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The Race between COVID 19 and Democratic Rights: Key Lessons from Elections Conducted Amidst the Pandemic

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When the Coronavirus pandemic happened on the world through Wuhan in China, no one could ever have imagined that its impact would have been so profound as it has been since December, 2019 when it strayed out China to other parts of the world. This pandemic has led to the shutting down of all institutions and infrastructures that have kept the world going before its unannounced appearance. The mitigating measures against the virus have made life difficult to run as usual. Lockdowns, social distancing and other personal hygiene instructions have put life activities at an abrupt pause. One area which seems to have found a way to defy this pandemic is governance and activities that surround it. Specifically, governments have found a way to run. Elections which are signposts of democratic government have also found a way to hold across the world. Democracies of the world pride on tenured terms for elected public officials. So, without elections there is likely to be a constitutional stalemate. For some countries, it was either to choose between live and continuous governance.

In a report earlier widely quoted on this platform, countries of the world that defy the Coronavirus scare were highlighted. Even though a total of 69 countries were reported to have postponed elections, 11 countries still held elections in the face of the ravaging virus. All kinds of elections were held- major, regional, municipal and local elections. They held across the regions of the world. From Africa to Europe, Asia to South America, people defied the novel virus to make democratic choices of their leaders.

In another report examining what the countries of the world that held elections did to mitigate the transmission of the virus, various means by which governments and electoral bodies of those countries put in place to ensure that people were not further put at danger of contracting the disease were highlighted. Elections are large-crowd events and as such have a very high risk of exposing people to the COVID 19. These measures ranged from fumigation of the polling booths, availability of hand sanitizers, ensuring social distancing on queues, compulsory use of face masks to provision of hand washing facilities at polling centres. In countries where pens are needed at voting points, voters were instructed to come with their own pens. These measures to a large extent have the capability to prevent transmission of the virus at the voting centres.

In specific terms, different countries deployed different preventive measures in a varied manner. While some countries ensured maximum precautions and deployment of the mitigation measures, some other countries made use of the minimum requirements that created loopholes for the virus to penetrate. An examination of selected countries’ approaches might reveal more.

According to the report, among the countries of the world with maximum preventive measures was Abkazhia – a country that seceded from Georgia. With a population estimated to be between 150,000-220,000, the country held its presidential elections on March 22, 2020. The country electoral body made sure there were facemasks for election officials, hand-sanitizers for voters who were instructed to come to the polling booths with their personal pens. Most importantly, the polling stations were fumigated before the elections.

In the same manner, Israel had its general elections on March 4, 2020. The country made sure quarantined individuals voted at separate, tented off polling stations. There were paramedics who wore complete protective gears while the election officials operated from behind sheeted plastic.

France also had her municipal elections on March 15, 2020. As part of the maximum mitigation efforts, quarantined individuals, People with Disabilities and the Sick had their ballot papers delivered to them. Physical distancing was ensured at the voting stations. Voters were instructed to come to the polling booths with their personal pens while compulsorily using face masks and disinfectant gels. The election authorities ensured proxy voting. All were aimed at making people safe while exercising their democratic rights.

Germany’s local elections in Bavaria held between March 15-29, 2020. Election workers wore gloves. Even though those who chose to come vote physically came to the polling stations with their personal pens, postal voting was also allowed. Canada held her council elections in Shaol Lake 39 on March 26, 2020. In addition to the provision of hand-sanitizers and physical distancing, ballot cut out slip was handed over to voters in plastic. Australia had its local elections on 29 March, 2020. The country ensured availability of hand-sanitizers and adherence to physical distancing of at least 1.5meters. Voters carried their personal pens and additional cleaning was done on the polling booth areas.

Among the countries with minimal mitigation measures during their elections were Guinea, Mali and Zimbabwe. During Guinea’s parliamentary elections and referendum held on March 22,2020, only mandatory hand-washing before voting was ensured. Mali’s general elections were a bit fairer in terms of mitigation measures. Apart from the availability of hand-washing facilities at the polling booths, social distancing was ensured during voting. Zimbabwe’s municipal elections in Chigutu held on March 21, 2020 were the worst. There were no preventive measures in place during the voting period.

The major implication of the report is the inherent models of preventive measures available to countries that have elections pending. They can choose between the minimum and maximum prevention scale but should never leave their citizens unguarded in the course of exercising their democratic right of choice.

Why Airbnb Hosts’ Revolution Will Fail

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Airbnb is the world’s leading aggregator of short-term rentals. It provides a platform that brings hosts and renters into equilibrium. As Covid-19 spread its rampage, decimating business systems through human hibernation orchestrated via lockdowns, Airbnb, like other sharing companies such as Uber and Lyft, has suffered.  The company recently raised $2 billion new funding at a valuation of $18 billion, down from $31 billion in 2017. The firm also fired 10% of its staff, about 1,900 people.

Competition from these new direct-booking websites represents the latest challenge for Airbnb, which has endured a tough 2020. The company had lined up bankers to lead a public offering, which would test whether Airbnb could live up to its $31 billion private market valuation from 2017. But as the coronavirus decimated travel around the world, the company instead raised $2 billion in new debt funding at a valuation of $18 billion and announced major cost-cutting initiatives, including plans to lay off 25% of its staff, or nearly 1,900 employees.

But those are just part of Airbnb challenges. A business-redesigning problem for Airbnb is the revolution of the hosts on its refund policy, commission rates and other factors. As part of our Mini-MBA, I received a question to address what to expect since this involves a critical part of our theme: digital growth. Our members are building parallel businesses in this domain and want to understand the structural framework which can give them success.

Here is the deal: the hosts’ revolution will fade because what they have is supply. In the digital age, what matters is not who controls supply, but who controls demand. Supply is largely infinite as there are many ways to get to the web, and because it is infinite, users congregate to platforms to help them navigate and make sense of the web. 

In 1980, before the digital age as we have it today, the most powerful people in media were newspaper publishers. They were the people you needed to reach to get your message to the world. They decided what everyone read on the dailies and they were powerful. They controlled supply and by controlling supply, they shaped everything including advertising.

Fast track today, there are many ways people can get news online: Twitter, Facebook, LinkedIn, etc.  Magically, supply has become unconstrained and unbounded making the entities producing the contents largely not valuable. What becomes valuable now is the platform which controls the users. So, Google which organizes it, Facebook where people can read them, etc are dominant. As a result of dominance, advertisers now prefer to advertise on Google, Facebook, etc over the original producers of the news, the newspapers, as the end users (readers) are on the platforms.

It is the same construct that will make individual hosts’ websites fade in the age of Airbnb. Airbnb controls the users in a world of largely unbounded supply. Not many will prefer to be visiting each website to know how each performs, to book short-term stay, when there is a platform where they can sort hosts based on key metrics of interests. And provided that Airbnb has the users, the small hosts who want to build their independent websites will be insignificant to change the overall trajectory. At the end, they will fade. The big ones or consortium may try but their impacts will be local and will not have any major impact on Airbnb business. Yes, you can decide to block Google from archiving your site; I am not sure Google cares.

So, if you are building a business that is similar in concept to what Uber, Airbnb, etc, your core differentiation is the user experience. You must control the users to hold the hosts or owners of the original raw material. If you do that, you have protected the castle. Of course, making supply happy is critical as you need them to get the users in your platform under the positive continuum of network effects: the more the supply, the more the demand, and the more the supply, and the loop continues. But when you have reached an inflection point, with a critical user base, supply loses power. 

In summary, this revolution is a waste of time and will fail.

24.4 – Evidence Examination

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There are three necessary tasks that an examiner conducts during the examinations evidentiary digital media:         Formation of a forensic image.         Formation of forensic records from the forensic image;         Exporting possible probative digital data connected to the investigation. All three tasks are important to […]

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24.3 – Evidence Gathering & Assessment

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In many jurisdictions, digital evidence gathering during raids, searches or inspection or gained with bound detection, even if not important by itself, has added to showing competition infringements. Digital evidence gathering is becoming an increasingly potent tool for organizations in their efforts to discover and unravel sources of attacks. It can be used independently or […]

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24.2 – Approach and Process

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Digital forensics includes the protection, identification, extraction, understanding, and documentation of digital evidence. The sector of digital forensics has different aspects and is not described by one particular process. At a very basic level, digital forensics is the investigation of information contained within and created with digital systems, usually in the interest of understanding what […]

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