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Home Blog Page 6383

The IMF’s $3.4 Billion Emergency Loan

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The IMF has shipped some digital trucks of money to Nigeria towards helping our nation on the paralysis of Covid-19. I congratulate Mr. President and his team on this loan. Simply, this is a very necessary loan, and I challenge our leaders to ensure the $3.4 billion is judiciously used to serve the Nigerian people. (You can read more about this loan here)

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Tuesday approved a $3.4 billion emergency funding as requested by Nigeria, to help the country cushion the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on her economy.

The executive board of the fund gave the approval under the Rapid Financing Instrument to support the government’s efforts to address the devastating impact of COVID-19.

It is the single largest aid for any African country facing the pandemic. The fund had earlier approved $1 billion for Ghana.

On April 6, the Minister of Finance, Budget and National Planning, Zainab Ahmed, said at the launching of the N500 billion fiscal stimulus measures in response to the COVID-19 pandemic that the IMF request was part of a number options the country was exploring raise funds to salvage its economy.

Kano is under severe virus warfare; it needs help just as Lagos, if not more. As Mr  President sends the trucks of items to support Kano, he needs to send the Director of National Orientation Agency (NOA) also. I have seen videos where Kano residents were in football games, when the instruction was for everyone to be hibernating. Now, that indiscipline is going to put our healthcare workers into a panic mode. Unless we help the government, the government cannot serve us well; disregarding medical directives is never a smart strategy.

Risks to our healthcare workers continue to mount even as Nigeria records the highest number of infections.  The nation recorded new 185 infections on Tuesday. To help our doctors and nurses, people should listen to simple instructions in Nigeria. We need our healthcare workers to return home safely to their families.

Nigeria’s health minister, Osagie Ehinare, on April 23, said more than 40 health workers had tested positive for coronavirus. The figure represented roughly 4.6 per cent of the country’s then 873 confirmed cases.

The minister, who stated this during the daily press briefing by the Presidential Task Force on COVID-19, added that apart from the over 40 health workers, there are others “who have been quarantined in the last 2 weeks due to exposure and have not been able to contribute to efforts of the health sector.”

This loan should address healthcare matters in addition to the  economy. No backdoor bailout. No briefcase bailout. We only want HELP to Nigerians; that is what IMF expects.

IMF Approves $3.4 Billion Loan for Nigeria As Germany Grants Her €22.4 Million Debt Relief.

When A Mathematician Degrades The Beautiful Science of Numbers

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I admire mathematicians because they are very logical. In short, Mathematics – the beautiful science of numbers – brought calm to our young minds those days because it was the only subject you could challenge a teacher for 100% in an exam; others are subjective. 

From Mr. Bukar (my JSS3 teacher, ABU Zaria Mech Engr) to Mr. Aham (SS1, UNN Mech Engr), from Mr. Onyezewe (SS2, UNN Mech Engr) to Mr. Ukene (SS3, UNN Math), we had men who introduced us to the beautiful field. My village has a tradition of hiring external teachers for the village public schools, supplementing the ones sent by the government. 

But I saw a video today that shook that mathematical aura: A professor of Mathematics at the University of Benin (UNIBEN), Francis Osagiede, speaking on Nigeria Television Authority,  on coronavirus spread, diminished mathematics. With an opportunity to educate his fellow citizens, he lost everyone! Of course, with ASUU on strike, he might be farming now.

A Microsoft Azure Business Group Lead Is Faculty for AI & Cloud In Tekedia Mini-MBA

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Our faculty for Tekedia Mini-MBA (click for updated faculty) is about ready; Wale Olokodana, a Microsoft Azure Business Group Lead, will handle our Cloud and AI. Cloud computing has become exceedingly critical in today’s business sphere, and AI is already emerging to architect a new paradigm in the mechanics of global commerce. This session will focus on the promises of AI & Cloud and how they could help your business innovate and grow.

As I noted in the #Plan4Restart  and State of Tech Nation video, digitization and semi-automation are going to be catalytic on how firms operate. Yes, cloud and AI will not just run firms, they will also TRANSFORM them.

  • Hybridized Supply Chain: Flexible, adaptive, global and local, at the same time.

  • Remote Everything: The web will run the world across sectors.

  • Digitization and Cloud Migration: The pace will accelerate.

  • Semi-automation: Disintermediation of humans will accelerate

I invite you to join us on this business management excursion; click and REGISTER. We have local partners coordinating enrollments in Southern Africa, Ghana, Cameroon and other African nations. If you have any payment problem, reach out to my team to connect you.

 

IMF Loan Clarifications, MTN & Seplat Financial Results

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IMF Approves Nigeria’s Emergency $3.4 billion Financial Assistance

The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) approved Nigeria’s request for emergency financial assistance of SDR 2,454.5 million (US$ 3.4 billion, 100% of quota) under the Rapid Financing Instrument (RFI) to meet the urgent balance of payment needs stemming from the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Our comments:

  1. Currently, Nigeria’s dollar supply (inflows) can no longer meet its dollar demand (outflows), thus creating a balance of payment need that is currently estimated at $17 billion.
  2. The Financial Assistance is a loan issued as an Emergency Support under the IMF’s  Rapid Financing Instrument facility.
  3. This funding support is expected to relieve the Government of the pressure created by the crash in oil price. The support will provide assurance around the payment of salaries, palliatives and other preparations to combat coronavirus.
  4. The fund will also provide the much-needed dollar supply to the CBN who is expected to provide naira to the Government for the execution of projects.
  5. The dollar supply to CBN is expected to flow into the FX market to meet the current demands across different FX windows.
  6. In the short run, this is expected to stabilise the Naira.
  7. Also, as we have noted in the past weeks, the availability of dollars may trigger the exit of foreign portfolio investors from the equity and fixed income markets.

Domestic borrowing: Senate approves FG’s N850bn request
The Senate has approved the Federal Government’s request for conversion of N850bn new external borrowing in the 2020 budget to domestic borrowing. A statement released by the Debt Management Office on Tuesday said the House of Representatives was also expected to approve the request. The DMO is to issue FGN Securities in the domestic market to raise the N850bn once the request is approved by the House. Read more

Germany grants Nigeria N8.9bn debt relief
The Republic of Germany said it has granted Nigeria debt relief amounting to N8.9 billion (€22.4 million) on account of the coronavirus pandemic. Also, the German government said it has successfully campaigned in the G20 group of countries and the Paris Club group of creditor countries in favour of a debt moratorium for countries heavily affected by the economic impact of COVID-19. Read more

Stock Market Update and Corporate Disclosures:

The All-Share-Index is currently up by 0.28% with bluechips dominating the gainers’ list. MTN is currently up by 1.14%, WAPCO up by 1.34%, Zenith and UBA are up by 0.67% and 1.69% respectively.

Click on the link https://bit.ly/2XrvIf9 to open a stockbroking/share purchase account and trade within 24 hours

MTN: financial highlights for the three months ended 31 March 2020

  • Mobile subscribers increased by 4.2 million to 68.5 million
  • Active data users increased by 1.7 million to 26.8 million
  • Service revenue increased by 16.7% to N5 billion
  • EBITDA grew by 15.3% to N5 billion
  • EBITDA margin is now at 52.7%
  • PBT increased by 8.9% to N3 billion, with a margin of 23.18%

See highlights in the image below and details here. Without boring you with the usual financial details, MTN provides insights on its financials in a separate publication. This publication is recommended if you have any interest in MTN.

Seplat: Unaudited results for the three months ended 31 March 2020

Against the twin crises of significantly reduced oil demand and the price war, Seplat continues to demonstrate its resilience because of its ongoing philosophy of prudent financial management, the careful mitigation of risk and a keen focus on managing factors of the business that are within our control.

Operational Highlights

  • Low unit cost of production at US$7.7/boe, with cost-cutting initiatives now in force
  • Working interest production within guidance at 48,491 boepd
  • Liquids production of 33,368 bopd
  • Gas production of 88 MMscfd
Financial Highlights:

  • Cash at bank US$336 million, net debt of US$458 million
  • Revenue of US$130 million, down 18.2% due to a stock build at the terminal (underlift) of $47m and lower oil prices
  • Non-current asset impairment provision of US$146 million in line with IAS 36 COVID-19 impact assessment
  • Impairment provision reverses a profit for Q1 2020 of US$39 million into a loss for the period of US$107 million
  • Impairment provision reduces non-current assets from US$2.34 billion to US$2.20 billion
  • Total capital expenditure of US$46 million
  • Cash flow from operations US$65 million

See highlights in the image below and details here

Headlines:

Nigeria Records 195 New Cases Of COVID-19, Total Infections Now 1,532

Nigeria on Tuesday recorded 195 new cases of the novel coronavirus, bringing the country’s total infections to 1,532. According to a tweet by the Nigeria Centre for Disease Control (NCDC), of the new infections, 80 were recorded in Lagos, 38 in Kano, while 15 were recorded in the Ogun State. In Bauchi State, 15 cases were recorded, 11 in Borno, 10 in Gombe, Nine in Sokoto, five in Edo and Jigawa, two in Zamfara and one each in Rivers, Enugu, Delta, FCT and Nasarawa. Read more

COVID-19: IMF approves $3.4bn emergency loan for Nigeria

The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund on Tuesday approved $3.4bn in emergency financial assistance to the Federal Government in addressing the severe economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. The financial assistance, approved under the Rapid Financing Instrument, is also to enable Nigeria to address the sharp fall in oil prices. Read more

Nigeria may record N4.9tn decline in nominal GDP — Investigation

The outbreak of the coronavirus pandemic in Nigeria may result in a decline of N4.95tn in the nation’s nominal Gross Domestic Product in the present fiscal year, investigation has revealed. Nominal GDP measures the value of all finished goods and services produced by a country at their current market prices. The N4.95tn decline in nominal GDP is about 48.19 per cent of the Federal Government’s revised N10.27tn budget. Read more

Trump speaks with Buhari on phone, to send ventilators to Nigeria

US President, Donald Trump on Tuesday, had a telephone conversation with Nigerian President, Muhammadu Buhari over the coronavirus pandemic in the country. This was revealed by Lai Mohammed, minister of information, at the media briefing of the presidential task force on COVID-19. He said the US president promised to send across ventilators to Nigeria. Read more

Asia shares extend gains as economies slowly re-open, oil rallies

Asian shares rose for a third session on the trot on Wednesday as investors took heart from easing coronavirus lockdowns in some parts of the world while oil prices jumped on hopes demand will pick up. Read more

Fed seen making small changes to keep fed funds above zero

The Federal Reserve is widely expected on Wednesday to lift the interest rates that influence its fed funds target, a technical move that could keep interbank lending running smoothly and help prevent financial market disruption should the benchmark rate fall below zero. Read more

U.S. coronavirus deaths surpass Vietnam War toll as Florida readies reopening plan

The U.S. coronavirus death toll climbed above 58,000 on Tuesday, surpassing the loss of American life from the Vietnam War, as Florida’s governor met with President Donald Trump to discuss an easing of economic restraints. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, among the latest to lock down his state against the pandemic, has been weighing whether to join other states in a relaxation of workplace restrictions and stay-at-home orders that have been credited with slowing the contagion but which have battered the economy. Read more

Indexes drop as investors rotate from growth to value stocks

Wall Street’s major indexes lost ground on Tuesday as investors moved out of market-leading growth stocks, though a rotation into cyclical value stocks could point to hopes of economic revival as states begin to relax restrictions enacted to halt the coronavirus pandemic. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) fell 32.23 points, or 0.13%, to 24,101.55, the S&P 500 (SPX) lost 15.09 points, or 0.52%, to 2,863.39 and the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) dropped 122.43 points, or 1.4%, to 8,607.73. Read more

COVID-19 Containment in Anambra State: An Amazing Home Made Solution 

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Saturday 25th April, 2020 was  a happy day for Anambrarians, at home. This followed the press release of the governor Chief Willy Obiano, announcing that their state’s COVID 19 confirmed case has been discharged after testing negative;  that all the contacts of the survivor have equally come out negative. The hallmark of this was the announced partial relaxation of the state’s lock down, which will (beginning from the stated date) enable only persons within the state to go about their businesses, provided they adhere to extant hygiene and personal safety practices.

Following that announcement, Anambra became the first state to officially enter into the post COVID-19 era in Nigeria.

Here’s the reason for that:

One of the available information provided by experts is that coronavirus can’t travel by air past a distance of  1m.

On this assurance that the deadly virus can’t simply fly like a bird from one locality to another, an essential task was to initiate reliable measures that restrict interstate travel to only essential ones by authorized persons. The state did so through a joint agreement between the state authority, all village heads and vigilante of every community in the state, to secure their village borders and not allow unauthorised entrance.

Breaching an agreement at the cost of one’s crown or collecting bribes to let someone in, at the risk of danger to one’s family, relations and people in addition to punishment is not a gentleman thing to do. So the border was secured. As long as that measure is not compromised, things will remain stable in Anambra State.

This brings to mind that, It’s often been the case that an all-size-fit design does not always fit all. A home made solution that takes cognizance of the peculiarities of  a home felt problem and the unique circumstances of the particular people, is always the best way to go. It does better.

With the rising cases of the COVID 19 in Nigeria, it’s not yet late to engage traditional rulers and vigilantes to complement the efforts of the security outfits of the federal government, in securing interstate borders. The hard to understand issue that’s still happening is that people are still moving from one state to another. A friend called today (29th April, 2020) to tell me that someone checked into their compound in Aba last night from the North (Northern part of Nigeria). Why I advised them should ask for self quarantine or alert NCDC, if the person refuses self isolation. I know that the person and other persons who flaunt ‘Stay At Home’ order and travel these days don’t travel as invisible spirits. Some of them move by road. How are they able to do so even when there are police and military men on the road? Maybe the government of Anambra knows why, which made them to engage all their villages to work in ensuring that the task of securing their state borders is not compromised.

If it worked for Anambra, it makes sense that every other state should find ways to adapt related measures to secure their borders. Endless bit-by-bit total lock down is dangerous in any part of Nigeria and Africa as a whole given the unique economic situation In Africa.

An aggressive movement restrictions at national and state borders can help a lot in preventing easy spread to other places. Which of course ensures the pandemic doesn’t reach a level that will overwhelm available health facilities.

Just as Anambra, when every least affected state has put in place effective and reliable border closure measures, in line with the peculiar case of their environment, they can confidently come up with and enforce guidelines that will permit people within their respective states to return to businesses partially.