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Royal Discord in Buckingham Palace with Harry and Megan

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“After many months of reflection and internal discussions, we have chosen to make a transition this year in starting to carve out a progressive new role within this institution.

“We intend to step back as ‘senior’ members of the Royal Family and work to become financially independent, while continuing to fully support Her Majesty The Queen. It is with your encouragement, particularly over the last few years, that we feel prepared to make this adjustment.

“We now plan to balance our time between the United Kingdom and North America, continuing to honor our duty to The Queen, the Commonwealth, and our patronages.

“This geographic balance will enable us to raise our son with an appreciation for the royal tradition into which he was born, while also providing our family with the space to focus on the next chapter, including the launch of our new charitable entity.

“We look forward to sharing the full details of this exciting next step in due course, as we continue to collaborate with Her Majesty The Queen, The Prince of Wales, The Duke of Cambridge and all relevant parties. Until then, please accept our deepest thanks for your continued support.”

This statement has set the Buckingham Palace in turmoil, and the British Royalty is working real hard to contain the outburst it has caused.

In the noon hours of Wednesday, the Duke and Duchess of Sussex issued the statement to confirm a leak that was about to be published by the Sun. The couple are relinquishing their senior roles in the British Monarchy.

The story said that Harry and Megan are planning to establish financial independence, and they can’t wait to work on commercial products or take commercial deals. But that appears not to be the main problem.

The major altercation came from how the couple handled the whole thing. It was reported that the royal family was not carried along in their decision to step back from their senior roles in the institution. It was upon learning that the Sun was about to publish the leak of their plans that they hurriedly issued a statement, which the queen was said to be very upset about and Princes Charles and the Duke of Cambridge, Williams, were ‘incandescent’ with rage. It was said that the Duke and Duchess have “exiled themselves from the royal family.”

In their plans, the couple wants to keep the Frogmore Cottage which was renovated with 2.4 million of taxpayers money, keep their royal titles and body guards that cost 600,000 a year.

A statement issued by a senior member of the palace who spoke to the Sun on anonymity said: “Their statement was not cleared with anyone. It breaks all protocol. This is a declaration of war on the family.

“There is fury over how they’ve done this without any thought for the implications for the institutions. The Queen is deeply upset. The Prince of Wales and the Duke of Cambridge are incandescent with rage.

“Courtiers can’t believe it. There are so many unanswered questions but they’ve just up and done it without a thought for anyone else.

“The plan was for them to discuss it and work out a way that works for everyone in the family.”

Harry and Meghan have been at the center of criticism from the British media, a situation that has been attributed to racism. It is believed that Meghan is not white enough to be welcomed in Buckingham palace. The birth of the son, Archie has also changed a lot in the couple’s behavior that the royal family’s differences have widened.

The couple said they will be going to North America or precisely Canada, but will keep in touch with Britain. They had spent their Christmas in Canada and many people believe it was more like a foretaste of their preferred place of residence.

The development has stirred divided opinions from the British people and the couple’s fans around the world. While some say their decision is a slap on the British Institution, others applaud the step as a way of protecting their son from perceived racism.

A fierce critic of the couple, Piers Morgan tweeted: “people say I’m too critical of Meghan Markle – she ditched her family, ditched her dad, ditched most of her old friends, split Harry from William, and has now split him from the Royal family.”

Just the sentiment so many others are echoing, that altercation in the royal family has been fueled ever since the former actress got married to Prince Harry.

However, Buckingham palace has issued a statement to address the situation: “Discussions with the Duke and Duchess of Sussex are at an early stage.

“We understand their desire to take a different approach, but these are complicated issues that will take time to work through,” the statement said

What is not clear is if the institution will strip the Duke and Duchess of Sussex of their royalty if the family fails to talk them out of their decision.

LinkedIn Hacks To Grow Your Business And Career This Year

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LinkedIn has more than half a billion users you can connect with to discover career opportunities, expand your sales channel and even leverage to become a thought leader. In fact, there are several testimonies of how people  got their big breaks on the social network.

So, if you are active on LinkedIn, below are 3 ways you can use it to grow your career and business.

1. Get personal email of people you want to connect with

Imagine there is someone you need to discuss an opportunity with, but you do not have the contact. How will you go about it? With LinkedIn, you can search the profile of the person and send a connection request. When the person accepts the invite, LinkedIn makes it possible for you to get the email of your contacts. 

Why do I love the hack ? 

This is one of the best ways to get the primary contacts of anyone. Usually, when most people sign up to LinkedIn, they use their primary email account and some users even add their phone number or other means of contact.

You can even do this at scale by exporting the contacts of all your connections at once into an excel spreadsheet and start emailing them about my products and services. Here is a simple guide to download contacts on LinkedIn

2. Build your expert status as a thought leader.

Many people want to be recognized as an expert, the challenge is lack of platform. Today, platforms like LinkedIn makes it possible to amplify your expert opinions. Some of my favourite connections are influencers on LinkedIn.

Why I love this hack ?

You enjoy the privilege to be considered an expert in the area of your expertise. For example, Kayode Abbas is a LinkedIn expert who uses the platform to help B2B generate leads and help HR to connect with the right candidates.  By all standard, Prof Nduibisi Ekekwe is one of the leading LinkedIn experts. He even mentioned in a previous article how LinkedIn has become his lab.

If you are just starting out, you will gain exposure by writing very informed comments on articles written by experts in your space.

3. Advance your career and land your next job. 

I will share with you 5 unique ways you can use LinkedIn to advance your career and even land yourself a dream job.

  • Use LinkedIn’s recruiter feature to land your next job.This feature makes it super easy to setup your profile so employers know you are available for job (without revealing it to your current employer). You can access this feature from your dashboard view
  • Use LinkedIn to evaluate your career path and steps it will take to get there. I do this a lot. On LinkedIn, I might search for a job position. Like “digital business strategy”. I will use the filter to configure the results so I can get relevant profiles. Then, I view the profiles to check for academic records and previous roles the person held before “arriving” at their current position. Check out this article on how I use this knowledge to map my own career development plan.
  • Building connections with people in companies you want to work at. Identify top 5 companies you want to work at, search for it on LinkedIn and connect with some of the senior people working in those organizations (including HR). Then engage with them politely via direct messages to learn about their culture and job opportunities. 
  • Improve yourself with professional courses. Take courses on LinkedIn Learning (formerly Lynda.com) and other online learning platforms. When you complete such courses, add them to your LinkedIn profile to showcase your knowledge.
  • Ask colleagues and friends to write recommendations about you. Sometimes, these recommendations validate what you say about yourself and tend to act as recommendation about your previous works.

Now that you know how best to use LinkedIn to your advantage. Take steps to implement some of these in 2020. I will be glad to know how any of these hacks help you.

Wole Ogunlade is a business growth strategist. His experience included working with early-stage startups and ventures that have raised funding and exceeded more than $10 million monthly in revenues generated.

CAF Awards: Sadio Mane’, Asisat Oshoala, Crowned African Bests

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In the eve of Tuesday January 7, playmakers, coaches, journalist and many who love the round leather game gathered for the 28th edition of CAF Awards 2019 in Egypt. The once in a year event is deigned to select the best among those who ply their trade in the football field, and that was done, honors were given to those to whom it’s due.

Sadio Mane’ of Liverpool has in the past season displayed the kind of playmaking that distinguished him from his contemporaries. The prodigy that earned him the fourth place in the Fifa ballon Do’r was not ignored by the Confederation of African Football, so that he was considered the best. He polled 477 votes ahead of his Liverpool teammate Mohamed Salah, 325 votes and Algeria’s Riyad Mahrez, 267 votes.

The Senegalese was instrumental to Liverpool’s epic come back against Barcelona, and their subsequent win of the Champions League.

Another character in the game whose activities in the game caught the eye of the football body is Nigerian Asisat Oshoala, who plies her trade with FC Barcelona’s female team. She was crown the best female football in Africa.

Oshoala was named African Women’s Player of the Year for the fourth time, equalling the record of her compatriot Perpetua Nkwocha.

She garnered 351 votes, 30 more than Cameroonian forward Ajara Nchout and Thembi Kgatlana, who had 247 votes.

Her prowess in the field of play was convincing enough that FC Barcelona didn’t find it hard deciding to keep her after her trial at Camp Noun. And she has been genial with the Nigerian female national team, the Super Falcons.

There are others too, who although they didn’t win the best footballers, came first in other different categories. Below is the list of the winners and nominees.

African Interclubs Player of the Year: Youcef Belaïli (Algeria & Esperance / Ahli Jeddah)

Nominees:

1. Anice Badri (Tunisia & Esperance)

2. Kodjo Fo Doh Laba (Togo & RS Berkane / Al Ain)

3. Taha Yassine Khenissi (Tunisia & Esperance)

4. Tarek Hamed (Egypt & Zamalek)

5. Youcef Belaïli (Algeria & Esperance / Ahli Jeddah)

African Youth Player of the Year: Achraf Hakimi (Morocco & Borussia Dortmund)

Nominees:

1. Achraf Hakimi (Morocco & Borussia Dortmund)

2. Krépin Diatta (Senegal & Club Brugge)

3. Moussa Djenepo (Mali & Southampton)

4. Samuel Chukwueze (Nigeria & Villarreal)

5. Victor Osimhen (Nigeria & Lille)

African Women’s National Team of the Year: Cameroon

Nominees:
1. Cameroon

2. Côte d’Ivoire

3. Nigeria

4. South Africa

5. Zambia

African Men’s National Team of the Year: Algeria

Nominees:
1. Algeria

2. Madagascar

3. Nigeria

4. Senegal

5. Tunisia

Best African Goal of the Year: Riyad Mahrez (Algeria)

FIFPro Africa’s Best 11:

Andre Onana; Serge Aurier, Joel Matip, Kalidou Koulibaly, Achraf Hakimi; Idrissa Gana Gueye, Riyad Mahrez, Hakim Ziyech; Mohamed Salah, Pierre Emerick Aubameyang, Sadio Mane*

African Women’s Coach of the Year: Desiree Ellis (South Africa)

Nominees:

1. Alain Djeumfa (Cameroon)

2. Bruce Mwape (Zambia)

3. Clementine Toure (Côte d’Ivoire)

4. Desiree Ellis (South Africa)

5. Thomas Dennerby (Nigeria)

Men African Coach of the Year: Djamel Belmadi (Algeria)

Nominees:

Aliou Cisse (Senegal – Senegal)

2. Christian Gross (Switzerland – Zamalek)

3. Djamel Belmadi (Algeria – Algeria)

4. Moïne Chaâbani (Tunisia – Esperance)

5. Nicolas Dupuis (France – Madagascar)

African Women’s Player of the Year: Asisat Oshoala

Nominees:

1. Ajara Nchout (Cameroon & Valerenga)

2. Asisat Oshoala (Nigeria & Barcelona)

3. Gabrielle Ouguene (Cameroon & CSKA Moscow)

4. Tabitha Chawinga (Malawi & Jiangsu Suning)

5. Thembi Kgatlana (South Africa & Beijing Phoenix FC)

Player of the Year: Sadio Mane (Senegal & Liverpool)

Nominees:

1. André Onana (Cameroon & Ajax)

2. Hakim Ziyech (Morocco & Ajax)

3. Ismail Bennacer (Algeria & AC Milan)

4. Kalidou Koulibaly (Senegal & Napoli)

5. Mohamed Salah (Egypt & Liverpool)

6. Odion Ighalo (Nigeria & Shanghai Shenhua)

7. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (Gabon & Arsenal)

8. Riyad Mahrez (Algeria & Manchester City)

9. Sadio Mane (Senegal & Liverpool)

10. Youcef Belaili (Algeria & Ahli Jeddah

The Senegalese international Mane’ was believed to deserve better than he got in the Fifa Ballon Do’r, that even Lionel Messi called his fourth position “an injustice.” Nevertheless, the night came to an end with Mane’ getting what he deserved for his contribution to the beautiful game. And he didn’t fail to show appreciation.

“It’s a great day for me and for my career. I would like to thank all of the Senegalese people who supported me during my journey.

“I’m feeling happy because they will be glad watching me winning this award, especially the people in my village,” Mane’ said.

Saudi Aramco Lost $200b Amidst Iran’s Tension

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As President Trump and Ali Khamenei roll up their sleeves in a new tussle, the rippling effects span wide across Europe and the Middle East, sending signals that the stock markets are receiving in bad fate. The tension emanating from the killing of one of Iran’s most powerful generals, Qasem Soleimani has resulted in dwindling stock activities in the markets around the world.

Saudi Aramco has suffered its biggest loss since its record breaking IPO late last year. CNN Business reported that the stock dropped 2% ($200 billion) amid concerns of retaliation from Tehran. Saudi Arabia is a key American ally in the Middle East, and could be a victim of Iran’s reprisal attacks for the death of Soleimani. With its oil installations having been targets of attacks in the past, the paranoia of losing its oil infrastructure is not something the Middle East kingdom could dismiss. It has happened before and it may happen again.

The realities of the threat is notable in the activities of the oil market. Despite a 6% surge in crude oil prices since Thursday that got the price close to $70 per barrel, which should boost the earnings of Aramco, the company’s shares have dipped instead.

Since after its IPO, Saudi Aramco has been struggling to meet the expectations of its shareholders. On Monday, the company’s decline topped 10%, wiping more than $200 billion off its market value. That’s a lot to lose in a few weeks after Aramco debut the biggest IPO in history, and it has begun to give investors concern, especially at this time of Iran vs. America tension.

In 2012, Saudi Aramco suffered a major cyber attack, one of the worst in history. A total of 35 computers were destroyed and their information wiped off.

In September 2019, the company’s oil facility suffered a missile attack that reduced its production capability to a half. The U.S pointed at Iran though they denied the responsibility.

Iran has an undeniable prowess in cyber attacks. There have been some other cases where the country was fingered. For instance, the cyber attacks involving major American banks, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America and Wells Fargo. These attacks left compromising marks on these institutions, with a lot of data compromised and customers denied access to their accounts.

It is more like a retaliatory pattern to any political event from the U.S against Iran. In a note shared by Evercore analysts, Ken Talanian and Kirk Materne, to investors, they noted that “Iran has a long history of politically motivated cyber attacks across the world. The attacks often follow closely to changes in U.S sanctions.”

The killing of Soleimani has become one of those events, and there is reasonable expectation of the usual response from Iran, and Saudi oil installations may be at the receiving end because of its relationship with the United States.

Oil prices are expected to spike due to these events that have limited production and most of all, supply of oil to Asia because of irregularities in the Strait of Hormuz, that have narrowed the passage of oil tankers to a few. But the psychological effects is having even tighter grip on the stock markets than the spiking price.

Analysts at Goldman Sachs indicated in a research note that the looming dangers are already reflected in crude oil prices, and to sustain them (prices) near current levels, a supply disruption would be needed.

“We therefore believe that price risks are skewed to the downside in coming weeks, with oil prices already trading above our fundamental fair value of $63 a barrel ahead of the recent events,” they said.

A supply disruption may likely come from any retaliatory action taken by Tehran against Saudi that cuts the production or supply of crude oil to any part of the world, especially Asia.

However, the drop in Saudi Aramco’s stock has shown that its performance doesn’t depend on the spike of oil price. Dubai based head of equity strategy at Tellimer investment bank, Hasnain Malik, said Saudi Aramco’s stock depends on continued support from local and regional investors.

“Fundamentally, Aramco is massively overvalued,” said the director of energy at Palissy Advisors, Anish Kapadia. So it will be a struggle for Aramco to live up to the value based on market forces.

Nigeria Capital Market in 2019, What Should We Expect In 2020?

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In 2019, we wore the poverty capital of the world tag with hope and unflinching will, and we lived daily in an economy that was tamed by global economic headwinds, erratic economic policies, aggressive fiscal policies, unconventional regulatory directives and pronouncements.

In 2020, we do not expect the headwinds and ‘policy gymnastics’ of the previous year to disappear overnight but ‘we move’ with tact and experience, hoping the momentum garnered in the previous year will come in handy to ensure a more productive year.

Topic by topic, join us to review the key headlines that shaped the Capital Market in 2019 and share insights on lessons to grow your wealth in 2020.

The Equities Market (‘the Market”)

A Farmer rejoices when his crops blossom with green leaves, green is an indication of bounties/gains to come but when it’s red/brownish, he mourns in fear of heavy losses because his farm is most likely on fire or the crops are dying. In the equities Market, green and red carry the same message as the farm.

From the chart, the equities market opened for 246 days in 2019, stocks blossomed in green for 100 days, and for the most part – 146 days, the Market was on fire, ravaging most stocks and leaving Investors with heavy losses on their investments.

More technically, the equities market started 2019 on a high with an All Share Index (ASI) of 31,430.50 and peaked at 32,715.20 on 15th February 2019. In the course of the year, political, economic, and global turbulence drove the market up and down until it nosedived to close the year at 26,842.07.

ASI is a parameter used to measure how well a stock market is performing. You can view it as the daily ‘jamb score’ or ‘CGPA’ measuring the combined daily performance of all stocks in the equities market. The higher the score, the better the performance of the stock market. Comparing first day in 2019 score of 31,430.50 with a last-day score of 26,842.07, you will be right to conclude that the market performed poorly, suffering a decline of -14.60%.

 

Like the ASI, all other market performance indicators were in the red zone except market capitalization, which gained not necessarily because of better performance but because of the listing of new companies like MTN, Airtel etc.

Here is the list of top gainers and losers for the year:

If you invested N500,000.00 in the shares of CI & LEASING on 31st December 2018, by now you will be on the millionaire’s list in your village at N1,657,303.37. Even if you had invested your funds equally between the top gainer and loser, you still would have been better off at N906,520.64, about 70% premium above inflation, that’s the beauty of the equities market.

What should we expect in 2020? We expect the market to enjoy some green moments in the early days of the year considering the excess supply of funds beyond the pipeline of attractive investments in the money market.

Eventually, the lethargy that we have come to know the market and players for will soon set in and burn the green moments. It will be difficult to fault the Market or blame the energy of Players since the Market is usually a reflection of the economy, you cannot have a sustained bullish market in a bearish economy with erratic policies, regulatory directives and pronouncements, along with global headwinds that we can only accept at best.

Be that as it may, there are always decent undervalued companies and penny stocks waiting to be hunted, waiting to be spotted, waiting for the next millionaire/billionaire. Imagine if you had bought penny stocks like CILEASING, CORNERSTONE, CHAMS etc in 2018 and play the waiting game? Patience is a virtue, right?

Double-digit Inflation Rate

Inflation! a subtle weapon of theft even more devious than tax at times. Like a burglar in thick darkness, inflation robs you of your wealth without you having a clue.

When the Government proposed an increase in VAT from 5% t0 7.5%, we all jumped into a royal rumble of comments and analysis. Check the records, the inflation rate was 8.2% in January 2015 and now 11.85%. Put simply, it is an additional VAT of 2.5% and what feels like an additional inflation tax of 3.65%.

While the effect of tax is clear and intuitive because we can actually feel the negative emotions of our cash moving to Government. In contrast, a higher rate of inflation does not generate an equivalent negative emotional reaction because it’s not intuitively felt.

Here is the implication of the current rate of inflation at 11.85%, if inflation were to stay at that rate for the next 12 months and you invest N100,000.00 in a fixed income security to earn 12% annually, after 12 months, your precious N100,000.00 will effectively worth N100,150.00 instead of N112,000.00, inflation just robbed you off N11,850.00.

Outlook for 2020: most certainly the next inflation figure will hit 12% and cross it in the coming months. Falling interest rates, potential VAT increase, Border closure along with the implementation of the new minimum wage, inflation won’t be declining soon.

The Lesson: To grow your wealth in 2020, the return on your investments and business ventures must give you some reasonable premium above the inflation rate.

Question: What can you invest in ‘to beat the thief called inflation rate’?

Treasury Bills and Crashing Yields

Treasury Bills used to be an answer to the question above, not anymore, it’s no more a Haven for Banks and Fund Managers. The tables below tell the story:

Outlook for 2020: it doesn’t appear the crash is stopping any moment, here is the result after the first auction in 2020;

At an average yield of 12.83% in January 2019, you will conveniently beat inflation. Fast forward one year after, at the current average yield of 4.533% and inflation rate at 11.85%, the return on treasury bills will come in negative at -6.541%, clearly, you cannot grow your wealth with T-bills.

External Reserves and Oil Prices

Nigeria continues to suffer from overreliance on crude exports to grow its external reserves. In the last six months, the reserves have declined by $6.46bn from $45bn in June 2019 to $38.6bn as of yearend 2019.

“At an investor meeting in London, Godwin Emefiele, governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), told foreign investors that the apex bank would meet all foreign exchange demands so long as the nation’s external reserves are above $30 billion and the international prices of crude oil do not go below $45 per barrel” BusinessDay

If you own a company or have anything to do with strategy in any company, please print the statement above and paste it where you can see it on a regular basis, most importantly, factor it into your scenario modeling. At the current rate of depletion, circa $1 billion monthly, we may hit that alert point in September 2020.

In the coming months, the re-energized hostilities between Trump and Iran may just turn out to be the tailwind that will fuel the confidence of Investors in our external reserves and douse all speculations.

Despite the headwinds, the opportunities in the land are boundless, strategize, explore, execute brilliantly and be confident of a positive outcome.

Cheers to more wins in 2020.