Geregu Power Plc has posted a strong rebound in its financial performance for the second quarter of 2025, recording a pre-tax profit of N13.297 billion, a 61.14% year-on-year growth, and surpassing management’s internal forecast for the period.
The result reinforces the company’s dominance in Nigeria’s electricity generation market and highlights the broader trend of profitability within the nation’s power sector.
Combined with its Q1 pre-tax profit of N13.015 billion, Geregu Power’s first-half profit stood at N26.311 billion. While that reflects a 12.74% decline compared to the same period in 2024—due mainly to a weak Q1—analysts say the impressive Q2 comeback not only restores investor confidence but also signals an industry-wide trend: Nigeria’s power sector is fast becoming one of the country’s most lucrative sectors.
Power Sector’s Rising Appeal
Geregu’s quarter-on-quarter performance offers a telling snapshot of the growing financial potential in the Nigerian electricity market. With consistent demand, limited competition, and government-backed reforms aimed at improving energy infrastructure, the sector is increasingly viewed as a viable hedge against inflation and macroeconomic uncertainty.
Despite the country’s persistent power shortages, producers like Geregu continue to generate strong earnings, owing to favorable tariffs, bulk power sales to the Nigerian Bulk Electricity Trading Company (NBET), and the relative monopolistic structure of Nigeria’s generation sector.
Industry watchers say Geregu’s results may encourage more private sector investment into power generation, especially as returns from traditional sectors like oil and gas, banking, and manufacturing face more regulatory constraints and rising input costs.
Revenue, Margins Show Strength
In Q2 2025, Geregu posted revenue of N55.875 billion, up 84.72% from the N30.249 billion recorded in the same period last year. This performance was particularly important after a disappointing Q1, which saw revenue drop over 37% year-on-year. First-half 2025 revenue ended at N87.633 billion, reflecting a modest 8.62% increase from H1 2024, but Q2 clearly carried the weight of this growth.
Profitability also remained solid. Core operating profit rose by 73.7% year-on-year to N15.01 billion in Q2, while profit after tax surged by 75.61% to N9.75 billion. Earnings per share jumped to N3.90, also up 75.68% from a year earlier.
Geregu’s gross profit margin in Q2 stood at over 42%, despite cost pressures driven by gas supply and transportation expenses, which consumed over 55% of total revenue. The cost of sales jumped by 86.95% to N32.128 billion, aligning with higher generation volumes and fuel costs, but the company still managed to protect its bottom line effectively.
Impairments and Balance Sheet
The power firm did post a sharp increase in impairment losses, which rose nearly 197% to N6.08 billion, likely due to increased provisioning for trade receivables and credit risks. But it didn’t appear to weaken investor sentiment.
Geregu’s total assets climbed to N267.6 billion as of June 30, 2025 — a 9.91% increase from the end of 2024 — driven largely by a 24% surge in trade and other receivables. Retained earnings and shareholders’ funds saw slight declines of 2.08% and 2.03% respectively, but these were marginal compared to the topline and operating performance growth.
Market Outlook
Geregu’s share price stood at N1,141.50 on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) as of July 11, 2025, reflecting a modest 0.74% dip on the day, though it remains up nearly 188% year-to-date, marking one of the most impressive capital gains on the NGX this year.
Given that H1 profit already accounts for 64% of FY 2024’s total, the company is well-positioned to outperform its full-year targets, barring any severe disruptions in gas supply or national grid failures. Analysts also note that if Nigeria’s transmission infrastructure improves and power theft is reduced through better metering, firms like Geregu stand to benefit even more.
The Next Investment Frontier
Geregu’s Q2 2025 performance affirms what many in the market are beginning to acknowledge: the power sector may be Nigeria’s next frontier for outsized investment returns. Despite its structural bottlenecks and long-standing inefficiencies, power generation—especially for firms with stable capacity, strong management, and NBET contracts—has become a goldmine in the current economic landscape.
As private equity interest and institutional capital continue to flow into power assets, Geregu Power remains a bellwether for what a profitable electricity company in Nigeria can look like. Although analysts expect the coming quarters to further test its consistency, for now, its earnings story stands as one of the most profitable on the Nigerian Exchange.