DD
MM
YYYY

PAGES

DD
MM
YYYY

spot_img

PAGES

Home Blog Page 29

Siemens CEO Roland Busch Warns Iran War Is Throttling Industrial Investment as Raw Material and Energy Costs Surge

0

Siemens AG’s CEO Roland Busch said Monday that the ongoing U.S.-Israeli war with Iran is causing customers to delay or cancel new industrial projects as prices for raw materials and energy climb sharply.

The conflict, now in its fourth week, has severely restricted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, the critical chokepoint handling roughly 20% of global seaborne oil and a similar share of liquefied natural gas, and damaged major energy facilities across the Gulf.

“Growth is throttled because of price increases,” Busch told reporters on the sidelines of Siemens’ annual Tech Summit in Beijing. “You see customers holding back their investments. For example, oil and gas customers or petroleum customers who were planning maybe a new plant… so it means investments are slowing down.”

Brent crude futures have risen 56% since the conflict began, pushing energy and feedstock costs higher across manufacturing sectors. Busch’s comments reflect a broader concern among industrial companies that prolonged supply disruptions and elevated prices could dampen capital spending well into 2026 and beyond.

The remarks came during an event where Siemens announced an expansion of its industrial AI partnership with Alibaba Cloud. The two companies will roll out 26 new services covering industrial infrastructure, automation, and AI-powered applications for Alibaba’s cloud customers.

Despite the deepening collaboration, Busch acknowledged persistent challenges in obtaining real-world factory data from Chinese partners due to intellectual property concerns.

“Most of our foundational models, they are so far trained on publicly available data, they haven’t seen industrial data yet,” he said. “This is a big step up to tune models.”

He added that Chinese regulations now permit industrial and machine data to cross borders under certain conditions, creating a pathway for more effective model training.

Busch also revealed that Siemens developers increasingly prefer Chinese open-source large language models, particularly those from Alibaba’s Qwen family and DeepSeek, over closed-source U.S. rivals for certain industrial AI tasks. The primary reasons are lower token costs and greater flexibility in customizing parameters.

OpenRouter’s public token-usage leaderboard shows that six of the top ten most widely used large language models worldwide are now Chinese. Industry estimates suggest around 80% of U.S. AI startups currently rely on Chinese open-source models for development work. Some Western think tanks have raised concerns about security risks and potential political bias embedded in these models, given their training data and origins.

The Siemens-Alibaba announcement underlines Europe’s deepening reliance on Chinese AI infrastructure as U.S. export controls limit access to advanced semiconductors and high-end compute. At the same time, Busch’s caution about investment slowdowns highlights how the Middle East conflict is rippling through global supply chains, raising input costs and clouding the outlook for industrial spending in 2026.

Siemens, like many European manufacturers, has been navigating higher energy prices and supply-chain disruptions since the Russia-Ukraine war began in 2022. The Iran conflict adds a fresh challenge, particularly for energy-intensive sectors such as chemicals, metals, and heavy machinery — all core to Siemens’ industrial automation and digitalization business.

The company’s assertion implies that while partnerships with Chinese tech giants offer access to low-cost AI tools and massive market potential, geopolitical risks and data-sharing restrictions continue to complicate the picture.

This means the path forward for Siemens involves balancing these relationships with efforts to secure reliable energy supplies and protect intellectual property in an increasingly fragmented global technology industry.

Like several other business leaders, Busch is warning that the conflict in the Middle East is no longer a distant headline: it is actively reshaping investment decisions across industrial Europe.

Helion In Discussions To Supply Electricity To Openai, Highlighting AI’s Growing Energy Problem

0

The race to dominate artificial intelligence is beginning to collide with a more fundamental constraint: power. As data centers expand and computing loads surge, the question is shifting from how fast AI can scale to whether the energy system can keep up.

That tension is now drawing some of the industry’s most ambitious bets into view.

At the center is Helion, which is in early discussions to supply electricity to OpenAI in what could become one of the most consequential energy deals tied to the AI boom. The outline, reported by Axios, suggests OpenAI could secure 12.5% of Helion’s future output—about 5 gigawatts by 2030 and 50 gigawatts by 2035.

Those figures are striking not just for their size, but for what they imply. Helion has said each of its reactors would generate roughly 50 megawatts. Meeting the proposed demand would require the company to build about 800 reactors within five years and more than 7,000 additional units over the following half decade. For an industry that has yet to deliver a single commercial fusion plant, the scale borders on an industrial moonshot.

This implies that AI companies are no longer content to rely on utilities and existing grids. They are moving to secure dedicated power sources, often years in advance, and increasingly from unconventional suppliers. Microsoft, OpenAI’s key partner, signed a separate agreement with Helion in 2023 for electricity deliveries beginning in 2028, effectively underwriting the company’s first commercial ambitions.

The common thread in these moves is urgency. Training large AI models and running inference at scale require vast amounts of electricity, and that demand is rising faster than grid expansion in many regions. Securing power is becoming a strategic priority, on par with access to chips and data.

Helion’s approach sets it apart from much of the fusion field. Most developers are pursuing designs that convert fusion-generated heat into steam to drive turbines. Helion is attempting direct conversion, using magnetic fields to compress plasma until fusion occurs, with the resulting energy fed back into the system to generate electricity. The design promises higher efficiency and fewer moving parts, but it also carries unproven engineering risks.

Progress has been incremental. The company’s Polaris prototype has reached plasma temperatures of 150 million degrees Celsius, nearing the 200 million threshold it believes is necessary for sustained fusion reactions. That remains a technical milestone rather than a commercial one. Bridging the gap between experimental conditions and reliable, grid-scale output has eluded the industry for decades.

Even if the physics holds, the manufacturing challenge looms just as large. Producing thousands of reactors would require a supply chain that does not yet exist, along with regulatory approvals and capital commitments on a scale rarely seen outside conventional energy megaprojects. Helion raised $425 million last year from investors including Sam Altman, Mithril, Lightspeed, and SoftBank, but that sum would cover only a fraction of the cost implied by mass deployment.

Altman’s role ties the narrative together because he has backed Helion while leading OpenAI’s expansion, and though he has stepped away from formal decision-making in the discussions, the overlap highlights how closely the future of AI is becoming linked to the future of energy. His earlier move to step down as chair of Oklo, another advanced energy company exploring partnerships with AI firms, points in the same direction.

There is also a competitive dimension. If Helion succeeds, it could leapfrog other fusion developers targeting the early 2030s for commercial deployment. Securing anchor customers such as OpenAI and Microsoft would give it both financial backing and a guaranteed market—two factors that have historically been missing in fusion’s long development cycle.

However, the timelines assume rapid technical validation, regulatory clearance, and industrial scaling, all within a decade. Any delay in one area could cascade across the entire plan. For OpenAI, the arrangement would secure long-term energy supply, but it would also tie part of its infrastructure to a technology that has yet to prove itself outside the lab.

What is clear so far is that the relationship between computing and energy is tightening. The expansion of AI is beginning to reshape power markets, drawing capital toward new generation technologies and accelerating timelines that once seemed distant.

Fusion, long treated as a distant prospect, is being pulled forward by that demand.

Anthropic’s Clash With Pentagon Draws Political Fire, Raises Stakes in AI–Military Boundaries

0

A widening dispute between Anthropic and the U.S. Department of Defense is fast becoming a defining test of how far Washington can push private technology firms to align with military objectives.

The confrontation began after the Pentagon designated Anthropic a “supply-chain risk,” a classification typically reserved for foreign adversaries. The move effectively bars the company from participating in any ecosystem tied to U.S. government contracts, sharply curtailing its commercial reach in a sector where federal spending is a major driver.

Anthropic made its position clear during negotiations. The company said it would not allow its AI systems to be used for mass surveillance of Americans and argued the technology is not mature enough for lethal decision-making without human oversight. The Pentagon rejected those constraints, maintaining that a private firm cannot dictate how the military deploys tools it acquires.

That standoff, buoyed by concerns over surveillance, autonomous weapons, and corporate autonomy, has now drawn in lawmakers, industry players, and civil liberties groups.

In a letter to Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, Democrat Senator Elizabeth Warren framed the Pentagon’s action as punitive.

“I am particularly concerned that the DoD is trying to strong-arm American companies into providing the Department with the tools to spy on American citizens and deploy fully autonomous weapons without adequate safeguards,” she wrote, adding that the designation “appears to be retaliation.”

Her intervention comes amid a broader concern bordering on the regulatory framework and the unease in Washington about how AI is being integrated into national security strategy. While the Defense Department has accelerated efforts to incorporate artificial intelligence into surveillance, intelligence, and battlefield systems, the legal and ethical frameworks governing those uses remain unsettled.

The Pentagon, for its part, has taken a narrower view. Officials argue that Anthropic’s refusal to support all lawful military applications amounts to a commercial decision, not protected speech, and that the designation reflects a national security assessment rather than an attempt to punish dissent.

Anthropic is challenging that position in court, alleging that the government is infringing on its First Amendment rights and penalizing the company for its stance on how AI should be deployed. A federal judge, Rita Lin, is expected to decide whether to grant a preliminary injunction that would temporarily block the designation while the case proceeds.

The outcome is expected to shape how future cases would be handled, carrying implications well beyond Anthropic.

Several major technology firms, including OpenAI, Google, and Microsoft, along with employee groups and legal organizations, have filed briefs backing Anthropic. Their argument is not only about one firm’s treatment, but about precedent. If the government can sideline a domestic company over policy disagreements, it could reshape how the private sector engages with defense work.

At the same time, the case exposes a growing divide within the AI industry itself. Some firms are moving closer to government partnerships, viewing defense contracts as a stable and lucrative market, particularly as the cost of developing advanced AI systems continues to rise. Others are attempting to draw clearer ethical boundaries, especially around surveillance and autonomous weapons, even at the risk of losing access to public-sector business.

For instance, OpenAI stepped in to secure the defense contract following Anthropic’s fallout with the Pentagon. CEO Sam Altman has been asked by Senator Warren to provide details of his company’s agreement with the Pentagon, highlighting how closely such partnerships are now being scrutinized.

Behind the legal arguments lies a more fundamental question about control. Artificial intelligence is increasingly seen as strategic infrastructure, comparable to energy or telecommunications. Governments want reliable access and flexibility in how these systems are used. Companies, meanwhile, are grappling with the reputational, ethical and legal risks of deploying powerful technologies in sensitive domains.

Anthropic’s refusal to accommodate certain uses underpins a view that the technology’s capabilities and risks are not yet fully understood. But its critics within the government argue that such caution cannot override national security requirements.

However, experts believe that the dispute stems from a lack of a regulatory framework for AI. The U.S. is yet struggling to develop a policy framework that will address issues such as this, leaving much of the decision-making to agencies and contractors.

The responsibility to fill the vacuum appears now to lie with the judiciary. The court’s decision will do more than resolve a dispute between one company and one agency. It will help define whether technology firms can set enforceable limits on how their products are used by the state.

Goldman Lifts Oil Forecast to $85 Per Barrel as Iran War Threatens Global Supply

0

Goldman Sachs has lifted its oil price outlook for 2026, warning that mounting geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz are pushing crude markets into a more fragile and risk-sensitive phase, with the potential for sharp price spikes if supply disruptions persist.

In a note issued late Sunday, the bank raised its forecast for Brent crude to an average of $85 per barrel in 2026, up from $77, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is now seen averaging $79, compared with an earlier $72 estimate. The revisions reflect what Goldman described as “extended disruptions” to crude flows through one of the world’s most critical passage chokepoints, alongside a resurgence in precautionary stockpiling by governments.

At the center of the bank’s outlook is the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow passage that carries roughly a fifth of global oil consumption. Sustained constraint there has historically translated into immediate price volatility, but Goldman’s latest assessment suggests the market is beginning to price in not just disruption, but duration.

“The price when uncertainty peaks may be $135/bbl if the market required a risk premium to generate precautionary demand destruction offsetting supply destruction over six months,” the bank said, outlining a severe but plausible scenario involving “10 weeks of very low flows” and around 2 million barrels per day of persistent production losses.

That framing points to a market dynamic where prices are no longer reacting solely to actual supply losses, but to the anticipation of scarcity. Traders, in effect, are being forced to price in insurance against a worst-case outcome, driving what Goldman calls a “risk premium” into futures contracts.

In the near term, the bank expects Brent to average $110 per barrel through March and April, significantly higher than its previous $98 projection, as uncertainty over the scale and duration of disruptions intensifies. The adjustment reflects a market that is tightening faster than previously expected, with inventories offering a limited buffer against shocks.

Goldman outlined two primary upside risks. The first involves a prolonged disruption through Hormuz that could push Brent beyond its 2008 record highs, a level reached during a very different market structure but one similarly defined by supply anxiety. The second centers on sustained production losses in the Middle East of around 2 million barrels per day, a scenario that would materially tighten global balances and test the responsiveness of alternative suppliers.

Yet the bank’s outlook is not unidirectional. It cautioned that any de-escalation in U.S. military activity in the region could quickly unwind the risk premium currently embedded in prices. A sudden easing of tensions would likely trigger a rapid recalibration in futures markets, exposing how much of the current pricing is driven by geopolitical fear rather than physical shortages.

Another variable lies in Washington’s potential policy response. Goldman noted that any move by the United States to restrict oil exports, a step occasionally floated in times of domestic price pressure, could widen the spread between Brent and WTI. Such a divergence would mark the segmentation of global and domestic markets, with international benchmarks reacting more acutely to supply risks.

Beyond the immediate turbulence, Goldman’s medium-term view is more measured. The bank expects Brent and WTI to settle at around $80 and $75 per barrel, respectively, through 2027, as higher prices incentivize additional supply while simultaneously tempering demand growth. In this balancing act, the rebuilding of strategic petroleum reserves, drawn down in recent years, emerges as a countervailing force, tightening markets even as production responds.

“The easing effect from the price response of supply and demand roughly offsets the tightening effect from countries rebuilding their strategic oil reserves,” the bank said.

Market pricing on Sunday pointed to a degree of caution rather than panic. Brent crude futures edged down 8 cents to $112.11 per barrel, while WTI slipped 6 cents to $98.17, suggesting that traders are still weighing the probability of worst-case scenarios against the possibility of diplomatic containment.

That balance may prove increasingly difficult to maintain. Geopolitical rhetoric has continued to escalate, with Iran warning it could target the energy and water infrastructure of Gulf neighbors if the United States proceeds with threats to strike its electricity grid. The statement followed remarks by U.S. President Donald Trump, indicating potential action within a 48-hour window, raising the risk of a direct confrontation that could spill into energy markets.

For oil-importing economies, including many in Africa, the implications are serious. Higher crude prices feed directly into fuel costs, transportation, and inflation, compounding existing economic pressures. The upside is tempered by uncertainty for oil producers: elevated prices may boost revenues, but volatility complicates planning and investment.

Grab Acquires Foodpanda’s Taiwan Operations for $600m in Cash, Marking First Expansion Outside Southeast Asia

0

Grab Holdings Limited announced Monday that it has agreed to purchase Delivery Hero’s Foodpanda business in Taiwan for $600 million in cash, subject to regulatory approval.

The transaction is Grab’s first major step beyond its traditional Southeast Asian footprint and positions the Singapore-based ride-hailing and delivery platform as a dominant player in one of Asia’s most mature food-delivery markets.

The deal is expected to close in the second half of 2026. Grab aims to complete the full migration of users, merchants, and driver-partners to its platform by early 2027. Once integrated, Grab will operate in 21 cities across Taiwan, combining its AI-powered logistics and operational expertise with Foodpanda’s established local network.

Anthony Tan, Grab’s Group CEO and co-founder, emphasized the strategic fit, saying: “This is a natural next step for Grab, as our experience in Southeast Asia is a direct fit for this market. Our longstanding expertise in managing complex delivery logistics for dense and high-traffic cities is well-suited for Taiwan’s bustling cities. Taiwan’s population of approximately 23 million also has a high demand for mobile-first services, similar to the Southeast Asian consumers who Grab serves every day. We see a significant opportunity to grow the food and groceries delivery scene here.”

Foodpanda’s Taiwan operations generated approximately $1.8 billion in gross merchandise value (GMV) in recent periods, according to Delivery Hero disclosures. The business has maintained a leading position in the market, with reports from 2022–2023 showing Foodpanda holding roughly 52% share and Uber Eats controlling 48%.

The acquisition follows Uber’s failed attempt to buy Foodpanda’s Taiwan business in March 2025. Taiwan’s Fair Trade Commission blocked that deal, citing competition concerns. A combined Uber Eats–Foodpanda entity would have controlled nearly 90% of the market, raising risks of reduced competition and higher prices for consumers.

Grab’s entry presents a different competitive picture. The company would inherit Foodpanda’s roughly 52% market share, giving it a strong but not monopolistic position against Uber Eats. Analysts view the structure as more likely to pass antitrust review, as it would preserve a two-player market rather than consolidate it under one operator.

The deal arrives at a pivotal moment for Grab, which has been expanding its delivery and financial services businesses across Southeast Asia while navigating rising competition from regional players and global giants entering the market. Taiwan offers a high-density, tech-savvy consumer base with strong demand for on-demand services — characteristics that closely match Grab’s core markets in Indonesia, Vietnam, Thailand, and the Philippines.

Taiwan’s food-delivery sector has matured rapidly since the pandemic, with high smartphone penetration, dense urban populations, and widespread use of mobile payments. The market has also shown resilience despite economic headwinds, making it an attractive entry point for Grab as it seeks to diversify revenue beyond Southeast Asia.

The transaction also underscores the shifting dynamics of the global food-delivery industry. Delivery Hero, which has been under pressure to reduce debt and refocus on core markets, has been shedding non-strategic assets. Selling its Taiwan business allows the Berlin-based company to streamline operations while providing Grab with a ready-made platform to establish a foothold in East Asia.

But regulatory approval will be the key hurdle. Taiwan’s Fair Trade Commission will scrutinize the deal for potential impacts on competition, pricing, and consumer choice. Grab’s position as a new entrant rather than an incumbent consolidator could improve its chances of clearance compared with Uber’s blocked bid.

For consumers and merchants in Taiwan, the transition could bring more robust platform features, including Grab’s AI-driven route optimization, dynamic pricing, and integrated financial services. The shift to Grab’s ecosystem is also expected to offer driver-partners access to a broader range of earning opportunities across ride-hailing and delivery.

If the deal closes on schedule and integration proceeds smoothly, Taiwan could become a proving ground for Grab’s ability to scale outside its home markets.