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The Reason Nations Struggle on the Illusion of Oil Wealth

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Case A: You sleep in your house, someone pumps oil in your backyard, sells it, and credits you $10 million at the end of the month. The economic activity for the production of the “finished goods”, in this case, crude oil at this phase, is $1 million. That $1m is the GDP – value added, created through the production of goods and services.

Case B: Another person cultivates palm trees, employs many people to weed, trim, harvest, process to palm oil, soaps, sells, ships, etc. The person deposits $2 million at the end of the month. But the economic activity for that translation is worth $5 million because many things are done within the area, generating massive economic activities. Here, there are jobs.

Have that in mind as you look at the GDP map of countries. Africa could be making money on natural resources but we are missing a lot on the economic activities. That explains why our GDP remains very small. We belong to Case A and account for a small component of the global economy.

Businesses In Nigeria Resort To Use Of Solar Due To Hike In Price Of Diesel

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Concept of house in paper on blue color background for real estate property industry

There has been a surge in the use of solar by businesses in Nigeria, as they seek an alternative to the supply of power due to the rising global oil prices that have led to the hike in the price of diesel and petrol.

Some businesses have suspended operations, while some are struggling to keep their business afloat. Nigeria, which has the largest economy in Africa, with a population of more than 200 million people, has an installed electricity capacity of 12,500 megawatts, but the national grid only supplies 4,000 MW at peak, leaving businesses and households heavily reliant on diesel-powered generators.

This is indeed a challenging time for businesses in Nigeria, as many companies have pruned their number of staff to cut labor costs. Due to the Russian-Ukraine war, that has driven up the international crude oil prices, higher projections are still anticipated which presumes more impending woes for nations.

According to the energy commission of Nigeria, it disclosed that the country spends $22 billion annually on fuel generators. These exorbitant prices spent on petroleum resources, no doubt stifle the growth of businesses in Nigeria, with the price of diesel that has nearly tripled to N800 a litre ($1.93) which has led to the increasing growth in demand for solar as some businesses can’t cope any longer.

Solar power adoption is gradually rising with estimation at below two percent. Some businesses cited some constraints in the use of solar, as they perceive that it is unsuitable for large-scale use.

However, there are claims that big companies can run on solar, although it could not ideally be used as the main source of supply, but rather as a substitute. According to the CEO of Rensource energy, Prince Ojeabulu, he disclosed that the company installed under a megawatt of solar panels, and is currently building a 6MW plant.

He further revealed that going by the trend of solar adoption in Nigeria, there should be an estimation of 12 MW of solar installations operational across the country. A ministry of power also revealed that there was an increase this year of approved solar mini-grids serving industrial users.

Power supply is no doubt the bane of businesses across the globe, without it, businesses will shut down production activities which will have a negative impact on the business revenue.

With the numerous national grid collapses that have been recorded in Nigeria within the first half of the year, households and businesses are turning to solar energy for succor.

Nigeria’s 24 power plants are currently experiencing major power outages due to several reasons such as gas challenges, technical problems, lack of spinning reserves, etc.

The world bank in 2020, disclosed that 50 percent of 202 million persons in Nigeria were not connected to the national grid. This means that half of Nigerians are not connected to the national grid, which has made a large number of them to adopt the use of solar energy for power supply.

Due to the high adoption of Solar Energy among Nigerians, few persons and bodies have urged the government to encourage solar manufacturers by reducing import duties.

Since it is obvious that the national grid cannot reach everybody in the country, the government needs to encourage the sector as the industry has the capacity not only to supply households and businesses with power supply, but also it can create millions of jobs for unemployed youths through manufacturing and installation.

ASUU, Besides Strikes, Provide A Roadmap for Financial Reform of Nigeria’s University System

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I write to support ASUU as it continues to battle for the future of Nigerian youth. Yet, I want to also tell ASUU that Nigeria is not financially capable to accept some of its demands because Nigeria does not have the funds. We all want our professors, teachers, etc to earn decent wages. We also want the funding of our universities. But the fact is this: Nigeria does not have the funds. And even strikes will not change that state in the short-term.

University strikes decimate local economies. My local government has two universities; we know the contributions those schools provide to the local economy. When students are in town, okada boys have jobs, mama put has buyers, etc. In short, every student could be contributing at least N1,000 to the local economy (food – N800, transport – N200, etc). Multiply this conservative N1,000 by tens of thousands of students, workers and associates, you will see why every community wants a university. With strikes, those opportunities dry up.

ASUU will likely return in weeks since the government understands the political risk as national election arrives. Also, the labour union is planning to join in solidarity. Yet, that return is nothing but a pause of a deep problem which must be fixed.

The current structure we have in the Nigerian university system is not viable. A major tax reform can help so that the private sector and individuals can help support the schools. And besides any tax reform to boost funding, the organization of our school system must evolve. The Ivy League club could soon hit $1 trillion; Nigerian schools can at least hit $50 billion.

The Ivies added $48.6 billion to their endowments this year, and new estimates show their collective endowment could exceed $1 trillion by 2048. Organized as charitable non-profits, the Ivy League is a cash generation machine. Their collective endowment now stands at approximately $192.6 billion, which is up from $144 billion in 2020.

I do believe and continue to posit that Nigeria should thrive to consolidate many federal universities. In Southeast, we can have UNN with many federal universities in Southeast as campuses. For example, Michael Okpara University of Agriculture, Umuahia can be the agriculture school of this new UNN. You do the same across the nation.

Sure, I know that it would not happen because no one would like his or her alma mater to disappear. But one day, whether we like it or not, poor funding will force most schools to collapse and they will now beg some bigger ones to absorb them!

The Nigeria Union of Petroleum and Natural Gas Workers (NUPENG) has thrown its weight behind a planned protest by the Nigerian Labour Congress (NLC) over the ongoing strike by university lecturers under the Academic Staff Union of Universities (ASUU).

NLC President, Ayuba Wabba, had, on July 1, said that the NLC would embark on a nationwide protest if the strike persists.

The strike by ASUU has been on for almost five months since it began on February 14.

Other workers’ unions across the nation’s universities hav also embarked on similar industrial actions, grounding completely both academic and non-academic activities across public ivory towers nationwide.

Comment on Social Feeds

Comment : Cutting down on what the government spends on itself can fund ASUU many times over in my opinion. The problem seems to be how the government places education on the lower rungs of the ladder.

My Response: “Cutting down on what the government spends on itself can fund ASUU many times over in my opinion. ” – it can go both ways. Nigeria needs to trim dozens of our federal universities and cut the number of VCs, provosts, etc. The same problem you saw in government is also in schools. UNN can operate MOUA Umuahia as a campus for agriculture, etc. By the time you are done, Southeast will have only 2 federal universities under two VCs, etc. 

The cost you will save from official cars, duplication of registrars, etc can go into learning, research, etc. I worked on that for Rwanda and converted most of the universities into one leadership, saving $millions. Me with one of the ministers here . Today, most of their funds go into learning and research and not buying official cars for VCs, provosts, etc.

Comment 2: TETF was originally Nigeria University system idea ?. What’s happened to it?

My Response 2: The problem is not just having more money. It is having a reformed structure to make use of money. Nigeria has created more than 20 new federal universities since 2010 when it could have expanded the existing ones. Doing that would have saved more VCs, provosts, official cars, etc. That saved funds would go into learning, research, etc. That is the problem. Today, you have a federal university with 1,700 students with all the officers in a university. The ROC (return of capital) is poor for the Nigerian people.

Comment 3: Sorry sir but you are wrong….DEAD WRONG! Nigeria has the funds

My Response 3: life is at levels. South Africa’s budget is close to $152 billion for 59 million people; Nigeria’s budget is $42 billion for 210 million people. I know that Chinedu will not understand but when you look at things at bigger angle, even if Nigeria is super-prudent, it cannot support 210m with $42b at the same level SA can support 59m with $152B.

But I do not blame your comment “dead wrong” – you have been reading that as a kid and it is hard to think otherwise. But get this from me, your nation is one of the poorest per capita in the world.

Fixing Nigeria’s University Funding Paralysis

Tesla is Laying Off 229 Staff, Shuttering San Mateo, California Office

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In June, Tesla CEO Elon Musk sent an email to the automaker’s executives, informing them that due to overstaffing, Tesla will be reducing salaried headcount by 10%, and that worldwide hiring should be paused.

Though the email was debated and Musk did not openly admit it, the decision to lay off some employees is materializing.

Now, TechCrunch reports below that Tesla is laying off 229 data annotation employees who are part of the company’s larger Autopilot team and is shuttering the San Mateo, California office where they worked, according to a California regulatory filing.

TechCrunch previously reported that nearly 200 employees were being laid off, according to sources who talked to TechCrunch on condition of anonymity. Bloomberg was the first to report the layoffs, which have now been confirmed via a Worker Adjustment and Retraining Notification Act notice. The WARN ACT requires employers conducting mass layoffs to issue a 60-day notice for affected workers.

The San Mateo office employed 276 workers. The remaining 47 employees may be sent to work in Tesla’s Buffalo Autopilot office, according to sources familiar with the matter. Most of the workers were in moderately low-skilled, low-wage jobs, such as Autopilot data labeling, which involves determining if Tesla’s algorithm identified an object well or poorly, according to one source.

The source noted layoffs of this team were rumored to be on the table for months, and that the work would be offloaded to Buffalo.

The layoffs are part of the 10% reduction in workforce that Tesla CEO Elon Musk announced last month.

The failure to issue a WARN notification has already led to at least one lawsuit. Lawyers representing two former Tesla employees who were terminated in mid-June filed in June a lawsuit in the U.S. District Court for the Western District of Texas that alleges the company did not provide the 60 days of advance notice required by federal law during a recent round of layoffs.

Last week, the plaintiffs’ lawyers filed an emergency motion asking a judge to prohibit the electric vehicle maker from forcing workers to sign releases in exchange for less severance than federal law provides.

Russia’s Invasion, Ukrainian Wheat Export Shortfall and Panic over Global Food Security

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Amidst panic over the Ukrainian wheat export shortfall and its likely disruptive effect on the global food supply due to Russia’s alleged deliberate attack and burnings of Ukraine’s wheat fields, analysts estimate that the territorial warfare plot, though not a small fry, may not be as economically downtrodden as it is currently being conceived. According to Forbes, Russia’s torching of wheat fields in Ukraine may not be inflicting the market disruption and food insecurity that Moscow desires.

Forbes’s reporter, Eric Tegla, reported that Russia’s naval control of the black sea and its off-again and on-again grip on the snake island has thwarted Ukrainian wheat exports. This is corroborated by a statement made by the United State’s secretary of State, Anthony Blinken, who was reported to have estimated that 20 million tons of Ukrainian grain is sitting in the locked Silos outside the Black Sea port of Odesa, and more is waiting on ships blocked from leaving Ukraine’s key strategic Port. The American diplomat was reported to have expressed his belief that Russian President, Vladimir Putin’s deliberate aggressive control of grain shipment is political blackmail to deflect responsibility and get the world to cow to his threats and end the sanctions on Russia.

According to the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organisation’s wheat price index, wheat prices have increased by 45 percent in the first 3 months of 2022 compared with the previous year. The Global production of wheat, rice, and other grains is forecast to reach 2.78 billion tons in 2022 from 2.94 billion produced in 2021.

According to a 2022 United States Department of Agriculture report, Russia and Ukraine are the first and seventh largest exporters of wheat in the world respectively, and both countries account for nearly one-third of the world’s wheat and barley export. However, ‘’since the beginning of the war, Ukraine has only been able to export 1.5 million to 2 million tons of grains a month down from more than 6 million tons a month previously’’ Joseph Glauber, senior researcher at the International Food Policy Research Institute in Washington was cited by Forbes.

Reuters News reporter, Pavel Polityuk, cited the Ukrainian agriculture ministry as saying Ukraine’s grain export in the first seven days of July was down by 30 percent year on year at 402,000 tonnes. The reporter added that the government remarks Ukraine can expect to harvest 50 million tonnes of grains this year compared with a record of 86 million tonnes in 2021 because of the loss of land to Russian forces and lower grain yield

Since Russia’s attack, some Ukraine grains are being rerouted through Europe by rail, road, and rivers but it’s a small quality compared with the Sea route. However, the Russian Foreign Minister, Sergey Lavrov, has noted that Ukraine’s wheat exports could restart if the country removes mines in the Black sea and agrees that arriving ships can be checked for weapons by the Russian authorities.

According to Forbes’ Tegla, the blockade goes on as does the apparent burning of Ukrainian wheat. But if this year’s Russian and Western harvests prove to be bountiful, Putin’s leverage using food supplies may not be as strong as he’s hoped and the global backlash will surely be stronger

The Foundation for Investigative Journalism (FIJ) Nigeria raised a concern that the increasing price of bread in Nigeria could be adduced to the current political tension between Russia and Ukraine. According to FIJ Nigeria, food security remains under threat due to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and Nigeria has been hit hard as a result. Citing April 2022 report by Statista, FIJ reporter, Joseph Adeiye, states that the price of bread in Nigeria is currently pegged at $1.14 compared to other African countries where a loaf of bread is sold for less than $1. The reporter fears that the cost of bread, wheat flour, pasta, maize, barley, and other derivatives will continue to rise and supplies will dwindle.

Turkey has been the mediating country between Russia and Ukraine since the former sent its armed forces into the latter on February 24. The last peace talks between representatives of Russia and Ukraine were held in March ending 2022. However, according to Reuters News, a fresh round of negotiation between Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, and the United Nations over grain exports from Ukraine would take place on Wednesday, 13 July 2022 in Istanbul.