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A Look At The Cooling of Bitcoin Perpetual Funding Rates to 6% and Drop in Open Interest

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Bitcoin perpetual funding rates at 6% indicates a cooling in market sentiment compared to earlier double-digit levels, reflecting reduced bullish pressure or leverage demand in the perpetual futures market.

Funding rates, typically calculated every 8 hours, incentivize price alignment between perpetual contracts and Bitcoin’s spot price by having longs pay shorts (positive rate) or vice versa (negative rate). A 6% annualized rate suggests longs are paying shorts a modest fee, pointing to balanced or slightly bullish sentiment, as traders perceive recent price dips as temporary rather than bearish signals.

Open interest dropping to just over 720,000 BTC-denominated contracts signals reduced market participation or leverage, potentially due to profit-taking, liquidations, or cautious sentiment amid price stabilization.

This decline aligns with historical trends where funding rate spikes often precede volatility or corrections, as seen in May 2025 when rates hit 0.010885% daily during a Bitcoin price surge to $111,000. Lower open interest could indicate traders are de-risking, especially if funding rates remain subdued compared to earlier highs.

For context, high funding rates (e.g., 10%+ annualized) often signal over-optimism and leverage, increasing the risk of sharp corrections if sentiment shifts. The current 6% rate and declining open interest suggest a more cautious market, possibly consolidating after a volatile period.

The decline from double-digit funding rates to 6% suggests a decrease in aggressive bullish sentiment and leverage. Traders are less willing to pay high premiums to maintain long positions, indicating a cooling of speculative fervor. This could stabilize prices short-term but may also signal lower conviction in immediate upward price momentum.

The drop in open interest reflects fewer outstanding contracts, likely due to profit-taking, liquidations, or traders reducing exposure. This suggests caution, possibly driven by recent volatility or uncertainty about Bitcoin’s next major price move, especially after earlier highs (e.g., $111,000 in May 2025).

Lower funding rates and open interest reduce the risk of cascading liquidations, which often occur when over-leveraged positions are squeezed during high funding rate periods. This could lead to less short-term price volatility, creating a more stable trading environment.

A 6% funding rate is relatively low, making long positions in perpetual futures less costly compared to high-rate periods. Savvy traders might see this as an opportunity to enter longs, especially if they believe price dips are temporary, though they should watch for negative funding rates that could favor longs further.

With funding rates at moderate levels, arbitrageurs might find opportunities to exploit price discrepancies between perpetual futures and spot markets. Hedging strategies, such as holding spot Bitcoin while shorting futures, could offset funding costs and capitalize on price convergence.

The combination of lower funding rates and declining open interest often precedes market consolidation or range-bound trading. Without strong bullish or bearish catalysts, Bitcoin’s price may stabilize, potentially awaiting macroeconomic events, regulatory news, or on-chain developments to spark the next trend.

Funding rates vary across platforms (e.g., Binance, Deribit). Traders should monitor exchange-specific data, as differences in rates or liquidity could affect strategy execution. A sustained drop in open interest across exchanges might also hint at broader market deleveraging.

Monitor funding rate trends for entry/exit signals. Low or negative rates could favor long positions, while hedging with spot can reduce costs. A cooling market may suggest a pause in momentum, warranting caution on new leveraged positions. Focus on fundamental drivers like adoption or halving cycles.

Lower open interest reduces systemic liquidation risks, but sudden rate spikes could signal renewed volatility—stay vigilant. Verify exchange data and market conditions, as funding rates and open interest can shift rapidly with sentiment or external events.

Traders might monitor funding rate trends for entry/exit timing—low or negative rates can signal cheaper long positions, while hedging with spot market positions could mitigate funding costs. Always verify exchange-specific rates, as they vary (e.g., Binance, Deribit).

Qualcomm CEO Says Intel “Is Not An Option Today”, Putting Chipmaker’s Comeback in the Spotlight

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Qualcomm’s CEO Cristiano Amon handed Intel a blunt reality check on September 5 when he told Bloomberg that Intel “is not an option today” for making Qualcomm’s Snapdragon X chips, while adding that “we would like Intel to be an option.”

The short, pointed assessment lands at a pivotal moment for Intel’s long-run bet to become a major contract foundry, and it exposes a widening gap between Intel’s manufacturing ambitions and the supply relationships of the biggest chip designers.

Amon’s comment matters because Qualcomm’s Snapdragon X family is not a fringe product. Those chips are manufactured on TSMC processes tuned for mobile and mobile-class laptops; Qualcomm’s designs, paired with efficient nodes, are already powering Arm-based notebooks that compete on power efficiency with the best x86 silicon. That makes Qualcomm not only a potential customer Intel badly wants, but also a visible barometer of whether Intel’s process technology measures up in real product terms.

Intel’s roadmap is under heavy scrutiny. The company has placed a huge strategic wager on its 18A node and an ultimate return to leadership, while warning it may halt or delay 14A development if it cannot attract major external customers or hit internal milestones. Recent reporting and industry commentary point to yield and execution problems on 18A and other advanced steps, raising the stakes for Intel’s pitch to outside designers. Amon’s public dismissal narrows Intel’s near-term options for landing marquee foundry customers.

Why the rest of the industry’s biggest design houses keep circling TSMC

Apple, Nvidia, and AMD have kept the world’s most advanced nodes tightly booked with TSMC for years, and those relationships show why Intel faces an uphill climb.

• Apple has repeatedly leaned on TSMC for its flagship A- and M-series chips, using TSMC’s most advanced process variants as a strategic lever to extract performance and power gains for iPhones and Macs. That partnership has helped cement TSMC as the go-to supplier for premium mobile and client SoCs.

• Nvidia’s highest-end GPUs — including Hopper-family dies and the H100 — have been manufactured on customized TSMC processes (TSMC 4N variants), and Nvidia continues to coordinate closely with TSMC on cutting-edge packaging and node work to scale transistor counts and performance for AI workloads. That deep technical coupling is hard to replicate quickly.

• AMD has similarly relied on TSMC for multiple generations of CPUs and GPUs, using the foundry’s 5nm/4nm family to keep parity or lead with performance and energy efficiency. Those supply commitments make it difficult for a new entrant to pry away high-volume design partners.

Taken together, these partnerships show a pattern: top-tier fabless and integrated designers choose foundries that already offer proven yields, node maturity, and packaging ecosystems. For Intel to break into that circle, it must do more than announce roadmaps; it has to demonstrate reliable yields, attractive cost per transistor, and production scale that matters to customers used to TSMC’s timetable.

The irony in Intel’s story is visible in product roadmaps. Intel is planning client-class chips (Nova Lake and related lines) that will, in some cases, mix Intel’s own nodes with TSMC’s N2—an arrangement that underlines both the technical interdependence that still exists and Intel’s current inability to fully replace TSMC for its highest-performance tiers. That reality makes Intel’s pitch to firms like Qualcomm harder to swallow: why move away from a supplier already delivering at scale?

What Qualcomm’s stance signals

Amon’s “not an option today” line is a tangible vote of no confidence for Intel’s near-term foundry story. It also sends a message to the market: Qualcomm will stay where the product meets its performance and efficiency targets. The door is left open for Intel if and when Intel can prove it has the process maturity and yields Qualcomm needs, but for now, Qualcomm is staying with proven suppliers.

For Intel, turning statements and roadmap slides into repeatable production at scale is an execution problem that demands capital, time, and — crucially — anchor customers willing to take early risk. Apple, Nvidia, and AMD are not that kind of early-stage customer anymore; they deploy the world’s leading nodes and partner tightly with the foundry that has delivered them for years.

Against this backdrop, public rejections from heads of major chip designers are expected to keep the pressure on the Santa Clara firm until it can show sustained results on nodes customers care about.

AI Companion App Dot to Shut Down Amid Safety Concerns, Founders’ Split, and Competitive Pressures

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Dot, an AI companion app designed to be a friend and confidante, is shutting down, its parent company, New Computer, announced Friday. The app will remain functional until October 5, giving users time to download their data before the service is taken offline.

Launched in 2024 by Sam Whitmore and former Apple designer Jason Yuan, Dot entered one of the most sensitive corners of the AI market: companionship. It was marketed as more than just a chatbot — a digital friend that could grow increasingly personalized, offering advice, empathy, and emotional support.

Yuan once described Dot as “facilitating a relationship with my inner self. It’s like a living mirror of myself, so to speak.”

A Fragile Sector

But building an AI “friend” is a risky venture for a small startup. Companion bots now face growing scrutiny as reports surface of AI tools exacerbating users’ mental health struggles. Researchers and regulators have warned that such products can reinforce delusional thinking in vulnerable individuals, a phenomenon dubbed “AI psychosis.”

OpenAI is currently being sued by the parents of a California teenager who died by suicide after confiding in ChatGPT about his mental state. Other investigations have pointed to companion apps encouraging unhealthy dependence in people already at risk. Just this week, two U.S. state attorneys general wrote to OpenAI demanding answers on its safety protocols.

Founders’ Diverging Visions

Dot’s makers did not explicitly tie the shutdown to these safety debates. Instead, they attributed the decision to an internal split.

“Rather than compromise either vision, we’ve decided to go our separate ways and wind down operations,” the founders said in a post.

They acknowledged the unusual emotional impact of shuttering such a product: “We want to be sensitive to the fact that this means many of you will lose access to a friend, confidante, and companion, which is somewhat unprecedented in software, so we want to give you some time to say goodbye.”

Users can download their data from the settings page.

Dot suggested in its farewell post that it had “hundreds of thousands” of users. However, figures from app analytics provider Appfigures paint a more modest picture: just 24,500 lifetime downloads on iOS since June 2024. The app never launched on Android.

Market Reality: Why Smaller Startups Struggle

While Dot’s exit is officially framed as a divergence of visions, its struggles also reveal the market pressures stacked against smaller AI companion ventures. Giants like Character.AI and Replika dominate this niche with both scale and capital.

Character.AI, backed by Google’s venture arm, has raised over $150 million and is valued at more than $1 billion. It attracts millions of monthly active users, many of whom spend hours each week role-playing with custom AI companions. Its financial backing allows it to absorb regulatory risks while aggressively improving personalization.

Replika, one of the earliest entrants in the space, reportedly generated tens of millions in annual revenue at its peak. Even after backlash over its sexually explicit features, it has managed to retain a global user base and pivot toward wellness and productivity.

By contrast, Dot’s limited scale — with under 25,000 installs — left it especially vulnerable to both ethical debates and monetization challenges. Unlike larger competitors, Dot lacked the financial cushion to navigate lawsuits, regulatory crackdowns, or the high costs of refining AI models for deeply personalized interaction.

Takeaway

Dot’s shutdown underscores a growing divide: well-capitalized AI companion platforms may thrive despite scrutiny, while smaller startups face outsized risks. The market rewards scale — the ability to invest in guardrails, adapt business models, and weather public controversy. Without those resources, even well-designed products like Dot risk disappearing.

In this sense, Dot’s closure is less an isolated failure and more a reflection of where the AI companion sector is heading. Some industry leaders believe it’s heading toward consolidation around deep-pocketed players.

American Bitcoin Corp’s Nasdaq Debut Signals a New Era For Institutional Bitcoin Exposure

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NASDAQ

American Bitcoin Corp. (ABTC), a Bitcoin mining company backed by Eric and Donald Trump Jr., debuted on the Nasdaq on September 3, 2025, following a merger with Gryphon Digital Mining.

The stock experienced extreme volatility, surging up to 91% to a high of $14 per share before dropping to a low of $6.72, ultimately closing at $8.05, up 16.5% for the day. Trading was halted five times due to sharp price swings, with pauses occurring at 3:09:35 UTC, 3:20:11 UTC, 3:30:54 UTC, 3:40:12 UTC, and 3:47:58 UTC.

These halts were triggered by Nasdaq’s circuit breaker mechanisms to manage volatility. The company, valued at roughly $5 billion, holds 2,443 BTC worth approximately $273 million. The debut reflects growing institutional interest in crypto firms, though critics, including Sen. Elizabeth Warren, raised concerns about potential conflicts of interest due to the Trump family’s involvement and pro-Bitcoin policies.

Implications of ABTC’s Nasdaq Debut

ABTC’s listing provides a regulated, publicly traded vehicle for institutional investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin without directly holding the asset. Its hybrid model—combining Bitcoin mining with opportunistic market purchases—offers a unique blend of operational and speculative exposure, distinct from spot ETFs or traditional miners.

This democratizes access to Bitcoin’s price dynamics and mining economics, appealing to investors wary of crypto’s volatility or technical barriers. Scalability enhances this implication by enabling ABTC to increase Bitcoin per share through efficient mining and strategic purchases.

Leveraging Hut 8’s low-cost infrastructure and ASIC technology, ABTC can scale mining operations without heavy capital expenditure, potentially increasing its Bitcoin treasury (currently 2,443 BTC worth $273M). Expansion into markets like Hong Kong and Japan could further diversify revenue streams, making ABTC a more attractive vehicle for institutional investors seeking global exposure.

However, scaling too rapidly could strain operational efficiency if energy costs or mining difficulty rise significantly. ABTC benefits from a favorable regulatory environment under the Trump administration’s pro-crypto policies, including the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and the SEC’s “Project Crypto” initiative, which treats Bitcoin as a cash equivalent for SPACs.

These policies reduce compliance burdens and enhance investor confidence. However, political affiliations with the Trump family raise concerns about conflicts of interest, as critics like Sen. Elizabeth Warren argue that ABTC may benefit from regulatory favoritism. Scalability strengthens ABTC’s ability to capitalize on these tailwinds by expanding mining capacity and Bitcoin accumulation, aligning with policies that treat Bitcoin as a strategic asset.

However, rapid scaling could amplify scrutiny if political ties are perceived to influence regulatory leniency. International expansion may mitigate domestic regulatory risks but introduces new compliance challenges in foreign markets, potentially complicating governance. ABTC’s debut was marked by extreme volatility, with a 91% surge followed by a 49% drop, closing up 16.5% at $8.05. This reflects speculative fervor and the inherent risks of crypto-linked equities.

The stock’s five trading halts underscore market sensitivity to ABTC’s valuation ($5B) and its Bitcoin treasury. Investors must weigh the potential for high returns against Bitcoin price swings and operational risks. Scalability could stabilize investor sentiment by increasing Bitcoin accumulation efficiency, reducing reliance on volatile market purchases.

However, scaling mining operations increases exposure to rising network difficulty and energy costs, which could erode margins and exacerbate stock volatility if not managed carefully. Transparent production data and disciplined capital allocation will be critical to maintaining investor trust as ABTC scales.

ABTC’s concentrated ownership (80% Hut 8, 20% American Data Centers, with Trump family involvement) ensures strategic alignment but raises governance concerns. Critics highlight the risk of political influence or insider control, which could deter some investors despite the operational stability provided by Hut 8’s expertise.

Scalability could amplify governance risks if rapid expansion dilutes operational oversight or invites regulatory pushback. However, concentrated ownership allows ABTC to execute its growth roadmap swiftly, leveraging Hut 8’s $41.3M Q2 2025 revenue and $137.5M net income to fund scaling without shareholder friction. Balancing transparency with growth will be key to mitigating governance concerns.

ABTC’s merger with Gryphon Digital Mining reflects a broader trend of consolidation in the crypto mining sector, where firms combine to achieve economies of scale and operational efficiency. ABTC’s hybrid model positions it to compete with traditional miners like CleanSpark and corporate Bitcoin holders like MicroStrategy, challenging the latter’s dominance with its 215 BTC treasury.

Scalability is central to ABTC’s competitive edge, as its hybrid model allows it to adapt to market conditions by shifting between mining and purchases. Scaling mining capacity through Hut 8’s infrastructure and expanding internationally could position ABTC as a top Bitcoin holder, but it must navigate rising competition and network difficulty. Failure to optimize energy costs or mining efficiency could weaken its position relative to leaner competitors.

ABTC’s ability to scale hinges on Hut 8’s energy-efficient infrastructure and shared services, which reduce SG&A expenses and capital costs. For example, Hut 8’s Q2 2025 revenue grew 17% to $41.3M, driven by infrastructure upgrades. Scaling mining operations with next-generation ASICs and expanding into low-cost energy markets could lower Bitcoin production costs, enhancing profitability and investor appeal.

However, rising energy prices or supply chain disruptions for ASIC hardware could offset these gains, impacting margins. ABTC’s dual strategy of self-mining and opportunistic purchases aims to maximize Bitcoin per share. Scalability enables ABTC to increase its 2,443 BTC treasury through efficient mining and strategic market buys, potentially rivaling MicroStrategy’s holdings.

The $2.1B at-the-market offering announced post-debut will fund further accumulation and equipment upgrades, but scaling too aggressively could expose ABTC to Bitcoin price volatility if market conditions sour. ABTC’s plans to expand into Hong Kong and Japan diversify its operational footprint, reducing reliance on U.S. energy markets and regulatory risks.

Scalability here could unlock new revenue streams and attract global investors, but it introduces currency risks, compliance challenges, and geopolitical tensions in mining hubs. Effective scalability requires robust local partnerships and regulatory navigation. Scaling ABTC’s operations aligns with the Trump administration’s pro-crypto policies, such as the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and the GENIUS Act, which normalize digital assets.

However, rapid growth could draw scrutiny, especially given the Trump family’s involvement. Transparent reporting and adherence to international regulations will be critical to sustaining scalability without triggering regulatory backlash. Scalability strengthens ABTC’s positioning as a hybrid crypto equity, blending mining’s operational upside with treasury accumulation’s speculative appeal.

Integration of Apex Fusion’s Nexus Blockchain with Tenderly’s Infrastructure and Dev Toolkit

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Apex Fusion’s Nexus, an EVM-compatible Layer-2 blockchain, has launched to bridge the gap between UTXO and EVM ecosystems, enabling seamless interoperability and enhanced developer capabilities.

Integrated with Tenderly’s full-stack infrastructure and development tools, Nexus provides enterprise-grade resources for building and scaling decentralized applications (dApps) within Apex Fusion’s tri-chain architecture, which includes Prime (Layer-1 backbone), Vector (UTXO-based Layer-2), and Nexus itself.

Built on Polygon Edge, Nexus offers high-performance, low-cost transactions while maintaining compatibility with Ethereum’s tools and ecosystems. The Reactor Bridge facilitates fluid asset transfers between Prime, Vector, and Nexus, leveraging the security of Prime’s Ouroboros proof-of-stake consensus.

This launch strengthens Apex Fusion’s mission to defragment Web3, fostering collaboration across blockchain networks with support from partners like Tenderly, Ethernal, Zeeve, and Charli3. Nexus, as an EVM-compatible Layer-2 blockchain, facilitates interoperability between Ethereum’s account-based model and UTXO-based systems (e.g., Bitcoin, Cardano).

This addresses the long-standing challenge of blockchain fragmentation, enabling seamless asset transfers and collaboration across diverse protocols. By uniting these ecosystems, Nexus creates a more cohesive Web3 environment, fostering innovation in decentralized applications (dApps) for sectors like DeFi, gaming, and finance, where cross-chain compatibility is critical.

The integration with Tenderly provides developers with enterprise-grade tools to build, test, and scale dApps efficiently. This lowers barriers to entry, making Nexus accessible to developers of varying skill levels and accelerating the development of omnichain dApps.

Tenderly’s tools streamline the dApp lifecycle, from development to deployment, enabling faster iteration and innovation. This positions Nexus as a developer-friendly platform, attracting projects from Ethereum, Cardano, and beyond.

Built on Polygon Edge, Nexus offers high-performance, low-cost transactions, making it suitable for enterprise-grade applications. Tenderly’s infrastructure enhances this by optimizing node performance and transaction simulations, ensuring cost-effective and reliable dApp operations.

This scalability is crucial for real-world applications in finance, supply chain, and gaming, where high throughput and low fees are essential. The partnership with Tenderly, alongside other launch partners like Charli3, Eternl, and TxPipe, signals strong industry support for Apex Fusion’s vision.

This early adoption by over 30 projects post-testnet launch underscores Nexus’s potential to drive Web3 adoption. Tenderly’s reputation as a leading Ethereum infrastructure provider enhances Nexus’s credibility, attracting more developers and projects to the Apex Fusion ecosystem.

Apex Fusion’s focus on regulatory compliance, with the AP3X token classified as a utility token, aligns with Tenderly’s infrastructure, which supports transparent and secure dApp development. This ensures Nexus appeals to enterprises requiring legally sound solutions.

The planned on-chain reputation system, supported by Tenderly’s monitoring and debugging tools, will foster trust by rewarding verifiable contributions, further enhancing Nexus’s appeal for decentralized ecosystems.

How Tenderly Enhances Nexus as a Product

Tenderly’s full-stack Web3 infrastructure and developer toolkit significantly enhance Nexus’s capabilities, making it a more robust and attractive platform for developers and enterprises. Tenderly’s Virtual TestNets allow developers to build and test dApps with mainnet data locally, using an unlimited faucet and state manipulation features.

Tenderly’s shared infrastructure eliminates development silos, enabling seamless collaboration between smart contract, frontend, and backend teams. This is particularly valuable for Nexus, which supports complex, multichain dApps. Tenderly’s real-time transaction monitoring and debugging tools, used by major projects like Uniswap and OpenSea.

Features like transaction previews and simulations let developers test outcomes before on-chain deployment, reducing errors and costs—a critical advantage for Nexus’s DeFi and gaming applications. Tenderly’s extensible node RPC and serverless backend capabilities allow developers to create custom logic and endpoints, tailoring Nexus dApps for optimal performance.

By integrating with Tenderly’s infrastructure, Nexus benefits from managed environments that streamline CI/CD processes, speeding up build and release cycles without additional overhead. Tenderly supports multiple blockchains (e.g., Ethereum, Avalanche, Optimism), making it a perfect fit for Nexus’s EVM-compatible architecture.

This ensures developers can leverage familiar Ethereum tools while building on Nexus, enhancing its interoperability with Ethereum’s ecosystem. The integration allows Nexus to tap into Tenderly’s multichain explorer, providing decoded, human-readable insights for dApp development, further simplifying the developer experience.

Support for Next-Generation dApps

Tenderly’s tools empower developers to build sophisticated dApps that leverage Nexus’s unique position as a bridge between UTXO and EVM ecosystems. For example, DeFi applications can combine Ethereum’s smart contract capabilities with the security of Apex Fusion’s Prime chain.

The integration supports Nexus’s vision of enabling omnichain dApps, reducing barriers to development and fostering innovation across Web3. Relying on Tenderly’s tools could introduce risks if Tenderly faces outages or shifts priorities. Apex Fusion should ensure redundancy and maintain control over critical infrastructure.

Despite Tenderly’s user-friendly tools, developers unfamiliar with its platform may face a learning curve, potentially slowing initial adoption. Other Layer-2 solutions like Arbitrum and Optimism also integrate with Tenderly, so Nexus must differentiate itself through unique features like its UTXO-EVM bridge and reputation system.

The integration of Apex Fusion’s Nexus with Tenderly’s infrastructure significantly enhances its value proposition as an EVM-compatible Layer-2 blockchain. By providing developers with advanced tools for building, testing, and scaling dApps, Tenderly empowers Nexus to deliver high-performance, low-cost, and interoperable solutions.