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Waiting for AbokiFX Whitepaper On How It Determines The Naira Rates

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I am very surprised that abokiFX has easily suspended publishing rates. This is what simpletons do. Yes, instead of publishing a white paper to defend its data collection mechanism, it froze. And with this universal suspension, it does appear increasingly that the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) was right on the money!

Companies are accused of things all the time. Typically, you open your playbook and explain what you are doing. Coinbase, Rohinhood, etc do not suspend operations because of regulatory accusations or oversights. So, when companies easily chicken-out, the implication is that something bad may be happening.

It would be a serious betrayal to all Nigerians if indeed AbokiFX was pushing those rates without any supporting data. I mean, the FX business is built on data and that data system is expected to be empirical. But here when a company is not even bold to defend its process, you get a sense that it was flaming.

Do not remind me that CBN may be a bully. That does not qualify here. You do not push fake “data” to markets without consequences. I am hoping that CBN is wrong and AbokiFX was improperly maligned. But if otherwise, that would be troubling.

May it not be that they were just playing with numbers without any core basis and in the process dragging a nation down. What abokiFX does is not bad but it has to be data-driven and unbiased. Aggregators are vital in markets provided the data collection process has no fudge factor. I do think by having an easy way to know the parallel rates, transactions can move faster.

With that, I am still asking, without AbokiFX to rely on, what is the current black market rate of Naira? If you struggle with that, you will then appreciate why digital aggregators are super-amazing in redesigning market equilibrium points.

 

Comment On LinkedIn Feed

Comment #1: Very apt perspective. I couldn’t agree more.

This action taken by AbokiFx suggests they have deliberately acted in bad faith and outrightly broken the law which may be subject to prosecution. However, if this is not the case, the basis for their price discovery should be published for public review.

It is pertinent to underscore the importance of a price agregator in the parallel market and in my view, I disagree that publishing figures based on market price discovery (for a non-bank) is in violation of of the law but what do I know?

My Response: “I disagree that publishing figures based on market price discovery (for a non-bank) ” – the premise of your point is that there was a price discovery to start with. What if they were waking up and fudging numbers, what would you say?

Also, not being a bank is irrelevant. You do not need to be a bank to be operating in the “banking industry”. People went to jail in UK for manipulating libor rates. People are being prosecuted in US for inflating stocks in Reddit. Governments do not see “financial institutions” as only those who wear suits. The game has since changed.

Comment #2: On Friday, the dollar exchanged at 570, today it goes for 575 two days after AbokiFX suspended operations. There is a reason why AbokiFX decided to shut down operations and anybody who knows Nigeria under these guys would know that its best to just shutdown to appease them.

My Response: the issue is not the rate. The issue is the process for the largest parallel market rate supplier in Africa. You called and got N570 possibly in Lagos. But Lagos, Aba, Kano, Owerri, etc have different rates at any time. AbokiFX quotes for Nigeria, not Aba, Lagos or Abuja. How does it come to that number. If it has that data, it does not need to suspend. AbokiFX, CBN, etc will not fix FX crises, only factories and warehouses (modern and old) will do. That is a constant.

As Nigeria Waits for Dangote Refinery on Fuel, CBN Detours To AbokiFX on Naira

How Information Asymmetry or Symmetry Determines Competition, Currency Performance in FOREX Market

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Nigerian market currency
Nigerian market currency

In every market, there are buyers and sellers. Both the buyers and sellers are usually in competitive environments, where the power of negotiation and access to information would greatly impact what they capture as values. Globally, foreign exchange market has buyers and sellers, and regulators such as the Central Banks and other agencies saddled with the responsibility of ensuring sustainable performance of the national currencies against the global ones.

Access to adequate information helps the participants in making informed decisions during trading times. Apart from the fact that apex banks are expected to be the main key information disseminators about the exchange rate, news media and information portals with the focus of providing daily foreign exchange information are also others expected to feed the public. However, it is logical that news media and others source their information from the apex banks, being the main regulators.

This seems not to be the ideal as the recent events, especially in the developing worlds, indicate gathering and dissemination of market information from parallel markets. Since forex is mostly influenced by the forces of supply and demand, it is expected that information that certain participants have and others do not have would help them in gaining competitive advantage within the context of buying and selling of currencies. Whereas, having the same information would benefit all the market participants.

Having information that others do not have has been described as information asymmetry, while having the same information others possess mean information symmetry. In both situations, as stressed earlier, there are positive and negative gains to all the participants.

Recently, through the Central Bank, the Nigerian government noted that Aboki FX, a platform that provides foreign exchange information, is causing Naira dwindling every day. This has been previously analysed by our analyst. Meanwhile, if the second allegation of the bank against the platform, that the founder engages in the forex business is true, it means he is taking advantage of his access to some other aspects of the data the platform gathers and disseminates daily.

There are a number of researches that establish the consequences of information asymmetry in the foreign exchange market. For example, asymmetric information is pervasive across currency pairs, blockchain transaction activity is a relevant aspect of Bitcoins microstructure, as informed traders make use of the information in general and adjust their expectations based on the degree of information asymmetry and the asymmetric impact of exchange rate changes on the demand for Korean Won.

The underlying transparency of the Bitcoin blockchain allows transactions in the network to be tracked in near real-time. When someone transfers a large number of Bitcoins, the market receives this information and traders can adjust their expectations based on the new information. This paper investigates trading volume and its relation to asymmetric information around transfers on the Bitcoin blockchain. We collect data on 2132 large transactions on the Bitcoin blockchain between September 2018 and November 2019, where 500 or more Bitcoins were transferred. Using event study methodology, we identify significant positive abnormal trading volume for the 15-minute window before a large Bitcoin transaction as well as during and after the event. Using public information about Bitcoin addresses of cryptocurrency exchanges as proxies for information asymmetry, we find that transactions with high levels of information asymmetry negatively affect abnormal trading volume once the event becomes public knowledge, while some effects are even opposite for transactions with lower information asymmetry. The results show that blockchain transaction activity is a relevant aspect of Bitcoinns microstructure, as informed traders make use of the information in general and adjust their expectations based on the degree of information asymmetry.

Editor’s Note: In a subsequent piece, relevant insights that emerged from robust data analysed and established impacts of the two information categories will be published.

 

A Powerful Testimonial On Tekedia Mini-MBA: “Very impactful lecture…blessed to be your student”

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This is just the first week of class and the impacts are already evident.

Exactly what Ndubuisi Ekekwe did last Saturday.

Very impactful lecture from identifying every business evolves from frictions, to developing and maximizing capacities, the higher your capacities the more your making an innovations from your ideas and invention. Am highly inspired with the real life case studies , from Mama Nkechi restaurants experiences in Owerri to discussing facts of the blue chips (Dangote, IBM, Toyota, Tesla etc) am indeed blessed to be your student in Tekedia Institute Faculty, I now process businesses and ideas differently.
Innovations of Firm is fundamental and a godd foundation for the Mini-MBA Programme

Thank you once again Tekedia Institute

Source: LinkedIn

Microsoft Manager To Anchor Tekedia Mini-MBA Live On Strategy & Execution

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Tekedia Mini-MBA Live has started; I kickstarted the business education festival on Saturday, and for our members, it was a magical 90 minute moment of deeper insights on business innovation and growth.

Tomorrow (Tuesday),  Eromosele Omomhenle F.IMS , Senior Manager, Global ISV Alliances and Partner Development in Microsoft global headquarters in Redmond, USA, will anchor a session on Strategy & Execution. He is always amazing and will take us into an excursion on how to craft strategy, execute business playbook and outperform the market.

Time is 7pm WAT; Zoom link in the Board.

Tekedia Institute Mini-MBA: learn from the best.

Join Tekedia Capital And Invest In Africa’s Leading Startups

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We are citizens, investment clubs, angel investors, and companies – and we pool resources to invest in leading startups with focus in continental Africa. These firms are largely technology-anchored, in any sector, and they could be legally established in any place. But they must be majorly operating in Africa.

In this cambrian moment of massive entrepreneurial capitalism, we provide innovators with funds to unlock new vistas of prosperity and opportunities, to advance the wealth in nations, and deepen the welfare of citizens. Oh yes, on the altar of opportunities, we provide resources to the innovating high priests to approach the temple with confidence. Besides funds, we offer mentoring, networking, etc,

Join Tekedia Capital Syndicate as we are about to begin the next investment cycle. Learn more here

 

Ndubuisi Ekekwe

Chairman, Tekedia Capital