The price of Bitcoin dropped back below $63,000 on Thursday, sparking a wave of liquidations across the cryptocurrency market.
According to data cited by Cointelegraph, the move wiped out approximately $48 million in positions over the span of one hour, with long positions accounting for $45.7 million of the total.
The sharp dip forced leveraged traders who had bet on further upside to automatically close their positions. Bitcoin made up the largest share of the liquidations at around $23.7 million, followed by Ethereum at roughly $14.4 million. Smaller amounts came from Solana and other altcoins.
Short-term holders (STHs), those holding BTC acquired within the past six months are currently around 7.2% underwater on their investment in aggregate.
On August 13, 2026, Bitcoin was trading in the mid $63,000 range, showing signs of recovery after the brief break below the psychological $63,000 support. The crypto asset traded as high as $63,487 igniting bullish optimism.
Traders continue to monitor open interest and funding rates for signs of further volatility. Bitcoin short-term holders are reportedly keen to sell into range highs as they seek to break even on their investment.
Crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen said Bitcoin’s next 60 days could determine how the current bear market ultimately plays out. He highlighted August and September as historically difficult months, particularly during U.S. midterm election years.
Cowen noted that across midterm years, Bitcoin has historically declined roughly 10%-11% on average in August and about 8% in September.
A similar decline from current levels could initially push Bitcoin toward $56,000, with additional weakness potentially taking it into the low-$50,000 range. However, Cowen stressed that seasonality is not guaranteed and estimated such patterns work roughly 70% of the time.
Analyst Rekt Capital additionally warned that $63,000 was weakening as local support, with price gaining progressively less ground with each rebound from that level.
Bitfinex Alpha, the research arm of crypto exchange Bitfinex, noted that a significant portion of the BTC supply has moved on-chain during the range-bound period.
“The reason the boundaries are so stubborn is due to ownership. The $62,000-$65,000 band holds 1,794,308 BTC at this cost basis, 8.93% of circulating supply per the UTXO Realised Price Distribution (URPD), with the largest holdings at $63,800,” it reported.
Meanwhile, Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan said Bitcoin refusing to react to bad news, including BTC sales by Strategy and CLARITY Act delays, is one of the clearest signs the cryptocurrency winter is ending.
Amidst price predictions, Polymarket currently assigns only a 9% chance of Bitcoin hitting $100,000 and beyond this year, down from a high of 91% in January.
Outlook
Bitcoin’s near-term outlook remains highly uncertain, with the $62,000–$65,000 range emerging as a critical battleground.
A sustained break below $63,000 could expose BTC to deeper losses toward $56,000, while a loss of the broader $62,000 support zone could increase the risk of a move into the low-$50,000 range.
However, the outlook is not entirely bearish. Bitcoin’s resilience despite negative catalysts, including Strategy’s BTC sales and delays surrounding the CLARITY Act, suggests that underlying demand may be stronger than the recent price action indicates.
Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan views this resilience as a potential sign that the current crypto winter may be coming to an end






