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Gold Prices Hold Steady on Friday, On Track for Seventh Consecutive Monthly Gain as Tariff Uncertainty and U.S.-Iran Tensions Fuel Safe-Haven Demand

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Gold prices remained largely stable on Friday, positioning the metal for its seventh straight month of gains amid persistent uncertainty surrounding U.S. tariff policies and ongoing diplomatic tensions between the United States and Iran.

The combination has reinforced gold’s traditional safe-haven appeal, with investors continuing to favor the non-yielding asset over riskier alternatives. Spot gold edged down 0.1% to $5,181.18 per ounce by 0837 GMT, while U.S. gold futures for April delivery rose 0.1% to $5,198.10. The metal has climbed 6.5% in February alone, contributing to a cumulative gain of 58% over the past seven months — one of the strongest multi-month rallies in recent history.

The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell to a three-month low on the day, further reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing gold. ANZ analyst Soni Kumari highlighted the dual drivers, noting: “There are two things supporting gold. First is the tariff uncertainty which is there in the market right now, and on the other hand, the Iran and the U.S. situation.”

Geopolitical Tailwinds: U.S.-Iran Nuclear Talks, Tariffs

The United States and Iran held indirect talks in Geneva on Thursday, with Omani mediators reporting progress on the long-running nuclear dispute. Technical-level discussions are scheduled to resume next week in Vienna. While no breakthrough has emerged, the absence of escalation has kept geopolitical risks elevated but contained — a dynamic that has supported gold prices without triggering a full flight to safety.

Linh Tran, Senior Market Analyst at XS.com, noted: “The latest rounds of talks have not produced a clear outcome, leaving geopolitical risks present but not escalating. This has kept gold at elevated levels, though it has not yet provided sufficient momentum to establish a sustainable bullish trend.”

The U.S. began collecting a temporary new 10% global import tariff on Tuesday, with USTR Jamieson Greer indicating the rate will rise to 15% for some countries. The move follows the Supreme Court’s Friday ruling striking down Trump’s earlier IEEPA-based tariffs, prompting a swift pivot to Section 122 authority for the new levies. The tariff uncertainty has weighed on risk assets while bolstering gold, as investors seek protection against potential trade disruptions, inflation pass-through, and currency volatility.

The dollar’s recent weakness — down against major peers — has provided additional support for gold denominated in dollars.

Other Precious Metals Performance

Spot silver rose 1.7% to $89.87 per ounce, on track for a 6.2% monthly gain. Platinum climbed 4.1% to $2,365.33 per ounce — a four-week high — while palladium gained 2.1% to $1,821.28. Industrial demand for platinum and palladium (catalytic converters, electronics) has benefited from expectations of resilient global manufacturing, while silver’s dual role as both precious and industrial metal has amplified its upside.

U.S. initial jobless claims increased slightly last week, but the unemployment rate held steady in February, reflecting a resilient labor market despite cooling hiring momentum. The data has kept expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts alive, with traders pricing in roughly 83% odds of a June reduction. Lower yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, providing further tailwind.

Global sentiment remains cautious. European stocks opened mixed Thursday, weighed by mixed earnings from Airbus, Renault, and Nestlé, while U.S. futures traded near flat Wednesday night after Nvidia’s earnings beat. Oil prices rose more than 4% Wednesday after U.S. Vice President JD Vance said Iran had not addressed core demands in nuclear talks, reinforcing geopolitical risk premiums.

Outlook for Gold

Gold’s sustained seven-month rally is a sign of a confluence of supportive factors: tariff-driven uncertainty, geopolitical risks, moderating U.S. yields, and persistent inflation concerns despite recent cooling. While the metal has not yet broken decisively higher, the absence of major negative catalysts and ongoing safe-haven demand suggests continued upward bias in the near term.

Analysts remain divided on the sustainability of the move. Some view the current levels as reflecting legitimate risk premia, while others caution that a resolution to U.S.-Iran talks or tariff clarity could prompt profit-taking. However, gold’s resilience amid multiple headwinds underscores its enduring role as a hedge against policy uncertainty and geopolitical instability.

As markets await next week’s U.S. data (nonfarm payrolls Wednesday, CPI Friday) and further developments in U.S.-Iran negotiations, gold is likely to remain well-bid, with any pullbacks viewed as buying opportunities by many participants. The metal’s performance in February, on track for another strong monthly close, reinforces its status as one of the standout assets of 2026 so far.

UK Gambling Commission Exploring Possibility of Allowing Crypto Payments 

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The UK Gambling Commission (UKGC) has announced it is exploring the possibility of allowing licensed gambling operators to accept cryptocurrency (crypto) payments from consumers.

This is not yet a finalized policy change—it’s an early-stage consideration described as a “tentative first step.” The UKGC’s executive director for research and policy, Tim Miller, made the announcement during a speech at the Betting and Gaming Council’s (BGC) Annual General Meeting.

Growing consumer demand (“punters”) for crypto payment options in gambling. Evidence from the UKGC’s research showing that searches related to crypto are among the top drivers pushing British gamblers toward unlicensed and illegal websites, which often accept crypto.

The goal is to keep activity within the regulated market, reduce risks from black-market sites; money laundering, lack of consumer protections, and support innovation while aligning with the UK’s evolving crypto regulatory framework.

This exploration ties into broader UK developments: In December 2025, the government laid the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Cryptoassets) Regulations 2025 before Parliament. If approved, these would bring cryptoassets under the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA)’s oversight, with the new regime expected to take effect around October 2027.

Licensed gambling operators could potentially seek authorization under this FCA framework to handle crypto payments directly. Miller has tasked the UKGC’s Industry Forum (an advisory group) with examining how such payments could be implemented “sensibly” and in line with licensing objectives, including strong anti-money laundering (AML) measures, consumer protections, and addressing volatility and anonymity risks associated with crypto.

Currently, licensed UK gambling operators are generally not permitted to accept direct crypto deposits from consumers, due to challenges around traceability, source-of-funds verification, and AML risks, as noted in prior UKGC guidance.

Growing demand (“punters want crypto”) could be met legally, supporting innovation in payments while keeping gambling within a regulated framework. Operators might gain a competitive edge by offering modern options, potentially increasing market share for licensed sites.

Ties into the UK’s evolving crypto framework (Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 Cryptoassets Regulations 2025), allowing gambling firms to potentially seek FCA authorization for crypto handling. This could foster a more cohesive digital asset ecosystem.

Could help the regulated industry counter pressures like recent tax increases; remote gaming duty rising to 40% from April 2026, by attracting and retaining users who might otherwise go offshore. Money laundering (AML) and terrorist financing risks: Crypto’s pseudonymity, volatility, and speed make it inherently higher-risk for financial crime.

UKGC has long rated crypto transactions as medium-to-high risk in gambling; in remote casino assessments, noting challenges in source-of-funds verification and traceability. Even regulated, operators would need robust controls—potentially costly and complex—to meet licensing objectives.

Volatility could lead to rapid losses; depositing crypto that drops in value before play, and anonymity might hinder effective responsible gambling monitoring or recovery of funds in disputes. There’s also risk of attracting vulnerable users drawn to crypto’s “high-risk” appeal.

Crypto gambling remains prevalent on unlicensed sites, which the UKGC actively works to disrupt. This move represents a potential shift to bring crypto into the regulated space rather than banning or ignoring it, but no timeline for decisions or implementation has been set—it’s still under review.

CPP Investments and Equinix Acquire atNorth in $4bn Bet on Europe’s AI Infrastructure Boom

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Canada Pension Plan Investment Board and Equinix have agreed to acquire Nordic data center operator atNorth from private equity firm Partners Group in a deal valued at about $4 billion, the companies said Friday, marking one of the largest recent transactions in Europe’s fast-expanding digital infrastructure market.

CPP Investments will commit roughly $1.6 billion for a 60% controlling stake, with Equinix taking the remaining 40%. The companies said the acquisition is expected to be immediately accretive to Equinix’s adjusted funds from operations, underscoring that atNorth is already a cash-generating platform rather than a speculative buildout.

The transaction comes amid intensifying institutional demand for data center assets as artificial intelligence workloads reshape power and capacity requirements across Europe.

atNorth operates eight data centers across Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, and Sweden, with additional sites under development. The geographic mix places the company in markets prized for abundant renewable energy, relatively low electricity costs, and naturally cool climates — all critical advantages as AI training clusters drive up power density and cooling demands.

The operator has secured 1 gigawatt of power for future expansion and outlined a pipeline of roughly 800 megawatts over the next five years. In the data center sector, access to grid capacity has become as valuable as land or capital. Across Europe, permitting delays and transmission bottlenecks have constrained new supply, making secured power allocations a strategic asset.

The Nordic region has emerged as a preferred destination for hyperscale cloud providers and enterprise customers seeking to align infrastructure growth with environmental targets. Hydropower in Norway and Sweden, geothermal energy in Iceland, and growing wind capacity across the region allow operators to market lower carbon intensity — a differentiator as regulators and investors scrutinize energy use tied to AI expansion.

AI workloads are significantly more energy-intensive than traditional enterprise hosting. Training large-scale models and running inference at scale require dense compute clusters, often supported by high-performance graphics processing units. That dynamic is reshaping site selection criteria, pushing operators toward regions with reliable, scalable, and lower-carbon electricity.

For Equinix, the acquisition strengthens its presence in a region where demand from global cloud providers and AI developers is accelerating. The California-based company has been expanding its footprint to capture rising demand for colocation, interconnection, and hyperscale facilities. The atNorth portfolio provides immediate scale in Northern Europe, along with a development pipeline aligned to AI-driven growth.

Immediate accretion to adjusted funds from operations suggests the platform can contribute to earnings without a prolonged ramp-up period. That matters in a capital-intensive sector where development cycles can span several years, and returns depend heavily on pre-leasing and power availability.

For CPP Investments, the deal expands exposure to infrastructure-like assets with long-duration, contracted cash flows. Pension funds globally have been increasing allocations to digital infrastructure, viewing data centers as a hybrid of real estate and utility-style assets, supported by secular growth in cloud computing, streaming, enterprise digitization, and AI adoption.

Partners Group acquired atNorth in 2022 for an undisclosed sum and has since overseen its regional expansion. The sale is another example of the private equity playbook in digital infrastructure: acquire a scalable platform, invest in development capacity, and exit to long-term institutional capital seeking stable yield with structural growth.

Europe is navigating both an AI capacity buildout and a broader debate over energy security. Data centers have drawn regulatory attention in some markets because of their power consumption, prompting governments to weigh economic benefits against grid strain. Operators with secured renewable energy supply and established regional relationships are therefore better positioned to advance expansion plans.

The new ownership structure positions atNorth to compete for hyperscale contracts in a market where scale, power access, and sustainability credentials are increasingly decisive. The $4 billion valuation signals continued investor confidence that AI-driven demand will sustain elevated growth in Europe’s digital infrastructure sector for years to come.

ZachXBT Identifies Axiom Exchange’s Broox Bauer of Abusing Internal Tools To Access and Share Sensitive User Data

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ZachXBT, the prominent blockchain investigator, released a detailed exposé accusing Broox Bauer, a senior business development employee at Axiom Exchange; a Solana-based decentralized trading platform, of abusing internal tools to access and share sensitive user data.

Since early 2025 (over 10 months), Broox allegedly used Axiom’s internal dashboards to look up private user details, such as linked wallet addresses, transaction histories, referral codes, UIDs, and more—far beyond what’s typical for a BD role.

He reportedly shared this information with a small group including other employees and associates who compiled lists; in Google Sheets of prominent traders and KOLs to track and potentially front-run their trades, especially in memecoins.

Monitoring wallets tied to influencers like “Marcell“; who allegedly bundled memecoins privately before shilling them and others, enabling coordinated profitable trades ahead of public promotions. Leaked audio clips from a February 2026 call feature Broox discussing plans to help an associate profit $200K quickly via this access.

Plus claims of tracking users and prior schemes with other Axiom staff like Ryan (Ryucio). ZachXBT identified Broox’s main wallet http://FarpaWkzio7WQVpQeu2eURvNQZ3pCBZupJ95wUjoHcUN , with related addresses showing heavy memecoin activity and flows to CEX deposits—though pinpointing exact insider trades requires Axiom’s internal logs.

Broader issues highlighted: Poor access controls, minimal monitoring, and excessive data visibility even for non-technical roles, raising privacy and potential legal concerns; ZachXBT suggested SDNY jurisdiction given Broox’s NYC base.

Axiom responded that they were “shocked and disappointed,” revoked access to the misused tools, and are conducting an internal investigation while holding parties accountable. Wallets connected to Broox or associates reportedly profited around $400K by betting “Yes” on Polymarket markets predicting Axiom as the target of ZachXBT’s insider trading investigation.

A related Polymarket event “Which crypto company will ZachXBT expose for insider trading?” saw massive volume; tens of millions, with Axiom odds surging to near-certainty before the reveal—fueling suspicions of advance knowledge.

This ties into broader concerns about insider advantages in prediction markets and platform data security in crypto and DeFi. The allegations of abusing internal dashboards to access sensitive user data; wallet addresses, transaction histories, referral codes, UIDs for over 10 months have severely undermined confidence.

Axiom now faces scrutiny over privacy and security failures. Users are likely moving funds elsewhere, as the core promise of decentralized, trustless trading is compromised by off-chain data abuse. Axiom quickly revoked access to the misused tools, expressed being “shocked and disappointed,” and launched an internal investigation while promising accountability.

However, critics note the response feels generic and doesn’t address the scale of exposure or systemic access control issues; why a BD role had such broad visibility with minimal monitoring. Liquidity and trading volume could decline sharply if users flee, directly threatening Axiom’s fee-based model.

ZachXBT urged Axiom’s founders to pursue legal action against involved parties and suggested criminal charges could apply.
The scandal highlights governance gaps in DeFi platforms, potentially inviting increased regulatory attention to data security, access controls, and insider advantages in crypto trading venues.

This creates a meta-layer scandal: questions about insider trading on prediction markets themselves, raising doubts on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi’s ability to detect and prevent complex insider plays where the market becomes a secondary payout vehicle for leaked info.

Reinforces debates on trust in decentralized platforms—on-chain transparency is undermined by poor off-chain controls. It may deter users from similar terminals and aggregators and fuel calls for better audits and governance. Echoes past scandals, spotlighting risks in employee access, KOL tracking, and memecoin front-running.

It could accelerate demands for stricter internal policies, third-party audits, and privacy-focused features across exchanges. Short-term negative for Axiom-related assets; any associated tokens saw sharp drops in some reports, with ripple effects on Solana ecosystem confidence.

However, it may ultimately strengthen the space by exposing weaknesses early. This is a high-profile case blending data privacy breaches, alleged insider trading, and prediction market exploitation—likely to drive short-term outflows from Axiom.

While prompting longer-term reforms in how crypto platforms handle user data and internal safeguards. The full fallout depends on Axiom’s investigation results, any legal developments, and whether more evidence emerges.

10 Year US Treasury Dips Below 4% in Recent Trading Sessions 

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The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has dipped below 4% intraday and in recent trading sessions, marking the first time since late November. Reports confirm this milestone today, with the yield trading around 3.97–3.99% in recent updates—its lowest in about three to four months.

This reflects a strong bond rally, with February marking the best monthly performance for Treasuries in a year, driven by factors like investor demand for safe-haven assets amid global risks, softer economic outlooks, and auction demand. This drop in the 10-year yield (a key benchmark) has directly influenced longer-term borrowing costs, including mortgages.

The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage has fallen below 6% for the first time since 2022 specifically since September 2022. Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey, shows the average at 5.98% for the week ending then—down from 6.01% the prior week and significantly lower than 6.76% a year ago.

The New York Times, noting it’s the first sub-6% reading in over three years. This is a psychological and practical milestone for the housing market: It could ease affordability pressures and potentially encourage more buyers and sellers to enter the spring buying season.

However, economists caution it may not spark a full housing boom without increased supply, as home prices remain elevated and other factors like policy uncertainties linger. Note that daily lender-specific rates can vary; some averages show around 6.0–6.04% today, but the key weekly benchmark from Freddie Mac has crossed below 6%.

Treasuries posted their best monthly performance in a year during February. This is largely driven by a “flight to safety” amid uncertainties like trade policy volatility; tariff developments and legal challenges, geopolitical risks, potential economic slowdown signals, and concerns over AI disruption impacting growth stocks.

General Impact on Stocks

Lower Treasury yields typically support equities in several ways: They reduce borrowing costs for companies and consumers, boosting economic activity and corporate profits over time.

They make stocks more attractive relative to fixed-income alternatives; lower “risk-free” rate improves equity valuations, especially for growth-oriented sectors like tech. Falling yields often signal investor caution or expectations of softer growth and Fed easing, which can favor rate-sensitive sectors; real estate, utilities, consumer discretionary.

The mortgage rate drop below 6% could provide a modest tailwind to housing-related stocks and the broader economy by improving affordability, potentially encouraging more home sales and listings in the spring season—though economists note limited boom potential without more housing supply.

However, the relationship isn’t always straightforward. Lower yields can sometimes coincide with risk-off sentiment; fears of recession or disruptive forces like AI reducing corporate earnings growth, pressuring stocks in the short term. On this specific day, the stock market has been under pressure despite the bond rally.

Major indexes opened lower and extended declines, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping significantly (reports of 400–800 points lower at points, or around 1–1.5%). The S&P 500 fell roughly 0.7–1.1% trading around 6,843–6,859 levels. The Nasdaq Composite (tech-heavy) saw sharper losses around 1.4%, weighed down by AI-related fears and weakness in names like Nvidia.

Hotter-than-expected January Producer Price Index (PPI) data, which raised inflation concerns and tempered hopes for aggressive Fed rate cuts. Ongoing “AI scare trade” or fears of disruption to traditional business models and tech valuations. Lingering volatility from trade and tariff uncertainties, which initially fueled the bond rally but also hit equities.

While lower yields and mortgage rates are a supportive factor for stocks in a broader sense potentially aiding a recovery if economic data softens further, today’s market action shows risk aversion dominating—equities sold off as investors rotated into bonds for safety.

February has been choppy and volatile for stocks, with the S&P 500 eyeing a small monthly loss amid these crosscurrents.If you’re investing or tracking this, watch upcoming data and Fed signals, as they could shift the balance between the bond rally’s supportive effects and growth and inflation worries.

Markets remain highly sensitive right now. These moves signal looser financial conditions, with bonds acting as a haven and feeding through to consumer rates. If you’re tracking this for buying, refinancing, or investing, rates remain volatile—check with lenders for personalized quotes.