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Brazil vs Japan Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Jun 2026

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Brazil vs Japan Preview

Brazil square off against Japan in the FIFA World Cup Round of 32 at Houston Stadium (NRG Stadium), with kick-off set for 19:00 on Monday 29 June.

Houston Stadium, featuring a closed retractable roof on match day, will manage conditions to beat the summer heat. Outside temperatures are expected to be around 33°C (91°F) at kick-off, while the temperature inside the stadium will be at a comfortable 22°C (72°F).

Brazil topped Group C on goal difference ahead of Morocco after both teams collected seven points. The Selecao opened their campaign with a 1-1 draw against Morocco before beating Haiti 3-0.

Carlo Ancelotti’s side then secured top spot with a 3-0 victory over Scotland at Miami Stadium. Brazil enjoyed 54% possession and registered nine shots on target, with Vinicius Junior scoring twice and Matheus Cunha also getting on the scoresheet.

Japan finished second in Group F on five points, two behind group winners the Netherlands. Hajime Moriyasu’s men began with a 2-2 draw against the Dutch before cruising to a 4-0 victory over Tunisia.

The Samurai Blue rounded off the group stage with a 1-1 draw against Sweden at Dallas Stadium. Japan had 52% possession and registered three shots on target, with Daizen Maeda scoring their only goal.

Japan Claimed First Win Over Brazil in 2025

The teams have met 14 times, with Brazil recording 11 wins, Japan claiming one victory and two matches ending in draws. Their most recent meeting came in a friendly at Tokyo Stadium in October 2025, when Japan won 3-2.

FIFA World Cup G W D L GF GA GD P
1  Brazil 3 2 1 0 7 1 6 7
2  Japan 3 1 2 0 7 3 4 5

View Full Table

Brazil – Last 10 Competitive Games

5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 9.6 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal. Brazil had 56.1% possession and 4.6 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.8 goals from 8.7 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal, while earning 3.8 corners.

Players to Watch

Vinicius Junior leads the way with 6 goals, Matheus Cunha has 4, with Estevao and two others on 1. Bruno Guimaraes has the most assists with 3, while goalkeeper Alisson Becker has 2 clean sheets.

Japan – Last 3 Competitive Games

Japan have 1 victory and 2 draws, averaging 9.7 attempts, 3.7 shots on goal and 2.3 goals. The Samurai Blue average 51.3% possession, 438.3 passes, 3.7 corners awarded and 5.3 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 3.7 shots on goal and 7.7 attempts.

Players to Watch

Daichi Kamada and Ayase Ueda have scored 2, followed by Daizen Maeda with 1. Ritsu Doan, Ko Itakura and Keito Nakamura have had 1 assists in the last 3 games, while Zion Suzuki has one clean sheet to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Brazil predicted lineup (4-1-2-3): Alisson Becker (GK), Danilo, Marquinhos, Gabriel, Douglas Santos, Casemiro, Bruno Guimaraes, Lucas Paqueta, Rayan, Matheus Cunha, Vinicius Junior.

Japan predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Zion Suzuki (GK), Takehiro Tomiyasu, Ko Itakura, Hiroki Ito, Yukinari Sugawara, Ao Tanaka, Daichi Kamada, Keito Nakamura, Ritsu Doan, Daizen Maeda, Ayase Ueda.

View All Team News

Main Match Prediction

We’re confident with our selection of Brazil to land a victory, with odds of 1.66 looking really generous. We think they have the ability to claim a win in this Round of 32 game.

We have been impressed by Brazil’s performances so far and both the underlying statistics and xG data support our view. The Selecao have created plenty of chances while remaining solid defensively, making them worthy favourites here.

Japan have performed admirably, but the absence of key players such as Takefusa Kubo and Wataru Endo leaves them looking vulnerable. We expect Brazil’s superior quality to shine through and are backing them to get the job done.

We always have a keen eye on team news, while our football experts have their finger on the pulse by knowing the latest form. You will also find a compendium of stats which provide some valuable pointers ahead of the World Cup action.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

  • Brazil have won 5 of their last 6 games.
  • Brazil have won 2 consecutive games.
  • Brazil have scored two or more goals in 5 of their last 6 games.
  • Japan have failed to win 2 of their 3 World Cup games.

Brazil to Win Probability

The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 60.2% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 65-70%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

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Can Brazil Gain the Upper Hand?

We’ll back Brazil with a fair degree of confidence when they clash with Japan. At betting odds of 1.66 on the Full-Time Result market, this looks a value pick and we expect a return.

The betting analysis below explores the strongest selections for Brazil vs Japan, including the complete breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks and bet builder tips.

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Prosus Delivers Record Profit as Digital Overhaul Pays Off, Consumer Platforms Turn Profitable Worldwide

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Dutch technology investor and digital services giant Prosus reported a sharp jump in annual earnings on Monday, underscoring the success of its strategy to transform itself from a holding company dependent on its Tencent stake into a global operator of profitable digital consumer businesses.

The Amsterdam-listed company posted an 84% increase in adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) from its digital services and e-commerce portfolio, reaching $1.3 billion (€1.14 billion) for the financial year. Revenue surged 57% to $9.7 billion, while all of its consumer internet platforms achieved profitability across every region for the first time in the company’s history.

The milestone represents a significant shift for Prosus, which for years derived much of its value from its sizeable investment in Chinese technology giant Tencent. Over the past two years, however, management has aggressively repositioned the company into a diversified digital operating business with exposure to food delivery, online marketplaces, travel, payments, fintech and artificial intelligence-enabled consumer services across Europe, Latin America, India and other emerging markets.

The results indicate that the strategy is beginning to generate meaningful financial returns.

Prosus also reported record free cash flow of $1.5 billion, up from $1 billion a year earlier, providing the company with greater financial flexibility to pursue acquisitions, invest in artificial intelligence initiatives and reward shareholders. Reflecting the stronger performance, the company increased its annual dividend by 40% to 28 euro cents per share.

The strongest contribution came from its food delivery operations, which have become one of the group’s most important growth engines.

Just Eat Takeaway.com, which Prosus acquired last year in a €4.1 billion ($4.7 billion) deal, generated $1.9 billion in revenue and delivered $83 million in adjusted EBITDA during the reporting period. The acquisition significantly strengthened Prosus’ position in Europe’s highly competitive online food delivery market, where scale has become increasingly important as operators seek profitability after years of aggressive expansion.

In Latin America, iFood continued to cement its dominance as one of the region’s largest food delivery platforms. Adjusted EBITDA surged 178% to $400 million, highlighting improving operational efficiency and sustained demand for digital ordering and delivery services across Brazil and neighboring markets.

Online classifieds platform OLX also delivered robust growth, with adjusted EBITDA rising 61% to $481 million as higher user engagement, stronger advertising demand and operational improvements boosted profitability.

The results reinforce Prosus’ broader effort to reduce its reliance on Tencent, whose contribution to the group’s valuation has historically overshadowed its operating businesses.

Prosus remains the largest shareholder in Tencent through its majority owner, South Africa’s Naspers, but management has increasingly focused on building independent revenue streams capable of generating consistent cash flow regardless of fluctuations in Chinese technology markets.

That strategy has become more important as China’s internet sector continues to face regulatory scrutiny, slower economic growth and heightened geopolitical uncertainty, factors that have prompted global investors to seek greater diversification outside the country.

Consumer Platforms Too

The company’s improving financial performance also comes as digital consumer platforms worldwide enter a more disciplined phase. After years of prioritizing customer acquisition and market share, many technology companies are shifting their focus toward profitability, cash generation and operational efficiency as higher interest rates and more selective investor sentiment reshape the sector.

Prosus appears to be benefiting from that transition.

The company’s businesses are also increasingly incorporating artificial intelligence into customer service, logistics optimization, recommendation engines, fraud detection, and advertising technology. As AI adoption accelerates across e-commerce and digital platforms, analysts expect companies with large consumer ecosystems such as Prosus to gain additional opportunities to improve margins and expand revenue through automation and personalized services.

With operations spanning food delivery, online marketplaces, fintech, travel, and payments, Prosus has built one of the world’s largest consumer internet portfolios outside the United States and China. Its geographic diversification across Europe, Latin America, India, and other high-growth markets also reduces dependence on any single economy while positioning the company to benefit from rising internet penetration and digital commerce in emerging markets.

The latest results suggest that Prosus’ multi-year transformation is gaining momentum. With the combination of stronger operating performance, rising free cash flow, and expanding profitability across its regional businesses, the company is demonstrating that its value increasingly rests not only on its Tencent investment but also on a growing portfolio of independently profitable digital platforms capable of delivering long-term earnings growth.

Global Central Bankers Reject Stablecoin Threat, Say They Boost The U.S. Dollar

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Global central banks and institutions like the Bank for International Settlements have stated that crypto stablecoins are primarily strengthening the US dollar rather than challenging fiat currencies as alternatives.

With roughly 98% of stablecoin value pegged to the USD, these digital assets have reportedly extended the reach of the dollar into blockchain-based transactions, offering 24/7 settlement and lower costs in cross-border payments, especially in emerging markets with limited traditional banking access.

This dynamic has turned what many once viewed as a potential disruptor into a powerful extension of existing financial hierarchies.

Recall that for years, stablecoins were viewed with skepticism by central banks and financial regulators, with many warning that the fast-growing digital assets could undermine sovereign currencies and weaken the global financial system.

The earlier concerns surrounding these digital assets, were rooted in their potential to operate as an alternative form of money outside the traditional banking system.

Policymakers feared that widespread adoption could encourage consumers and businesses to hold digital tokens instead of bank deposits, reducing banks’ funding base and limiting their capacity to extend credit.

Such a transition, experts warned, could weaken the effectiveness of central bank monetary policy.

Another major concern was that private companies issuing stablecoins could become powerful operators of a parallel financial system.

As stablecoins gained popularity for payments and cross-border transactions, critics argued that they might diminish governments’ control over money by allowing transactions to occur outside conventional banking networks.

Regulators also expressed fears that stablecoins could introduce new financial stability risks. If confidence in a major stablecoin issuer were to collapse, investors might rush to redeem their holdings, potentially forcing issuers to liquidate large amounts of U.S. Treasury securities and disrupting financial markets.

Those concerns intensified following the collapse of the algorithmic stablecoin TerraUSD in 2022, which erased billions of dollars in market value and prompted renewed calls for stricter regulation. Despite these risks, recent developments have led many central bankers to adopt a more nuanced view.

The Growth And Adoption of Stablecoins

Stablecoins have surged in market capitalization, with transactions exceeding $265 billion.

It is worth noting that Stablecoins received a real boost when U.S. President Donald Trump signed the GENIUS Act earlier this year, and now European banks are trying to get into the act by issuing stablecoins of their own.

Stablecoin issuers hold significant amounts of US Treasuries, increasing demand for dollar-denominated assets and supporting US government financing.

In regions facing high inflation or capital controls, users turn to dollar-pegged stablecoins for stability and convenience, a phenomenon described as digital or stealth dollarisation that enhances rather than erodes the dollar’s global dominance.

Christos Makridis, acting director of the Center for Data Analysis at The Heritage Foundation in an article last year, wrote that these digital dollars have numerous benefits. They can cut fees, shorten settlement cycles, counter local inflation and widen access to trade and finance.

He further noted that by championing stablecoins and the financial networks they run on, America can help unlock growth in emerging economies while buttressing its own economic might.

Outlook

The growth of stablecoins, now exceeding hundreds of billions in market capitalization, has been accelerated by regulatory clarity in the United States, including frameworks designed to maintain dollar leadership.

While this provides efficiency gains for payments and on-ramps to crypto ecosystems, it also raises concerns among some central banks about monetary sovereignty in developing economies.

Overall, the data shows stablecoins functioning more as bridges to dollar liquidity than as independent challengers to traditional money, reshaping global finance in ways that reinforce rather than replace the current system.

China’s Central Bank Introduces Overnight Reverse Repos, Signaling a Subtle but Significant Evolution in Its Monetary Toolkit

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China’s central bank took a notable step toward modernizing its liquidity management on Monday by conducting its first overnight reverse repo operation, a move markets interpreted as deepening its control over short-term funding conditions and gradually aligning its policy framework more closely with practices seen at major global central banks.

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) said it offered 300 billion yuan ($44.10 billion) through overnight reverse repos to financial institutions, according to an official statement. It also injected an additional 157.5 billion yuan through seven-day reverse repos at an unchanged rate of 1.4%.

The PBOC did not publicly disclose the borrowing cost for the overnight operation. Sources told Reuters the rate was set at 1.25%, 15 basis points below the seven-day tenor. The volume-weighted average rate for the benchmark overnight repo in the interbank market stood at 1.3533% on Monday, down about 2 basis points from the previous close.

The introduction of overnight reverse repos expands the PBOC’s toolkit at a time when China’s financial system is undergoing profound changes. With direct financing through bonds and equities now surpassing traditional bank lending as a key source of funding, and credit allocation shifting away from more capital-intensive sectors like property, the central bank is adapting its approach to better influence short-term rates and overall liquidity conditions.

“By omitting the overnight reverse repo rate, the PBOC does not want to dilute the signaling effect of the seven-day rate at this point,” said Lynn Song, chief economist for Greater China at ING. “Markets have been speculating on the overnight rate, and generally agree it will come in lower than the seven-day rate at around 1.30%-1.35%. It’s likely that the PBOC doesn’t want any confusion on rate cuts at this time as well before the actual easing is made.”

Xing Zhaopeng, senior China strategist at ANZ, noted that the central bank’s decision not to announce the overnight rate publicly suggested it had no intention of undermining the status of the seven-day reverse repo as the primary policy rate.

“The overnight rate was likely priced at a spread below the seven-day rate, with the gap varying over time,” he said.

The overnight reverse repo is expected to help the PBOC manage liquidity more effectively, particularly around month- and quarter-ends when money market rates often experience volatility. By strengthening its influence over short-term rates, the central bank aims to improve monetary policy transmission across the financial system.

This development aligns with comments made by PBOC Governor Pan Gongsheng at the annual Lujiazui Forum earlier this month, in which he indicated that the central bank would expand the variety of overnight reverse repo operations and work to narrow the range of short-term rates to reduce volatility in money markets.

The quarterly monetary policy implementation report published in May also emphasized the central bank’s intention to guide overnight rates closer to the policy rate level.

“Since the volume of overnight interbank lending by financial institutions far exceeds that of other tenors, by strengthening control over short-term interest rates, the central bank can enhance the effectiveness of monetary policy transmission throughout the financial system,” the PBOC-run publication Financial News said, citing industry experts.

Overnight repo transactions already dominate China’s interbank money market, accounting for more than 80% of repo turnover. Many major central banks, including the U.S. Federal Reserve, have long used overnight rates as their primary policy tool to anchor the broader yield curve. China’s move brings its framework closer to these global standards, though analysts expect a gradual transition.

“I think we’ll eventually still move in this direction where the overnight rate takes precedence just like in many developed market central banks,” ING’s Song said, noting the PBOC will ensure a smooth transition and that it will likely take some time.

Implications for China’s Evolving Financial Industry

The launch of overnight operations comes as China’s economy continues to navigate a complex environment of slowing credit growth in traditional sectors and rising importance of capital markets. With direct financing gaining ground, the central bank’s enhanced focus on short-term rates could help stabilize funding conditions and support broader economic objectives.

Markets appeared to welcome the development, with the overnight repo rate easing slightly. The move is also part of a broader effort to refine policy tools amid shifting economic priorities, including efforts to support emerging industries while managing risks in areas like real estate.

For now, the seven-day reverse repo remains the anchor of China’s policy rate system. But Monday’s operation hints at a future where overnight rates could play a more prominent role, potentially giving the PBOC finer control over liquidity and borrowing costs.

Analysts note that as China’s financial system becomes more market-oriented, tools like these overnight facilities could prove increasingly valuable in guiding economic activity without relying solely on longer-term rates or quantitative measures. The central bank’s careful communication around the new instrument is seen as an indication that it is mindful of maintaining clarity in its policy signaling while gradually expanding its operational flexibility.

This latest step fits into a pattern of incremental modernization at the PBOC, aimed at ensuring monetary policy remains effective in a rapidly changing economic landscape.

[Attend] Building Modern Property Admin Infrastructure in Nigeria – Unveiling Tekedia Fund

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Tell your governors, commissioners, state investment corporations, and state legislators to attend this session or reach out to us directly at capital@tekedia.com.

Economist Hernando de Soto has been clear, and history has validated his thesis: there is a powerful correlation between property rights and economic development. One of the fundamental differences between countries such as the United Kingdom and Nigeria is that, in developed economies, nearly every piece of land and real estate is formally recorded, searchable, and easily used as collateral, traded, or financed.

In Nigeria, however, a significant portion of our lands and properties exists outside formal records. They are not properly represented on the balance sheets of banks, nor are they fully captured in the general ledgers of local and state governments. As a result, enormous amounts of wealth remain trapped as dead capital.

Without addressing this challenge, it will be difficult to achieve broad-based economic development. More than two thousand years of economic history demonstrate a strong relationship between secure property rights and sustained economic growth.

Rather than merely discussing this problem, we want to become partners with state governments in implementing practical solutions. Tekedia Capital is prepared to invest up to $1 million per state to support the modernization of property administration systems across Nigeria. We bring world-class technology, regulatory expertise, and implementation capabilities.

Our destination is clear: Modernize property administration. Unlock prosperity for citizens.

To advance this conversation, we are organizing an open webinar:

Title: Building Modern Property Administration Infrastructure in Nigeria: Unveiling the $1 Million per State Real Estate Innovation Fund

Speaker: Prof. Ndubuisi Ekekwe
Chairman, Tekedia Capital

Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026

Time: 2:00 PM – 3:30 PM WAT

Venue: Zoom link here

Join us as we discuss how modern property infrastructure can unlock investment, deepen financial markets, increase internally generated revenue, and accelerate economic growth across Nigeria’s states.

 

Tekedia Capital Wants to Invest $1M In Nigerian States To Modernize State Real Estate Infrastructure

 

The Mystery of Capital and Nigeria’s Missing Opportunity and How To Fix it