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COVID-19 versus Vaccination: Between the Devil and the Red Sea for Nigerians

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In 2019, no one imagined it. No one believed it that coronavirus would emerge and overwhelmed everyone. From late 2019 to the end of 2020, people and businesses were disrupted. Interest in knowing the genesis of the disease and how the stakeholders, especially government officials were managing it was high on the digital and physical spaces.  Attention was paid to why governments and drug manufacturers should speed their vaccine production for the disease. Comparative analysis of the interest in coronavirus vaccine and the disease indicates a wide gap [see Exhibit 1].

Exhibit 1: Public Interest in Coronavirus and Vaccines in 2020

Source: Google Trends, 2021; Infoprations Analysis, 2021

The Disease Related Messages Deconstruction

From the public to the private sector, efforts were made during the first wave of the disease to enlighten people and businesses on the best practices to prevent the spread of the disease. Despite this, Nigeria recorded a number of cases and deaths. The Coalition Against COVID-19, a public sector collaboration organisation, developed and disseminated various messages in addition to what state and federal governments communicated to the public. Surprisingly, our analysis of over 1,000 messages from the social media platforms of the organisation and others in 2020 revealed a wide disparity between stakeholders’ intent of preventing the spread of the disease and the readiness of the citizens to apply the messages.

Our analyst examined messages that had the purpose of educating citizens about the preventive measures and informing them about cases and deaths being recorded every day. The focus was also on the messages that stressed the need to stop the spread of the disease. From 439 messages mined from the social media platform of the CACOVID, 28.01% messages were reinforced by the followers. The reinforcement, according to our definition, is the follower’s acceptance of the message and readiness to apply lessons from it in the physical sphere. Over 63% of 193 messages from the Lagos State Ministry of Health were reinforced. On the social media platforms of the Lagos State Government and the National Centre for Disease Control, 47.18% and 35.79% messages out of 426 and 1,123 were reinforced respectively. Over 25% of 362 messages from the social pages of the Presidential Task Force were reinforced by the followers. The Federal Ministry of Information and Culture had the least percentage of message reinforcement. According to our analysis 11.02% of the Ministry’s 390 messages were reinforced. Over 20% of 1,022 messages from the pages of the Federal Ministry of Health were reinforced.

With these results, our analyst notes that the ongoing negative reactions towards the use of foreign and local vaccines should not surprise concerned stakeholders because the responses to the public communication during the first wave had clearly shown that the introduction of the vaccine would attract negative reactions from the public.

We Want, We Don’t Want

It is not really a surprise that Nigerians are contemplating on being vaccinated or not. The divergent view is a global one. From the Europe to America, people are doubting the efficacy of the first vaccines from manufacturers. More than 71% of 13,426 people surveyed in 19 countries that they would be very or somewhat likely to take a COVID-19 vaccine, and 48.1% reported that they would accept their employer’s recommendation to do so.

In Nigeria, 80% of 465 people studied by a team of researchers from Babcock University were unwilling to participate in the COVID-19 vaccine trial, while 20% were willing. According to the researchers,  age, gender, educational level, religion, occupation, nature of monthly income and geopolitical zone had no significant impact on the perception and readiness to participate in the COVID-19 vaccine trial.  Over 17% were against the COVID-19 vaccine trial, 15.3% were in support and willing to participate if given a chance, while only 6.2% of the respondents indicated interest in participating in the vaccine trial even if it will affect their daily life activity. 9.7% and 52.3% of them opined that vaccine trials should be initiated in residential homes and isolation centres, respectively. More than 39% (185/465) feared that the vaccine may not be affordable and accessible for the common man.

Eighty percent (80%) were afraid of adverse effects/complication that may be associated with the vaccine, 30.8% were afraid of the vaccine been used as a medium for implantation of microchips, 11.8% were afraid of disruption of daily routine, 26.9% fear that the vaccine may be used as a biological weapon, while 50.5% are afraid of vaccine related death.

Superior Participatory Community Engagement

From the messages deconstruction to the views expressed about the vaccine, it is glaring that Nigerian stakeholders need superior participatory community engagement in the digital and physical spheres. Government actors with adequate knowledge of the efficacy of the vaccines and explication of adverse effects must be deployed as influencers on social media. They also need to participate in community sensitization at Town Halls and other places deemed appropriate for spreading vaccine related messages. The identified Ministries and Governments in our analysis of message deconstruction need to work on their reply approach to messages being posted on the social media platforms. Inclusive interaction and engagement on the platforms matter now as the second wave continues.

Nigerian Telecom Subscribers Hit 208 Million – NCC

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Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC) said on Thursday that the number of active telephone subscribers across the country has risen to 208 million, in the latest data indicating continuous month-on-month growth in the telecom industry.

NCC’s Executive Vice Chairman, Umar Danbatta, was at a briefing for the new Permanent Secretary of the Federal Ministry of Communications and Digital Economy, Festus Daudu, on the functions and regulatory activities of the commission, when the achievement was announced. Danbatta through the commission disclosed this among other developments in the telecom industry.

“As at November 2020, active telephony subscribers stood at 208 million with teledensity standing at 108.92 per cent while active internet subscriptions were 154.9 million and a broadband penetration of 45.07 per cent, among others,” he said.

The EVC said that third generation (3G) and fourth generation (4G) base transceiver stations deployment in Nigeria had increased from 30,000 to 53,460. He added that fibre optic transmission cables expanded from 47,000km to 54,725km in the last five years, resulting in improved broadband/telecoms service delivery to Nigerians.

NCC HQ

“The BTS, fibre optic cables and other related infrastructure are central to the provision of improved service experience for Nigerians by their respective telecoms service providers,” he said, adding that the licensed Infrastructure Companies (InfraCos) are also expected to add 38,296km to optic fibre cables when they commence full operations.

Before the latest figures announced by the NCC, industry operators had put the number of telephone subscribers in Nigeria at about 207 million.

Danbatta said the commission had introduced various interventions such as the issuance of directives to mobile network operators to protect consumers from being shortchanged. According to him, they include the declaration of 2017 as year of the Telecom Line for lodging and resolving consumer complaints and the provision of the 112 Emergency number and activation of 19 emergency Communications Centers (ECCs) across the country.

Others include the enforcement of mobile number portability as well as the introduction of the Do-Not-Disturb 2442 to check cases of unsolicited text messages, and issuance of various directions to protect the consumers from being short-changed, ensuring smooth transition of Etisalat to 9Mobile, and enforcement of mobile number portability.

He said the number of subscriptions to DND service had hit over 30 million as the service empowered Nigerians to be able to protect themselves from the menace of unsolicited text messages.

Danbatta promised that the commission will do more to ensure that the telecom industry attain greater heights that will contribute to the growth of the economy.

“The Commission will continue to put in its best in the discharge of its mandates, especially in facilitating the deployment of broadband, which is central to diversifying the Nigerian economy and national development.

“Also, it is our belief that the communications industry, under the leadership of the Ministry of Communications and Digital Economy, will experience more quantum leaps and retain its current leadership role in the telecommunications space,” he said.

Speaking on the progress, the new permanent secretary said the contribution of the telecoms sector to the country’s Gross Domestic Product had been impressive.

Daudu, however, urged the commission to increase its collaboration and teamwork with the communications ministry, other agencies and industry stakeholders towards achieving the Federal Government’s objective of a digital economy.

“I want to thank NCC for its contribution to the Nigerian economy so far. I am not exaggerating about the achievements of NCC, in terms of contribution to GDP and how NCC’s effective regulatory role has been helping the economy in so many ways,” he said.

The Nigerian Bureau of Statistics (NBS)’ Q3 report listed the telecom industry among the top six contributors to the Nigerian economy. The order of contribution to GDP is as follows: Agriculture 30.77%, Trade 13.88%, Info & Communication 13.47%, Manufacturing 8.93%, Mining & Quarrying 8.91% and Real Estate 5.58%.

The Need to Make Health Insurance Mandatory for Pregnant Women and Children

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Ada found out she was pregnant barely five months after the previous one. She was thrilled and afraid at the same time. Her husband, Obi, was uncomfortable because his business was going through some challenges and he still had to take care of his family, including his five-month-old twins. However, considering that Ada delivered the set of twins vaginally, they hoped this second one would also come without complications. But alas, they were about to be shocked.

Seven months into her pregnancy, Ada began to notice the pregnancy came with challenges she didn’t experience in the first one. She began to experience false labour, especially at night. She complained at the antenatal clinic and was told it happens to many women and she has nothing to worry about. By the eighth month of her pregnancy, the contractions continued even though the cervix wasn’t opening. In addition to this, she began to retain water on her legs. But maybe she didn’t see it as a problem, after all, it happens too. However, the midwives at the clinic began to worry because the foetus was lying in a non-cephalic presentation. She was sent for a scan and it was also discovered the foetal weight was much. That was when Ada was referred to a doctor.

Of course, doctors don’t take chances with pregnant women, especially when there are issues. The doctor told Ada to start preparing for the caesarean section (CS) and nothing more. Ada told her husband, Obi, and they both went to meet the doctor to see what it will take to have CS. Well, your guess is as good as mine. Anyway, Obi didn’t have the amount of money the doctor mentioned as the initial deposit. He began to call for help but many turned deaf to his plea – it’s his responsibility, right? Well, suggestions began to come from left, right, and centre; and the poor man and his wife began to listen to them – do they have a choice. This was how Ada was taken to a woman that is “an expert in repositioning foetus”, and later taken to another hospital for delivery when labour started fully. To cut the whole story short, Ada’s labour lasted longer than normal and they still had to go for CS. But unfortunately, Obi lost Ada and the beautiful daughter that would have been born to him.

This story is real; the only difference is the changes in the names.Many people may relate to this couple’s experience. Some women died as a result of something like that. Many have been incapacitated for life because of such an abysmal experience. It is easy to blame people like this when you have not been in their shoes but, believe me, you may do exactly what that couple did if you find yourself in their position. Today, Obi laments his wife’s death and blames it on lack of funds. According to him, if he had the amount the first doctor demanded, he wouldn’t have sought help or even heard all the suggestions they followed. This is why it is unacceptable that pregnant women should be expected to pay for their delivery through the out-of-pocket method. They should be mandated to obtain health insurance before their due date.

Nigeria’s health minister

Pregnant women are not the only ones that need compulsory health insurance. Children do too. According to the World Bank, in 2019, the mortality rate of children below the age of five was 117 deaths per every 1000 live births in Nigeria. Of course, this figure was derived from reported cases when deaths happen in hospitals. This does not include children that died at home because their parents could not afford hospital bills. Furthermore, the World Health Organisation (WHO) reported that in Nigeria, the maternal death rate in 2015 was 800 deaths per every 100 000 live births. According to the organisation, 58 000 maternal deaths occurred in the country in that year alone. The problem here is that the rate is increasing because, according to Index Mundi, the maternal mortality rate in Nigeria in 2017 is 917 deaths per 100 000 live births. This is becoming worrisome.

It should be noted that infant and maternal mortalities in Nigeria are not caused by poor medical services. This is far from it. Even to date, we still hear about women going to non-professional midwives for delivery. We still see those taken to “churches” for prayers because their labours are prolonged and, hence, it must be the hand work of the “enemy”. We still see people avoiding antenatal classes because they couldn’t afford them (especially when the Primary Health Centres in their communities are non-functional). In Nigeria today, the major cause of maternal mortality is the lack of access to proper health care. This is the same with infant mortality.

It will be improper to blame the government for these death rates because the government has put things in place to curb them. For instance, antenatal classes in government hospitals are free and so are deliveries. All that the woman had to provide are materials needed for the delivery. However, if CS is needed, delivery is no longer free; this is where many women encounter challenges.

But a woman that is covered by health insurance does not have to worry about money for delivery. As far as I know, a woman that is duly registered under National Health Insurance Scheme (NHIS) does not pay a dime for her delivery, even if it is through CS. Even the child she gave birth to will be covered by her insurance until he/she is three months old. So, why do our people take chances with their lives when there is an easy way out?

Many people, to date, think NHIS is a scam. Some think it is for government employees alone. They are not to be blamed because the level of publicity of NHIS is low. But those that have discovered about it and its benefits do not hesitate to register with them. However, NHIS is still voluntary in the country; something I believe should be changed for pregnant women and children. It is left for the appropriate quarters to insist that pregnant women and children should, compulsorily, be covered by health insurance. How they will go about it is up to them.

The Nigeria’s Excess Crude Account (ECA) Balance of $72 Million

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Nigeria leaders

This is a bombshell: The Federal Government  has announced that Nigeria’s “Excess Crude Account (ECA) balance as at 20th January 2021 is $72,411,197.80.” Yes, $72 million. In Feb 2014, that number was $3.6 billion and as at August 2015, it was $2.2 billion. Simply, we have blown the “saving” from crude oil in less than a decade! 

Other updates at the NEC meeting include account balances as at 20th January, 2020 given by the Minister of Finance, Budget and National Planning, as follows:

Excess Crude Account (ECA), balance as at 20th January, 2021, $72,411,197.80; Stabilization Account, balance as at 19th January, 2021, N28, 800, 711,295.37; Natural Resources Development Fund Account, balance as at 19th January 2021, N95, 830,729,470.82.

My position which I put forward in my speech in the National Assembly in 2019 remains: put 50% of the fund into accredited local venture capital  firms who must invest at parity of 50-50 in Nigerian companies. Those VC firms must have independent investment boards from SEC, CBN, BOI and private sector. Under no scenario should ECA be used to cover the cost of bureaucracy. Had we done that, we might have stimulated the economy and built the foundation for new growth drivers.

Meanwhile, President Muhammadu Buhari has approved N6.45 billion for the setting up of gas plants in 38 locations nationwide in a bid to enhance the treatment of Covid-19 patients who need oxygen. That is a commendable one as many lives have been wasted due to the lack of this basic tool. Yet, it would have been better if they had gone through the private sector instead of doing it directly as a government. 

Nigeria should STOP building things because we spend N10 billion to build, and in 3 years, we “privatize” for N1 billion. Haba!

That is the reason why I am not celebrating the inauguration of the  National Oil and Gas Excellence Centre (NOGEC) Lagos, which is aimed at strengthening Nigeria’s position as a regional leader in the oil and gas industry. It would have been great if they established it inside a university instead of the Lagos Annex of the Department of Petroleum Resources (DPR). Personally, it is either we want to have universities or not. Yes, you cannot be funding AI & robotics centers in NITDA when such could not be put inside universities, limiting the need to expand national bureaucracy.

Of course, you can argue that the government had no option since schools now strike all the time. Sure but funding centers this way will not fix the long-time paralysis.

Comment on LinkedIn Feed

Comment #1: Yeye dey smell. Fela talk am. 6.45 Billion to make oxygen? in 38 locations!!!!!!!! A smarter person would have: Called all the Vice-Chancellors of all federal and private universities and given then that mandate, in return for an equal split in the fund. Give a gas plant that would make oxygen so that your universities will serve as production facilities and then sell on to the end users. It would be a double investment benefit.

One simple modular design, 38 universities, then they use the facility for study and research and expand knowledge from there. Why do we have all the Federal Universities??????????? jeez…. these guys just stumble from one side to the other. By now, the Federal universities should have been working with the defense ministry to build military hardware to fight Boko-Haram, and not mint graduates for the Canadian market!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1

Comment #2: There is nothing in your speech that the government doesn’t know about. Politicians are just wicked. They want to continue milking the country till the country dies.

My response to #2: I agree 100%. We need to avoid the illusion that we (outside govt) are smarter than anyone. The fact is this – unless we have the hearts of service, nothing will change. I mean, it is not rocket science that if you want to save for the future, you INVEST, and not spend on frivolities. Possibly, in 3 months, ECA will go to zero. Then, we will begin looking for another to drain.

 

Tax Law At Tekedia Institute

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He holds a PhD in Energy Law from the prestigious University of Ibadan. He earned LLM from the amazing University of Lagos. But it all began in the land of lions and lionesses, the enviable University of Nigeria Nsukka, where he graduated in Law.

Today, he is a partner in one of the nation’s top law firms, Hermon Legal Practitioners, where he leads the firm’s tax law and energy tax business, among others. Dr. Jerome Okoro PhD, a Tekedia Institute Faculty, will teach Tax Law during the next edition of Tekedia Mini-MBA.

Taxation is a big area in our Institute. We already have a manager in the Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS) developing a course on Global Tax Treaties. Essentially, I want our members to get comfortable with tax and use the available tax laws to advance their missions.

To join the next edition of Tekedia Mini-MBA, click here.

Tekedia Mini-MBA Edition 4