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Tom Brady Unexpectedly Shoutout on Polymarket During NFL Broadcast

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During FOX’s broadcast of the Los Angeles Rams vs. Baltimore Ravens game NFL Week 6, legendary quarterback-turned-analyst Tom Brady made headlines by casually referencing Polymarket.

While discussing a potential trick play involving Ravens running back Derrick Henry, Brady turned to play-by-play announcer Kevin Burkhardt and said, “Check the Polymarket” to gauge the crowd-sourced odds on whether Henry would attempt a pass.

The offhand remark, delivered mid-game to millions of viewers, caught fans off guard and quickly went viral on social media. The comment came during a high-stakes AFC matchup, with the Ravens leading.

Brady, known for his sharp analysis, used Polymarket—a blockchain-based prediction market platform—as a real-time tool for probabilistic insights, blending sports commentary with crypto-native betting. Clips of the exchange spread rapidly, amassing thousands of views on X within hours.

Crypto enthusiasts celebrated it as a mainstream breakthrough for prediction markets. Posts on X highlighted the surprise factor, with users joking about potential sponsorships “How much did Polymarket pay him?” and speculating on its impact.

Polymarket’s official X account amplified the clip, captioning it: ““Check the Polymarket” — Tom Brady.” This isn’t Brady’s first crypto flirtation—he’s invested in FTX previously—but it underscores prediction markets’ growing cultural cachet, especially in sports.

The nod aligns with Polymarket’s expansion into sports betting, following massive volumes in politics $9B+ in 2024 U.S. election trades. With Polymarket recently acquired by a U.S. derivatives exchange and gearing up for a domestic app launch, Brady’s endorsement could accelerate user onboarding.

Analysts see it as a “cultural pivot,” potentially boosting Polygon’s ecosystem Polymarket’s blockchain and drawing traditional sports fans into DeFi. A related Polymarket event—”Will Tom Brady mention ‘Polymarket’ during an NFL broadcast this season?”—resolved to “Yes” at 100% probability, with trading volume spiking to $17.6M, reflecting bettors’ hype.

Surge in CZ Pardon Odds on Polymarket

Changpeng “CZ” Zhao, former CEO of Binance, has been a focal point for pardon speculation since his 2024 guilty plea to money laundering charges, resulting in a four-month prison sentence.

In May 2025, Zhao publicly confirmed directing his lawyers to seek a pardon from President Donald Trump, citing Binance’s compliance efforts and his contributions to crypto innovation. Trump, a vocal crypto advocate, has already pardoned figures like Silk Road’s Ross Ulbricht and BitMEX co-founders, fueling optimism for Zhao.

As of mid-October 2025, Polymarket’s “Will Trump pardon CZ in 2025?” market shows “Yes” shares trading at around 43% probability—up over 40% from earlier lows (e.g., 29% in July). This jump followed Zhao quietly removing “ex-@binance ” from his X bio in September, sparking rumors of a potential return to leadership.

Odds peaked at 64% that month before settling, but recent whale activity and media buzz have reignited momentum. The prediction resolves “Yes” if Trump grants clemency by December 31, 2025, based on official White House announcements.

Trading volume exceeds $5M, with CZ leading a broader “Who will Trump pardon in 2025?” poll at 35-36% of bets—ahead of Roger Ver (10-15%) and George Santos (10%). Critics, including Sen. Elizabeth Warren, have flagged potential conflicts tied to Binance’s dealings with Trump’s family, but bettors remain bullish.

A pardon could reinstate Zhao at Binance, dominating 40%+ of global crypto spot volume, and signal regulatory thaw under Trump. However, it’s speculative—Trump’s comments on similar cases emphasize discretion, and no formal White House signals exist yet.

Polymarket’s Record-Breaking Spot Volume 

Polymarket, the world’s largest prediction market by volume, hit a milestone on October 10: its highest single-day spot trading activity of 2025, surpassing prior peaks from election-season surges.

While exact figures aren’t public, on-chain data indicates volumes exceeded $100M that day, driven by sports and crypto-related events amid broader market hype. The spike coincided with NFL Week 6 prep preceding Brady’s mention and ongoing pardon/politics trades.

Year-to-date, Polymarket has tallied $7.5B+ in volumes—up from $9B in 2024—fueled by 314,000+ active traders. Sports markets (e.g., NFL outcomes) now rival politics, with daily volumes averaging $50M+.

Built on Polygon, Polymarket uses USDC for transparent, non-custodial bets on events from elections to pop culture. Regulatory wins, like its U.S. exchange acquisition, position it to challenge rivals like Kalshi which led on-chain volumes in September at $500M weekly.

October 10’s record underscores prediction markets’ maturation, often outperforming polls in accuracy. These stories highlight Polymarket’s role as a barometer for real-world uncertainty, blending entertainment, politics, and finance.

If Brady’s plug and CZ rumors drive sustained volume, 2025 could see prediction markets eclipse $10B annually.

Hyperliquid Founder Jeff Yan Accuses Binance and CEXs of Underreporting Liquidations by Up to 100x

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Jeff Yan, co-founder and CEO of the decentralized perpetuals exchange Hyperliquid, publicly criticized centralized exchanges (CEXs) like Binance for significantly underreporting liquidation data.

This comes in the wake of a massive crypto market crash on October 10-11, 2025, which triggered over $19 billion in reported liquidations across the industry—the largest cascade in crypto history, affecting more than 1.6 million traders.

Bitcoin dropped from around $122,000 to $109,000 amid a broader sell-off, with altcoins falling up to 60%. Yan’s post highlights a transparency gap between on-chain DEXs like Hyperliquid and opaque CEXs.

Hyperliquid’s Model: Every order, trade, and liquidation occurs fully on-chain, making all data verifiable in real-time by anyone. During the crash, Hyperliquid handled $10.31 billion in liquidations with zero downtime, processing $50-70 billion in total trading volume.

Citing Binance’s own API documentation, Yan notes that their “Liquidation Order Snapshot Stream” only reports one liquidation per second every 1000 milliseconds, even if thousands occur simultaneously.

Liquidations often “happen in bursts” during volatility, leading to underreporting by a factor of up to 100x. For context, if Binance’s reported $2.4 billion in liquidations is undercounted by 100x, the true figure could exceed $240 billion—pushing industry totals toward $257 billion.

Yan emphasized: “Transparency and neutrality are key reasons that fully onchain DeFi is the ideal infrastructure for global finance.” He hopes the industry shifts toward verifiable, on-chain systems. This isn’t the first time such discrepancies have been flagged.

Data aggregator CoinGlass echoed Yan’s concerns, stating the $19.1 billion total is “likely much higher” due to Binance’s one-per-second limit. Earlier in 2025 February, Bybit’s CEO Ben Zhou claimed a similar event’s reported $2 billion was closer to $8-10 billion after accounting for API throttling.

The crash was exacerbated by leveraged positions unraveling across platforms: Total Reported Liquidations: $19.1-20 billion. Questioned due to reporting limits; experienced ~1-hour delays in closing positions.

Binance typically has 5x Hyperliquid’s open interest (OI) and volume, yet reported far fewer liquidations. Community estimates suggest true totals could hit $40-50 billion or more. A mysterious $1 billion short position on Hyperliquid executed just before the crash also drew scrutiny, with Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ) questioning its validity.

CZ indirectly rebutted Yan, resharing data showing Binance liquidated 60% of long positions vs. ~90% on DEXs like Hyperliquid. He highlighted Binance injecting “hundreds of millions” to protect users and providing $283 million in compensation. CZ quipped “different value systems,” implying CEXs prioritize user safeguards over raw transparency.

X erupted with support for Yan, calling out CEX “market manipulation” and praising Hyperliquid’s on-chain edge. HYPE Hyperliquid’s token jumped 10% post-statement. Critics like Coffeezilla noted the irony of a single trader profiting billions from the cascade.

Traders and analysts like Derivatives_Ape and WatcherGuru argue this exposes CEX vulnerabilities, echoing FTX’s 2022 collapse. Some speculate unreported liquidations mask deeper leverage risks. DEXs offer verifiable data but can be brutal with no “protection” like Binance’s interventions, while CEXs provide user-friendly safeguards at the cost of opacity.

As volatility rises, demands for on-chain transparency could accelerate migration to platforms like Hyperliquid—potentially eroding Binance’s dominance already down market share to DEXs. If Yan’s 100x claim holds, it reframes the crash as far more destructive, highlighting systemic risks in centralized trading.

Trump Declares Middle East War Over as Gaza Peace Deal Sparks Global Optimism — Oil Prices Expected to Drop

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U.S. President Donald Trump on Monday declared that the war in the Middle East was “over,” as he arrived in Tel Aviv to oversee what he described as the “final phase” of a long-awaited Gaza peace deal.

The president’s visit marked a pivotal moment in the two-year conflict between Israel and Hamas — and a potential turning point for the region’s stability, global diplomacy, and oil markets.

Trump’s declaration came hours after the release of Israeli hostages held by Hamas since the 2023 assault that ignited the war. Speaking at the Knesset, Israel’s parliament, he announced that Hamas would disarm as part of the peace accord and confirmed that the fighting had officially ended. When asked by reporters if the war was truly over, Trump responded succinctly: “Yes.”

Greeted with trumpet fanfare and a standing ovation, the president told lawmakers that the “long and painful nightmare” was finally ending for both Israelis and Palestinians.

“America joins its ally in two everlasting vows,” he said. “Never forget, and never again.”

His remarks carried both triumph and restraint. Trump hailed the ceasefire as “a very exciting time for Israel and the Middle East,” adding that Israel had “won all it could by force of arms.” He urged the country to turn its military victories into peace and reconstruction.

“Now it is time to turn that strength into prosperity,” he said.

Trump extended a diplomatic olive branch to Iran, the chief backer of Hamas, calling for an end to hostility.

“The hand of friendship and cooperation is always open, even to Iran, whose regime has inflicted so much death on the Middle East,” he said. “I’m telling you, they want to make a deal. We are ready when you are.”

That overture underscores how deeply the Iran-Israel conflict has shaped both the Gaza war and global energy markets. Since the 2023 Hamas attack on Israel that killed 1,200 people and led to a devastating military response in Gaza, tensions between Israel and Iran have repeatedly threatened to spiral into a regional war. Those hostilities pushed oil prices to multiyear highs, with Brent crude briefly surpassing $110 per barrel in late 2023 amid fears that Iranian proxies could target shipping routes and oil infrastructure across the Gulf.

Analysts say that if Trump’s ceasefire and outreach to Iran hold, global energy markets could finally experience some relief. The Gaza war — coupled with Red Sea shipping disruptions caused by Yemen’s Houthi rebels — had driven up transport costs and added volatility to crude prices throughout 2024.

The Gaza war, one of the most destructive in modern Middle Eastern history, has left deep scars. More than 67,000 Palestinians have been killed, according to Gaza’s Health Ministry, while most of the enclave’s infrastructure — from schools to hospitals — lies in ruins. Israel’s two-year military campaign displaced millions, leaving the territory facing one of the worst humanitarian crises in decades.

“You’ve won, and now you can build,” Trump told Israeli lawmakers. “You can do something you never even thought possible.”

He emphasized that the “total focus of Gazans must be on restoring stability, safety, dignity, and economic development,” pledging that the United States would support Gaza’s rebuilding efforts.

The president’s address came as 20 Israeli hostages were released, along with 28 additional captives — including 26 confirmed dead — in exchange for nearly 2,000 Palestinian prisoners and detainees. The deal was hailed as a humanitarian breakthrough and a significant step toward ending the cycle of violence.

Economic and Diplomatic Implications

Trump’s peace effort has drawn cautious praise from economists and foreign policy experts who see the development as both a humanitarian and geopolitical milestone.

“It shows that the U.S. can get results if it wields its still unsurpassed global clout the right way,” said Holger Schmieding, chief economist at Berenberg Bank. “The impact on the global economy and markets should remain limited for now, but if tensions in the Middle East subside much further, the global impact could be more pronounced — especially through lower oil prices and reduced shipping disruptions.”

The Israeli-Iran standoff has long been one of the biggest geopolitical risks in the oil market. Iranian-backed Houthi attacks on Red Sea vessels forced shipping companies to reroute tankers around the Cape of Good Hope, adding weeks to delivery times and driving freight costs sharply higher. If the peace deal leads to a sustained truce and reduces these threats, analysts say oil could retreat below $60 per barrel — down from the $80 average that persisted through much of 2024.

A Personal Triumph for Trump

The peace deal marks a personal and political milestone for Trump, who has repeatedly portrayed himself as a master dealmaker capable of solving global conflicts. It builds on his earlier Middle East diplomacy, including the Abraham Accords, and could become a defining achievement of his presidency. Trump praised Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and senior aides such as Jared Kushner, Steve Witkoff, and Pete Hegseth for their roles in brokering the accord.

Following his meetings in Tel Aviv, Trump is expected to travel to Sharm El-Sheikh, Egypt, for a summit with about 20 world leaders to finalize the Gaza peace framework. The conference will focus on reconstruction funding, Gaza’s future governance, and regional security guarantees. Gulf nations, including Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and the UAE, are expected to play major roles in financing Gaza’s rebuilding.

However, Gaza’s humanitarian crisis is far from over, and skepticism runs deep about whether Hamas’s disarmament can be verified or whether Iran will curb its proxy networks in Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen. Yet, for the first time in two years, the prospect of lasting calm seems within reach.

Microsoft Quells Xbox Death Rumors Amid Retail Confusion, Assures Fans It’s Not Exiting the Console Business

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Microsoft has moved to put to rest mounting speculation that it is pulling out of the console hardware business, confirming that the Xbox line remains very much alive.

The clarification followed a storm of reports over the weekend suggesting that major U.S. retailers, including Walmart and Target, were removing Xbox products from their stores — fueling fears that the company was quietly winding down its gaming console division.

The controversy began when posts surfaced on Reddit claiming that Target had started taking down its Xbox sections, with some users alleging that Walmart had not restocked the consoles in weeks. Soon after, a wave of social media chatter and online publications amplified the story, with some declaring that Microsoft was phasing out its Xbox Series X and S consoles altogether. The claims appeared plausible given a string of recent developments that had left gamers anxious about the brand’s future.

For months, Microsoft has faced accusations of deprioritizing its console business in favor of a “play anywhere” model focused on cloud streaming and cross-platform gaming. The company’s push into cloud-based gaming, powered by its Xbox Cloud Gaming service, allows users to play without owning a console — a model seen by many as the future of gaming. Microsoft’s support for handheld devices like the ASUS ROG Ally and the upcoming ROG Ally X only added to the perception that the company was shifting away from traditional living-room consoles toward portable and multi-device gaming.

The situation was compounded by deeper challenges facing Microsoft’s gaming division. Earlier this year, the company increased the price of its Xbox Series consoles twice — a move that dented sales and made the devices less attractive compared to Sony’s PlayStation 5. Several game studios under Microsoft’s ownership were also shut down amid cost-cutting and restructuring efforts, while the price of Xbox Game Pass, its flagship subscription service, rose by 50% for the top-tier plan. All of these developments fueled the belief that Microsoft was repositioning itself away from hardware and into software and services.

By the time the retail rumors emerged, many fans were ready to believe them. Reports circulated widely that Costco, too, had removed Xbox consoles from its inventory. The speculation snowballed, with headlines across gaming blogs declaring that Microsoft might be preparing to sunset its console business altogether.

However, evidence soon emerged to contradict those claims. YouTuber and gaming journalist Destin Legarie contacted several Target and Walmart locations to verify the reports. Employees from both chains reportedly confirmed that there were no internal memos or instructions to remove Xbox stock or clear inventory. One Target employee noted that while the store hadn’t received new shipments in about a week, more consoles were expected to arrive soon — albeit in small quantities.

Adding weight to the denials, Larry Hryb — better known as “Major Nelson,” a longtime public face of the Xbox brand who served 23 years as Director of Programming for Xbox Live — weighed in on social media. Hryb said he had personally visited several Target and GameStop outlets and found Xbox hardware and accessories still being sold. His comments helped steady fans’ nerves as confusion rippled through the gaming community.

Windows Central later conducted its own checks and confirmed that Xbox consoles were still listed and available at Target, although stock levels were low and availability appeared inconsistent. A Target employee told the outlet that the Xbox section was not being removed but acknowledged that console stock often fluctuates, particularly during transitional production periods or before restocks.

Microsoft itself then issued a statement to Windows Central, affirming that “Target and Walmart, among other retailers, remain committed partners for Xbox consoles, accessories, and games.” While the company stopped short of explicitly naming the Xbox Series X and S in its statement, the inclusion of the word “consoles” indicated that the hardware business remains part of its ongoing strategy.

Still, Microsoft’s vague wording left some observers parsing its every phrase. Some analysts suggested that the term “consoles” could refer not only to current-generation devices but also to the company’s expanding hardware ecosystem — including upcoming models and handhelds. That ambiguity reflects how Microsoft has subtly shifted its vision of what “Xbox” means in the modern gaming landscape.

Indeed, Microsoft is already planning future iterations of its hardware lineup. Reports suggest that the company is preparing a refreshed version of the Xbox Series X with a more compact design and possibly an all-digital variant. Executives are also said to be working on next-generation hardware slated for release around 2026, potentially featuring AI-driven optimization and hybrid streaming capabilities.

For now, Microsoft appears eager to reassure gamers that it is not abandoning the platform that helped define its gaming legacy. Despite sluggish sales and temporary retail confusion, Xbox consoles remain in production and on shelves — even if not in abundance.

Gold’s Glittering Run: Bank of America Lifts 2026 Price Forecast to $5,000 as Investors Flock to Safe-Haven Assets

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Bank of America Global Research has raised its price forecasts for precious metals, projecting that gold could surge to an unprecedented $5,000 per ounce by 2026, supported by a sustained wave of investment demand and growing geopolitical and economic uncertainty.

The forecast, released on Monday, signals that the bank expects gold’s historic rally to continue, albeit with potential corrections along the way. The outlook also underlines the shifting global economic climate, where fears of trade tensions, inflation, and interest rate uncertainty have reignited gold’s long-standing appeal as a safe-haven asset.

Gold broke new ground on October 8, climbing above $4,000 per ounce for the first time in history. The metal extended its record-setting momentum this week, reaching a fresh high of $4,079.62 on Monday. Analysts say the rally was fueled by renewed tariff threats from U.S. President Donald Trump against China, alongside expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in the coming months to cushion the American economy.

“Looking into 2026, a 14% increase of investment demand—similar to what we have seen this year—could lift gold to $5,000 per ounce,” the bank said.

The bank projects that gold will average around $4,400 in 2026, suggesting that while some price volatility is likely, the general trajectory will remain upward. However, it cautioned that a short-term correction could occur as traders consolidate profits from the historic surge.

The Drivers Behind Gold’s Record Rally

Gold’s dramatic rise has been underpinned by a confluence of macroeconomic and political forces. Chief among them is the renewed strain in U.S.-China relations after Trump threatened to reimpose tariffs on Chinese imports, rekindling fears of a global trade slowdown. The announcement rattled equity markets, prompting investors to shift their holdings toward more stable assets like gold.

Adding to that, expectations of an imminent rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve have bolstered gold’s outlook. Lower interest rates tend to weaken the dollar and reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, making the metal more attractive to investors.

The Federal Reserve, which has already paused its tightening cycle, is widely expected to pivot toward rate reductions by early 2025 if inflation continues to moderate and labor market growth cools. Such a move could further weaken the dollar, adding momentum to gold’s rally.

The Safe-Haven Surge

Investors have been piling into gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and physical bullion purchases throughout 2024 and into 2025, seeking stability amid persistent market volatility. According to the World Gold Council, global holdings in gold ETFs have reached their highest levels since the pandemic year of 2020. Central banks, particularly in emerging markets, have also been heavy buyers, diversifying their reserves away from the U.S. dollar amid fears of sanctions and currency volatility.

In addition, concerns over geopolitical risks—ranging from renewed Middle East tensions to uncertainty in Eastern Europe—have further boosted gold’s appeal. It is believed that this “fear factor” could continue to underpin demand well into 2026, particularly if global conflicts remain unresolved or escalate.

While the rally has lifted gold to breathtaking levels, Bank of America cautioned that the market may experience short-term pullbacks as speculative positioning becomes crowded. Historically, gold prices have tended to retrace briefly after such rapid climbs.

Still, the underlying fundamentals remain robust. The bank’s research indicates that a continued increase in investment demand—particularly from institutional funds and central banks—could push gold higher in the medium term. The projection for a 14% growth in demand mirrors this year’s strong performance, which has already sent shockwaves through commodity markets.

A Broader Precious Metals Rally

Gold’s surge has also lifted sentiment across the broader precious metals complex. Silver and platinum have both recorded notable gains, tracking the momentum of the yellow metal. Bank of America noted that while gold remains the “core anchor” of investor portfolios, silver could benefit disproportionately if industrial demand strengthens alongside investment flows.

However, it is gold’s unique dual role—as both a commodity and a financial asset—that has kept it at the center of investor focus. As global uncertainty deepens, its reputation as a store of value appears stronger than ever.

Looking ahead, if Bank of America’s forecast proves accurate, gold could enter a historic new phase, breaking not just price records but redefining investor behavior in an era of heightened financial instability. Analysts say the key variables to watch will be the trajectory of U.S. interest rates, China’s economic performance, and geopolitical developments in the Middle East and Eastern Europe.

With inflation still elevated in major economies and public debt levels reaching record highs, gold’s narrative as a hedge against both monetary and political risk is gaining renewed legitimacy. Investors, it seems, are betting not only on the metal’s luster but also on the world’s enduring uncertainty.