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AMD to Buy Rival, Xilinx for $35bn, As Competition Intensifies in the Chip Industry

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Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD) announced Tuesday it would buy Xilinx Inc in a $35 billion all-stock deal, marking a major challenge to Intel Corp in the semiconductor industry.

According to Reuters, AMD is expected to close the deal in 2021, and it will create a combined company with 13,000 engineers and a completely outsourced manufacturing strategy that relies heavily on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSMC).

Since early this year, the semiconductor industry has witnessed a lot of changes that have intensified competition, forcing chipmakers to up their game in order to grab a market share.

COVID-19 pandemic has opened more opportunities for players in the chip industry through disruption of businesses, creating needs for alternate ways of doing things as the world comes to terms with the new normal.

The semiconductor industry is seeing a surge in consolidation as chipmakers seek scale and expand their product portfolios to support the increasing number of everyday items that are connected to the internet.

But AMD and Intel have a long history of rivalry in the central processing unit (CPU), of personal computer business.

The deal will put more pressure around Intel who has been feeling the heat of competition from Nvidia. Last month, Nvidia and Softbank were in talks for the sale of ARM, a major move Nvidia intends to use to scale up its market share in the chip industry.

But everyone in the industry has a plan to win more market shares or challenge market leaders.

In 2015, Intel executed its largest deal ever, buying Altera Corp for $16.7 billion.

Lisa Su took over AMD in 2014 as chief executive and has since then put up a challenge to Intel in the fast-growing business of data centers that power internet-based applications and services and are fueling the rise of artificial intelligence and fifth-generation telecommunications networks.

Xilinx has also been working to penetrate data centers with programmable processors that help speed up specialized tasks such as compressing videos or providing digital encryption.

Su told Reuters in an interview that the companies are counting on its strong areas to accelerate products into markets.

“There are some areas where we’re very strong, and we will be able to accelerate some of the adoption of the Xilinx product family. And there are some areas where (Xilinx CEO) Victor (Peng) is very strong, and we believe that we’ll be able to accelerate some of the AMD products into those markets,” she said.

The combined forces of the two companies will mean more trouble for Intel that has fallen years behind AMD and TSMC. AMD started its factories about 10 years ago, and has since then moved up the ladder with better chips. The market desired-chips of AMD has spurred its performance and increased its market share since 2013, at a little less than 20 percent of the CPU market. The shares have gone up 79 percent this year.

The deal means Xilinx shareholders will receive about 1.7 shares of AMD common stock for each share of Xilinx common stock, valuing Xilinx at $143 per share based on a 10-day average for AMD share prices up to October 8, or about 24.8% higher than its $114.55 closing price on October 26. AMD shareholders will own about 74 percent of the combined firm, with Xilinx shareholders owning the remaining 26 percent.

Under the deal, AMD’s Su will lead the combined company as chief executive, with Xilinx’s Peng serving as president responsible for the Xilinx business and strategic growth initiatives. The companies expect the deal to generate $300 million in cost savings.

Peng said meetings between the two companies have revealed that they have similar methods for designing chips.

“I’ll be honest, I don’t think it’s really as challenging as some other combinations. I had one of my leadership teams who was not familiar with AMD say to me after a meeting, ‘Boy, they’re just like us’,” he said.

Shares of AMD dropped 1.8% shortly after markets opened at 9:30 a.m ET, while those of Xilinx went up nearly 12% after the two companies held a joint conference call about the deal.

Alibaba’s Alipay Will Likely Acquire Interswitch or Flutterwave

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I am feeling it right here – Ant Group, the Chinese “Amazon of Money”, will likely acquire Nigeria’s Interswitch next year. Interswitch has some great properties in Verve, and data, as the pioneer of the electronic payment sector in Nigeria.  While Ant Group (of Alipay) has tons of money to buy anything on its way – it just raised $34 billion, the largest IPO in the last few days – the company may not like to spend about $1 billion possible price tag on Interswitch. But it needs data, and for that, it will not give up.

In a record breaking move, Jack Ma’s Ant Group pulled off the biggest share sale in history, with a $34.1 billion Initial Public Offering (IPO), beating Saudi Aramco’s previous record of $29.4 billion.

The Ant Group has been in market news as it prepared to make its market debut. The regulatory filing released Monday showed the Chinese tech giant priced its dual listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and Shanghai’s Star Market at 80 Hong Kong dollars ($10.32) and 68 yuan ($10.13) per share respectively.

The $34.1 billion IPO puts the company’s value at $310 billion. Ant’s decision to file its initial public offering with Shanghai and Hong Kong markets signals a looming boycott of US markets by Chinese firms. The Chinese government has recently been encouraging its companies to avoid US markets, following the economic and political tensions between the two countries that have put Chinese companies under serious scrutiny in America.

America had made it clear that the Ant Group cannot come to any party. A deal to buy MoneyGram by Ant was killed in 2019 by the US government. With Europe not offering friendly red carpets and the ambition of Ant so huge, a path through Nigeria becomes inevitable. 

Interswitch Verve is a great product and can be scaled all over Africa; Interswitch missed the opportunity as I explained in the monopoly hangover piece. No other sub-Saharan African company has that type of product. So, it is natural that Ant Financial will come for it. Verve offers it a promise to punt Visa and Mastercard; in 2019, Ant processed $18 trillion worth of transactions while the American duo pulled $16 trillion.

But assume that Interswitch is not possible, expect Flutterwave to be on the horizon. The interest in Ant Group’s IPO was so huge that the Hong Kong institutional book was “oversubscribed just one hour after the launch”. That is the level of success Ant has achieved. Interestingly, there is no company in the Western world that comes close to its scale; Ant is nearly 5x the value of Goldman Sachs! Justifying that confidence requires doing some global shopping. Expect Ant to play big in Africa – Interswitch and Flutterwave are my favorite targets.

The book was oversubscribed just one hour after the launch on Monday, two separate sources said, demonstrating investor frenzy for the initial public offering (IPO) of the Chinese fintech giant that has stoked heavy demand for cash and sent Hong Kong money market rates to five-month highs.

Ant Group declined to comment on the planned early closure of the Hong Kong institutional book.

It is looking to raise up to $34.4 billion in Hong Kong and Shanghai, with the offer split between the two cities, giving it a valuation of about $312 billion.

The Ant From Alibaba Beats Saudi Aramco, Raising $34b in World’s Largest IPO

The Airtel Africa’s 11th Consecutive Quarter of Double-digit Revenue Growth

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How time flies – this was a company which was rumoured to be leaving Africa. Of course, Airtel had no other option than Africa as its home nation of India was under a redesign, with Jio changing the industry with market-shaping products and services. Across all metrics, Airtel had no chance in India! Having no alternative, Airtel retooled its business model, and became a quasi-financial institution which offers telecommunication services. Yes, Airtel outsourced some infrastructure components of its business, improving its CAPEX and by doing that, have money to invest on its customers. The result has been superb: Airtel has logged its 11th consecutive quarter of double-digit revenue growth, HI 2020 data shows.

Airtel Africa has logged its 11th consecutive quarter of double-digit revenue growth. In its H1 2020 financial report, Airtel Africa noted a 16.4% increase in revenue in the first half of its current financial year, and a 19.6% increase in Q2. The operator said mobile revenues increased 15.3% in H1 due to growth in voice and data, while its mobile money operation Airtel Money saw revenue growth of 30.4%.

Growth was recorded across all regions, with Nigeria up 20.2%, East Africa up 21.9% and Francophone Africa up 4.4%. Noting a growth of 12% across its customer base, Airtel Africa now counts 116.4 million customers across 14 markets, which span Eastern Africa, Francophone Africa and Nigeria.

In May 2018, I explained why Airtel Nigeria would continue to grow: asset-light business model where outsourced partners do the core infrastructure works while Airtel stays ahead running the customer experiences. Doing that means it can grow faster because it can deploy dozens of partners (who get paid only when they deliver services) working across Nigeria at the same time. It is a very risky business model as the weakest link is now the weakest delivery partner. But the company has managed any risk very well.

Many quarters ago, Airtel was seen as a company that would abandon Nigeria. In the depth of the recession, the company struggled: it had so many underperforming assets. As the nation exited recession, Airtel upgraded its business model. Today, Airtel is leaving the infrastructure business, outsourcing all to partners across Nigeria. Typically, such enables companies to conserve cash. The impact is now visible in the subscriber numbers. Provided Airtel continues to find partners, it would continue to grow at a faster rate than its peers.

Telecom equipment leasing and outsourcing of critical infrastructure pose risks – your quality is determined by the capabilities of the partners. Most people like to be in charge of their destinies. But today, it is working for Airtel since the services are largely matured with very competent players who can deliver them.

The future of rural telephone and broadband services will move faster for Airtel in Nigeria since doing such will just require signing contracts with partners. The gestation period between investment and revenue is largely out because it does not have to worry about community negotiations, fees and other issues which make simple things hard in Nigeria. Airtel partners would have to deal with many of those issues.

The Airtel Africa transformation is a great case study of the power of business model: you must invest to get a working one. Most times, the problem is not the market but your business model. Blaming customers will not grow the business. Hello, Nigerian insurance companies!

Nigeria Lacks Political Leaders with Social Reforms Mindset: A Conversation with Seyi Odetola, UK based Nigerian

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Seyi Odetola

Editor’s Note

On October 1, 2020, Nigeria celebrated its 60th year of gaining independence from the United Kingdom. For the 6 decades, a number of achievements were made in socioeconomic and political areas. The country also experienced challenges within its socioeconomic and political systems. In spite of its achievements, Seyi Odetola, a Nigerian in the United Kingdom, speaks with our analyst on progressivism and inclusive social reforms. He believes that political leaders with progressive and social reforms mindset remain elusive in the country.

Excerpt

Tekedia: How would you describe the present political situation in Nigeria in terms of party politics, especially internal democracy among the political parties?

Odetola: The present political situation is gory and the instability is what we are witnessing in the last few days across the country. There is no internal party democracy, hence to expect free and fair democratic elections in the country will be a tall order.

Tekedia: Everyone is claiming he is a progressive like previous leaders such as Chief Obafemi Awolowo, how would you describe a politician as progressive in the Nigerian politics?

Odetola: If chief Obafemi Awolowo, in the 1950s, 60s, ’70s and ’80s was a progressive politician with evidence of his socio-political and economic contributions, we may thus ask this question: Who is a progressive politician?

In order to understand who a progressive politician is, we must ask what progressivism is all about: Progressivism is a political philosophy in support of social reform. In the 21st century, a movement that identifies as progressive is “a social or political movement that aims to represent the interests of ordinary people through political change and the support of government actions.”

We see the above definition played out in Awolowo narrative, but today’s politicians are symbols of oppression, insensitivity, corruption and public treasury looting in the broad.

Tekedia: Who are the progressives in terms of leadership quality and good governance in the current Nigeria democratic project?

Odetola: I do not see any progressive politicians today, except the Governor of Borno State whom I have been following at a distance.

Tekedia: Can we actually use project implementation as a yardstick for describing someone or a political party as progressive?

Odetola: Using project implementation isn’t a yardstick for measuring progressivism if the projects are not focused on social integration and cohesion!

Tekedia: How would you x-ray the performances of the ruling parties in South-Western states of Osun, Oyo, Ogun, Ekiti, Ondo and Lagos?

Odetola: The South West governors have failed woefully to integrate the social classes or we can say they failed to reduce the social gaps which is evident in the mantra we are seeing over the last days: Them v Us…demand for the generational shift in socio-political landscape is a function of seemingly degradation faced by the dislocated class which today we will call the youth though the evidence isn’t pointing the old-young dichotomies.

Tekedia: Would you say they are progressives in terms of executing projects that benefited citizenry positively?

Odetola: The South West governors are not progressive in thought and actions neither are they driven by any policies. They are just men without vision!

Tekedia: It has become a tradition among the government at all levels to execute projects without carrying the citizenry along in their planning and eventual implementation. Would you say we are actually practicing democracy as it is supposed to be done?

Odetola: The present service delivery is affected based on the likely pecuniary benefits to the occupier of offices rather than the citizenry. For instance, we have had looting of government warehouse in the recent days.

The question arises: why should we have locked up food items whilst the people were suffering? The answer is simple: the occupiers of government are waiting for the best politically advantageous times for the maximum good public relation to them and not the people.

Sad

Airtel Africa Continues To Grow

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Airtel Africa has logged its 11th consecutive quarter of double-digit revenue growth. In its H1 2020 financial report, Airtel Africa noted a 16.4% increase in revenue in the first half of its current financial year, and a 19.6% increase in Q2. The operator said mobile revenues increased 15.3% in H1 due to growth in voice and data, while its mobile money operation Airtel Money saw revenue growth of 30.4%.

Growth was recorded across all regions, with Nigeria up 20.2%, East Africa up 21.9% and Francophone Africa up 4.4%. Noting a growth of 12% across its customer base, Airtel Africa now counts 116.4 million customers across 14 markets, which span Eastern Africa, Francophone Africa and Nigeria.

CEO Raghunath Mandava (pictured) said: “The first half of our fiscal year included the peak impact of the Covid-19 pandemic in the countries where we operate. In these unprecedented times, the telecoms industry has emerged as a key and essential service for these economies, allowing customers to work remotely, reduce their travels, keep them connected and allow access to affordable entertainment.

“In these exceptional circumstances, in the first half, we delivered a strong set of results and as lockdown restrictions eased during Q2 our performance continued to improve with constant currency revenue growth of 19.6%, up 6.6% from the prior quarter,” he added.

Operating profit increased by 19.5% to $472 million, an increase of 28.3% in constant currency, while free cash flow was $319 million compared to $210 million in the same period last year.

Mandava added: “The fundamentals of our business remain strong and revenue growth further benefitted from the execution of our strategy with a specific focus on expanding distribution in the rural areas, investing in our network and increasing 4G coverage, as well as benefitting from the fact we provide an essential service to consumers.

“We remain alert to the potential for further disruptions from a second wave of Covid-19 across Africa, and the associated actions of governments to minimise contagion. Nevertheless, we are in a strong financial position to capture the opportunities in a fast-growing region that is vastly underpenetrated in terms of mobile and banking services. We remain confident of delivering long term sustained growth for our shareholders.”