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U.S. Treasury Yields Edge Higher as Markets Brace for Fed Decision and Fresh Trade Risks

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U.S. Treasury yields nudged higher on Tuesday as investors stayed cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision and weighed renewed trade tensions sparked by President Donald Trump’s tariff threats.

The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield rose by just over one basis point to around 4.23%, signaling restrained positioning rather than a strong conviction trade. The 2-year yield, which is closely tied to expectations for Fed policy, eased slightly to about 3.59%, while the 30-year yield climbed more than one basis point to roughly 4.82%. Together, the moves point to a market waiting for clearer signals on both monetary policy and the broader economic outlook.

The Fed’s policy announcement on Wednesday is the central focus of the week. Investors broadly expect the central bank to keep its benchmark rate unchanged within the 3.5% to 3.75% range, extending a pause after three rate cuts delivered in 2025. With the decision itself largely priced in, attention is likely to shift quickly to Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference and the tone of the accompanying statement.

Markets are expected to listen closely for guidance on how policymakers view the balance between cooling inflation and signs of slowing momentum in parts of the economy. Any hints on the timing or conditions for future rate cuts could have an outsized impact on yields, particularly at the front end of the curve.

Interest rate futures suggest investors are penciling in two quarter-point cuts by the end of 2026, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. That view rests on the assumption that restrictive financial conditions will eventually weigh more heavily on growth, even as inflation pressures prove sticky in some sectors.

Beyond monetary policy, trade uncertainty has returned as a market concern. Trump on Monday threatened tariffs of up to 25% on South Korean autos, pharmaceuticals, and lumber, citing delays in Seoul’s legislature approving a trade agreement reached with Washington last summer. The comments revived worries that trade policy could again become a source of economic disruption, with knock-on effects for prices, corporate margins, and global growth.

For bond markets, tariffs present a complicated mix of forces that, on one hand, heightened uncertainty can drive demand for safe-haven assets such as Treasuries, and on the other hand, tariffs can fuel inflation and complicate the Fed’s task, particularly if higher import costs filter through to consumer prices. That tension was visible in the modest rise in longer-dated yields, which tend to embed expectations about inflation, growth, and fiscal policy over extended horizons.

Investors are also keeping an eye on upcoming economic data releases later in the week, which could further shape expectations around the Fed’s next moves. Currently, Treasury markets appear set to remain range-bound, with traders reluctant to take large positions ahead of clearer guidance from policymakers.

Analysts now see the small uptick in yields as underscoring a market caught between confidence that inflation is no longer accelerating and unease over policy uncertainty, trade risks, and the timing of the next phase of monetary easing.

Tether Capturing 41.9% of Sector Revenue Positions it as a Trailblazer in Stablecoin Economy

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According to recent reports from CoinGecko Research, Tether (USDT) generated approximately $5.2 billion in revenue, accounting for 41.9% of the total revenue across 168 income-generating crypto protocols tracked that year.

This positions Tether as the clear leader in crypto protocol revenue for 2025, highlighting the dominance of stablecoin issuers. Key details include: Stablecoins as a category were the top revenue generators overall.

The top four stablecoin-related entities led by Tether, followed by Circle, Ethena, and others collectively produced around $8.3 billion, or a significant portion of the market. In comparison, trading-focused protocols showed more volatility tied to market conditions, with stronger performance early in the year but declines later.

Tron ranked second overall among protocols including blockchains with about $3.5 billion, largely boosted by its role as the primary network for USDT transactions. This underscores how Tether’s business model—primarily earning from interest on reserves backing USDT—creates highly scalable, relatively stable revenue compared to more market-dependent DeFi or trading protocols.

Note that some other analyses show slightly varying figures or concentrations like Tether capturing 50%+ in narrower scopes. The crypto market cap ended 2025 at around $3.0 trillion down ~10% YoY, yet stablecoins like USDT continued expanding in adoption and utility.

Tether’s capture of 41.9% of total crypto protocol revenue in 2025 approximately $5.2 billion out of the aggregate from 168 tracked protocols, per CoinGecko’s 2025 Annual Crypto Industry Report carries several significant implications for the cryptocurrency ecosystem, stablecoins, and even traditional finance.

Stablecoins as the Backbone of Crypto Profitability

Stablecoin issuers dominated the revenue rankings, with the top four (Tether leading, followed by Circle, Ethena, and others) collectively generating around $8.3 billion—over 65% of the top 10’s earnings.

This highlights a structural shift: while trading platforms and DeFi protocols depend heavily on volatile market conditions— strong early 2025 but declining later amid a ~10% drop in total crypto market cap to $3.0 trillion, stablecoins deliver predictable, high-margin revenue through interest on reserves primarily U.S. Treasuries.

Tether’s model—earning yield on fiat-backed assets while providing liquidity—proved far more resilient and scalable than market-dependent activities. Tether’s revenue dominance aligns with its broader financial performance: the company reported profits exceeding $10 billion in the first three quarters of 2025 alone, with full-year projections nearing $15 billion surpassing many major banks like Bank of America and approaching Goldman Sachs/Morgan Stanley levels.

This stems from massive reserve investments like $135+ billion in U.S. Treasuries by late 2025 amid elevated interest rates. Implications include: Tether operating as one of the world’s most profitable private companies on a per-employee basis with a tiny team relative to traditional banks.

Growing institutional and investor interest, including talks of massive funding rounds valuing it near $500 billion. Tether’s outsized role underscores concentration risk: USDT remains the default “digital dollar” for trading, cross-border payments, DeFi, and emerging-market remittances, often dominating networks like Tron which ranked second overall at ~$3.5 billion in revenue largely due to USDT traffic.

While this provides unmatched liquidity and adoption (USDT supply exceeded $140–180 billion across chains), it creates single points of failure—regulatory scrutiny, potential de-pegging events, or reserve issues could ripple across the entire ecosystem more severely than in diversified sectors.

Tether’s success illustrates stablecoins’ role in tokenizing fiat liquidity and reinforcing USD hegemony digitally. By investing heavily in Treasuries, Tether funnels crypto capital back into U.S. government debt, creating a symbiotic and sometimes criticized link between crypto and TradFi.

This has drawn regulatory attention like the  ongoing U.S. investigations, MiCA compliance challenges in Europe, but also positions stablecoins as a mainstream payment rail. In emerging markets, USDT’s utility could accelerate shifts away from local currencies toward dollar-denominated digital assets.

Despite competition from regulated players like Circle (USDC) and yield-focused alternatives (e.g., Ethena’s USDe), Tether maintains dominance through network effects, liquidity, and first-mover advantage. The revenue gap suggests that stability and usability trump yield for most users in high-volatility environments.

However, declining interest rates, a looming 2026 challenge could pressure yields, while diversification into gold (XAUT), AI, mining, or tokenized assets may help sustain growth.

Overall, this 41.9% figure cements stablecoins—and Tether in particular—as the most economically sustainable layer of crypto in 2025, even in a down market. It signals maturation toward infrastructure-like profitability but also amplifies debates around decentralization, systemic risk, and regulatory evolution as crypto integrates deeper with global finance.

Pinterest to Cut Up to 15% of Workforce as AI Push Reshapes Business and Cost Structure

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Pinterest said on Tuesday it will lay off up to 15% of its workforce and reduce its office footprint as it pivots more aggressively toward artificial intelligence, joining a widening group of technology companies using AI adoption to justify leaner operations and lower headcount.

In a securities filing, the social media company said the job cuts are expected to be completed by the end of its third quarter in late September. Pinterest shares slipped about 3% in premarket trading, as investors weighed the immediate restructuring costs against the company’s longer-term growth strategy.

Pinterest said it is “reallocating resources” toward AI-focused teams and prioritizing “AI-powered products and capabilities,” while reshaping its sales and marketing organization. The company will also cut back on office space, reflecting a shift toward more flexible work arrangements and tighter control of fixed costs.

The company has been steadily embedding artificial intelligence across its platform to improve content discovery, shopping, and advertising performance. Last October, Pinterest rolled out “Pinterest Assistant,” an AI-driven shopping tool designed to help users refine searches and discover products more efficiently. The platform has also expanded the use of machine learning to deliver more personalized feeds, a critical factor in retaining users and boosting engagement.

On the advertising side, Pinterest has been rolling out more automated tools that allow marketers to optimize campaigns with less manual intervention. These AI-powered products are intended to make the platform more attractive to advertisers at a time when competition for digital ad spending is intensifying. Rivals such as TikTok and Meta’s Facebook and Instagram have poured billions of dollars into AI, raising the bar for targeting precision, content relevance, and return on ad spend.

As of April last year, Pinterest had more than 4,500 employees globally, according to its most recent proxy filing. The planned cuts suggest that several hundred roles could be eliminated, primarily in areas the company sees as less central to its AI-driven strategy. Pinterest said it expects to incur pre-tax restructuring charges of between $35 million and $45 million, covering severance, benefits, and costs linked to reducing office space.

The move fits squarely into a broader trend across the technology sector, where companies are cutting headcount as AI tools increasingly automate tasks once handled by large teams. From content moderation and customer support to sales operations and marketing analytics, AI systems are allowing firms to do more with fewer employees. In many cases, companies are shrinking legacy roles while hiring selectively for highly specialized positions.

Early this week, Nike announced it is cutting 775 jobs across its U.S. distribution network as it leans more heavily on automation and advanced technology to revive margins and restore growth. The company said it is sharpening its supply chain footprint, expanding the use of automation, and investing in new skills to better serve consumers and athletes.

Layoffs framed as “reallocations” or “strategic realignments” have become a common feature of earnings calls and regulatory filings, signaling that workforce reductions are now a structural, not cyclical, response to technological change.

For Pinterest, management is betting that a smaller, more focused workforce will enable faster product development and better execution in areas that matter most to users and advertisers. The company has long positioned itself as a platform for inspiration and commerce, and AI is increasingly central to that vision, from personalized recommendations to automated ad buying.

While the cuts may dampen morale and draw scrutiny in the short term, they underscore how deeply artificial intelligence is reshaping the operating models of digital platforms. Pinterest’s decision highlights a new phase for the tech industry, one in which AI is not just a growth driver, but also a catalyst for permanent changes in how companies structure their workforces and allocate capital.

Pinterest is planning widespread layoffs and “office space reductions” in the coming months, it said Tuesday. The job cuts will impact “less than 15%” of the overall workforce, according to a securities filing, and will be carried out by the end of September. The shakeup comes as part of a broader shift of resources as Pinterest focuses more closely on “AI-powered products and capabilities” in order to attract Gen Z users. Earlier this month, the company appointed its first-ever chief business officer as part of the same effort.

2026 Will Serve As A Breakout Year for Tokenized Funds

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Tokenized funds hit new ATH of $14.4B particularly tokenized funds like money market funds, treasury-backed products, and institutional investment vehicles on blockchains.

These represent digital tokens backed by traditional assets (e.g., U.S. Treasuries, private credit, or fund shares), offering benefits like faster settlement, fractional ownership, and on-chain yield. Tokenized U.S. Treasuries and similar yield-bearing funds have seen massive adoption, with major players like BlackRock’s BUIDL fund exceeding $2B in AUM alone in some tracking periods.

Broader non-stablecoin RWAs including tokenized treasuries, private credit, commodities, institutional funds, etc. approached or exceeded ~$15B in late 2024/early 2025, with continued upward momentum into 2026. For context, tokenized treasuries alone hit multi-billion figures, and the overall RWA market excluding dominant stablecoins has grown significantly.

Analytics platforms like RWA.xyz track these on-chain assets in detail, showing categories like U.S. Treasuries, institutional funds, and private credit contributing to totals in the tens of billions when including related products. This surge is driven by: Institutional involvement from firms like BlackRock, Franklin Templeton, Fidelity, and others launching tokenized money market funds (MMFs) and treasury products.

Regulatory progress and clearer frameworks encouraging adoption. Demand for on-chain liquidity, programmable finance, and yields in a digital-native way. Projections remain bullish: Analysts from McKinsey, BCG, and others see the tokenized asset market potentially reaching trillions by 2030, with tokenized funds as a key breakout category in 2026.

Tokenized funds reaching a new all-time high (ATH) of $14.4B refers to the surging market for tokenized real-world assets (RWAs) focused on yield-generating funds — especially tokenized money market funds, U.S. Treasury-backed products, institutional funds, and similar vehicles.

This milestone aligns with rapid growth in the broader non-stablecoin RWA sector, which has seen explosive adoption in late 2025 into early 2026.As of mid-to-late January 2026, platforms like RWA.xyz track on-chain tokenized RWAs excluding dominant stablecoins in the $19–36B range across categories, with tokenized U.S. Treasuries and institutional funds forming major portions.

The $14.4B figure may capture a specific subset like tokenized funds/institutional products or a snapshot during a recent surge, possibly driven by new launches, institutional inflows, or aggregated AUM across major issuers.

Major TradFi players like BlackRock’s BUIDL, Franklin Templeton’s BENJI/FOBXX, Fidelity, WisdomTree, Ondo, and others have scaled tokenized funds to billions in AUM. This bridges traditional finance and blockchain, bringing regulated, yield-bearing products on-chain. Institutions now use these for efficient cash management, collateral, and 24/7 settlement — reducing friction in global finance.

Bridging TradFi and DeFi

Tokenized funds offer crypto-native users like DeFi protocols, DAOs, treasuries stable, low-risk yield without exiting blockchain ecosystems. They enhance liquidity, enable fractional ownership, and automate distributions via smart contracts.

This convergence could make on-chain yields a standard “risk-free” benchmark, similar to how stablecoins became crypto’s cash layer. Clearer frameworks (e.g., U.S. stablecoin rules, MiCA in Europe, and pro-crypto policy shifts) have boosted confidence.

Tokenization solves illiquidity in assets like private credit or funds, enabling faster settlement (T+0 vs. T+2) and lower costs. This milestone signals maturation — RWAs are moving from pilots to production-scale infrastructure. Faster, cheaper, programmable finance could transform capital markets, with projections from McKinsey, Standard Chartered, and others eyeing trillions in tokenized assets by 2030.

Fractional access lowers barriers for retail/institutional investors to high-quality yields. Regulatory hurdles remain e.g., SEC compliance for U.S. users, chain fragmentation (pricing/liquidity gaps), and counterparty/ oracle risks. However, growth continues despite these.

Ethereum dominates ~60%+ share, but multi-chain expansion such as Arbitrum, Solana, others boosts accessibility. This $14.4B ATH underscores 2026 as a breakout year for tokenized funds as a core pillar of on-chain finance. It’s not just hype — it’s measurable capital flowing into blockchain-native versions of proven TradFi products, with massive upside as adoption scales.

Uber Launches AV Labs to Fuel Autonomous Vehicle Partnerships with Real-World Driving Data

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Uber Technologies Inc. has unveiled a new division called Uber AV Labs, aimed at accelerating the development of autonomous vehicles (AVs) by collecting and sharing vast amounts of real-world driving data with industry partners.

Announced on January 27, 2026, the initiative marks a strategic pivot for the ride-hailing giant, which is not re-entering the robotaxi manufacturing space but instead leveraging its operational scale to address a critical bottleneck in AV advancement: access to diverse, high-volume training data.

The move comes amid a broader industry shift from rules-based AV systems to those reliant on reinforcement learning and machine learning models, where exposure to rare “edge cases”—unpredictable real-world scenarios—proves essential for safety and reliability.

Uber’s chief technology officer, Praveen Neppalli Naga, emphasized in an interview with TechCrunch that the value of advancing partners’ AV technology outweighs immediate monetization, stating, “Our goal, primarily, is to democratize this data… the value of this data and having partners’ AV tech advancing is far bigger than the money we can make from this.”

For now, Uber plans to provide the data free of charge, focusing first on building a robust foundation before exploring commercial models.

Uber AV Labs begins modestly with a single Hyundai Ioniq 5 vehicle equipped with sensors, including lidars, radars, and cameras, though the company is not committed to a specific model.

VP of Engineering Danny Guo described the early-stage setup as “scrappy,” noting that the team is still physically installing hardware and testing durability.

The division, which Uber expects to grow to a few hundred employees within a year, will deploy these sensor-laden cars in select cities to capture driving data, starting with targeted collections based on partner needs.

With operations in over 600 cities globally, Uber can flexibly prioritize locations of interest, such as those with unique traffic patterns or environmental challenges.

Partners like Alphabet’s Waymo, Waabi, Lucid Motors, and more than 20 others stand to benefit, though no formal contracts have been signed yet.

These companies, many already amassing their own datasets, recognize that scaling beyond fleet size limitations requires broader access to real-road scenarios—something simulations alone cannot fully replicate.

For instance, Waymo’s decade-long operations have not prevented incidents like robotaxis illegally passing stopped school buses, highlighting the need for more comprehensive data to preempt edge cases.

Data will not be shared raw; Uber plans to process it with a “semantic understanding” layer tailored to partners’ needs, aiding real-time path planning and decision-making.

An intermediate “shadow mode” step will integrate partners’ software into Uber’s vehicles, flagging discrepancies between human drivers and AV systems to refine models and promote more human-like driving behaviors.

This mirrors Tesla’s data collection strategy, which harnesses millions of customer vehicles, but Uber’s approach emphasizes precision over sheer volume, drawing from its ride-hailing expertise.

Uber’s history with AVs informs this cautious relaunch. After a fatal 2018 pedestrian incident involving one of its test vehicles in Tempe, Arizona, the company halted operations and sold its Advanced Technologies Group (ATG) to Aurora in a 2020 deal valued at around $4 billion, including Uber’s $400 million investment in Aurora.

Now, AV Labs focuses solely on data facilitation, aligning with Uber’s broader ecosystem role as a mobility platform rather than a hardware developer. Privacy considerations are addressed through a dedicated Road Data Collection Privacy Hub, where Uber commits to blurring faces and license plates in footage and sharing data only with vetted AV partners for safety advancements.

The division is actively hiring experts in data, machine learning, computer vision, and infrastructure to build capabilities in data mining, simulation, validation, and system improvements across perception, prediction, and planning.

This initiative complements Uber’s ongoing AV partnerships, including collaborations with NVIDIA for a data factory to support global fleet scaling starting in 2027, targeting up to 100,000 vehicles; Lucid and Nuro for a next-generation robotaxi program with 20,000 Lucid Gravity SUVs over six years; and others like May Mobility, Volkswagen, and Avride for robotaxi, delivery, and truck applications.

Guo underscored Uber’s unique position, saying: “If we don’t do this, we really don’t believe anybody else can… we believe we have to take on this responsibility right now.”

As AV Labs ramps up, partners’ feedback that “give us anything that will be helpful” reflects the data hunger driving the sector, where Uber’s vast network could prove transformative in closing the gap between simulation and reality.