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Trump’s EU Trade Deal Slashes Tariffs but Sparks Concern Over Long-Term Impact on Auto Sector

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U.S. President Donald Trump has declared the new trade framework with the European Union as the “biggest trade deal ever made,” touting it as a win for the American auto industry and a key step toward rebalancing trade between the two economic giants.

Announced Sunday after intense negotiations with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, the deal imposes a 15% blanket tariff on most European goods entering the U.S., including automobiles and auto parts. The new rate significantly reduces the looming threat of a 30% tariff Trump had threatened to enforce from August 1, while cutting nearly half of the existing 27.5% levy on European cars.

While the announcement has calmed fears of an escalating trade war, industry groups and economic analysts have warned that the tariff regime—though milder than anticipated—still poses serious risks to European automakers and could lead to long-term disruption in the global auto supply chain.

The Tariff Burden

CNBC reports that Germany’s powerful auto lobby, the VDA (German Association of the Automotive Industry), welcomed the deal for averting an outright trade dispute but described the 15% tariff as “a significant burden.” In a statement, VDA President Hildegard Müller stressed that the costs to German automakers would still run into billions of euros annually, exacerbating financial pressures at a time when the industry is already grappling with the high costs of transitioning to electric vehicles and digital manufacturing.

“The decisive factor now will be how the agreement is structured in concrete terms and how reliable it is,” Müller said, while urging both the U.S. and EU to support supply chains and maintain competitive investment environments. “A 15% tariff remains painful and burdensome.”

The European Automobile Manufacturers’ Association (ACEA) echoed those concerns. While acknowledging that the agreement provides some relief from the cloud of uncertainty, ACEA Director-General Sigrid de Vries warned that retaining elevated tariffs will continue to negatively impact both European and American automotive sectors.

“Nevertheless, the US will retain higher tariffs on automobiles and automotive parts, and this will continue to have a negative impact not just for industry in the EU but also in the US,” she said.

Margins Under Pressure

Rico Luman, a senior economist for transport and logistics at Dutch bank ING, said the agreement represents a reprieve but not a resolution.

“Margins are under pressure in a multi-challenge market and the bill can’t be fully passed on to customers without volume losses,” Luman told CNBC by email.

The tariff hit comes as automakers continue to digest the second-quarter earnings season, which already reflected pain from earlier tariff regimes and currency fluctuations. Luman added that the weakened dollar makes U.S. car imports more expensive, further complicating pricing strategies.

That’s why global car makers are all looking for ways to adjust manufacturing footprints within current facilities,” he added.

Winners and Losers

In market reaction, the Stoxx Europe Autos Index initially climbed 1.6% on news of the deal, but later reversed into negative territory as investors digested the implications of the new tariff floor.

Shares of some parts suppliers like Valeo jumped as much as 4.3%, while luxury carmaker Ferrari rose nearly 0.9%. But Germany’s biggest automakers — BMW, Mercedes-Benz, and Volkswagen — all slid more than 1.3%, indicating market skepticism about the agreement’s short-term upside.

Morningstar analyst Rella Suskin said the deal’s benefits will be unevenly distributed. Automakers that rely heavily on EU-based production for U.S. exports — such as Porsche, Mercedes, BMW, and Volkswagen — stand to gain relative protection from the reduced tariff, though the cost is still high. Stellantis, on the other hand, which imports only a single-digit share of its volumes from the EU into the U.S., is expected to see minimal impact.

What Comes Next?

Analysts warn that the deal, while momentarily stabilizing, is still fraught with uncertainty over enforcement, duration, and broader trade dynamics. While the Trump administration has portrayed it as a victory for American workers and manufacturing, European officials appear cautious, emphasizing that the details still need to be negotiated and finalized.

The European Commission has called for parallel measures to support EU-based manufacturers and make Europe more attractive to global investors. Without such support, analysts warn the EU could lose its edge in auto innovation and production, especially amid fierce global competition from China and emerging markets.

As it stands, the 15% tariff framework may be better than the feared alternative, but for automakers on both sides of the Atlantic, it remains a costly compromise.

U.S. 15% Tariffs Will Significantly Impact German Exports

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Moritz Schularick, president of the Kiel Institute for the World Economy, estimated that the tariffs would reduce German economic growth by 0.5% in the coming year, describing it as “manageable” but still a dampening factor. Similarly, Hermann Simon, an economist who coined the term “hidden champions,” noted that the tariffs act as “structural disruptors” to tightly interwoven supply chains, impacting German manufacturers like Tornado Antriebstechnik GmbH, which faced increased costs and halted U.S. expansion plans.

German officials and economists have consistently highlighted the challenges posed by these tariffs, particularly for Germany’s export-driven economy, which relies heavily on the U.S. as a trading partner. The German government slashed its 2025 GDP growth forecast to zero, citing U.S. tariffs as a significant factor, with the German Economic Institute estimating a potential cumulative cost of €290 billion by 2028 if tariffs persist.

The Kiel Institute estimates a 0.5% drop in German GDP growth for 2025 due to tariffs, with the German Economic Institute projecting a cumulative €290 billion loss by 2028 if tariffs persist. Germany’s automotive industry, which exports €26 billion annually to the U.S., faces higher costs, with companies like Volkswagen and BMW potentially passing these onto consumers or absorbing losses, reducing competitiveness. Other sectors like machinery (€21 billion) and chemicals (€18 billion) are also hit hard.

Tariffs disrupt integrated supply chains, particularly for mid-sized manufacturers. For example, Tornado Antriebstechnik GmbH halted U.S. expansion due to cost increases, as noted by economist Hermann Simon. The German government cut its 2025 GDP forecast to zero, citing tariffs as a major factor. Exports to the U.S. are expected to decline, with estimates suggesting a 10-15% drop in affected goods if tariffs remain.

Retaliatory EU tariffs or a broader trade war could further depress German exports, with China’s slowing demand adding pressure. The German Economic Institute warns of a potential 20% export drop to the U.S. in a worst-case scenario. Tariffs raise the price of German cars exported to the U.S., Germany’s largest auto export market (10% of total auto exports). For example, Volkswagen and BMW face higher costs, potentially increasing U.S. car prices by 5-10% or squeezing profit margins if absorbed.

Higher prices weaken German automakers’ edge against U.S. and Asian competitors. The German Economic Institute (IW) estimates a potential 10-15% drop in U.S. auto exports if tariffs persist. The industry’s integrated supply chains face disruptions, as components crossing borders incur additional costs. Mid-sized suppliers, like those producing parts for Mercedes or Porsche, are particularly vulnerable, with some halting U.S. expansion plans (e.g., Tornado Antriebstechnik GmbH).

The German Association of the Automotive Industry (VDA) warns of potential job losses, with up to 50,000 jobs at risk in a severe scenario. Investment in U.S. plants, like BMW’s South Carolina facility, may stall due to uncertainty. The tariffs contribute to Germany’s slashed 2025 GDP forecast (0% growth), with the auto sector’s struggles amplifying economic stagnation. A trade war with retaliatory EU tariffs could further cut exports by 20%, per IW estimates.

The tariffs raise the cost of German EVs exported to the U.S., a key market for manufacturers like Volkswagen, BMW, and Mercedes-Benz. For example, models like the VW ID.4 or BMW i4 could see price hikes of 5-10% in the U.S., reducing affordability and demand. Alternatively, absorbing tariffs cuts profit margins, straining finances already stretched by EV R&D investments.

German EVs face heightened competition from U.S.-made EVs (e.g., Tesla, Ford Mustang Mach-E) and Asian manufacturers not subject to similar tariffs. The German Economic Institute (IW) estimates a potential 10-15% drop in German EV exports to the U.S., with luxury brands like Porsche (Taycan) and Audi (Q8 e-tron) particularly affected due to their premium pricing.

EV production relies on complex global supply chains, including batteries and components. Tariffs increase costs for imported parts, disrupting suppliers like ZF or Continental. Smaller firms may struggle, with some, like Tornado Antriebstechnik GmbH, already halting U.S. expansion, as noted by economist Hermann Simon.

The EV sector’s struggles contribute to Germany’s zero-growth GDP forecast for 2025. A potential EU-U.S. trade war with retaliatory tariffs could further slash EV exports by up to 20%, per IW estimates, exacerbating pressure from China’s slowing demand and competition from Chinese EV makers. Higher U.S. prices may dampen EV adoption, conflicting with U.S. and EU climate goals. German manufacturers may shift focus to markets like the EU or China, but global oversupply and China’s competitive pricing limit relief.

Tesla Eyes Compact Pickup as Cybertruck Falters amid Legal Pressure Over Autopilot Claims

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Tesla is now touting a compact electric pickup truck, a strategic pivot that comes as its long-hyped Cybertruck continues to underperform.

The potential shift was revealed by Lars Moravy, Tesla’s vice president of engineering, who said the company has been actively considering a smaller sibling to the Cybertruck, particularly with an eye on international markets where demand and regulatory requirements sharply differ from the U.S.

“We always talked about making a smaller pickup,” Moravy said during an event in California over the weekend, hosted by Tesla investors and owners. He explained that such a model could align with future plans for Tesla’s robotaxi platform, saying, “That kind of service is useful not just for people, but also for goods… We’ve definitely been churning in the design studio about what we might do to serve that need.”

This marks a possible recalibration of Tesla’s electric truck ambitions, especially as Cybertruck sales remain far below expectations. Tesla had predicted annual sales of over 250,000 units, but the reality has been sobering: just under 39,000 Cybertrucks were sold throughout 2024, and approximately 11,000 have been sold so far in 2025, according to industry estimates. That figure is a fraction of what Tesla envisioned when it launched the “apocalypse-proof” truck with high hopes and cinematic flair in 2023.

At the heart of the problem is the Cybertruck’s design and pricing. Initially promised at a starting price of $39,900, the actual entry-level model now starts at over $60,000, with premium trims inching close to the $100,000 mark. The vehicle’s hefty 6,000kg frame and sharp-edged design have further restricted its global expansion. The truck is not road-legal in many markets, including Europe and China—Tesla’s two largest markets outside the U.S.

Authorities in the UK seized one of the first Cybertrucks imported into the country earlier this year, while another in the European Union had to be modified to pass local safety regulations due to its angular, rigid body. While Tesla has managed to expand Cybertruck sales to Canada, Mexico, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Qatar, these remain relatively limited markets compared to the regulatory-tight European and Chinese auto sectors.

Meanwhile, Tesla’s overall vehicle sales have continued to slump. In the second quarter of 2025, the automaker recorded a 13.5% year-over-year drop, marking the second consecutive quarter of declining sales. The disappointing numbers come at a pivotal time for the company, which has been battling mounting criticism over its controversial self-driving technology claims.

California’s Legal Challenge

Tesla’s ability to continue selling vehicles in its home state of California is also under scrutiny. The California Department of Motor Vehicles has concluded a weeklong court hearing on a lawsuit it filed in 2022, accusing Tesla of misleading consumers about the capabilities of its “Full Self-Driving” (FSD) and “Autopilot” systems. The DMV is seeking to suspend Tesla’s sales license in the state for at least 30 days and to impose monetary penalties.

The suit argues that Tesla falsely marketed its driver-assist features as nearly autonomous, citing statements from the company’s website that implied the cars could operate from departure to destination without human input. DMV Commander Melanie Rosario, testifying as a witness, told the court she found Tesla’s branding around “Autopilot” and “FSD” to be confusing and contradictory, saying it gave the impression the vehicles could drive themselves despite disclaimers in the fine print.

Tesla’s legal team pushed back, arguing that the company had always stated drivers must remain attentive and that the systems are not fully autonomous. However, multiple witnesses, including experts in vehicle automation and advertising law, suggested that the language used by Tesla could indeed mislead consumers. The case remains pending, but legal analysts have flagged it as one with potentially far-reaching implications for Tesla’s operations nationwide.

Adding to Tesla’s woes is the public backlash tied to CEO Elon Musk’s recent appointment as the face of the White House’s controversial DOGE Office, which spurred protests outside Tesla dealerships across the country earlier this year. The political spotlight, coupled with growing consumer dissatisfaction, has only intensified the company’s mounting image problems.

Further complicating the situation are several lawsuits. In Florida, a wrongful death case alleges that a Tesla operating on Autopilot struck a parked SUV, killing a 22-year-old woman, while another class-action lawsuit and federal probe are examining reports of “phantom braking,” where Teslas suddenly slam on the brakes without cause, creating safety hazards at high speeds.

Amid the turbulence, a compact pickup could serve as a fresh offering to re-engage markets increasingly wary of Tesla’s bolder bets. Although Moravy noted that it’s still at the design phase, it is not clear whether a smaller truck will succeed where the Cybertruck stumbled.

Why Must We Have Companies?

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Nations rise when leaders architect visions. Companies advance when business leaders articulate visions. Out of those visions are missions encapsulated. Simply, the enduring success of firms is intrinsically linked to a clear mission, relentless innovation, and strategic growth. A firm’s mission serves as its guiding star, articulating its fundamental purpose and the value it aims to deliver to stakeholders.

That clear purpose becomes the bedrock upon which all innovation is built, ensuring that new ideas and products are not merely novelties but purposeful advancements that align with the company’s core identity and market needs.

When they say in ancestral Igbo that a good product sells itself, the message is simple: through great products, product-market fits are readily attained. Oliver de Coque has noted that great music comes from God; and I paraphrase that great products emerge out of an innovation vision.

Innovation, in this context, is a continuous pursuit – from disruptive technologies to incremental process improvements – all designed to create new value, differentiate the firm, and overcome market frictions, ultimately driving its competitive edge.

Growth, therefore, is the natural outcome of a well-defined mission married with sustained innovation. It’s not just about expanding size but about enhancing market relevance and impact. Tekedia highlights that true growth involves scaling operations, capturing new market segments, and creating sustainable value for stakeholders. This strategic expansion allows firms to build “category-king” positions, solidifying their presence and influence.

Vision. Mission. By consistently revisiting their mission, fostering a culture of innovation, and executing intelligent growth strategies, firms can navigate dynamic landscapes, secure long-term viability, and contribute meaningfully to the broader economy.

From this September, at Tekedia Mini-MBA, we will be co-learning on “Why Do We Have Companies”? And everything that is required to answer that question! See our curriculum here

Top Cryptos to Buy Now: BlockDAG, Pi Network, AAVE, & HYPE Deliver Real Growth in 2025

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This year isn’t about guessing games anymore. In 2025, the questions people are asking have changed. Who is actually building? Who is delivering products? Who’s doing work that matters to users? The noise is still out there, but it’s easier now to identify projects that are showing real momentum. That’s where the top cryptos to buy now begin to stand out, not because they’re trending, but because they’re gaining real traction.

Names like BlockDAG, Pi Network, Hyperliquid, and Aave aren’t waiting to be noticed. They’re taking action and showing results. Here’s a closer look at what sets each of them apart and why they’re gaining attention for the next breakout cycle.

1. BlockDAG: Live Demo Confirms Real-Time Dual Mining System

BlockDAG’s recently launched live demo has shifted attention from hype to working products. Instead of teasers or announcements, the demo provided exactly what many in the market wanted to see: mining devices running and earning BDAG live. The mobile-based X1 miner and the X10 hardware unit worked together smoothly, showing BlockDAG’s setup is no longer theoretical; it’s operational.

More than 2 million people have already installed the X1 app, which delivers up to 20 BDAG per day through an easy-to-use interface. The demo highlighted how output scales with the X10 hardware, which boosts earnings to 200 BDAG daily when connected via Bluetooth.

BlockDAG (BDAG) has raised $354 million and is priced at $0.0016 in Batch 29 of crypto presale. A scheduled post-launch price of $0.05 by August 11 points to a projected return of 3025%.

But this isn’t just about numbers. BlockDAG’s architecture uses a Block-DAG model based on directed acyclic graphs (DAGs), which improves scalability by enabling simultaneous transaction processing. Combined with referral campaigns, bonuses, and ongoing promotions, BlockDAG makes a strong case as one of the top cryptos to buy now.

2. Hyperliquid (HYPE): Big Swings with Breakout Opportunity

Hyperliquid (HYPE) is showing serious price movement. It fell 7.40% over the past week but still gained 23.81% this month and 101.73% over six months. The price now ranges from $42.73 to $49.58. A move past resistance at $53.15 could open the door to $60.00. Support sits at $39.45 and $32.60, indicating a possible 24% downside risk.

An RSI of 45.29 reflects neutral conditions, and a Stochastic of 11.73 points to potential overselling. Meanwhile, the MACD is slightly negative, adding some caution. Among the top cryptos to buy now, HYPE’s direction depends on whether it holds above key support or breaks past resistance.

3. Pi Network (PI): Short-Term Strength After Prolonged Drop

After a lengthy downtrend, Pi Network (PI) rose 4.48% this week. It is still down 7.33% over the past month and 33.36% over six months, but currently trades between $0.42 and $0.47. This range hints at some short-term stability. The 10-day SMA sits at $0.47, slightly above the 100-day SMA of $0.46, a setup that indicates near-term support.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 42.37 suggests PI may be undervalued, while the low Stochastic reading of 7.72 points toward possible overselling. For PI to climb, it needs to push past resistance at $0.50 and then $0.55. As one of the top cryptos to buy now, its next move likely hinges on whether it can clear these resistance levels or hold above key support zones.

4. Aave (AAVE): Watching Resistance for the Next Move

Aave (AAVE) slipped 7.35% this week but is still up 32.99% over the last month. It has dropped 10.17% in six months. The current price sits between $307.48 and $340.26. Its 10-day SMA is $305.62, and the 100-day SMA is $318.53. With an RSI of 40.30 and a Stochastic of 19.90, AAVE is showing oversold signs.

The MACD reading of -2.626 confirms pressure to the downside. If AAVE breaks above $355.60, it could rise to $388, representing a potential 15% to 20% gain. On the other hand, falling below $290.05 or $257.27 could lead to deeper losses. For anyone monitoring the top cryptos to buy now, AAVE is worth tracking due to its volatility and technical indicators.

These 4 Projects Are Gaining Real Ground

There’s no shortage of new projects in 2025, but only a few are building things that people actually use. Pi Network is starting to find short-term support after a tough stretch. Hyperliquid is volatile but still showing momentum. Aave’s current drop hasn’t erased its strong monthly performance and is nearing an important resistance level.

Still, BlockDAG is leading the way among the top cryptos to buy now. Its live demo proved that real mining output, up to 200 BDAG daily, is already happening through the X10 hardware. With a DAG-based structure built for scalability, referral-based incentives, and a $0.0016 entry point alongside a 3025% projected return, BlockDAG isn’t preparing to launch; it’s already moving forward.