MTN Nigeria looks ordinary these days. It used to be a rainmaker, making tons of money for men and women. But 2023 happened along with many policy changes, and MTN has come down. Yes, that exceptionalism has been taken out and this company is normalized. Why not? In Nigeria, gravity is powerful.
Good People, MTN is scaling loses at an unprecedented level: “MTN Nigeria, Africa’s largest mobile operator, reported a significant loss of N575.69 billion in Q1 2024 due to the devaluation of the Nigerian Naira and increased energy costs, resulting in a net foreign exchange loss of N656.3 billion… MTN Nigeria is pushing for a tariff hike to address the financial difficulties caused by high-interest rates and the ongoing naira crisis.”
There is one challenge we have in the land now: inflation will continue to scale because the government will continue to print money (Ways and Means is back), and the reason that will happen is straightforward. Nigeria did not think of the implications of the removal of fuel subsidies and the floating of the currency before doing them. So, we’re learning on the fly.
In other words, Nigeria did not consider that by having those policies, it could reduce corporate tax revenue (excluding banking sector) by more than 40%. So, even if we save money on fuel subsidies, we will lose money on corporate taxes, and if we do not manage both well, we cannot balance the budgets. Today, MTN which used to write billions as profits is now in red. Add other companies, you will get the idea why the government has to print money via Ways and Means.
“The Federal Government of Nigeria received an additional N3.8 trillion in what appears to be fresh Ways and Means Borrowing in the last six months of 2023. …This is despite news reports noting that the Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Wale Edun, which suggest President Bola Tinubu’s?government has not borrowed money from the CBN.” – Nairametrics.
Nigeria will print money because it needs to find ways to make up for these corporate losses, and as it prints the money, it will also offset the apex bank’s monetary policy of rate hike which is done to tame the economy, hoping to cool inflation. But with Ways and Means (flooding the economy with magic money) it will cancel out the impact of those hikes by the Central Bank of Nigeria with one result: inflation stays high and misery scales in the land.








