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The Nigeria NCC’s $380 Million Remittance

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The telecommunication sector has become Father Christmas to the Nigerian government. According to the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC), it remitted N133.4 billion (about $380 Million), in the last two years, to the federal government purse.  This fund comes from the little taxes and fees you pay when you talk or text. Simply, Nigeria is benefiting from the liberalization of the telecommunication sector.

Over N133.4billion has been remitted by the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC) into the federation account in the last two years.

A document by the NCC Director of Public Affairs Tony Ojobo, revealed this yesterday.Ojobo said the commission remitted over N23 million in October 2015, after an initial remittance of N6, 856,182,132 in September of the same year.

He added that the commission’s last remittance to the consolidated revenue fund, which was on June 30, 2017 was N12, 705,154,120 and came less than 10 days after the NCC had remitted the sum of N1, 282,453,138 to the account.

Also, the NCC last year, transferred N20, 000,598,873 and another N15million in March before remitting N29, 475,867,407 and N16, 500,000,000 in December 2016.

This is the impact of a good policy. When they opened the sector to market forces, government lost its monopoly through NITEL, but today, it is making more and winning despite losing NITEL. In short, NITEL was losing money; but right now Nigeria is making money through a functioning telecommunication sector. We are not talking of the impact of GSM on the economy and the lifestyles of the citizens. We mean the money in the purse of the government.

If they do what they have done in the telecoms sector to the power and water sectors, government will even win through more fees and tax revenues. Market forces make governments look like seers and wizards because when markets function well, governments win. No matter how you see it, Nigeria now has a clear insight on what works: the telecom sector is working well and government should replicate that model in other sectors.

Remember that this monstrous N133.4 billion might not have included the taxes the telcos paid to the Federal Inland Revenue Service and to state governments. And when you consider that Nigeria was largely in recession over the last few years, you can run the numbers to see the impact of the sector in the nation’s finances in the last 17 years. We need to scale markets forces to other sectors.

Ndubuisi Ekekwe To Speak In 2017 Tony Elumelu Foundation Entrepreneurship Forum

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I just accepted an invitation to speak in the 2017 Tony Elumelu Foundation Entrepreneurship Forum . You do not miss an opportunity to speak before the top 1,000 African entrepreneurs. These are people who are redefining and redesigning the economic architectures of Africa, from the lagoons of West Africa to the mangroves of Southern Africa, and from the grasslands/plains of Central/Eastern Africa to the beautiful hills of the North. They are demonstrating bold visions, unlocking new opportunities and pioneering new paths, for the good of the beautiful continent. In them, it is not just innovation, but sankofa innovation, with the next frontiers it brings.

It is my honour to invite you to speak at the 2017 edition of the Tony Elumelu Foundation Entrepreneurship Forum taking place on the 13th of October 2017 at the Nigerian Law School in Lagos. We would like you to lead a session on the topic ‘Extending the Frontier’. The Forum is the capstone of the flagship Programme of the Tony Elumelu Foundation and has grown to become the largest gathering of entrepreneurs from across Africa.

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Your professional accomplishments in your field inspires us greatly, and our 1000 eager young entrepreneurs will benefit immensely from your wealth of knowledge and experience. Thus, we are hopeful that you will honour this invitation to speak to the next generation of African business leaders.

The Tony Elumelu Foundation which was founded by Lagos banker and philanthropist, Mr. Tony Elumelu, is inventing a new model of philanthropy that focuses on mobilizing big ideas and institutionalizing luck through entrepreneurship. The mobility comes through a $100 million multi-year commitment Mr. Elumelu is injecting in the visions and aspirations of his fellow African citizens.

If you use the startup language, the Foundation is a category-king in what it pioneered and remains peerless. I remain honored to be serving in the Advisory Board of the Tony Elumelu Entrepreneurship Program (TEEP).

I will lead the session – Extending the Frontier –  which 1,300 participants will attend live. I like Frontiers because in my new book – Africa’s Sankofa Innovation – which came out two weeks ago, I had a chapter titled Next Frontiers.

Google’s Evolution On Mobile

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Google is learning and it is a very fast learner. Many years ago, when Google unveiled Android, it pursued a path it has pursued for years: grow user base as quickly as possible and then monetize the customer data. That worked for Search and YouTube where Google has billions of global citizens engaged. It tried the same model for Android. It worked as it got the users, from those that can afford a $40 phone to people that can pay excess of $500 for a phone. But Google is not happy: it has the users, but it does not have the profits. Another company, a mortal competitor in mobile called Apple is eating all the profits.

Yesterday, Google took action. It is buying the HTC unit that made its high-end smartphone called Pixel. This is a new strategy from the typical Google playbook as I noted earlier today.

Through this deal, Google will get closer to that. It will have an opportunity to control all aspects of Pixel and then give customers a real user experience that can be closer to what iPhone delivers in the market. It needs to do that to have any chance of competing in the smartphone market. This deal is to save Android and secure the future of Google mobile business.

What Google is doing now is to change how it does business on mobile. For years, through its success on Search, Google has focused on scale, knowing that transaction cost for adding new users in Search is low. In short, the marginal cost of a new user in Google Search is zero. In other words, it does not cost Google anything for a new user that uses Search. And with more users, Google gets better: with more user data, the product becomes better and ultimately the best. So with massive scale, Google will make money and dominate the category. That was what happened in Search as Google took down AOL, Yahoo and Microsoft Bing (or its predecessor).

But when you come to mobile, the game changes: acquiring a new user on mobile does not carry a marginal cost of zero. A partner-company to Google has to make a physical device which a customer will buy. That means the phone costs the partner money. And of course, it costs the customer something also. Unlike in the search business where there is a zero marginal cost to Google for that new user, and practically zero cost (sure, besides the access cost to the web) for the user of Google Search, the mobile device commands cost.

Google did not notice that as it worked on the Android business model. As more affluent people move from Android to Apple, Google now knows that Apple has become a destination for the graduated Android users. Yes, they use Android but once they begin to make enough money, they move to Apple. For Google, that is bad, because it keeps missing the opportunities to deliver services like Play Store to more affluent customers.

For a phone business, the marginal cost is non zero because a physical device is made. So having all the users does not guarantee profit because more phone sold comes with more expenses. You have to find a way to make profits on the phone. Selling phone was not a Google business. But Google was in the services phase which is correlated with the quality of the people using the phone. For the Google Play and other services, a rich man holding a phone has more value than a kid with no money. So, all those elements are all connected. If you have richer people using your phone ecosystem, they can spend more on the services like Music, apps, etc.

It does not stop there: because a phone can be a luxury item, differentiation matters, unlike Search which cannot be further differentiated beyond the results (few care if you searched with Windows, Mac, Android devices; what mattered was that you searched using Google). Yes, a phone has more values beyond just making and receiving calls. Phone is a symbol of affluence and people play it. Today, Google wants to connect to that message by going to that upper echelon for the money. The $30 Android phones are good for statistics but Google needs to sell items on apps, music, etc which is not a new category in mobile. It needs people with the money in its ecosystems.

This HTC deal is part of that learning curve to get Google to the position in mobile where it can make more money. Apple is the leader and Google wants to get in the mix.  The path to the lowly-priced Android devices has not worked out excellently. The deal, possibly, will help Google pursue the rich where the money is, not just for the phones, but for the services which are sold in mobile ecosystems. This is an evolution for Google.

Google Android Pivots with HTC, Implications for African Startups

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Google is paying $1.1 billion for the unit of HTC, a struggling smartphone maker that makes for Google the high-end Pixel smartphone. HTC, once an industry leader, has been struggling in the age of Apple and Samsung.

Alphabet Inc’s (GOOGL.O) Google said it would pay $1.1 billion for the division at Taiwan’s HTC Corp (2498.TW) that develops the U.S. firm’s Pixel smartphones – its second major foray into phone hardware after an earlier costly failure.

The all-cash deal will see Google gain 2,000 HTC employees, roughly equivalent to one fifth of the Taiwanese firm’s total workforce. It will also acquire a non-exclusive license for HTC’s intellectual property and the two firms agreed to look at other areas of collaboration in the future.

This deal has many implications. What is happening is that Google wants to move into a business model where it can effectively control both the hardware and software. Today, that is not possible as Android runs in many phones of different specifications and standards, making it impossible for Google Android to deliver top-grade experiences to its users. Unlike Apple, which controls all elements of its phone business, Google has relied on others for the hardware. The result has been mixed: user experience has been non optimal and Google wants to change that.

Yesterday, within just a few hours, most of Apple’s millions upon millions of users were using the latest mobile operating system, having tapped on the prompt to download iOS 11.

Contrast that experience on Android, where the company’s impressive and innovative updates are greatly hampered as it can take months, sometimes years, for those features to filter to users.

Google knows this disconnect between its software and hardware is a massive problem. And so this curious deal with HTC, which falls short of the rumoured buyout, is about solving that problem. If it can have close control over key premium devices, it can be more ambitious with its software.

In some respects, this $1.1bn deal is like a good friend lending their pal a few quid to tide them over for a while. HTC needs Google’s money to keep going. And Google needs HTC’s expertise and manufacturing capability to remain competitive with its mobile devices.

The Genius of Apple

Apple makes proprietary hardware and using that differentiation creates software and services which are highly exclusive. The ability to control all aspects of its design process makes it easy for it to make the best possible product. That helps it to achieve high margins even when serving a smaller number of people. It is a closed business model. But for Google, you have a company that cannot control its product: Android runs on different hardware which Google does not influence. The key way it can make money is to have as many people as possible, without necessarily delivering the best experience, using Android. While that makes Android look good on the number of users served, it has not worked for the profit margins desired. Google knows that and wants to own the hardware design experience so that it can more effectively control the user experience, mimicking the Apple business model.

Through this deal, Google will get closer to that. It will have an opportunity to control all aspects of Pixel and then give customers a real user experience that can be closer to what iPhone delivers in the market. It needs to do that to have any chance of competing in the smartphone market. This deal is to save Android and secure the future of Google mobile business.

Implications for African Startups

Everything you know about Google is going to change. In the next five years, try to see Google mobile device business from the same lens as you see Apple today. Google, while not going to run a completely closed business model, as Apple does with its hardware and software, will increasingly become a big player on the physical element of the mobile business. People will still buy the cheap Android but Google will set its eyes to recreate the experience of Apple. It wants the margin and it wants to pursue the most profitable customers. That means we could have “two versions” of Android possibly making it harder for some low-end phones we sell in Africa to run some of the latest Android updates. Google may not really care provided Pixel is engineered to compete against iPhone.

Simply, if Google tests a version of Android on Pixel and it looks great, it can launch it to the world. It is now left for the partners to deal with issues that arise. Yet, even if they work harder, it is not likely that those partners can get to the same level of integration Pixel will have with Android. The present model where Google thinks from outside to inside will be changed from thinking from Pixel world to the outside one. It wants to own its ecosystem and take this challenge to Apple by itself.

My suggestion is to see your mobile business with new perspectives on what the relationship with Google Android will become. It is changing and that will affect what happens to its partners in the future. By moving from a horizontally integrated model to a vertical one, Google has a new focus. Do not expect it to do well on both at the same time. It has made its decision with this HTC deal: Google wants to go vertical and offer choices beyond Samsung Android phones to iPhone.

 

Africa’s Key Innovation Pillar

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Africans delight on their oral tradition of folklore. In many African villages, boys and girls gather around their elders to listen to stories of hope, imagination, bravery and justice.

These students of culture are expected to pass that tradition to newer generations. For many centuries, Africans have lived that life – a life of ‘more talking, less writing’.

It helped shape family values and embedded the spirit of service and honor. For generations, except Ethiopians, no African culture was able to develop a top-grade  indigenous way of writing.

Contracts were executed with words, marriages were concluded with words, lands were sold with words, and indeed all was about the memory of the human species. When neighbors disagree over land, an arbiter would come in to settle the disputes by telling stories his own parents or elders had passed to him.

Typically, Africans like to talk. That was the tradition. It has remained like that and will be the same for many generations to come. While the western world works to document on black and white or in modern times on bytes and bits, we are just making progress in our rural communities.

Many African universities have no organized way of processing massive data or ideas that emanate from their students theses, projects or dissertations. At the end of every academic year, student dissertations are burnt, to make temporary room for new ones.

It is the culture and no one has found a solution for that. Only few of those works made it to the university library. Years after years, we are burning ideas that can unlock the future of better harvest, and curing diseases that corporations think make no economic sense to invest resources.

William Kamkwamba built a windmill for his family electricity needs (source: wikimedia)

Notwithstanding, many of the works are still done outside Africa and in most cases their contributions are overlooked. And Africans do not make things easier by not having histories since they rarely keep records. So, how do you assess their capabilities? Very tough and the vicious circle continues unabated.

Strange as it may seem, but that is the reality of many African schools where we run round in cycles wasting time without making progress. When you destroy your progress, you have to repeat it.

Instead of preserving legacies which can be built upon, we have students solving a problem someone that graduated a year before had solved. With no means of sharing data or documenting these works, innovation suffers.

Besides, it hurts the students because they spend money to recreate processes which had been validated a few years ago. It brings a tradition of constantly managing crises without a process to envision bold world changing ideas. They deprive the schools opportunities to attract funding because no one knows what they do. They are rarely published because local conferences are not common.

What Do We Do?

I think that a continental level effort must be put in place by African Union to ensure that all projects, theses or dissertations from any African institution are preserved and accessible on the internet. The NEPAD mission cannot stop in infrastructure and industries, they need to also examine the production and preservation of African works. This is very important as it will make our schools effective and more focused.

This does not have to be expensive. Schools will be encouraged to have websites or portals for this need. The website must be designed in a way that students upon approvals from their schools can post the works themselves. It promises to become a way to help the world know our contributions to knowledge. It can also help the world get refreshed with new ideas and perspectives.

What we are doing today has to change for us to make progress in technology and innovation. We need to document at scale. That is the pillar that will drive our efforts to become a region that can generate new ideas and also commercialize them. If we cannot document the little progress we have made, it will be hard for us to have the capabilities to advance towards the upper level of the technology pyramid.