According to data from Apollo Global Management, an American asset management firm, IPOs have underperformed the broader market since 2019, marking one of the weakest periods on record for newly public companies.
A chart compiled by Apollo’s chief economist Torsten Sløk illustrates this trend clearly. While IPO performance has fluctuated over decades, the post-2019 cohort stands out for consistently negative market-adjusted returns.
In the chart, many recent listings have lagged the market by 40-80% in the three years following their debut. This contrasts with stronger periods in the past where new companies often rewarded early investors.
Why Have IPOs Underperformed?
Several analysts note that many companies listed during 2020 and 2021 at historically high valuations when interest rates were near zero and investor appetite for growth stocks was exceptionally strong.
Those valuations became difficult to sustain once central banks aggressively increased interest rates.
Many newly public companies were still unprofitable and heavily dependent on future growth expectations. Higher discount rates significantly reduced the present value investors assigned to those future earnings.
These elevated entry points left little room for further upside once market conditions shifted. When the Federal Reserve began hiking rates aggressively in 2022, growth-oriented and often unprofitable companies that dominated the IPO pipeline suffered the most. Higher borrowing costs compressed valuations, particularly for long-duration assets.
Finally, the broader market’s strong returns have been concentrated among a small group of mega-cap technology companies, particularly firms benefiting from artificial intelligence. This has raised the performance benchmark that newly listed companies must beat.
The biggest beneficiaries include:
•NVIDIA, whose graphics processing units (GPUs) became the backbone of AI model training and inference. Exploding demand for its chips led to record revenue growth and made it one of the world’s most valuable companies.
•Microsoft, which integrated generative AI across products such as Microsoft 365 and Azure through its partnership with OpenAI. Investors rewarded the company for positioning itself as a leader in enterprise AI.
•Meta Platforms, which leveraged AI to improve advertising efficiency, user engagement and recommendation algorithms, helping drive earnings growth.
•Amazon, which benefited from rising demand for AI infrastructure through Amazon Web Services (AWS) while embedding AI into its retail and cloud businesses.
•Alphabet, Google’s parent company, which expanded AI capabilities across Search, Cloud and its Gemini models
Despite the broader trend, a handful of IPOs have significantly outperformed both their issue prices and in many cases, the wider market.
While successful listings such as Airbnb, Snowflake, Arm Holdings and Circle demonstrate that exceptional businesses can still reward investors, they remain the exception rather than the rule.
For most newly listed companies, inflated valuations, changing macroeconomic conditions and execution challenges have resulted in years of underperformance relative to the broader market.
For investors, the lesson is increasingly clear, purchasing an IPO simply because it is new is rarely a winning strategy. Long-term fundamentals, sustainable profitability and reasonable valuations continue to matter far more than the excitement surrounding a company’s market debut.
As IPO activity surges in 2026, reaching record levels midway through the year, Apollo’s analysis serves as a timely reminder. While strong individual stories will always emerge, the cohort as a whole has struggled in the current environment.
Prudent investors are weighing these risks against potential opportunities, recognizing that not every public debut translates into long-term success.
The coming quarters will reveal whether shifting economic conditions can improve outcomes for the next wave of listings or if the post-2019 challenges persist.






