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From Sri Lanka to Ghana to El Salvador, Economies Under Stress

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As the world watches the paralysis in the failed Sri Lanka, check your personal economy. Ghana is now a big concern. Egypt is there. El Salvador is there. Nigeria is in a gestation period with huge implications ahead of 2023 elections. The hopeful effervescence  of South Africa is challenged by youth unemployment and they are ramping up violence daily (19 died this weekend). From all indicators, I expect massive sovereign defaults and severe deterioration of many currencies. 

The Ghanaian cedi has lost 30.56% against the US dollar in 6months. The drop in the Cedi comes despite Ghana’s central bank’s hawkish stance to stamp out inflation.

As the dollar index (DXY) maintains its bullish momentum, the Cedi seems to be heading in the opposite direction. At the time of writing this article, the USD/GHS up 30.56% (YTD) to trade a 7.89 Cedi.

At a time when Ghana is facing economic disruptions caused by the Russian-Ukraine war, a stronger US dollar supported by hikes in US interest rates would only accelerate  the depreciation.

The biggest news now is that President Biden has to meet a man he initially ignored to speak with on phone. Yes, Saudi Crown Prince. Reading his piece in the Washington Post, you can see that even the United States feels the urgency to strike partnerships to avert a major economic upheaval.

The war in Ukraine has provided a validation that some statistics the world has relied on is faulty. No one would have believed that Russia and Ukraine have these impacts on global food security. But with both cut out due to sanctions and war, the world is now rattled with even the “major” suppliers of food confused.

Nigeria has lost physical security. President Buhari needs to do all to ensure we do not lose Food Security. Where he fails to do that, via all means necessary, it would be devastating.  This becomes necessary as our leaders continue to make statements which make no sense: “The Kuje custodial centre that was attacked by terrorists on Tuesday was Nigeria’s most fortified prison, interior minister Rauf Aregbesola has said. Mr Aregbesola said this in a statement on Friday after visiting the prison.

“Now my position is so clear, I have declared since April 2021 that all our facilities are red zones and that whoever attempts an attack may not live to tell the story. I still maintain this.

“Kuje is the most fortified in the country. It is medium by size but maximum by the security being put there. We have a platoon of security officers deployed here.”

The minister said that although the prison is officially a ‘medium’ security prison, it was the most fortified in the country.” Yes, it is the most fortified, but it was attacked for hours, and no help came even though it is within the nation’s capital! That denial is part of our problems just as we have been talking about crude oil theft with no action.

Mr. Kennedy [Managing Director of Chevron Nigeria/Mid Africa Business Unit, Richard Kennedy] emphasized the need not to confuse the agitations of host communities of oil-producing areas with the spate of crude oil theft being carried out in the area.

“From my experience, the issue with crude oil theft should not be confused with host community issues. It is much much much bigger than that. It is completely different from host community issues. Quite frankly it is organized crime.” 

He also revealed that the level of theft is costing Nigeria millions of dollars daily in lost revenue which could have helped solve our fiscal challenges.

“The volume of crude that is being stolen is well beyond comprehension. You can see some of the figures in the press, maybe it’s about 100,000 barrels per day at $100 per barrel and that’s $10 million per day that is being stolen. And NNPC owns 60% while taxes of 85% are paid so it’s a huge loss for the country.” 

Globally, provided the Western powers continue to focus only on Ukraine, we may see what happened in Sri Lanka take place in other places: ‘Thousands of protesters in the Sri Lankan capital Colombo have taken over the president’s residence, BBC reports. And the president is resigning: “Sri Lankan President Gotabaya Rajapaksa has announced he will step down after protesters stormed his official residence and set the prime minister’s house on fire.”’ So, do not count on leaders to lead. You just have to have your plan.

Protesters Storm Sri Lankan capital and Swim in Presidential Pool

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Thousands of protesters in the Sri Lankan capital Colombo have taken over the president’s residence, BBC reports. And the president is resigning: “Sri Lankan President Gotabaya Rajapaksa has announced he will step down after protesters stormed his official residence and set the prime minister’s house on fire.”

They have been protesting for days now over severe economic paralysis in the Asia country. In Sri Lanka, even if you have money to buy fuel (assume you can find it) for your car, you are not permitted as the nation does not have enough fuel to power essential services.

As that mild fire was burning, some guys decided to check out the presidential swimming pool. We may not connect this directly to Russia’s war in Ukraine, but I can tell you that a global order is being distorted with many moving parts now.

The world is sick now  – and I make that point because the government of Sri Lanka has begged everyone to even supply it with fuel so that it could power hospitals, public transportation, etc, and none listened. Possibly, global leaders want a change in leadership before they move. But who knows? It is a big challenge with all the attention on Ukraine – many countries will fall by the flanks.

Neither the PM nor the president were in the buildings.

Hundreds of thousands descended on the capital Colombo, calling for Mr Rajapaksa to resign after months of protests over economic mismanagement.

Mr Rajapaksa will step down on 13 July. PM Wickremesinghe has agreed to resign.

Parliamentary speaker Mahinda Abeywardana said the president decided to step down “to ensure a peaceful handover of power”.

“I therefore request the public to respect the law and maintain peace,” he said

The Song in Atlanta – Onye kwe, chi ya ekwe

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From the amazing Morehouse College Atlanta, USA (an all-male, historically black school), young men drop those ageless words in the Igbo Nation: if you believe, your personal (chi) will believe. That is the spirit that drives the republican mindset of entrepreneurial capitalism, personal liberty and responsibility.

Onye kwe, chi ya ekwe [if you believe, your personal god will follow along]. It looks ecclesiastical when young men make heaven pay attention. If you understand what they are saying in that short stanza, you will understand how their chis are connecting to the main Chi (Chineke, the Chukwu Abiama). Udo diri unu [peace unto you all]

 

Comment on LinkedIn Feed

My Response to a comment: Chi kwe first then madu kwe. But madu kwe first then chi kwe. The capital Chi is Chineke, the Supreme God while the small cap chi is the personal god. In Igbo mythology, chi submits to madu (the person) while madu submits to Chi (Osebuluwa, the Supreme God).

Twitter Vows Legal Fight After Elon Musk Abandons $44 Million Deal

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Recall that earlier this year, Tesla CEO Elon Musk made a move to buy Twitter for a whopping $44 billion. The deal was however placed on hold for a while after Musk suggested that Twitter provides him with information that will aid him to facilitate his evaluation of spam and fake accounts on the platform.

However, the Twitter board disclosed that there is zero chance that Twitter will simply accept Musk’s assertion, and if he eventually opts out of the deal, things will get messy. Musk however revealed that the more questions he asks about certain things on the Twitter platform, the more his concern grows and he is yet to receive a concrete answer on how many fake or spam accounts are on the platform.

Musk disclosed that he believes 20 percent of Twitter accounts are fake. He however states that such a number is high and needs to be significantly reduced which was his reason for renegotiation of the deal in the first place.

After much consideration from the Twitter board, it disclosed its plans to close the transaction and enforce a merger agreement between Musk and Twitter. The board and Musk agreed to a transaction of $54.20 per share as they believe the deal is in the best interest of all its shareholders.

However, the deal seems not to sit well with Musk who recently disclosed that he is terminating the deal due to the CEO’s refusal to show proof of the 5% fake accounts. In a letter by Musk’s lawyer, Mike Ringler he disclosed that his client had complained to Twitter’s board seeking data about fake or spam accounts for almost two months, yet they have failed to provide the information.

In the letter, it reads; “Twitter has failed or refused to provide this information. Sometimes Twitter has ignored Mr. Musk’s requests, sometimes it has rejected them for reasons that appear to be unjustified, and sometimes it has claimed to comply while giving Mr. Musk incomplete or unusable information”. 

In response to the letter, the Chair of Twitter’s board Bret Taylor via a tweet stated that the board is committed to closing the transaction on the price and terms that have earlier been agreed upon by the two parties.

However, with Musk, they plan to pursue legal action to enforce the merger agreement. He however disclosed that Twitter is confident that it will emerge victorious in the Delaware Court of Chancery.

The deal requires that if Musk pulls out, he will be mandated to pay Twitter the sum of $1 billion termination fee and could be subjected to additional litigation due to damages.

Twitter and Musk already have a binding agreement signed by him as they intend to hold him to it. Recall that Twitter in a journalistic briefing already shed more light on how it counts spam accounts, disclosing that it removes 1 million spam accounts daily, as the accounts represent below 5%.

However, Musk seems not to be buying into that, as he believes that there is more than what meets the eye. This has raised concerns from people, with a lot of them stating that if Musk really wanted to purchase Twitter he would have done so a long time ago, because it makes no sense to pull out of the deal by using bots and spam as an excuse which is lame.

It is believed that the spam accounts are not the only reason Musk might try to opt out of the deal, as Twitter’s share price fell dramatically since his takeover bid in April, leading to the impression that he is overpaying.

Foreign Investments in Nigeria (Legal Framework, Incentives and Safeguards)

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Nigeria still remains the single largest market in Africa, and despite the current slump in economic growth it maintains a top choice among the top  investment destinations in the continent due to its relatively high consumer sophistication and strong purchasing power. 

However, Nigeria like any other jurisdiction has its own share of complexities that include the somewhat unavailable amount of exhaustive information on the Regulatory Framework governing Foreign investments in the country. Not understanding the laws, rules, regulations and incentives governing Foreign investment in Nigeria, made clearer and straightforward as a result of the measures put in place by the Presidential Enabling Business Environment Council (PEBEC) can prove risky with resulting losses. 

So if you’re a foreigner or Diaspora-based Nigerian looking for alternative viable investment destinations considering the current global recession kicking in, or you’re a Foreign Investment firm seeking to take advantage of rising sectors in Nigeria like Real Estate and Tech, this article is for you and deals with the topics of :- 

  1. What Foreign Investment is.
  1. The types of Foreign Investment in Nigeria.
  1. The Legal/Regulatory Framework governing Foreign investments in Nigeria.
  1. The types of businesses you can and cannot engage in within Nigeria.
  1. The incentives open to Foreign Investors in Nigeria.

 

What is Foreign Investment? 

Foreign Investment simply means the direct or indirect Investment in domestic businesses and assets in another country for the purpose of making a profit by a Foreign Investor. 

What are the types of Foreign Investment in Nigeria? 

Foreign Investment in Nigeria can be either: 

  1. Foreign Portfolio Investments (FPIs) – which are carried out by investing in stocks and securities of an existing Nigerian company, or;
  1. Foreign Direct Investments (FDIs) – which involve registering or incorporating a business entity (except when exempted by the Federal Government of Nigeria) and buying assets for the purpose of carrying on business in Nigeria . Foreign Direct Investments can be either :-

a). Horizontal FDIs – Investments by a Foreign investor taking the form of acquiring business assets in Nigerian businesses belonging to the same industry as the Foreign Investor e.g. the US Tech company Stripe & the Nigerian Fintech company Paystack; 

b). Vertical FDIs – Foreign Investments that take the form of acquisitions by a Foreign investor in a company supply chain which may or may not belong to the same industry as the investor, most times referred to as backward or forward integration e.g The Multinational Food products company Mondelez acquiring Cocoa plantations in Nigeria (backward integration) or a Nigerian food brand like Natnudo buying a South African food supermarket chain like SPAR(forward integration); 

c). Conglomerate FDIs – Investments made in Nigerian businesses belonging to totally different industries e.g South Korean manufacturing company Samsung Electronics acquiring Nigerian retailing chain Cash N Carry. 

d). Platform FDIs – Which involves investing in Nigeria to carry on the business of manufacturing for onward export to a 3rd or several other countries. e.g Tolaram West Africa being based and carrying out most of its operations in Nigeria. 

What are the laws, agencies and regulations governing Foreign Investments in Nigeria? 

The law, agencies and regulations governing Foreign Investments in Nigeria are as follows:- 

The Companies and Allied Matters Act 2020–  which establishes and guides the Corporate Affairs Commission in charge of the registration and operation of business entities in Nigeria. 

Under this law, every foreign company intending to set up a going business venture or concern in Nigeria (except when falling under the category of companies exempted upon application to the Secretary to the Government of the Federation)must be registered as a corporate entity in Nigeria with its own legal personality. 

The Central Bank of Nigeria:- Created by the Central Bank of Nigeria Act and which is in charge of the full spectrum of Banking operations in Nigeria from licensing to appointments as well the country’s Foreign Exchange/Currency reserve administration. 

The Nigerian Investment Promotion Commission Act :- Responsible for the creation of the Nigerian Investment Promotion Commission which is the prime regulatory agency governing Foreign investment in Nigeria. 

The Investment and Securities Act (ISA) :- Through which the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) is empowered to regulate Investments by way of Securities acquisitions as well as maintaining statutory records of FPIs in Nigeria. 

The Foreign Exchange Monitoring and Miscellaneous Provisions Act (FEMMA)– Which is a regulatory check governing Foreign Exchange transactions on an Autonomous Foreign Exchange market also created by the act in Nigeria. 

The National Office For Technology Acquisition & Promotion Act(NOTAPA) :- Which created the National Office For Technology Acquisition & Promotion (NOTAP), which is a government agency in charge of governing and supervising the registration of technology transfer and acquisition in Nigeria. 

You mentioned something about companies exempted from registration in Nigeria. Could you please shed more light on this? 

Foreign companies can be exempted from the requirement of Incorporation in Nigeria under the CAMA 2020 by virtue of being granted an exemption status. 

This grant is usually made upon an application in writing to the Secretary to the Government of the Federation and is applicable to Foreign companies that match the following criteria:- 

– Foreign companies invited to Nigeria by it with the approval of the Federal Government to execute specific projects in Nigeria. 

– Foreign companies which are in Nigeria for the execution of specific individual loan projects on behalf of a donor country or organization. 

– Foreign government-owned companies engaged solely in export promotion activities. 

– Engineering consultants and technical experts engaged in any individual specialist project under agreement with any government in Nigeria or their agencies or with any other body or person where such an agreement has been approved by the Federal Government. 

It should be noted that exemption status grants can be revoked and such revocations must be gazetted. 

It is also necessary for an exempted company to secure a Certificate of Tax exemption even though it is assumed that all exempted companies are tax-exempted. 

A foreign exempted company is required to deliver to the Corporate Affairs Commission a statutory form annually by virtue of its consequent status as an unregistered company. 

Okay. What businesses in Nigeria am i disallowed from engaging in as a Foreign Investor? 

By virtue of the Nigerian Investment Promotion Commission Act, you can’t engage in businesses that fall under the “Negative List” category which includes businesses like:- 

– The production of arms and Military hardware. 

– The production and distribution of Narcotics and Psychotropic substances. 

– Military and Paramilitary uniform,gear and accoutrement manufacturing. 

– Any other items as may be determined from time to time. 

What are the incentives in Nigeria that are open to potential Foreign investors like me? I’ve heard some not-so-nice things about Nigeria and i just want to be sure my investment will be well-protected. 

Not to worry, here are some of the incentives open to Foreign Investors in Nigeria:- 

  1. The NIPC act ensures free market participation and share purchasing rights in the Nigerian Stock Market open to Foreign Investors.

It also provides the options of free transferability of funds through the country’s licensed Financial Service system in any currency as well as protection against Nationalization (public/government ownership takeover of private assets) and expopriation(Government takeover of private assets on the basis of overall public benefit). 

The act also grants statutory protection against mandated surrender of capital by Foreign Investors and provides that where National Interest acquisitions of private property and assets are deemed necessary, there must be adequate compensation and a right to seek intervention by Nigeria’s courts for the purposes of determining the investor’s interest and his subsequent accurate compensation entitlement which must be paid without delays of any sort, compensation which can be repatriated in convertible currency. 

Where this fails, a Foreign Investor can resort to International Arbitration within the framework of bilateral and multiple Investment Promotion and Protection agreements where they exist between Nigeria and the home country of the Foreign Investor or a recourse to the International Center for the Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID) where uncertainty as to the means of dispute resolution comes up. 

  1. The Introduction of Investor Visas pursuant to the Nigerian Immigration Act, the Nigerian Immigration Regulations, and the 2020 Visa policy open to Foreign Investors importing a yearly minimum capital threshold into the country.

This Visa can be applied for at any Nigerian Embassy and has a validity span of 5 years and comes with a renewal option and resident/investment permit in Nigeria. 

  1. The FEMMA allows for Capital repatriation by virtue of which any Foreign Investor can invest in any enterprise or company’s security/stock offerings with capital imported through an authorized dealer (mainly Commercial Banks) in exchange for a Certificate of Capital Importation to be given to the Foreign Investor.

Capital imported in this manner is guaranteed free transferability options in convertible currencies be it as profits or payments in respect of loan servicing and proceeds of sale remittance or the liquidation of the enterprise or as interest accrued on Investments made. 

This consequently means that Foreign Investment capital can be brought into the country and a 100% of profits can be repatriated to the Investor’s home country hitch-free, although this has to be reported to the Central Bank of Nigeria and the Minister of Finance. 

  1. The Arbitration and Conciliation Act of Nigeria gives the Foreign Investor the option of recourse to Alternative Dispute Resolution methods apart from litigation within Nigeria’s Court system.

This act also grants reciprocal applicability to the Convention on the Recognition and Enforcement of Foreign Awards to any award made in any contracting state arising out of International Commercial Arbitration as long as reciprocal legislation exists in the Investor’s home country providing for the enforcement of arbitral awards made in Nigeria. 

Arbitral awards pursuant to reciprocal enforcement treaties and ICSID arbitration are binding and enforceable irrespective of the country in which they are made upon application to the court . 

  1. The Companies Income Tax Act (CITA) provides Tax relief incentivized earned in Commonwealth member countries that are also liable to Tax in Nigeria.
  1. The Industrial Development Income Tax Relief Act grants a number of Tax relief incentives that include:-

– Pioneer status-related Tax relief for Foreign Investors for 3-5 years or outright Tax exemptions. Pioneer Status certificates are to be issued by the NIPC. 

– 7-year Tax holidays for Industries located in poor or relatively backward Local Government Areas(LGAs) 

– Tax holiday incentives under this act are open to Industries which include those in Rubber plantation and processing, Real Estate development and utilities, Pharmaceuticals manufacturing, Telecommunications, Iron & Steel manufacture from Iron Ore, Cement production,Gas cylinder manufacturing and Solar Energy equipment. 

Dividend payments in the possession of shareholders are not liable to Tax where Pioneer Status companies pay dividends during their Pioneer Status window periods. In the event of losses during the Pioneer status window period, such losses can be used going forward to offset against future profits after the Tax exemption period. 

  1. Export Processing Zones(EPZs) –

Foreign Investors are entitled to remit profits and dividends earned on Investments within Export Processing Zones as well 100% Foreign Investment ownership, rent-free land(construction stage) & Import/Export Licence waivers. 

EPZ participation also grants exemptions from all Government-level taxes in Nigeria as well as concessions on Expatriate quota requirements for companies operating in the EPZ regarding the employment of foreign managers and qualified expatriate staff. 

EPZ participation lastly comes with Duty-free Tax concessions on raw material components of goods to be exported. 

  1. Industries that carry out Research and Development (R & D) are entitled to a 20% Investment Tax concession where the research is aimed at business profits or will be marked-off against profit by virtue of being classified as Capital expenditure where research is long-term oriented.
  1. The CITA also grants incentives to Foreign Investors where they provide basic facilities (roads, potable water systems, Solar Energy provision, healthcare,etc) within 20km of their Industry/Factory/Business locations that are ordinarily the responsibility of the government, though the cost of providing these facilities to the tune of 20% is Tax-deductible.
  1. Investment Tax relief incentives similar to those under the Rural Investment Allowance provided by CITA but is only available for a term of 3 years where the beneficiary company lacks Pioneer status.
  1. Foreign Investors that achieve a minimum required amount of Local raw material content are entitled to a 5-year Tax credit incentive of 20%.
  1. Foreign Investors are entitled to Tax concessions of 6%-15% when they employ labour to the tune of 100-1000 staff.
  1. Foreign Investors who are citizens of countries that are signatories to agreements with Nigeria on Double Taxation prevention enjoy Capital Gains Tax relief.
  1. Foreign Investors who are citizens of Countries that are signatories to Investment Promotion & Protection Agreements (IPPAs) with Nigeria are entitled to Investment protection in Nigeria. This applies to citizens of countries that include Holland, Canada,the UK and France.
  1. The  ECOWAS (Economic Community of West African States) Trade Liberalization Scheme & African Continental Free Trade Agreement (ACFTA) to which Nigeria is a signatory party opens more opportunities to Foreign Investors by :-

a). Establishing a single market bloc made up of 54 countries in Africa which allows for free movement of Investments and traveling as well as a conceptual single Customs union for the purpose of Continental Investment attraction in the medium and long run; 

b). Providing protection against arbitrary Nationalization without established grounds of national interest or sufficient compensation; 

c). Providing for the elimination of duties on the import and export of goods made in the ECOWAS zone as well as impediments in the form of tariffs; 

  1. Foreign Investment protection granted by virtue of Nigeria being a signatory party to a number of International conventions and agreements aimed at promoting and safeguarding Foreign Investments such as the ICSID convention and the UN Convention on the Recognition and Enforcement of Foreign Arbitral Awards (The New York convention).
  1. The Grundnorm (The Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria) which guarantees to Foreign Investors the same rights guaranteed to Nigerian citizens, rights which include the right to life, association, owning property and the option to seek Legal redress in Court.

Conclusion:- It can be seen from the above write-up that the Regulatory and Incentive Framework for Foreign Investment in Nigeria has been greatly improved, providing a world of opportunities to Foreign Investors that have the right professional guidance and diligent Legal Counsel close by to enable them make the right Investment decisions backed by adequate due diligence going forward.