alarming are the expenditure targets for the Tertiary Education Trust Fund (TETFund), which have only been 15 percent (of the total N5.10 billion naira) for the period under review.

“There is no gainsaying that the fortunes of the most populous black nation on earth, Nigeria, have worsened in the last 8 months after the 2022 budget was passed,” it said.

Gabriel Okeowo, BudgIT’s country director, said the government needs to discontinue indiscriminate borrowing to fully implement the budget that Nigerians have counted on to ease their economic woes.

“It is in light of the above that we call on all well-meaning Nigerians, CSOs, media, the private sector, the international community, and reformers to join the call for the federal government to do the following: discontinue indiscriminate borrowing through ways and means, which is creating a ballooning set of interest payments, running parallel to the external debt, as well as increasing the money supply and creating more monetary volatility; check the oil theft that is now commonplace in the petroleum industry, and has encumbered the country’s ability to meet its production quotas-the latter having fallen to 1.25 million barrels as at May 2022,” the statement added.

The civic-tech group also made recommendations for the government.

“Ramp up the remittance of operating surpluses by MDAs and GOEs to boost FG’s independent revenues, which is currently underperforming, and take considered action to reform subsidy, this achieves the twin objectives of having citizen buy-in and revenue savings that are channeled into priority areas,” it said.

While the current situation bites harder, the federal government is yet planning to take further N4 trillion loan to address subsidy-induced budget shortfalls. With the revenue plummeting due to government’s inability to cash in on the oil windfall, Nigeria is likely to continue borrowing to service debt