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Treasury Yields Sink as Iran Peace Hopes Trigger Oil Selloff and Revive Fed Rate-Cut Expectations

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U.S. Treasury yields fell sharply on Wednesday as mounting expectations of a potential end to the Middle East war sparked a steep decline in oil prices, easing fears of a prolonged global inflation shock and reviving investor optimism around possible Federal Reserve rate cuts later this year.

The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield dropped about 7 basis points to 4.348%, while the policy-sensitive 2-year yield fell more than 6 basis points to 3.863%. The 30-year Treasury yield also declined, slipping roughly 5 basis points to 4.93%.

The broad move lower in yields reflected a major shift in market sentiment after weeks of extreme volatility tied to the Iran conflict, which had driven energy prices sharply higher and rattled global bond markets. Investors moved back into government debt after signs emerged that Washington and Tehran may be nearing a framework agreement aimed at ending the two-month-long war that disrupted oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most critical energy chokepoints.

President Donald Trump said “Great Progress” had been made toward a “Complete and Final Agreement” with Iran, while Axios reported that negotiators were close to finalizing a one-page peace framework.

A spokesperson for Iran’s foreign ministry separately confirmed Tehran was reviewing a 14-point proposal from the United States, fueling hopes that diplomatic negotiations may finally be gaining traction after weeks of military escalation, naval disruptions, and fears of broader regional conflict.

Markets were also encouraged after Trump said “Project Freedom,” the U.S. military operation designed to escort and protect commercial vessels moving through the Strait of Hormuz, had been paused. The developments triggered a sharp reversal in energy markets. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures plunged roughly 10% to $91.70 per barrel, while Brent crude fell about 9% to below $100, marking one of the steepest single-session declines since the conflict began.

The oil selloff carried major implications for global financial markets because investors had increasingly feared that sustained energy disruptions would unleash a second wave of inflation across major economies.

For weeks, economists warned that higher fuel prices could spread rapidly through transportation, manufacturing, food supply chains, and consumer goods, potentially forcing central banks to keep interest rates elevated longer than previously expected.

Wednesday’s drop in crude prices eased some of those concerns almost immediately. Treasury markets reacted strongly because lower energy prices tend to reduce inflation expectations, which in turn increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve may eventually begin lowering borrowing costs.

The sharp decline in the 2-year Treasury yield was especially significant because that maturity closely tracks expectations for future Fed policy decisions. Bond traders are increasingly betting that if oil prices continue retreating and geopolitical tensions stabilize, the Fed may regain flexibility to pivot toward monetary easing later this year after months of caution tied to inflation risks.

The rally in Treasurys also highlights how deeply global markets have become intertwined with developments in the Middle East conflict. Since the war began, investors have oscillated between fears of supply shocks, inflation spikes, and recession risks, creating violent swings across oil, equities, currencies, and fixed-income markets.

The Strait of Hormuz remains central to those concerns. Roughly one-fifth of the world’s oil supply typically passes through the narrow waterway, making any threat to shipping there a major global economic issue. Although traffic disruptions and military tensions have persisted, hopes for a negotiated settlement are now beginning to outweigh worst-case fears in financial markets.

Still, analysts caution that volatility could remain elevated because negotiations remain fragile and energy infrastructure disruptions may take time to fully normalize even if a ceasefire agreement is reached. Several major oil companies and shipping executives have warned that restoring stable flows through the Gulf could require weeks or even months due to damaged logistics chains, repositioning of tankers, and depleted inventories.

Markets are also watching whether lower oil prices translate into broader relief across inflation-sensitive sectors. A sustained decline in energy costs could ease pressure on consumers already facing high borrowing costs, elevated insurance expenses, and rising food prices tied to the war.

Attention now shifts to upcoming U.S. economic data releases, including the latest private-sector employment figures from ADP and mortgage market indicators, both of which could influence expectations around the Federal Reserve’s next moves.

For now, however, the Treasury market is signaling that investors see a reduced probability of an extended energy-driven inflation crisis, at least compared with the worst fears that dominated markets earlier in the conflict.

Musk Wanted Full Control of OpenAI to Fund $80bn Mars City, Brockman Testifies

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Elon Musk pushed to transform OpenAI into a for-profit company and demanded full control because he needed to raise massive sums of money, including $80 billion, to colonize Mars. OpenAI President Greg Brockman testified Tuesday in a high-stakes California trial that could reshape the future of one of the world’s most valuable artificial intelligence companies.

Brockman’s testimony, now in its second day, painted a picture of tense negotiations in 2017 when Musk, then on OpenAI’s board, argued that a nonprofit structure would make it impossible to raise the enormous capital required to compete in the race for advanced AI. According to Brockman, Musk made it clear he should lead the organization if it converted to for-profit status.

“Altman was the only other candidate,” Brockman said.

The testimony revealed a particularly heated meeting in August 2017. Brockman described Musk growing angry during discussions about equity structure. When he didn’t get the terms he wanted, Musk stood up abruptly.

“He said he needed $80 billion to create a city on Mars,” Brockman testified. “In the end, he needed full control.”

Musk reportedly told the group he would decide when to relinquish that control.

The meeting, which had started on a positive note, Musk had recently given Teslas to several OpenAI employees, and former chief scientist Ilya Sutskever had painted a portrait of a Tesla as a gift, ended dramatically. According to Brockman, Musk grabbed the painting and stormed out, saying he would withhold further funding until the issues were resolved.

Musk left OpenAI’s board in February 2018. He has since accused Sam Altman and Brockman of misleading him when he contributed $38 million to the nonprofit, claiming they abandoned its original mission to enrich themselves through a for-profit structure.

Musk is seeking $150 billion in damages to be paid to the nonprofit and wants Altman and Brockman removed from their leadership positions. OpenAI has countered that Musk is bitter about leaving before the company’s explosive success and is using the lawsuit to benefit his own AI venture, xAI.

Brockman’s testimony also touched on personal financial motivations. On Monday, he disclosed that his stake in OpenAI is now worth nearly $30 billion. He also acknowledged holding stakes in two startups backed by Altman and a 1% stake in Altman’s family fund.

A 2017 diary entry shown in court revealed Brockman writing: “Financially, what will take me to $1B?”

OpenAI restructured in March 2019, creating a for-profit subsidiary controlled by the original nonprofit. That move allowed it to raise more than $100 billion from investors. The company is reportedly preparing for a potential $1 trillion initial public offering later this year.

OpenAI plans to spend $50 billion on computing resources alone in 2026, Brockman told the court, underscoring the enormous capital requirements that Musk had foreseen years earlier.

Musk’s deep interest in Mars colonization was further highlighted by details from SpaceX. According to a registration statement, SpaceX’s board approved a package in January granting Musk 200 million super-voting restricted shares if the company reaches a $7.5 trillion market value and successfully establishes a permanent colony on Mars with at least one million people.

SpaceX is also reportedly preparing for its own IPO later this year, potentially larger than OpenAI’s.

Musk’s lawyers have tried to portray Brockman as similarly motivated by financial gain. However, Brockman’s testimony framed Musk’s demands as driven by his broader ambitions for humanity’s future on Mars, rather than purely commercial interests in AI.

The trial, now in its second week, carries enormous stakes. A ruling against OpenAI could destabilize its leadership and force major changes to its structure at a critical time, as the company races to commercialize advanced AI models. A victory for Musk could set a precedent affecting how nonprofits transition to for-profit entities in the technology sector.

The case has also laid bare the deep personal and philosophical rifts that existed from OpenAI’s earliest days. What began as a collaborative nonprofit effort to ensure artificial intelligence benefits humanity has evolved into a fierce battle between some of Silicon Valley’s most powerful figures.

Musk has long warned about the existential risks of AI and originally co-founded OpenAI as a counterweight to Google. His departure and subsequent founding of xAI, which merged with SpaceX in February, reflect his determination to pursue his own vision for the technology.

The proceedings are expected to continue for several more weeks, with additional witnesses and evidence likely to shed more light on the contentious early years of one of the defining companies of the AI era. Whatever the outcome, the case has already exposed the complex mix of idealism, ambition, ego, and vast financial stakes that have shaped the development of transformative artificial intelligence.

Samsung Joins Trillion-Dollar Club as AI Chip Frenzy Reshapes Global Semiconductor Power Map

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Samsung Electronics crossed the $1 trillion market capitalization threshold on Wednesday, becoming only the second Asian company after Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company to achieve the milestone, as investors continue pouring money into companies seen as central to the artificial intelligence infrastructure boom.

The rally marks a dramatic turnaround for Samsung, whose shares have surged alongside a broader rebound in global semiconductor stocks fueled by exploding demand for AI computing power, memory chips, and advanced data-center infrastructure.

Samsung’s market value climbed to about 1,500 trillion won, or roughly $1.03 trillion, during early trading in Seoul. Its shares jumped 12%, sharply outperforming South Korea’s benchmark Kospi index, which rose 5.4%.

The move followed another powerful rally on Wall Street overnight, where the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at record highs as investors rotated aggressively back into AI-linked technology companies after stronger-than-expected earnings and signs that geopolitical tensions tied to the Iran conflict were not worsening further.

The latest surge also underscores how the AI race is rapidly redrawing the hierarchy of the global semiconductor industry.

For much of the past two years, investor enthusiasm centered primarily on AI accelerator makers such as Nvidia. But the market is now increasingly recognizing that AI systems require vast amounts of memory, storage, and advanced semiconductor manufacturing capacity, areas where Samsung plays a dominant role.

Samsung remains the world’s largest producer of memory chips, including high-bandwidth memory, or HBM, a critical component used alongside AI graphics processors in data centers powering generative AI systems.

As hyperscalers, including Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, and Meta Platforms, ramp up spending on AI infrastructure, demand for advanced memory has exploded, creating one of the most profitable cycles the memory-chip industry has seen in years.

Industry analysts say AI has fundamentally changed the economics of the semiconductor market. Unlike traditional consumer electronics, AI servers require far larger quantities of high-performance memory and advanced packaging technologies, pushing up margins for suppliers capable of meeting the technical requirements.

That shift has triggered a sharp recovery in pricing power for memory manufacturers after years of cyclical downturns tied to weak smartphone and PC demand. Samsung’s trillion-dollar milestone is also seen as an indication of growing investor confidence that the company is regaining ground in the global AI supply chain after concerns last year that it was falling behind rivals in next-generation memory products.

The company has accelerated investment in HBM production and advanced packaging technologies as competition intensifies with South Korean rival SK Hynix and U.S. players seeking to capture the AI hardware boom.

It is all playing at the same time, geopolitical tensions are reshaping global chip investment flows. The U.S.-China technology conflict, combined with fears over potential supply disruptions involving Taiwan and the Iran war’s impact on global trade routes and energy markets, has pushed governments and corporations to diversify semiconductor supply chains more aggressively.

That environment has strengthened investor interest in companies viewed as strategically indispensable to global technology infrastructure. Samsung occupies a uniquely powerful position because it operates across multiple layers of the semiconductor ecosystem, including memory chips, foundry manufacturing, smartphones, consumer electronics, and AI-related components.

The company’s rise also highlights Asia’s continued dominance in semiconductor manufacturing even as the United States pours hundreds of billions of dollars into efforts to rebuild domestic chip production capacity.

Together, Samsung and TSMC now stand as the two most valuable companies in Asia, reflecting how semiconductor manufacturing has become one of the most strategically important industries in the global economy. The milestone comes during one of the strongest rallies technology stocks have experienced since the generative AI boom began. Investor optimism was further boosted this week after strong earnings and upbeat forecasts from major semiconductor companies, including Intel and Advanced Micro Devices, reinforced expectations that AI infrastructure spending remains in its early stages.

Wall Street analysts increasingly believe the current AI investment cycle could rival or exceed the scale of past technology booms tied to the internet, smartphones, and cloud computing.

Global AI-related capital expenditures are now expected to exceed $700 billion this year alone, spanning chips, data centers, networking systems, cloud platforms, and power infrastructure.

Samsung’s rapid climb illustrates how investors are broadening their bets beyond software and AI models toward the physical hardware backbone needed to sustain the industry’s expansion. The company’s valuation surge may also intensify pressure on rivals racing to secure dominance in what is becoming an increasingly crowded and geopolitically sensitive semiconductor market.

While enthusiasm around AI continues driving technology stocks higher, analysts warn that the next stage of competition will likely be determined by companies’ ability to secure manufacturing capacity, energy supply, advanced memory production, and global supply chains.

Bitcoin Surges Past $82K as Institutional Buying Fuels Momentum, Eyes $90K Next

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Bitcoin surged past the $82,000 mark on Wednesday, hitting its highest level in over three months as improving global risk sentiment and reports of a potential U.S.–Iran peace framework boosted broader markets.

The cryptocurrency climbed as high as $82,791, marking a strong continuation of its recent upward momentum. The rally comes amid reports that the United States and Iran are moving closer to a preliminary one-page memorandum of understanding aimed at easing geopolitical tensions.

According to Saxo Bank analysts, the price action appears to be driven largely by improving macroeconomic sentiment rather than crypto-specific catalysts, raising questions about how sustainable the move will be if broader risk appetite weakens.

A key driver behind the surge has been intensifying institutional accumulation. Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards noted that large-scale buyers are currently absorbing roughly six times the amount of Bitcoin mined daily.

He argued that this imbalance has historically preceded sharp price increases, with similar conditions previously leading to double-digit gains within weeks. Based on that pattern, Edwards suggested Bitcoin could potentially move toward $96,000 if demand persists at current levels.

Market structure also reflects strengthening bullish momentum. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index has returned to a neutral reading of 50 for the first time since mid-January, ending a 108-day stretch of predominantly negative sentiment. This shift aligns with a broader recovery in the crypto market, which has expanded by over 5% in May and more than 16% since March, reaching approximately $2.66 trillion.

Analysts at QCP noted that Bitcoin is increasingly behaving like a high-beta risk asset, closely tied to liquidity conditions, dollar movements, and overall investor risk appetite rather than functioning purely as a store of value. Technical observers also pointed to immediate resistance between $82,000 and $84,000, where large sell orders are reportedly concentrated.

MN Capital founder Michael van de Poppe highlighted $84,000–$86,000 as the next critical resistance zone, with a breakout potentially opening the path toward $90,000 around the 50-week moving average. On-chain indicators, including short-term holder cost basis data, also suggest room for further upside, with $92,000 emerging as a longer-term target.

However, not all analysts are convinced the rally signals a sustained bullish cycle. Benjamin Cowen of Into the Cryptoverse maintains a cautious outlook, arguing that Bitcoin’s current move may resemble previous bear-market rallies seen in past cycles such as 2014, 2018, and 2019. He suggested that price strength could peak within weeks before a potential retracement later in the year.

Traders are also watching liquidity zones closely. Market analyst “Sherlock” pointed to the $80,000–$85,000 range as a key area where price reactions could determine short-term direction.

He noted that while a breakout above April highs could trigger further upside momentum, a rejection near $84,000–$85,000 could also set up a corrective move toward lower support levels, including a possible decline toward $63,000 in a bearish scenario.

Outlook

Bitcoin’s near-term trajectory now hinges on whether institutional demand continues to outpace supply and whether the asset can decisively break through the $84,000–$86,000 resistance cluster. A sustained breakout could open the path toward $90,000–$96,000, supported by strong accumulation trends and improving sentiment.

However, if macro conditions weaken or resistance levels hold, analysts warn the current rally may resemble a mid-cycle peak within a broader corrective phase. In that case, Bitcoin could experience renewed volatility and a potential retracement before any longer-term uptrend resumes.

Apple Surpasses Silver to Become 4th Largest Asset in the World

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An Apple logo is seen at the entrance of an Apple Store in downtown Brussels, Belgium March 10, 2016. REUTERS/Yves Herman/File Photo

Apple has strengthened its position among the world’s most valuable assets, officially surpassing silver to become the fourth largest asset globally by market valuation.

According to report, Apple’s market capitalization climbed to approximately $4.17 trillion following a strong trading session where shares rose about 2.6% to close at $284.18.

This briefly pushed Apple ahead of silver’s estimated total value, derived from roughly 1.75 million metric tons of above-ground silver stocks valued at spot prices near $74 per ounce.

This milestone underscores the tech giant’s continued dominance in global markets, driven by strong investor confidence, resilient earnings, and its expanding ecosystem of hardware, software, and services.

Earlier this year, the curpertino giant announced financial results for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, posting a record breaking revenue of $143.8 billion and net quarterly profit of $42.1 billion, compared to revenue of $124.3 billion and net quarterly profit of $36.3 billion, in the year ago quarter.

This saw the company set all-time records during the quarter for total revenue, earnings per share, iPhone revenue, and services revenue. Total revenue was up 16 percent year-over-year, while earnings per share rose by 19 percent.

Commenting on the report, Apple’s CEO Tim Cook said,

“Today, Apple is proud to report a remarkable, record-breaking quarter, with revenue of $143.8 billion, up 16 percent from a year ago and well above our expectations”.

Silver’s Value Is Surging Too

Silver has served as a monetary metal and industrial powerhouse for thousands of years. Its value stems from scarcity, physical utility in electronics, solar panels, EVs, and medical applications, plus its role as a hedge against inflation and currency debasement.

Silver isn’t standing still, its value is also on an upward trajectory. The white metal has seen strong price momentum in 2025–2026 amid:

  Persistent market deficits

  Surging industrial demand (especially solar and electronics)

  Investment inflows as a gold alternative

  Geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty.

Silver prices have traded in the $74–$77+ per ounce range recently, with analysts forecasting even higher averages later in 2026.

On Wednesday, the asset rose above $73.5 an ounce, recouping losses from earlier in the week as signs of de-escalation in the middle east weighed on oil prices, helping to ease inflation concerns.

Also, fresh earnings from AI hyperscalers in the US have extended the surge in AI infrastructure spending that has underpinned industrial demand for silver.

Moments like Apple edging past silver capture a great imagination, because they pit bits and bytes against bullion future cash flows and network effects versus tangible scarcity.

Yet both represent different forms of value in an evolving economy:

  Silver offers durability and real-world utility.

  Apple exemplifies how human ingenuity, software, and brand can compound into extraordinary wealth.

These rankings fluctuate daily with stock prices and commodity moves. Silver often reclaims the edge quickly, as seen the day after Apple’s brief overtake.

Notably, Apple has announced plans to let users select from third-party artificial intelligence models for tasks such as generating and editing text and images across its iOS 27 features. This will no doubt drive the demand for its devices.

Looking Ahead

As artificial intelligence, services, and consumer technology continue expanding, companies like Apple, Nvidia, and others may keep challenging traditional asset hierarchies.

At the same time, silver’s industrial tailwinds suggest it will remain a formidable “asset class” in its own right.