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Building Your Portfolios When Investing in US and Nigerian Stock Markets; Note This

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The table shows the best performing stocks in Nigeria (Year to Date, May 2023), according to Nairametrics. What do you see? Any pattern? None that is very clear (except tech, agro and telecoms, most core sectors are largely represented from the mainboard). In other words, you cannot say this sector is outperforming which means a sector-based strategy would have missed many things. So, it comes to individual companies here, and how you’re able to pick them.

Contrast with the US where a playbook on semiconductors/microelectronics would have unlocked alpha, with Nvidia, AMD, etc leading the pack, on the wave of AI exuberance. If that is the case, a sector-based mutual fund/ETF strategy in Nigeria will underperform while in the US, you could pick some home runs.

The verdict: you need a different portfolio management strategy if you are investing in Nigeria from whatever you are doing in the US stock market. At Tekedia Capital, our members will be attending this FREE course (Venture Investing and Portfolio Management) on July 3-29 on click . Join us!

Central Bank of Nigeria Lifts Restrictions on Cash Deposits into Dorm Accounts

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Naira USD

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has lifted restrictions on cash deposits into domiciliary accounts. Part of the statement below.

“All visible and invisible transactions (medicals, school fees, BTA/PTA, airline, and other remittances) are eligible for the investors’ and exporters’ (I&E) window.”

“DMBs shall ensure expeditious processing of all eligible invisible transactions on behalf of their customers using the applicable rate at the I&E window. Ordinary domiciliary account holders shall have unfettered and unrestricted access to funds in their accounts. Domiciliary account holders are permitted to utilise cash deposits not exceeding $10,000 per day or its equivalent via telegraphic transfer.

“DMBs shall provide returns to the CBN including the purpose for such transactions. Cash deposits into domiciliary accounts will not be restricted, subject to DMBs conducting proper KYC (know your customer), due diligence, and adhering to the spirit and letter of extant anti-money laundering/ combating the financing of terrorism laws and other relevant rules and regulations.

“The CBN will prioritise orderly settlement of any committed FX forward transactions as they fall due in order to further boost market confidence.”

Jungle Destruction of Properties in Nigeria Should STOP

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We are lacking empathy in Nigeria and this is very unfortunate. We’re finding it easier to tear down buildings in Kano, Alaba Market and other areas when we have no plans on how new ones could be built. No matter how you see politics, Nigerians must condemn these acts.

If  residents of Salanta Quarters in Kano followed due process for these lands, as stated by a previous government, it is just bluntly unfair to punish them this way. Why not go to the Court and give them the space to defend their rights? It is either Nigeria wants to advance or move backwards. But one thing is clear: jungle destruction will bring more hatred and animosity.

Many years ago in Ovim (Abia State), my village wanted a math teacher to teach the JS3 class as the government option was not “well qualified”. They hired a young teacher named Bukar. Bukar taught me Math in JS3. We became all members of “Bukar for Math”.  In Oriendu Market, he never paid for anything because people paid for whatever he needed for his family. Today, can Bukar live in Abia State?

People, the animosity across Nigeria makes me unhappy. And if you check, most are coming from politicians who are causing troubles because of power.  I used to visit Usman Danfodio University Sokoto which remains the most hospitable university to me in Nigeria. Yes, they treat you really fine when you visit to spend time teaching electronics (I setup their embedded systems lab with Dr Ibrahim). Today, I cannot travel there anymore. Yes, it is impossible.

Nigeria needs help and these leaders should work to bring ALL together. Why destroy these properties even if we assume the last government made a mistake which ordinary families who bought the lands were not parties to?

Residents of Salanta Quarters in the Kano metropolis have accused the state government of demolishing their buildings without prior notice and compensation.

The residents, who described the demolition of their houses as illegal, said they followed due process in acquiring the land on which their houses were built from the immediate past government of the state.

There was tension in the area on Saturday as the residents tried to physically prevent officials, who arrived their community, from demolishing the buildings.

A viral video of the altercation scene showed an injured victim making a phone call, pleading for help from loved ones, whilst alleging that one of his phones was damaged by an official.

“You cannot demolish our properties overnight without prior notification after we have all our documents intact. We all have our families here, and this is injustice. They have voted calamity for us.

Comment on Feed

Comment: You are very correct sir, the demolitions carried out in Kano is not justified. But before demolitions were carried out in alaba a letter have been issued to them you need to see the infrastructures sir it has really decayed. At first I also condemned the demolition at alaba but after watching the clips it is better those buildings are brought down to avert future disaster.

My ResponseThe Nigerian law does not say a LETTER has to be issued to destroy a building. It says a COURT Order. There is a reason for that and that happened in Owerri a couple of years ago. A governor went after an opponent and destroyed a building citing that the structure was not approved and the height was above limit. 

Later, it was realized that the same building was bought by the man from the same government a decade ago. In other words, if it was not just a LETTER but a court order, that would have become evident. 

Alaba was built by the government from grounds-up. If the government built poor structures which citizens bought, it can compensate property owners instead of destroying properties it has already sold and collected money. The same thing is about to happen in an estate in Abuja; the government put nonsense structures; people bought. Then later, you say they’re not habitable anymore and should be taken down without returning the money with interest!

Comment 2: When you hear rascality and illegality, you will over time appreciate how encompassing those two words are in Nigeria.

When we are done tearing down everything that binds people together, in the name of supporting your own and hating on others, our eyes will finally open, of course it’s late by then.

Building materials are very costly now, so anytime a politician is tearing down structures, any other reason outside not meeting integrity test, that politician should tell us where he expects the owners to get money for another one.

One day this sky will drop here and cover everyone, and no single person will escape.

Comment 3: What I see everyday and everywhere is hate. There is no attempt whatsoever to create love and unite the country. When you wantonly destroy peoples source of living or their hard earned assets, they simply never forget.

Comment 4: And you know what’s worse? The social and intellectual framework that serve to legitimize these devious political actors are well entrenched in our ranks: the so-called working class.

It may not take more than a handful of comments to this post before you find one of these scoundrels trying to either justify or euphemize these horrible anti-people actions.

And no, the word ‘scoundrel’ isn’t an insult; it’s a perfectly valid description for dishonesty, especially the dangerous kind we see displayed here every other day. I assure you, these evil politicians would be mostly ineffectual without these lot.

There is nothing as dangerous to a society as intentionally creating moral ambiguity and muddying the waters in terms of what constitutes ‘right’ and ‘wrong’, or more simply ‘just’ and ‘unjust’.

Comment 5: Stop concluding every action taken is politically motivated, have you been to Alaba market.. go and see how people have encroached into areas that are not supposed… right of way, alternative routes and makeshift that has been used by criminals for gun running, drugs and other crimes.. and besides the majority of people affected are the hausa in the Alaba Ravi area… empathy can not fix a country, rule of law and adherence with respect for constituted authority and laws … for the Alaba case, it has nothing to do with politics, it is pure sanity… have you seen trade fair too and encroachment on the Festac area too… we want government to be decisive and also be empathetic… we can have both…

My Response: I have not been to those areas including Kano, Alaba, Festac, Owerri, etc for years. Tell me what you have seen in Kano and these areas and explain if previous governments were not leading them. My position is that some of these citizens are also victims as some of these properties/lands were genuinely sold by the government which wants to destroy them now. 

Take people to a fast-track court system so that the bad government actors will be brought into the midst. In Kano, people have documents duly signed by the government; another comes to destroy their properties. In Alaba, the government built some of those properties and sold them to citizens. In Festac, the government approved some of these illegal structures. A court process will make sure everyone’s voice is heard instead of the jungle you think is “firm” without addressing the root cause.

When the Billionaire Wants To Borrow Funds

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I think I educated today. Let me share the comments and my responses. It may help some young people going into finance. I write as an ex-banker (a really good one) and founder/chairman of a US-based investment banking institution which invests $$millions across the globe yearly.

QUESTION on if billionaires care when their assets drop in value: “I sometimes wonder if billionaires care about these ratings. Once you make a few billion dollars, what is it that one billionaire can do that you can’t? “

My RESPONSE: Does ranking matter? I respond YES, the higher you’re ranked, the easier banks see you as a good risk for loans. Consider this brief which I will write if I am asked to raise money for Dangote:

“This client is Africa’s richest man and the most dominant businessman in sub-Saharan Africa. For more than 20 years, Forbes, Bloomberg, Fortune, etc have recognized the excellence he has demonstrated in his enterprises. He plans to venture into Sun-Direct Electricity, tapping the inner layers of the sun to power every part of Africa. This has never been done before and it offers a massive opportunity to fix the energy poverty problem in Africa.

Our client is looking for $50billion. Four banks have already committed $35billion and we’re working to close the balance of $15billion. As Africa’s richest man with a durable position on all the major wealth rankings, we model that his risk is well mitigated.

More so, he owns 85% of Dangote Cement and a chunk of other entities within Dangote Group which pay an excess of $1 billion in dividend yearly, meaning that his capacity to service this debt is well contained. Kindly review the attached investment brief and let me read you in three days.

Ndubuisi, Tekedia Capital”

1/2 (I will share a sample of an investment brief later. We have one in Tekedia Startup Masterclass as a sample though) Source

 

2/2 . QUESTION: “…There are probably very rich people that only farm. I am assuming banks won’t lend them money to launch a satcom business.”

MY RESPONSE: “There are probably very rich people that only farm. I am assuming banks won’t lend them money to launch a satcom business.” If you are rich and need money from a bank, most times, they do not care what you plan to do with that money provided they are sure you will pay back. Due diligence happens extensively for the poor folks.

What do they look to be sure you can pay back? Easy. If you run a farm business (Farm Ltd) and generate $500m in profit and the business is valued at $3B, and want to go into satcom business and need $500m, you will get your funds.

Why? I will ask for 50% of the farm business equity as a collateral and power of attorney for 50-80% all dividends to be paid for the debts. Magically, there is no risk to giving you $500 million since I have secured the bottom. If the shares  of Farm Ltd begin to drop, by the time it drops from $3b to $1b, I will sell to get my money back.

Very rich people do not need to write head-cracking business plans as WE THE PEOPLE do; you actually beg them to borrow because they have limited risks since there are assets which mitigate the risk.

Comment on Feed

Comment 1: But individual person is not the same as a corporate person that is assessed for borrowing purposes. Billionaires use trusts and holding companies to hold shares of companies. Dangote’s resume may get huge loans but in reality it is his companies claims against society that the banks will fund. It will be easier to list the entity that is borrowing.

My Response: Of course, in context, it is Dangote company that borrows. Not sure Dangote as a person needs to borrow money. Borrow for what? Milk or indomie. We’re discussing his company. Yet, if you own 85% of a company, banks will see you as being the company.

Comment 2: I suppose this speaks more to credible counter parties and the reliability of their cash flows backed by assets accumulated overtime from retained earnings. The challenge is that earnings expectations are usually missed and could lead to downgrade of borrowing capacity.

My Response: VERY RICH PEOPLE, not just rich people, meet those yardsticks of “reliability of their cash flows backed by assets accumulated overtime from retained earnings”. The portfolio is designed in such a way that if one side struggles, what is causing the struggles will help the other side.

My Support to Nigeria’s “Poorer” Billionaires

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Let me send my words of support(!) to Aliko Dangote and other billionaires as many of them become “poorer”, following the floating, swimming or flying of the Naira: Nigeria giveth, Nigeria taketh; it is all good!  But truth be told, if Nigeria can isolate the vagaries of exchange rate in business, the nation will rise.

“Aliko Dangote, the Chairman of Dangote Group, a leading conglomerate in Africa, is no longer the richest man in Africa, according to Forbes. In a billionaire list updated recently by the Magazine, Dangote lost his long-held position to South African billionaire Johann Rupert, after the wealth of the Nigerian plummeted by a whopping $3.4 billion in a day, following the decision of the Nigerian government to float the naira, the nation’s currency.”

Comment On Feed

Comment 1: I sometimes wonder if billionaires care about these ratings. Once you make a few billion dollars, what is it that one billionaire can do that you can’t?

My Response: Provided they put those in their bios, I will assume they care. There are phases of wealth nonetheless. And yes, the more you are ranked, the easier banks see you as a good risk to give loans. Consider this brief which I will write if I am asked as a banker to raise money for Dangote: 

“This client is Africa’s richest man and the most dominant businessman in sub-Saharan Africa. For more than 20 years, Forbes, Bloomberg, Fortune, and other leading brands have recognized the excellence he has demonstrated in his enterprises. He plans to venture into Sun-Direct Electricity, tapping the inner layers of the sun to power every part of Africa. This  has never been done before and it offers a massive opportunity to fix the energy poverty problem in Africa. 

Our client is looking for $50 billion. Four banks have already committed $35billion and we’re working to close the balance of $15 billion. As Africa’s richest man with a durable position on all the major wealth rankings, we model that his risk is well mitigated. More so, he owns 85% of Dangote Cement and a chunk of other entities within Dangote Group which pay an excess of  $1 billion in dividend yearly meaning that his capacity to service this debt is well contained. Kindly review the attached  investment brief and let me read you in three days -Ndubuisi Ekekwe, Tekedia Capital”

Comment 1R: Ndubuisi, this man. I am just having a laugh here. The funny thing is that it’s actually how the framing always goes, it’s a great risk to lend big amount of money to a poor man, no matter how grand his proposed idea is…

Comment 2: Ndubuisi Ekekwe you earlier said the fortune of the naira will be determined not by CBN monetary policies but by factories and warehouses, and now you are still saying “if Nigeria can isolate the vagaries of exchange rate in business, the nation will rise”. I find it hard to really comprehend your position with this floating of the naira.

My Response: Whether you use factories, warehouses, or financial engineering, the destination is one place: ” isolate the vagaries of exchange rate in business,” You already know how we can get there via production, I do not need to repeat it every day. But the point is clear: you need to stabilize the exchange rate, no matter how you plan to do it. There is nothing I wrote here that should confuse or complicate comprehension. 

Comment 2R: I sincerely understand your point that production is the panacea to redeeming the old glory of the naira. However, one should not dismiss the fact that a good financial engineering is also needed that will give investors confidence and help production in the long term.
There’s been so much arbitrage opportunities with the fixed exchange rate, which should be eliminated and also to give investors confidence that they can repatriate their $$$ when they invest in our economy.
We won’t start building factories over night. It’s a long a and painful process. In the short term, we need good monetary policies.

My Response:  “I sincerely understand your point that production is the panacea to redeeming the old glory of the naira” – great that it is clear now

“However, one should not dismiss the fact that a good financial engineering is also needed” – I have NEVER said that we do not need it. If that is the case, we will close CBN. My point is that besides it, you need to make things since financial engineering since 1985 has NEVER worked for Nigeria. It works, then it fades. Simply, we need to have a long-term manufacturing policy (manufacturing here includes service, making things physical and digital)


Nice comments across the ecosystems on the response I left on the Dangote billionaire article: “I like the investment brief introduction, could you share a sample of an investment brief?” Let me respond generally that I will find a way to “declassify” the sample we use in Tekedia Startup Masterclass, and when done, I will share here. But note that I own a banking institution (Tekedia Capital)  in America, and we help organizations raise $$millions all the time. So, that entry was not a social media response; see it as a banker and expert whose akara, moi moi, nkwobi, etc depend on it.