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Foreign Investors Pull Out N420bn from Nigerian Equities in Q1 2025, Despite Record Surge in March Trades

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Foreign investors withdrew N420.37 billion from Nigeria’s equities market in the first quarter of 2025, a steep 251% increase over the N119.81 billion recorded during the same period in 2024, according to new data released by the Nigerian Exchange Group (NGX).

The sharp rise in capital outflows comes amid sweeping macroeconomic reforms by the Trump administration and heightened investor uncertainty, particularly around the Nigeria’s volatile FX market.

The increase in foreign exits, despite an uptick in inflows, underscores the unstable confidence in Nigeria’s long-term economic stability. Although foreign inflows also rose significantly—climbing by 322% from N93.37 billion in Q1 2024 to N393.68 billion in Q1 2025—the quarter ended with a net deficit of N26.69 billion. Total foreign portfolio transactions for the period surged to N814.05 billion, nearly four times the N213.18 billion recorded a year earlier.

Foreign Trades Explode in March, Dominated by Block Transactions

Foreign interest reached an inflection point in March 2025, when trading by foreign investors accounted for 62.74% of the total N1.115 trillion in transactions. This was a dramatic rise from just 8.37% in February and 11.78% in January. The NGX attributes this surge to a spate of block trades—privately negotiated, large-volume transactions commonly executed by foreign institutional players.

According to the NGX’s Domestic and Foreign Portfolio Investment Report for March, both foreign inflows and outflows were almost identical—N349.97 billion and N349.92 billion, respectively—indicating a round-trip of capital rather than sustained investments.

In contrast, February had seen foreign inflows of only N18.05 billion and outflows of N24.60 billion, while January was only slightly higher with N25.66 billion in inflows and N45.85 billion in outflows.

This suggests that many foreign players may have entered the market with short-term positions, perhaps to exploit exchange rate volatility or capitalize on brief windows of naira stability before pulling out again.

March Pushes Total Transactions Above N1 Trillion

March 2025 marked a milestone for Nigeria’s capital markets, recording over N1 trillion in total equity transactions for the first time in the year—driven largely by foreign block trades. The total value of transactions hit N1.115 trillion, more than double February’s N509.47 billion and well ahead of January’s N607.05 billion.

Year-on-year, the figure is up 107.14% from N538.54 billion recorded in March 2024.

At the NAFEM official exchange rate of N1,536.82/$1 in March, the total volume translates to about $725.86 million—an increase from $341.36 million in February.

Domestic Investors Pull Back Amid Foreign Surge

Interestingly, domestic investors retreated in March despite the overall market rally. Total domestic trades declined 10.98% from N466.82 billion in February to N415.62 billion in March. January had seen stronger domestic activity at N535.54 billion.

Retail investors accounted for N197.12 billion in March, down from N214.51 billion in February and N267.35 billion in January. Institutional investors contributed N218.50 billion—also a drop from N252.31 billion in February and N268.19 billion in January.

While domestic investors still made up the majority of total Q1 2025 transactions, N1.41798 trillion or 63.53%, their share is declining. In Q1 2024, domestic trades accounted for a dominant 86.23% of total market activity.

A Shift in Market Dynamics

The data suggests a potential turning point in Nigeria’s capital market, with March 2025 being the first time in over a year that foreign trades surpassed domestic trades in monthly value. This shift aligns with Nigeria’s broader efforts to court international capital, including FX liberalization and interest rate hikes initiated in mid-2023.

Between 2007 and 2024, domestic investors dominated the Nigerian stock market. Domestic transactions grew from N3.556 trillion in 2007 to N4.735 trillion in 2024, while foreign trades increased more modestly from N616 billion to N852 billion. But March’s developments hint at a rebalancing—albeit one that might be temporary.

Despite the government’s push for liberal reforms, investor sentiment remains fragile. Exchange rate volatility continues to pose a risk. The naira depreciated from N1,492.49/$1 in February to N1,536.82/$1 in March, a trend that could discourage sustained foreign interest.

Meanwhile, inflation ticked up in March to 24.23%, reversing a brief slowdown to 23.18% in February following the Consumer Price Index rebasing. The rise was largely due to increases in food and transport prices, driven by higher logistics costs and FX pressures.

The inflation spike compounds the challenge for monetary policy authorities. Although the Central Bank of Nigeria has tightened interest rates to make local assets more attractive, the accompanying cost-of-living crisis and the naira’s instability complicate policy transmission.

Analysts believe the March surge in foreign transactions was driven by speculative capital rather than renewed long-term confidence. The near-equal inflows and outflows underscore a cautious strategy by foreign investors—entering when conditions appear favorable, only to exit quickly when risk levels rise.

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Chowdeck Expands to Ghana, Marking Its First Expansion Outside Nigeria

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Chowdeck, a Nigerian technology company providing a food delivery hub that connects food vendors and consumers, has officially launched operations in Ghana, marking its first expansion outside Nigeria.

This move comes with a suite of initiatives. The company is introducing a customer reward scheme and a comprehensive rider training program to ensure top-tier service delivery.

The training initiative will equip riders with skills in-app navigation, customer service, delivery quality, and professionalism. Riders can also participate in “Rider Games,” earning incentives and bonuses and access to loans up to GHS1,000 based on performance ratings.

“Ghana is the first step in our pan-African growth strategy. This expansion is about building infrastructure for commerce and convenience across the continent,” said Femi Aluko, Chowdeck’s CEO.

The food delivery market in Ghana is experiencing rapid growth, driven by a tech-savvy urban population, increasing smartphone penetration, and a shift toward cashless transactions.

The market is projected to reach $540.1 million by 2029, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16.66% from 2025 to 2029. The broader food eCommerce segment is expected to hit $34.6 million in revenue by 2025, with a 22% growth rate from 2024.

Digital payment transactions in Ghana are forecasted to reach $2.35 billion in 2025, reflecting a strong move toward cashless commerce supporting food delivery platforms.

As part of Chowdeck launch in Ghana, the company will begin operations in key areas in the country’s capital which include Osu, Cantonments, Labone, Airport, Dzorwulu, East Legon, Madina, Adenta, Oyarifa, and Abokobi. This hyperlocal approach focuses on affluent and densely populated urban areas with high demand for food delivery.

Chowdeck’s entry into the West African contry, will see it compete with the likes of major players like Bolt Food, Glovo, Pizarea, and Eziban. While competition is fierce, opportunities abound for platforms that can offer reliable, affordable, and innovative services. 

Chowdeck is the fastest delivery service operating out of Africa today, allowing consumers to buy food and have it delivered to their doorstep in 30 minutes, on average. The startup has built an effective logistics operation that food vendors can leverage to seamlessly deliver meals to customers while also providing consumers with an easy platform to order meals from their favourite restaurants in their city. Since its 2021 launch, Chowdeck has grown to over 1.5 million users and 20,000 riders across 11 Nigerian cities, establishing itself as a leader in Nigeria’s food delivery sector.

Chowdeck’s ability to combine rapid expansion with operational excellence has positioned it as a dominant force in Nigeria’s food delivery sector. In April 2024, the company secured $2.5 million in seed funding to optimize its operations and support expansion into more cities across the country. The new funding enabled Chowdeck to double down on its market leadership in the cities where it operates. In October 2024, the company surpassed N30 billion in total deliveries for 2024, highlighting its growing influence in Nigeria’s food service industry.

CEO Femi Aluko had earlier hinted at Chowdeck’s pan-African ambitions, stating in an interview that the company’s vision is to become the dominant “super app” for ordering anything, anywhere in Africa.

Looking ahead

Chowdeck’s Ghana operation is a bold step toward becoming a pan-African leader in food delivery. By leveraging rewards, rider training, and local expertise, the company aims to capture a share of Ghana’s $540.1 million market while navigating fierce competition and operational challenges.

This launch not only tests Chowdeck’s scalability but also underscores its commitment to reshaping African commerce through technology-driven convenience.

A Look Into Grayscale’s Bitcoin Covered Call ETF (BTCC) and Grayscale Bitcoin Premium Income ETF (BPI)

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Grayscale has launched two income-focused Bitcoin ETFs: the Grayscale Bitcoin Covered Call ETF (BTCC) and the Grayscale Bitcoin Premium Income ETF (BPI). These ETFs aim to generate monthly income by leveraging Bitcoin’s volatility through options strategies, such as writing covered calls, while also offering potential capital appreciation. They target investors seeking passive income from Bitcoin’s price movements without direct cryptocurrency ownership.

Additionally, Grayscale introduced the Grayscale Dynamic Income Fund (GDIF), an actively managed fund focused on staking rewards from proof-of-stake digital assets like SOL, DOT, and OSMO, though it’s aimed at high-net-worth individuals. The launch of Grayscale’s Bitcoin Covered Call ETF (BTCC) and Bitcoin Premium Income ETF (BPI) carries significant implications for investors, the cryptocurrency market, and the broader financial landscape.

These ETFs, designed to generate monthly income through options strategies like covered call writing while offering exposure to Bitcoin’s price movements, introduce a novel way to engage with cryptocurrency without direct ownership. These ETFs allow traditional investors, including those unfamiliar with or hesitant about direct cryptocurrency ownership, to gain exposure to Bitcoin’s price movements through a regulated, familiar investment vehicle traded on conventional exchanges.

By using options strategies, the ETFs generate income, potentially making Bitcoin-related investments more appealing to income-focused investors, such as retirees or conservative portfolios. Increased accessibility could drive demand for Bitcoin-linked products, indirectly supporting Bitcoin’s price by boosting institutional and retail participation. This aligns with growing institutional interest in crypto, as noted in sources highlighting the ETFs’ role in tapping Bitcoin’s volatility for income.

The BTCC and BPI ETFs leverage Bitcoin’s high volatility to generate income via covered call writing, where premiums are collected from selling call options. This strategy offers monthly payouts, appealing to investors seeking passive income while maintaining some upside potential in Bitcoin’s price. While income is a draw, covered call strategies limit upside potential if Bitcoin’s price surges significantly, as sold calls may cap gains. Additionally, Bitcoin’s volatility introduces risks of capital loss, especially in bearish markets, which may not be fully offset by option premiums.

Grayscale’s ETFs further blur the line between traditional finance and cryptocurrency, building on the success of spot Bitcoin ETFs like the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC). By offering income-focused strategies, these ETFs cater to a broader range of investment objectives, potentially accelerating the integration of crypto into mainstream portfolios. The launch under SEC oversight signals growing regulatory acceptance of crypto-linked products, which could pave the way for more innovative crypto ETFs, such as those tied to other digital assets or strategies.

The ETFs provide a tool for diversification, complementing existing Bitcoin exposure (e.g., through GBTC or direct holdings) by adding an income component. This could attract investors who view Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation or fiat currency devaluation but want cash flow. For advisors and institutions, these ETFs offer a way to allocate to crypto with a risk-managed approach, potentially increasing adoption in balanced portfolios.

The Divide Created or Exacerbated by These ETFs

The ETFs are accessible through traditional brokerage accounts, but their appeal is primarily to investors with sufficient capital to allocate to alternative assets like Bitcoin. High-net-worth individuals and institutional investors are better positioned to incorporate these ETFs into diversified portfolios, while retail investors with limited capital may find the fees (not specified in sources but typically higher for specialized ETFs) or minimum investment thresholds prohibitive.

Wealthier investors can capitalize on Bitcoin’s volatility for income and potential capital appreciation, while less affluent investors may be excluded or limited to riskier direct crypto investments on unregulated platforms. This mirrors broader trends where institutional products widen the gap between sophisticated and retail investors. Understanding covered call strategies and their interplay with Bitcoin’s volatility requires financial literacy that many retail investors lack. The complexity of options-based ETFs may deter less experienced investors, who might not grasp the trade-offs (e.g., capped upside versus income) or risks (e.g., volatility-driven losses).

Sophisticated investors or those with access to financial advisors are better equipped to evaluate and utilize these ETFs, potentially deepening the divide between those who can navigate complex financial products and those who cannot. Misunderstanding the ETFs’ mechanics could lead to misaligned expectations, such as anticipating high income without recognizing downside risks.

These ETFs are listed on U.S. exchanges and subject to SEC regulations, making them primarily available to U.S. investors or those with access to U.S. markets. Investors in jurisdictions with restrictive crypto regulations (e.g., China or India) may be unable to participate, even if they have the means or knowledge. The ETFs reinforce a divide between investors in crypto-friendly regulatory environments and those in restrictive ones, potentially concentrating crypto-linked wealth creation in certain regions. This could exacerbate global inequalities in access to emerging asset classes.

The ETFs appeal to investors with moderate risk tolerance who seek income and some Bitcoin exposure but are wary of direct crypto ownership. However, risk-averse investors may still find the underlying volatility of Bitcoin too daunting, while risk-tolerant crypto enthusiasts might prefer direct Bitcoin holdings or leveraged products for higher upside. RThe ETFs create a niche for a specific investor profile, potentially leaving conservative investors on one side (avoiding crypto entirely) and aggressive investors on the other (favoring direct or high-risk crypto strategies). This divide could limit broad adoption among certain demographics, such as older investors or those prioritizing capital preservation.

The income generated by these ETFs depends on Bitcoin’s volatility and options premiums, which are not guaranteed and vary with market conditions. Wealthier or institutional investors with larger allocations can absorb potential losses and benefit from consistent income over time, while smaller retail investors may face disproportionate impacts from market downturns.

The ETFs could widen the wealth gap by providing steadier income to those with larger, diversified portfolios, while retail investors with concentrated positions face higher relative risks. This aligns with critiques of financial innovation often benefiting the already affluent. While Grayscale’s ETFs are marketed as innovative tools for income and diversification, they also reflect a broader trend of financializing cryptocurrencies to serve institutional and high-net-worth investors.

The options-based strategies, while sophisticated, may obscure risks for less-informed investors, and the reliance on Bitcoin’s volatility assumes sustained market interest, which is not guaranteed. Moreover, the “divide” highlights a tension in crypto’s evolution: products like these ETFs aim to democratize access to digital assets, yet their structure and complexity may inadvertently favor those already advantaged in the financial system.

From a contrarian view, the ETFs could be seen as a cautious step by Grayscale to capture market share in a maturing crypto ETF space, rather than a transformative leap. Competitors like Roundhill’s YBTC ETF, which offers weekly income, suggest a crowded field where differentiation is key. If Bitcoin’s volatility decreases or regulatory scrutiny intensifies, the income potential and appeal of these ETFs could wane, impacting their long-term viability.

Grayscale’s BTCC and BPI ETFs offer a compelling blend of income generation and Bitcoin exposure, potentially mainstreaming crypto in traditional finance and attracting new investor segments. However, they also deepen divides in wealth, knowledge, access, risk tolerance, and economic outcomes. Wealthier, sophisticated investors in crypto-friendly regions are best positioned to benefit, while retail investors, those in restrictive jurisdictions, or those lacking financial literacy may be sidelined.

Galaxy Digital Class A Common Stock Set Launch on Nasdaq

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NASDAQ

Galaxy Digital Inc.’s Class A common stock is scheduled to begin trading on the Nasdaq Global Select Market under the ticker symbol GLXY on May 16, 2025, pending final approval from Nasdaq and the completion of the company’s reorganization. This follows shareholder approval on May 9, 2025, and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) approval for Galaxy Digital to redomicile in the U.S.

Existing BRPHF shares, currently trading over-the-counter, will be converted into GLXY shares on Nasdaq under the same CUSIP (36317J209). The listing of Galaxy Digital Inc.’s Class A shares on Nasdaq under the ticker GLXY has several implications for the company, its investors, and the broader market.

Listing on Nasdaq, a major U.S. exchange, enhances Galaxy Digital’s visibility among institutional and retail investors compared to its prior over-the-counter (OTC) trading under BRPHF. This could attract a broader investor base, potentially increasing liquidity and trading volume.

The move aligns Galaxy Digital with other high-profile financial and crypto firms, reinforcing its position as a leading digital asset and blockchain-focused financial services company. A Nasdaq listing may make it easier for Galaxy Digital to raise capital through equity offerings or other financial instruments, as the exchange provides a more robust platform for such activities.

Institutional investors, who often prefer exchange-listed securities, may be more inclined to invest, potentially strengthening the company’s balance sheet. The transition to Nasdaq, coupled with the company’s redomiciliation to the U.S., subjects Galaxy Digital to stricter U.S. regulatory oversight (e.g., SEC rules). This could enhance investor confidence in the company’s governance but may also increase compliance costs.

The approval by the SEC and Nasdaq signals a level of regulatory acceptance for crypto-focused firms, potentially paving the way for other digital asset companies to pursue similar listings. The shift from OTC to Nasdaq could lead to a revaluation of Galaxy Digital’s shares, as exchange listings often reduce the liquidity discount associated with OTC markets. However, short-term volatility may occur as the market adjusts to the new trading environment.

The conversion of BRPHF shares to GLXY shares under the same CUSIP ensures continuity for existing shareholders, minimizing disruption. The listing strengthens Galaxy Digital’s competitive position in the rapidly evolving digital asset industry, especially as institutional adoption of cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology grows. It may also signal confidence in the long-term viability of the crypto sector, despite regulatory uncertainties and market volatility.

The Nasdaq listing may widen the gap between retail and institutional investors. Institutional investors, with greater resources and access to sophisticated trading strategies, are likely to benefit more from increased liquidity and potential price appreciation. Retail investors, particularly those less familiar with crypto markets, may face challenges navigating volatility or understanding the company’s complex business model (spanning trading, asset management, and blockchain investments).

Retail investors may need to rely on educational resources or financial advisors to make informed decisions, while institutions could dominate trading activity, influencing price movements. Galaxy Digital’s move to a traditional exchange like Nasdaq highlights the ongoing tension between the decentralized ethos of cryptocurrencies and the centralized, regulated world of traditional finance. While the listing bridges these worlds, it may alienate crypto purists who view integration with traditional markets as a compromise.

The listing could accelerate the mainstreaming of digital assets, but it may also spark debates within the crypto community about the industry’s direction. For Galaxy Digital, this positions it as a hybrid player, potentially appealing to both crypto enthusiasts and traditional investors. By redomiciling to the U.S. and listing on Nasdaq, Galaxy Digital may prioritize U.S. investors and regulatory frameworks over its international shareholder base or markets like Canada, where it was previously based. This could create a perception of unequal focus or access for non-U.S. investors.

Non-U.S. shareholders may face logistical challenges (e.g., differences in trading platforms or tax implications), though the global reach of Nasdaq mitigates this to some extent. The move also reflects the U.S.’s growing dominance in crypto regulation and market infrastructure. Galaxy Digital’s ability to secure a Nasdaq listing underscores the divide between well-capitalized, established crypto firms and smaller startups or projects that lack the resources or regulatory approval to achieve similar milestones.

This could consolidate market power among larger players like Galaxy Digital, Coinbase, or others with public listings, potentially stifling innovation from smaller firms. However, it may also set a precedent, encouraging other crypto companies to pursue exchange listings. Galaxy Digital’s Nasdaq listing under GLXY is a significant step toward mainstream adoption of digital asset firms, offering enhanced visibility, liquidity, and capital access.

However, it also highlights divides between retail and institutional investors, crypto and traditional finance, U.S. and global markets, and industry leaders versus smaller players. These divides present both opportunities and challenges: while the listing may democratize access to Galaxy Digital’s shares, it could also exacerbate inequalities in market influence and regulatory access.