Editor’s Note: Air Peace has disputed this increase.

Last week, Air Peace announced a decision to implement a 100 percent increase in airfare across all local routes, once again highlighting the far-reaching consequences of Nigeria’s current economic trajectory – buoyed by President Bola Tinubu’s economic reforms.

In an email sent to customers, Air Peace confirmed that the cost of air travel on all domestic routes will double.

“Please be informed that effective 1st November 2024, Air Peace would be adding a 100% increase to their fares across all local routes,” the airline stated, advising customers to contact their consultants for further assistance.

This means that domestic flights will become significantly more expensive, with the cost of a one-way ticket from Lagos to Abuja expected to rise from N143,000 to N286,000.

The dramatic increase in ticket prices underlines the broader impact of Tinubu’s reform agenda on nearly every sector of the economy. Since taking office, the president has pursued a series of aggressive economic policies aimed at stabilizing the nation’s finances, including the removal of fuel subsidies and the floating of the foreign exchange market to eliminate the disparity in official and black-market exchange rates.

While these measures were designed to improve Nigeria’s fiscal position and attract foreign investment, their implementation has resulted in sharp cost increases across essential goods and services, with the aviation sector among the hardest hit.

However, the impact of President Tinubu’s reforms extends well beyond the aviation sector. The removal of fuel subsidies, intended to free up government funds for infrastructure and social programs, has also resulted in an unprecedented rise in petrol prices, now exceeding N1,000 per liter.

The ripple effect has been felt across various sectors, as businesses struggle to absorb the additional costs of transportation and energy. For Nigerians, this has translated into higher prices for goods and services, making life more expensive overall.

The aviation industry has been particularly vulnerable to these reforms due to its reliance on imported aviation fuel, maintenance parts, and equipment, which are all affected by the soaring exchange rates. Jet fuel, which is purchased in U.S. dollars, now costs significantly more due to the weakened naira. This situation has left airlines with no choice but to pass the increased costs onto passengers, resulting in multiple rounds of fare hikes in recent months.

Air Peace’s latest announcement, however, represents the most substantial increase to date and signals the deepening crisis within the sector.

Flying Becomes a Luxury Few Can Afford

As airfares double, air travel is quickly becoming a luxury that many Nigerians can no longer afford. With the cost of living already at an all-time high, families are finding it increasingly difficult to allocate funds for domestic flights, especially as the festive season approaches. The significant jump in ticket prices is expected to reduce demand for air travel, as more Nigerians opt for cheaper—albeit riskier—road transportation.

For many travelers, the cost of a round trip between major cities such as Lagos, Abuja, and Port Harcourt is now equivalent to several months’ worth of wages. One of the stark realities is that a large portion of the population, particularly those in middle- and lower-income brackets, may be priced out of the air travel market altogether.

The situation has raised concerns that only a select few Nigerians will have the privilege of flying, while the rest are left to navigate Nigeria’s deteriorating road network amidst growing security concerns.

Aviation Sector on the Brink

The challenges facing Nigeria’s aviation sector are multifaceted. However, at the core of the problem is the high cost of aviation fuel, which constitutes approximately 40 percent of an airline’s operating expenses. With the naira’s sharp devaluation following the central bank’s unification of exchange rates, the price of jet fuel has surged above N1,000 per liter, squeezing profit margins for airlines.

The result has been not only increased airfares but also a scaling back of services, as some airlines have had to reduce the frequency of flights or cut certain routes entirely to manage costs.

Furthermore, the sector is struggling to cope with the high cost of importing spare parts and other maintenance materials, which are also paid for in foreign currency. This has led to a rise in operational costs and maintenance backlogs, further complicating the ability of airlines to maintain a regular flight schedule. Air Peace, which is Nigeria’s largest carrier, has been vocal about these issues, frequently citing the economic environment as a key factor behind its pricing decisions.

The ongoing crisis in Nigeria’s aviation sector has spurred calls for the Tinubu administration to reconsider its policies and introduce measures that could alleviate the financial strain on airlines and consumers alike. Stakeholders have suggested a range of options, including providing subsidies for aviation fuel, offering tax relief to airlines, or creating special financial support packages to help the sector weather the storm.

As Nigeria heads into the holiday season, the outlook for the aviation sector remains uncertain. The significant decline in passenger traffic, resulting from the increased cost of flying, is expected to affect not only the revenues of airlines but also the broader economy. In addition to potential job losses in the sector, the tourism industry, which relies heavily on air transport, could also suffer setbacks as higher travel costs deter both domestic and international tourists.

Economists have warned that the aviation sector’s struggles are a microcosm of the larger economic difficulties, and without timely intervention, the ripple effects could further strain an already fragile economy.