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“The Big Short” Michael Burry Doubles Down on Nvidia and Palantir Short Bets

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Michael Burry, the contrarian investor immortalized in The Big Short for predicting the 2008 housing collapse, has escalated his war against the artificial intelligence sector.

In a scathing new critique published Tuesday, Burry revealed he is actively betting against both Nvidia and Palantir, while dismissing a recent defense from the world’s most valuable chipmaker as “disingenuous” and ridden with logical fallacies.

Writing on his newly launched Substack in a post titled “Unicorns and Cockroaches: Blessed Fraud,” Burry dismantled a memo Nvidia reportedly sent to Wall Street analysts. The document, intended to refute Burry’s earlier skepticism, was characterized by the investor as a collection of “straw man” arguments that failed to address his core thesis regarding the sustainability of the AI infrastructure build-out.

The “Straw Man” Exchange

The conflict centers on a memo Nvidia circulated to sell-side analysts—first reported by Barron’s—which attempted to debunk Burry’s bearish claims regarding stock-based compensation, buybacks, and depreciation cycles.

Burry expressed disbelief at the quality of the rebuttal, stating it “almost reads like a hoax.” He specifically took aim at Nvidia’s defense regarding the depreciation of its own property, plant, and equipment (PP&E). Burry clarified that his criticism was never about Nvidia’s internal accounting, as the company is a “fabless” chip designer with minimal capital expenditures.

“No one cares about Nvidia’s own depreciation,” Burry wrote. “One straw man burnt.”

Instead, Burry’s primary concern lies with the “hyperscalers”—tech giants like Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta—who are purchasing Nvidia’s chips. Burry argues these companies are artificially boosting short-term profits by depreciating these assets over five to six years. However, given the rapid pace of innovation, Burry warns these chips could become functionally obsolete between 2026 and 2028, paving the way for massive future writedowns.

“The hyperscalers have been systematically increasing the useful lives of chips and servers… as they invest hundreds of billions of dollars in graphics chips with accelerating planned obsolescence,” Burry noted.

To bolster his argument, Burry pointed to a recent admission by Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella. In an interview, Nadella revealed he had slowed data center construction earlier this year to avoid overbuilding infrastructure for a single generation of chips, acknowledging that future generations would require different power and cooling specifications.

Nvidia’s Defense: Utilization and Buybacks

Nvidia’s memo, however, paints a different picture of the hardware lifecycle. The company argues that its customers depreciate GPUs over four to six years based on “real-world longevity and utilization patterns.” Nvidia cited its A100 chips, released in 2020, noting they continue to run at high utilization rates and retain significant economic value well beyond the two-to-three-year window critics like Burry have suggested.

The memo also addressed financial engineering accusations. Nvidia clarified that it has repurchased $91 billion in shares since 2018, countering Burry’s figure of $112.5 billion by suggesting the investor incorrectly included taxes related to Restricted Stock Units (RSUs).

“Employee equity grants should not be conflated with the performance of the repurchase program,” the memo stated. It further rejected claims of “circular financing”—the idea that Nvidia pumps up revenue by investing in startups that then buy its chips—stating such investments represent a negligible fraction of its revenue.

The Palantir Feud

Beyond Nvidia, Burry confirmed he continues to hold put options against data analytics firm Palantir, another darling of the AI rally.

The disclosure follows a public spat with Palantir CEO Alex Karp, who earlier this month called Burry’s bets “batshit crazy” during a televised interview. Burry retorted on X (formerly Twitter) that he wasn’t surprised Karp “couldn’t crack a simple 13F,” referencing the regulatory filings that disclose hedge fund holdings.

Palantir shares have skyrocketed 26-fold since the start of 2023, valuing the company at approximately $390 billion—nearly 90 times its projected annual revenue of $4.4 billion. Burry’s bets against Palantir and Nvidia, which had a combined notional value of $1.1 billion in earlier filings, actually cost his fund, Scion Asset Management, only around $10 million each, according to his latest post.

Burry’s renewed offensive comes at a fragile moment for the AI trade. Nvidia shares have slumped 14% from their November 3 high as investors increasingly question whether the trillions of dollars in anticipated infrastructure spending will yield proportionate returns.

“I am looking forward because I see problems that are relevant to investors today,” Burry wrote, hinting that his comments have struck a nerve deeper than he anticipated. “I have been drawn into something much bigger than me.”

U.S. Air Force Awards Boeing $2.47bn Contract for 15 Additional KC-46A Tankers

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On Tuesday, the U.S. Air Force awarded Boeing a $2.47 billion contract to deliver 15 additional KC-46A Pegasus aerial refueling tankers.

This follows a nearly identical deal in 2024 for the same number of aircraft, then priced at $2.38 billion, signaling steady Pentagon demand even as Boeing grapples with ongoing global headwinds. The KC-46A programme, long criticized for defects ranging from foreign-object debris to supplier-quality issues, has now delivered 98 tankers to the Air Force since 2019, putting Boeing in a stronger position to reclaim confidence from military and international customers alike.

But this contract win reflects only part of a larger story: Boeing’s gradual, and far from complete, decoupling from the economic fallout of the U.S.–China trade war, which once threatened to undermine its global commercial business and exhaust its cash reserves.

Over the past year, Boeing found itself at the center of escalating trade tensions between Washington and Beijing. As U.S. tariffs soared to as much as 145 percent on Chinese imports, China retaliated with steep levies (125 percent) on U.S.-made goods, including commercial aircraft. To protect its airlines from skyrocketing costs, Chinese authorities directed carriers to suspend deliveries of Boeing jets and related parts.

As part of the impact, several jets, including 737 MAX airliners already painted in Chinese-carrier liveries, were flown back to Boeing’s Seattle factories from China’s Zhoushan completion facility.

The shift effectively shut Boeing out of one of the fastest-growing aviation markets in the world at a time when China was projected to account for roughly a fifth of global aircraft demand.

Equally damaging was the effect on Boeing’s supply chain. Building modern commercial aircraft depends on a vast network of global suppliers, many of them outside the United States. With trade barriers raised, Boeing faced doubled costs on parts and increased difficulty sourcing components — a blow to both margins and production timelines.

As orders collapsed and aircraft slated for Chinese carriers piled up unsold, Boeing’s finances creaked. Deferred deliveries translated into inventory carrying costs, stalled revenue recognition (since buyers pay only on delivery), and increased pressure on cash flow.

Some analysts estimated that losses tied to delayed or cancelled China deliveries could reach a billion-plus dollars in 2025 alone.

For a company that relied for decades on China as a key growth engine, sometimes delivering a quarter of its commercial jets there, the disruption threatened not just a temporary revenue drop, but a structural setback.

Faced with shrinking demand from China and elevated costs, Boeing adopted a deliberate pivot — expanding its reliance on international customers outside China, focusing on military contracts, and working hard to stabilize operations and cash flow.

CEO Kelly Ortberg recently said that Boeing is “not going to continue to build airplanes for customers who will not take them.”

Instead, the company has directed much of its 2025 production capacity — especially 737 MAX jets — toward other global buyers rather than waiting for China’s market to reopen fully.

This reallocation appears to be paying off. In Q1 2025, Boeing reported a much narrower loss than feared, $31 million compared with the prior year’s much larger deficit, alongside revenue of $19.5 billion, boosted by strong delivery numbers. Its cash burn, once a key concern, also reportedly shrank significantly.

Moreover, orders and deliveries for military aircraft — which are less sensitive to trade politics and airlines’ cost pressures — have become more prominent in Boeing’s mix. The new KC-46A tanker order is one of several recent defense deals that help offset losses from stalled commercial deliveries.

In effect, Boeing is trying to reshape itself from a company tethered to cyclical airline demand in a few markets into a more balanced aerospace exporter with both commercial and defense streams — better insulated from trade-war shocks.

Why the KC-46A Deal Matters — Symbolism and Strategy

The $2.47 billion contract for 15 KC-46A Pegasus tankers doesn’t just represent revenue. It is a signal that Boeing remains a trusted partner for the U.S. military even as it navigates one of the most turbulent commercial periods in its history. The fact that the new contract comes at a similar price point to last year’s underlines stability in U.S. defense procurement even as global geopolitical and trade pressures swirl.

This provides a dual benefit for Boeing. First, it brings in predictable, high-margin revenue at a time when commercial market demand remains uncertain. Second, it reinforces Boeing’s standing in Washington and among allied nations — a critical asset if the company hopes to leverage future international defense sales or offset commercial volatility with long-term defense contracts.

Seen against the backdrop of China’s delivery freeze and supply-chain disruption, the tanker deal underscores how Boeing is leaning on its diversification strategy — balancing commercial uncertainty with defense demand.

Still a Long Road With Risks

But while Boeing’s recent performance offers hope, challenges linger. The trade war with China is not definitively resolved; tariffs remain high, and Beijing’s airlines may continue to favor European or domestic manufacturers over American ones.

Global supply-chain costs remain elevated, particularly for aircraft such as the 787 Dreamliner that rely heavily on imported components.

For the commercial business to fully rebound, Boeing must not only offload planes originally destined for China, but also win new orders in other regions — a task complicated by reputational issues, competition (especially from Airbus), and rising global economic uncertainty.

Still, the KC-46A contract — and Boeing’s broader pivot — suggests the company is no longer relying on China alone. That shift may prove essential if Boeing hopes to emerge from the trade-war disruption not just stable, but structurally more resilient.

SUI Slips & AAVE Stabilises While BlockDAG Announces Ethereum/Cardano Leadership Arrivals Next Week After Raising $437M

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Market sentiment is splitting in two directions as traders look closely at assets moving on opposite paths. The SUI price trend remains firmly bearish, with SUI trading below every major moving average and multiple indicators showing momentum still pointed downward. In contrast, the AAVE price forecast is improving as large buyers add millions to their positions, giving traders fresh confidence.

At the same time, BlockDAG (BDAG) is entering one of its most important phases so far. With more than $437 million raised, the project has activated Beat Vesting for all purchases and confirmed new leadership arrivals from the Ethereum and Cardano ecosystems next week. These updates signal a shift toward a more structured, institution-ready launch strategy that is gaining strong attention across the market.

SUI Price Trend Shows Deep Weakness as Sellers Stay in Control

The SUI price trend keeps sliding as SUI trades at $1.56, sitting far below its MA-20 ($2.0168) and MA-200 ($3.2314). Being this far under every major moving average confirms that the downtrend is strong across short and long-term charts. Indicators tell the same story. An RSI of 29.60 and CCI of –133.6 show SUI in deep oversold territory, while MACD, ADX, Stoch RSI, and the Awesome Oscillator all point to continued bearish momentum with no real signs of a reversal yet.

Short-term prediction models tied to the SUI price trend suggest that SUI has an 80% chance of staying between $1.40 and $1.68 over the next five trading days. The broader forecasts show a sharp potential drop to $0.7698 within a month, followed by a possible rebound toward $3.1344 within three months.

Even with this longer-term upside, analysts warn that none of it matters unless SUI can first recover above $1.68, the key level needed to break the pattern of lower highs. Rising volatility makes the picture even clearer: SUI is opening sessions under pressure, hovering near daily lows, and showing momentum that remains firmly controlled by sellers.

AAVE Price Forecast Improves as Whales Accumulate Millions

While SUI continues to lose ground, the AAVE price forecast is showing a much healthier shift. A major wallet recently bought nearly $3 million worth of AAVE, injecting fresh strength into the market. With AAVE trading near $166 and the $165 support level holding firm, the price is now entering a tight compression zone: the kind that often appears before a larger breakout.

Analysts following the AAVE price forecast point to a developing double-bottom pattern. Trader Don (@DonaldsTrades) notes that if this pattern confirms, AAVE could make a push toward $320 by mid-2026. Liquidity is also tightening near the bottom of the descending wedge, a setup that historically signals an upcoming move to the upside.

Institutional behavior adds even more support. The same wallet that recently accumulated AAVE still holds almost $5.8 million in USDC, giving it room to buy more if conditions stay favorable. Combined with Aave’s growing on-chain credit ecosystem, new regulatory progress in Europe, and DAO discussions about a $50 million buyback, the AAVE price forecast is turning steadily more positive at a time when many altcoins are still struggling.

BlockDAG Strengthens Its Launch Structure With Beat Vesting and New Leadership

BlockDAG’s newest upgrades mark one of the biggest turning points in the project. The rollout of Beat Vesting means every buyer now receives more BDAG for the same price, creating a smarter and more efficient early distribution model. This helps strengthen the launch structure and supports BlockDAG’s long-term goal of targeting a $1B+ market cap once trading begins.

Just as significant is the leadership update. BlockDAG has confirmed that an early Ethereum core founder and a former senior Cardano executive are joining the project next week in real, hands-on leadership roles, not advisory positions. Their backgrounds bring deep engineering experience, strong ecosystem knowledge, and proven operational credibility. This strengthens BlockDAG’s technical direction as it moves beyond presale traction and into full-scale ecosystem development.

With BDAG priced at $0.0078 in Batch 33 and over $437 million raised, participation continues to grow as the project transitions into a more mature, institution-ready phase.

Together, Beat Vesting and the addition of experienced leaders from Ethereum and Cardano form the most impactful structural upgrades BlockDAG has announced to date, reinforcing market confidence as the launch draws closer.

The Bottom Line

The SUI price trend remains firmly bearish, pressured by oversold indicators and ongoing weakness in momentum. In contrast, the AAVE price forecast is turning more hopeful as whale accumulation, tightening price compression, and long-term technical signals begin to line up. These opposite directions highlight how differently assets can behave even within the same market environment.

BlockDAG falls into a separate category altogether, not because of short-term price action, but because of clear structural progress. With BDAG in Batch 33 at $0.0078, Beat Vesting activated, and new leadership from Ethereum and Cardano joining soon, the project is entering its most stable and growth-focused phase yet. As development accelerates and demand continues to build, BlockDAG is increasingly viewed as a strong long-term contender among the next top crypto gainers heading into the upcoming market cycle.

Presale: https://purchase.blockdag.network

Website: https://blockdag.network

Telegram: https://t.me/blockDAGnetworkOfficial

Discord: https://discord.gg/Q7BxghMVyu

BEST & SPY Close In, but Zero Knowledge Proof (ZKP) Auction is Now Live & Buyer Rush For the 200M Daily Pool

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Activity across crypto presales is rising again as Best Wallet enters its final stretch and SpacePay approaches its closing phase. Both have gained steady interest thanks to practical features, community traction, and clear use-case alignment. But even with their momentum, neither project is commanding attention at the level now converging on Zero Knowledge Proof (ZKP).

That shift is happening because ZKP is not waiting for a future launch. The entire ecosystem is now live. The 200M-token daily auction has opened, contributions are flowing in real time, and Proof Pods are being activated in households across multiple regions.

Where other presales are preparing for what comes next, ZKP has moved straight into active operation, creating the fastest early-participation acceleration anywhere in the market right now.

Best Wallet Approaches Its Last Funding Window

Best Wallet has experienced a rapid surge in activity as its presale enters its final window. Investors have focused heavily on its Fireblocks-grade MPC system, built-in trading tools, and the ecosystem benefits tied to the $BEST token.

Alongside its feature set, timing has played a large role in its traction. Market research cited in the presale emphasizes that the global wallet sector is projected to grow past $52B by 2032, placing infrastructure platforms at the center of future adoption.

Best Wallet aims to position itself directly within that trend by delivering a unified interface that blends self-custody, asset discovery, and on chain earning pathways. With only a limited allocation remaining at $0.025995, the closing phase has created a clear sense of urgency among those tracking the final rounds of major crypto presales.

SpacePay Draws Attention With Its Merchant Utility Model

Interest surrounding SpacePay has continued to climb as users evaluate which presale projects have long term utility beyond speculative cycles. SpacePay’s pitch centers on its ability to act as a payment translator for merchants, allowing them to accept digital currencies without replacing or upgrading existing hardware.

This real world framing has helped the project stand out, particularly as adoption conversations re-emerge within the retail sector.

The SPY token reinforces that ecosystem by offering reduced fees, incentives for both buyers and sellers, and access to transaction based rewards. As the presale nears its conclusion, early participants are keeping close watch on SpacePay’s progress, seeing its merchant focused model as a potential bridge between traditional checkout systems and the growing demand for simpler crypto payments.

Zero Knowledge Proof’s Live Daily Auction Becomes the Fastest-Moving Presale Event

Zero Knowledge Proof presale crypto coins auction is now live, and the 200M-token cycles are already filling so quickly that buyers are entering as soon as the window opens to avoid missing the day’s pricing. That early rush sets the entire pace for each 24-hour cycle, because contributions start shaping the price almost immediately, and anyone watching the live feed can see how quickly the curve begins to rise. As the numbers climb, hesitation becomes costly, pushing more participants to enter earlier rather than waiting for a clearer range that may never come.

This dynamic is amplified by the $50K daily cap, which keeps every wallet on equal footing and prevents oversized bids from slowing the demand curve. Instead of a single whale dominating the board, dozens of buyers create a steady, visible build-up throughout the day, and that real-time movement is exactly what fuels the urgency. Watching the cycle fill isn’t passive; it pressures the next buyer into acting before the window locks, and the next price band begins.

That momentum grows even stronger as Proof Pods continue arriving worldwide. New entrants are joining the auction and ordering their $249 devices from the $17M production run, which reinforces the sense that ZKP is not a “wait and see” presale but a system that is already functioning. The instant utility creates a loop: the auction drives hardware demand, the hardware drives network activity, and the network activity sends buyers back into the auction for more allocation.

Behind it all is the completed $100M infrastructure stack that was built before the public even touched the auction. With the ecosystem already operating, each new cycle forms faster than the one before it, and the earliest allocation window is tightening in ways buyers can see happening minute by minute.

Key Takeaways

Best Wallet and SpacePay remain relevant as their presales near completion, but neither matches the pace now building around Zero Knowledge Proof. The live 200M-token auction is shaping price throughout the day, and buyers are entering earlier each cycle because the contribution feed shows exactly how quickly demand is rising.

That real-time movement gains even more force as Proof Pods continue arriving, giving participants immediate utility and reinforcing that ZKP’s ecosystem is already operating while most presales are still gearing up.

As each 24-hour window closes, the next cycle begins forming faster, making the earliest allocation band increasingly limited. Anyone following the live auction can see the momentum tightening, and this is the stage where waiting becomes the costly decision.

Find Out More At:

https://zkp.com/

 

Italy Moves to Sanction Meta Following Antitrust Probe of WhatsApp AI Rules

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Italy’s competition authority has ramped up its investigation into Meta, with potential to slap interim restrictions on the company as concerns grow over whether WhatsApp is being used to choke off rival AI chatbot developers from accessing one of Europe’s most influential messaging platforms.

The escalation comes as regulators across Europe intensify scrutiny of Big Tech’s expansion into generative AI. Messaging apps like WhatsApp — with user bases that dwarf those of any single AI startup — are increasingly becoming the main entry points for next-generation chatbot services. That power has raised alarms among watchdogs who fear incumbents could tilt the playing field long before the market fully forms.

The Italian antitrust regulator said on Wednesday that it has widened its original investigation, opened in July, to cover new terms introduced for WhatsApp’s Business Platform and a fresh set of AI chatbot tools recently added to the app. These tools allow companies to automate responses and manage customer conversations — a highly valuable space for emerging AI players looking to scale.

At the same time, the watchdog launched a separate process to impose possible interim measures. These temporary restrictions could include freezing the new terms, blocking further rollout of Meta AI inside WhatsApp, or limiting how deeply Meta can integrate its assistant while the probe continues.

Meta Pushes Back: “Unfounded Claims”

WhatsApp fired back quickly, dismissing the accusations and insisting it is not shutting competitors out.

“We strongly reject these unfounded claims,” a company spokesperson said. WhatsApp argued that its business API — the interface through which companies build services inside the app — “was never designed to be used for AI chatbots,” saying such use would cause “severe strain” on its systems.

The company is already fighting another dispute with the same regulator, which earlier alleged that Meta inserted its Meta AI assistant into the messaging platform without adequate user consent — a move officials worry could tilt the field against smaller players.

The fresh layer of scrutiny follows Meta’s decision to rewrite the WhatsApp Business Solution terms on October 15. The updated rules prohibit companies whose “main feature” is AI services from using WhatsApp at all, effectively shutting out dedicated chatbot firms. The new terms took immediate effect for new entrants and will extend to existing WhatsApp business users from January 15, 2026.

The Italian authority said the policy shift could severely restrict competition, pointing out that WhatsApp’s user base, more than 37 million people in Italy, gives it extraordinary leverage. Officials fear that once rival chatbots are blocked from the platform, consumers’ reluctance to switch habits could hand Meta an early and decisive lead in the AI assistant space.

WhatsApp disputed that view, insisting that the update “does not affect the tens of thousands of businesses who provide customer support and send relevant updates,” nor does it prevent companies from using “the AI assistant of their choice” to chat with customers.

If Meta is ultimately found to have abused a dominant position under European Union competition law, it could face fines of up to 10% of its global turnover. That puts potential penalties in the tens of billions of dollars.

The probe is expected to run long, with the authority scheduling completion for the end of 2026 — a timeline that reflects the complexity of defining competitive boundaries in a fast-changing AI market.

The episode adds to a growing pattern across Europe, where regulators are testing how existing antitrust tools can be applied to generative AI, particularly when incumbents control the platforms that developers depend on. WhatsApp’s reach and Meta’s ability to alter its terms unilaterally place the company at the center of these early battles.

Italian authorities appear determined to prevent what they see as a pre-emptive gatekeeping move by one of the world’s biggest tech firms. And with the threat of interim sanctions looming, Meta may soon have to defend not just its AI strategy, but the role of WhatsApp as a battleground for the next generation of digital services.