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AI and the $3 Trillion Industry that will be in the Metaverse by 2030 (per a McKinsey report)

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The metaverse is a term that describes a shared virtual reality where people can interact, create, and consume digital content. It is often seen as the next frontier of the internet, where immersive and social experiences will redefine how we work, play, and communicate.

One of the key drivers of the metaverse is artificial intelligence (A.I), which enables the creation and management of complex and dynamic virtual worlds. A.I can also enhance the user experience by providing personalized recommendations, natural language processing, computer vision, and more.

According to a recent report by McKinsey, the metaverse could generate up to $3 trillion in annual economic value by 2030, accounting for 6% of global GDP. The report identifies four main sources of value:

Content creation and consumption: The metaverse will enable new forms of digital media and entertainment, such as interactive games, live events, virtual concerts, and social media. Users will be able to create and monetize their own content, as well as access a vast library of existing content.

Commerce and advertising: The metaverse will offer new opportunities for online shopping and marketing, such as virtual showrooms, product demonstrations, and immersive ads. Users will be able to buy and sell digital goods and services, as well as physical products that can be delivered in the real world.

Productivity and collaboration: The metaverse will enable new ways of working and learning, such as remote meetings, virtual classrooms, and online training. Users will be able to collaborate across distances and time zones, as well as access specialized tools and resources.

Infrastructure and platforms: The metaverse will require a robust and scalable infrastructure that can support high-quality graphics, audio, and interactivity. This includes cloud computing, edge computing, 5G networks, blockchain, and more. The report also highlights the role of platforms that can provide access to the metaverse, such as social networks, gaming consoles, VR headsets, and smartphones.

The report also outlines some of the challenges and risks that the metaverse poses, such as privacy, security, regulation, ethics, and social impact. It suggests that stakeholders from different sectors and regions should collaborate to ensure that the metaverse is inclusive, sustainable, and beneficial for all.

The metaverse is not a distant future, but a present reality that is evolving rapidly. A.I is one of the key technologies that will shape its development and growth. As the report concludes: “The metaverse is coming. Are you ready?”

Coinbase tells some customers it received subpoena related to Bybit

Coinbase, one of the largest cryptocurrency exchanges in the world, has sent an email to some of its customers informing them that it received a subpoena from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) related to their trading activity on Bybit, another crypto platform.

The email, which was shared by some users on social media, states that Coinbase is required to produce certain records and information about the customers who have used Bybit, a Singapore-based exchange that offers derivatives trading and is not registered with the CFTC.

The email does not specify the reason for the subpoena or the scope of the investigation, but it advises the customers to consult with their own legal counsel if they have any questions or concerns. Coinbase also assures its customers that it is not a target of the investigation and that it is cooperating with the CFTC as required by law.

“We take our legal obligations seriously and are committed to protecting your privacy and security. We appreciate your understanding and cooperation in this matter,” the email reads.

Bybit is one of the most popular crypto platforms for derivatives trading, which involves betting on the future price movements of cryptocurrencies. However, derivatives trading is subject to strict regulations in the U.S. and other jurisdictions, and many platforms like Bybit do not comply with them.

The CFTC has been cracking down on unregistered crypto platforms that offer derivatives trading to U.S. customers, alleging that they are violating the Commodity Exchange Act and exposing investors to fraud and manipulation risks.

In October, the CFTC announced that it had reached a settlement with BitMEX, another major crypto derivatives platform, which agreed to pay $100 million in civil penalties and to cease offering services to U.S. customers. It is unclear how many Coinbase customers have used Bybit or how much they have traded on the platform. Coinbase did not respond to a request for comment at the time of writing.

The subpoena from the CFTC is another sign of the increasing regulatory scrutiny that the crypto industry is facing in the U.S. and around the world. Coinbase itself has been involved in several disputes with regulators, including the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Internal Revenue Service (IRS).

Coinbase’s CEO Brian Armstrong has been vocal about his frustration with the lack of clarity and consistency in the crypto regulations and has called for more dialogue and collaboration between the industry and the authorities. However, some experts have argued that Coinbase and other crypto platforms need to do more to comply with the existing rules and to protect their customers from potential legal risks.

Notable Provisions of The Upstream Unitization Regulations of Nigeria

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This article is the first in a series of articles on the upstream Nigerian Oil and Gas sector, with a focus on the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) Regulations on unitization, specifically its :-

– Objectives

– Application Scope

– Hydrocarbon Discovery Notifications

– Joint Development Agreements

– Determination of Straddling Reserves.

What are the objectives of the regulations?

– The regulations are to establish rules, principles and procedures for the implementation of initiation of oil and gas from a petroleum reservoir that extends beyond the boundaries of a license or lease area to which another license or lease relates.

What is the application scope of these regulations?

– The regulations apply to licenses and leases granted under the Petroleum Industry Act, whose petroleum reservoir extends beyond the boundaries of its license or lease area, to which a different person is the licensee or lessee and a declaration of commercial discovery has been made.

What are the preliminary activities to oil discovery under the regulations?

– A licensee or lessee may in carrying out geophysical activities involving the acquisition of geophysical data within its license or lease boundary, stretch across the boundary, into any adjourning license or lease area to a distance of not more than 2 kilometers.

– The acquisition of geological data pursuant to these regulations shall be with prior approval of the NUPRC and notification to the licensee or lessee of the adjoining license or lease area.

– A licensee or lessee shall process and interpret any geophysical, geotechnical and geological data acquired pursuant to this regulation and may make available to a licensee or lessee of adjourning license or lease area the processed data or any interpretation of the data.

– A licensee or lessee shall map all geological traps in its license or lease area considered to straddle one or more adjourning license or lease boundaries with the knowledge of any other party.

What are the provisions of the regulations on notification of hydrocarbon discoveries?

– A licensee or lessee who identifies a petroleum reservoir in a geological trap in its license or lease area, which appears to straddle one or more adjoining licenses or leases, shall notify the NUPRC of such discovery within  2 weeks of well suspension or abandonment.

– The notification referred to above shall be followed by a full report within 60 days, stating certain required information for each straddling petroleum reservoir.

– Where a petroleum reservoir referred to above extends into an area which is part of a license or a lease issued to a different licensee or lessee, the licensee or lessee shall notify such other licensee or lessee in writing of the extension.

– The NUPRC shall, in writing, notify the licensees or lessees of the adjoining licensee or lessees identified in the report that the reservoir extends to their license or lease area.

What do the regulations say on the determination of straddling reserves?

– The NUPRC shall require a licensee or lessee into whose license or lease area a reservoir extends to confirm if the reservoir straddles.

– A licensee or lessee may provide confirmation required by –

a). carrying out exploratory activities, including drilling a confirmatory well , or 

b). providing a rebuttal based on existing information available to the licensee or lessee. 

– Where the licensee or lessee carry out exploratory activities, including drilling a confirmatory well and the result does not confirm that the reservoir straddles, the NUPRC shall declare the reservoir as not straddling.

– Where the result confirms that the reservoir straddles, the NUPRC shall direct the parties to enter into a unitisation agreement.

What do the regulations say on joint development agreements?

– Where NUPRC directs the joint development of a reservoir pursuant to these regulations , the NUPRC shall require the licensee or lessee to do the following –

a). enter into a pre-unitisation agreement (PUA) prior to executing a unitisation agreement, and

b). execute a unitisation agreement for the joint development of the reservoir.

– Notwithstanding the provisions of subregulation (a) above, the parties may execute a unitisation & unit operating agreement (UUOA) where the straddling reservoir is a Brown-Brown.

– The agreements under this regulation shall be subject to the approval of the NUPRC before the execution of the agreement by the parties.

Section II

This article will be looking at the provisions of the NUPRC regulations on unitization regarding the topics of :-

– Extension to areas not covered by a license or lease

– Time-frames for the execution of joint development agreements

–  Petroleum production before the execution of a pre-unitisation agreement

– The appointment of independent consultants.

What are the provisions of the regulations extending to areas not covered by a license or lease?

– Where a petroleum reservoir extends beyond the boundary of a license or lease into an adjacent area which is not covered by a license or lease and the licensee or lessee has made a declaration of a commercial discovery in relation to such reservoir,the NUPRC may –

a). require the licensee or lessee to make an application for the extension to cover the license or lease area and the commission may approve the application, where the applicant fulfills conditions prescribed by the NUPRC, or

b). conduct a bold exercise pursuant to the Petroleum Industry Act for the area not covered by a license or lease that the reservoir straddles.

What do the regulations say on declarations pursuant to a pre-unitisation agreement?

– The parties to a joint appraisal programme under a pre-unitisation agreement may make a declaration of commercial discovery pursuant to Section 78(8) of the Petroleum Industry Act.

– Where the declaration mentioned above is made, the parties may apply to the NUPRC for approval that a unit agreement is not required and submit proposals for separate field development plans.

What is the timeframe for the execution of joint development agreements?

– The parties to a pre-unitisation agreement, shall have a minimum period of 12 months to conclude and execute the agreement from the time the NUPRC directs the parties to jointly develop the reservoir as a unit.

– The initiation agreement shall have a minimum period of 12 months to conclude and execute the unitisation and unit operating agreement from the time NUPRC directs.

What do the regulations say on petroleum production before the execution of a pre-unitisation agreement?

– Where one or more parties to a pre-unitisation agreement are engaged in independent production of petroleum from their respective area before the decision to unitise the reservoirs from the area, the parties shall continue producing from their respective areas until the execution of pre-unitisation agreement.

– Notwithstanding the above, the NUPRC may order the termination of such operations until there is a pre-unitisation agreement where the commission is of the opinion that the operations may negatively affect the optimal recovery of petroleum reservoirs or the rights of other licensees or lessees.

What do the regulations say on the appointment of independent consultants?

– The NUPRC may issue a directive in writing to the licensees or lessees to jointly appoint an independent consultant to develop terms and conditions of the unit agreement, where the licensees or lessees are unable to reach an agreement within the time prescribed in these regulations.

– The terms and conditions for the appointment of consultants shall be as may be determined by NUPRC.

What are the provisions of the regulations on the modification of unit agreements?

– The parties to a unit agreement may modify the agreement, subject to the approval of the NUPRC.

Fixing Nigeria’s Illusion And Making It A Real Giant [video]

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Statistically, if you are supporting 5 children on a salary of $1,000 per month, you will struggle to provide them better support than someone who  supports three children on a monthly salary of $10,000. In other words, despite how prudent you could be on that $1,000 salary, there is a ceiling on that financial management efficiency.

That takes me to Nigeria where despite having 3x the population of South Africa, South Africa spends close to $100 billion more than Nigeria. To be honest,  even if Nigeria judiciously manages the $33 billion, it will struggle to catch up to deliver decent services to what South Africa does. Of course, with SUVs, yachts, etc as priorities, the “little” $33 billion does not even get into the right things. And that is the national tragedy.

Of course, this is not to say that $33b is not a lot. My point remains that Nigeria needs “effective growth” so that it can have resources to advance its citizens. Why that word “effective” before “growth”? I am not talking of just GDP growth which tracks the aggregate of production activities for finished goods, I am talking about formalizing the economy.

Nigeria does not have effective growth and that is why even though our GDP could be higher than South Africa’s, they have resources to spend more than we. Their market capitalization as a share of GDP is about 280% while Nigeria is below 30%. With that, the market cap of one South African bank can buy all the major banks in the Nigerian stock  exchange, and one South African company can use less than 50% of its value to buy every company listed in Nigeria’s stock exchange!

How do we get Nigeria back? I have shared some ideas here.

Merit-based system – no nation has advanced better than its ability to inspire, motivate and reward via merit. Without a nationally transparent merit-based system, Nigeria cannot progress.

Pragmatic Innovation – focus on what works, over the purity of scoring political goals. The implication is that we have to seek and execute the best ideas irrespective of where they may be coming. I gave an example of how the same team of Central Bank leaders who kept our exchange rate stable for years, within 2012 to 2015, blew it up later. Yes, we must allow data to work and follow the best ideas.

Honest Leadership – the citizens are smarter and can only take cues from their leaders. People willingly pay taxes when taxes work in their lives, they say. If we preach one thing and do another thing, you lose the citizens.

Integrate Rural and Urban Nigeria – we need to have a functioning postal service, to bridge the huge gap between rural and urban Nigeria. I explained how years ago, secondary school kids used to have American and European pen pals, relying 100% on NIPOST. A reliable postal service will unlock massive latent opportunities across Nigeria, from agro to arts to entertainment, in this globalizing world.

Put Rural Wealth in Nigeria’s Balance Sheet /Property Rights – those lands (subject to the land use act), houses, etc should be digitized and recorded so that even those in rural Nigeria can enter the formal economy. It is unfortunate that a man with 100 hectares is considered poor because he has no papers to share with banks, to access credits to train his kids and support his family. Simply, Nigeria must advance its property rights governance, not just in land and physical properties but also intellectual properties.

Comment on Feed

Comment 1: While what you posit is evidently true. How does a nation achieve effective growth, economic-wise? If the nation refuses to allocate the scarce resources it has in the direction of the desired growth, can she grow?

Growth believe is a two-way factor. In agriculture, water and sunlight is needed for plants to grow, but in the desert where you have abundant sunlight, lavishly allocated, plants find it difficult to grow. To grow plants in the desert, it would require a higher level of thinking to develop a controlled environment where the abundance of the sun doesn’t hinder the growth of the crop.

Nigeria’s problem is not lack of resource to engineer growth. I think we have too much. Probably more than we the citizens are aware of. That can be the only reason why our leaders will prefer to buy yachts and SUVs rather than invest in the critical sectors of the economy for tomorrow’s growth.

Comment 2: To put the gap in better context, Nigeria’s 2024 budget per capital is $165, while that of South Africa is $2,225 using Prof’s posted figures. Now you see how huge the gap is. Not adding the fact that Nigeria’s budget is hardly 70% implemented.

What I Told The Senator!

Development and Education Budget – and How Nations Rise

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One of the indicators that can reveal the level of development of a country is the way it allocates its education budget. Education is a key factor for economic growth, social cohesion and human well-being.

However, not all countries invest in education in the same way or with the same efficiency. In this blog post, we will explore some of the aspects that determine how the education budget is spent and what are the implications for development.

The first aspect to consider is the size of the education budget. According to UNESCO, the global average public expenditure on education as a percentage of GDP was 4.8% in 2018. However, there is a wide variation among regions and countries.

For example, Sub-Saharan Africa had an average of 4.5%, while Europe and North America had an average of 5.1%. Within each region, there are also significant differences. For instance, Norway spent 7.9% of its GDP on education, while Greece spent only 3.5%. These figures reflect the different priorities and capacities of each country to invest in education.

The second aspect to consider is the distribution of the education budget among different levels and types of education. Generally speaking, countries that spend more on pre-primary and primary education tend to have higher enrolment rates, lower dropout rates and better learning outcomes. These are the foundations for lifelong learning and skills development.

On the other hand, countries that spend more on tertiary education tend to have higher innovation rates, higher productivity and higher income levels. These are the drivers for economic competitiveness and social mobility. However, there is no optimal formula for allocating the education budget. Each country has to balance its short-term and long-term needs, as well as its equity and efficiency goals.

The third aspect to consider is the quality of the education spending. This refers to how effectively and efficiently the resources are used to achieve the desired outcomes. Quality of spending depends on many factors, such as governance, accountability, transparency, management, monitoring and evaluation.

It also depends on how well the education system is aligned with the labour market and the society’s needs and aspirations. Quality of spending can be measured by indicators such as student-teacher ratio, teacher qualification, learning materials, infrastructure, student assessment, etc.

How the education budget is spent is a sign of underdevelopment or development of a country. It reflects not only the number of resources available, but also the vision, strategy and performance of the education system. A well-spent education budget can contribute to economic growth, social cohesion and human well-being. A poorly spent education budget can lead to wasted potential, social exclusion and human suffering.

Franklin Templeton’s Spot Bitcoin ETF Delayed till January 2024

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The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has postponed its decision on whether to approve a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) proposed by Franklin Templeton, one of the largest asset managers in the world. The SEC announced on Tuesday that it would extend the review period for the Franklin Bitcoin ETF Trust by another 45 days, pushing the deadline to January 26, 2022.

The Franklin Bitcoin ETF Trust aims to provide exposure to Bitcoin by holding the cryptocurrency in a segregated custodial account and tracking the performance of the Fidelity Bitcoin Index PR. The ETF would trade on the NYSE Arca exchange under the ticker symbol FBTC. Franklin Templeton filed its application for the ETF in September, joining a growing list of firms seeking to launch a spot Bitcoin ETF in the US.

However, the SEC has not approved any spot Bitcoin ETFs yet, despite receiving dozens of applications from various companies. Why is that? The main reason is that the SEC is concerned about the potential for fraud, manipulation, and investor protection issues in the Bitcoin market. The SEC believes that the Bitcoin market is not sufficiently regulated, transparent, or mature to support a spot Bitcoin ETF. The SEC also worries that a spot Bitcoin ETF may expose investors to additional risks, such as hacking, theft, or loss of access to their Bitcoin holdings.

In contrast, the SEC has recently approved several futures-based Bitcoin ETFs, which track the price of Bitcoin futures contracts rather than the underlying asset. These ETFs have attracted significant interest from investors, with the first one, ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO), reaching over $1 billion in assets under management in less than a week.

The SEC considers futures-based Bitcoin ETFs to be less risky than spot Bitcoin ETFs, because they rely on regulated and transparent futures markets, rather than unregulated and opaque spot markets. Futures-based Bitcoin ETFs also do not require the ETF provider to hold or custody any physical Bitcoin, which reduces the operational and security challenges.

The crypto industry and investors are eagerly awaiting the SEC’s verdict on spot Bitcoin ETFs, as they are seen as a more direct and efficient way to gain exposure to the cryptocurrency than futures-based ETFs. Spot Bitcoin ETFs would also lower the barriers to entry for retail investors, who may not have access to futures markets or may not want to deal with the complexities and risks of futures contracts. Spot Bitcoin ETFs would also create more demand for physical Bitcoin, which could have a positive impact on its price and liquidity.

However, some analysts and experts have cautioned that spot Bitcoin ETFs may not be approved anytime soon, as the SEC may want to see more regulatory clarity and oversight in the Bitcoin market before giving its green light. The SEC may also want to coordinate with other regulators, such as the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA), to ensure a consistent and comprehensive regulatory framework for crypto assets.

Additionally, some legal challenges may arise from the classification of Bitcoin as a commodity rather than a security, which could affect the jurisdiction and authority of the SEC over spot Bitcoin ETFs.