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Making Africa Great Again

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Africa can feed herself

Sub-Sahara Africa (SSA) is now the hottest emerging market in the world. Top tier SSA countries are generating over 8% GDP growth per annum by creating and capturing value from abundant natural resources. However, the continent cannot feed itself and spends over $50 billion per annum on expensive food imports. Millions of Africans die from starvation each year despite the continent having approximately 600 million hectares (24%) of the world’s most fertile arable land to sustain a growing population.

Productivity gap is widening

Productivity has remained flat over the last six decades. Developed countries like Australia and USA have managed to harness technology to increase yields by 300%, however, African yields have remained stagnant over the last six decades.

Negative perceptions about agriculture

Africa has a growing, young, educated population that is not interested in agriculture. Generally, there is a negative perception that farming is for dummies. Many consider farming a non-viable alternative to get out of poverty even though there are many other value-add opportunities across the agricultural value chain. Young farmers often complain that the African dream to own a big house and drive nice cars is very distant for farmers.

Education and capital is required to unlock value

With over 50% of Africans still living in rural geographies, most subsistence farmers grow their food to feed their families and livestock. Most peasant farmers have not harnessed modern mechanization ‘to do things’ more efficiently because of capital constraints and continue to use animal power. These farmers struggle to produce sufficient food to feed their families and often rely on foreign donors to fill the gap. Consequently, there is $50 billion value leakage per annum from expensive food imports from developed countries.

Subsistence farming models have failed to deliver growth and prosperity

Although local African governments understand the benefits for adopting commercial farming models, adoption is low. Most governments are reluctant to shift policies to support commercialization because they fear dissent from the majority rural voters. The promise for independence from colonial powers was that each family would get back their freedom and land. Without education and creating alternative opportunities, local rural farmers will resist industry consolidation if they perceive it will jeopardize their way of life.

Closing the gap

I believe that agrarian reforms in SSA will alleviate the current humanitarian crisis. Reforms in agriculture will create stable economies, provide wage-paying jobs, reduce child mortality and end wars. The recommendations below will drive industry performance.

  • Consolidate small farms in strategic locations to gain economies of scale and drive productivity.
  • Enact government policy to support local farmers. For example, impose quota limits on imports to drive productivity for local industries.
  • Harness technology to reduce costs, improve quality and service delivery.
  • Mitigate climate risks by investing in irrigation infrastructure to support all year round farming cycles.
  • Provide affordable finance to small-scale farmers to enable them to grow and prosper.
  • Raise awareness and appeal for farming to young Africans who are abandoning their rich fertile land in the rural areas to pursue manufacturing and white-collar jobs in major cities

Jo Chidwala is an experienced business leader with proven record of accomplishment to transform businesses by formulating and executing product and pricing strategies that generate value. He is a strategic thinker with strong analytics, modelling and communication skills; can lead and motivate teams to drive projects to completion.

Connecting The Dots: Economic Moats and Early Stage Technology Startups

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I started writing about economic moats in September 2014. Since then I have written about Network Effects, Switching Costs, Intangibles, and Efficient Scale and Cost Advantages. The purpose of those posts was to outline how I think about economic moats while I am studying a seed stage startup and trying to determine how things might unfold in the future.

This is how I define an economic moat in relation to early stage startups:

An economic moat is a structural feature of a startup’s business model that protects it from competition in the present but enhances its competitive position in the future.

In this post I will wrap things up with some final observations;

First, in relation to economic moats, my responsibility as a seed stage investor is to identify startups that can build or acquire an economic moat as their business model matures and as the startup becomes a company. Directly tied to this, I have to make an assessment about the founders’ willingness to conceptualize and build such a moat if things go well. There’s no point worrying too much about a moat if the rest of the world is apathetic about what the startup is doing.

Second, An economic moat is not the same thing as a competitive advantage. A competitive advantage is temporary. This is because a competitive advantage is typically designed on the basis of Michael Porter’s Generic Competitive Strategies. A durable economic moat is unique, and typically can not be duplicated by others.

Third, to withstand the effects of sustained challenges from incumbent and new-entrant competitors startups need an economic moat that is derived from more than one source. In relation to Internet and other software technology business models, indirect network effects can prove to be as important as direct network effects.

Fourth, some of the strongest foundations on which a startup can build an economic moat are also some of the most difficult to come to grips with. Mainly, these are lumped together as “Intangibles” . . . Among the sub-items under intangibles Management & Culture, and Research and Development stand out to me as being things I should look out for at the seed stage because everything else emanates from those two.

An organization’s ability to learn, and translate that learning into action rapidly, is the ultimate competitive advantage.                                                      – Jack Welch

Fifth, cognitive costs are a real barrier to entry and till an early stage startup has established itself within a market, uncertainty works against it but in favor of the incumbents. This is especially true for startups building products for sale to other businesses. These aspects of buyer lock-in might be nearly impossible to articulate or measure, but that does not mean startups and their investors can afford to ignore them. At the outset a seed stage startup must find that niche of potential customers for whom the sum of cognitive costs and uncertainty is a minimum. It is worth thinking about this at the outset of product development.

Sixth, thinking about cost advantages has to go beyond the obvious advantages it confers on the startup in terms of its operations. The most important consideration is how a cost advantage enables the startup to create more value for its users or customers. A cost advantage that does not yield increased value for users and customers is not one that will last.

Lastly, as a startup scales it must pay attention to how that is affecting the macro environment in which it finds itself. A bad market can remain unfavorable far longer than any startup’s ability to scale its way to a profit. It is one thing for a startup to find product-market-fit, but quite another for that startup to scale efficiently in that market. Finding product market fit does not automatically lead to conditions that favor efficient scale. Extended unprofitable growth is one sign that a market might not have the characteristics to support efficient scale, or that the startup has not thought its business model through enough.

When I study a seed stage startup I am trying to answer a number of general questions about how the future might unfold for that startup, thinking about economic moats gives me a useful framework for doing so.

How Social Enterprises can Navigate the Scourges of Bribery and Corruption

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Running a business in Sub-Sahara Africa (SSA) can generate tremendous financial reward particularly if your organization targets strategic growth markets. Abundant opportunities are there to be exploited, however, navigating the economic environment requires skill and local market intelligence.

Most African countries are ranked in the lower quartile based on the latest rankings for the ease of doing business provided by the World Bank Group. In comparison to developed Western economies, most African entrepreneurs take the ‘easy’ treacherous route by paying bribes to win tenders, to operationalize their businesses quicker and to ‘get protection’ from corrupt senior local government officials.

Corruption is deeply rooted in African culture

Corruption is of one the main causes impeding innovation, business growth and economic prosperity. This has exacerbated poverty, exclusion and brought suffering to 300 million Africans.

Powerful leaders continue to enact porous organisation architectures (including systems and processes) that enable them to fatten their wallets at the expense of wider development. The fight for survival forces many poor people to participate in corrupt activities to access basic needs like water, education, shelter and medication.

There is a school of thought that corruption opened the floodgates to colonialism by European settlers. Although all African countries gained independence from their colonial masters, modern exploitation is common. Multinational companies, powerful nations and rich individuals continue to bribe African leaders to gain access to natural resources, trade and in some extreme cases facilitating overthrowing governments by sponsoring coups.

Furthermore, extreme corruption is slowing development and causing leakage across value chains. For example, senior Zimbabwean government officials made a public announcement that US$15 billion revenue from diamond sales had vanished from government coffers over a period of four years. Surprisingly, no one has faced charges for embezzlement, however, a Christian pastor Evan Mawarire who mobilized millions of Zimbabweans to condemn corruption was arrested and will likely spend more than ten years in prison unless he is acquitted.

It’s not all doom and gloom

Contrary to general perceptions, not all African countries are corrupt. Mauritius and Botswana have low incidences of corruption with rates on par with developed countries in Europe and North America.

Paying bribes destroys long-term value

Paying bribes does not guarantee success. Whilst paying a bribe might deliver short-term benefits, this strategy exposes your organization to financial and operational volatility in the long-term. Paying bribes increases upfront costs to launch a business and generates ongoing trail expenses to ‘assist your organization to remain in business’.

Don’t pay bribes

Over the past thirteen years, l have heard many sad stories from APAC investors who have lost money from bad deals. The majority attributed compounding expenses resulting from paying bribes as the major cause for losses. When things go wrong, you cannot recover a bribe by lawful means. So why do many foreign investors pay bribes in emerging markets when they don’t commit similar acts in their home countries? Based on my humble opinion, ignorance, greed and stupidity are common traits.

Maintain high ethical standards and integrity

Strive Masiyiwa is one of the most successful entrepreneurs in SSA who has a strong reputation of shunning corruption. Strive launched a billion-dollar mobile telecommunication company called Econet in Zimbabwe in 1998. Despite resistance from the local government, Strive persevered and won a legal battle to launch Econet, resulting in the liberalization of the telecommunication industry.

Econet’s footprint continues to grow and now has business operations and investments in more than 20 countries in Africa, Europe and Asia Pacific. In addition to good stewardship, Strive attributes the refusal to pay bribes to vendors or government officials as one of his key success criteria.

Transparency also underpins Econet’s success. The organization provides full disclosure about product features, pricing and financial performance. Consequently, Econet continues to deliver superior business performance by leveraging its strong brand power to win new customers and drive loyalty from brand advocates.

Winning the battle

  1. The first step in fighting corruption is knowing that the giver is equally as guilty as the receiver of the bribe.
  2. All foreign investors must avoid paying bribes if they want to sustain business growth and enhance their organisation’s brand value.
  3. There is evidence of government reform. For example, Senegal created a National Office to fight corruption and fraud. The government enacted laws in April 2014 that requires elected officials to declare their assets.
  4. African leaders should lead by example by promoting transparency, accountability and respecting the rule of law. Ali Mufuruki, CEO of Tanzania’s Infotech Investment Group mentioned that solutions abound in ethical leadership, strong and enforceable laws against corruption, severe sanctions for corruption underpinned by a national culture of promoting ethics from family to national level.
  5. Shifting mindsets will uproot corruption, currently embedded in African culture. All Africans must question their own personal stand on corruption before taking the fight to the national level.

How can Sub-Sahara Africa reduce or eliminate corruption?

 

Jo Chidwala is an experienced business leader with proven record of accomplishment to transform businesses by formulating and executing product and pricing strategies that generate value. He is a strategic thinker with strong analytics, modelling and communication skills; can lead and motivate teams to drive projects to completion.

User Manual: The Early Stage Startups I Want To Hear About Most in 2017

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At KEC Ventures, I have been largely focused on finding and meeting the founders that we can become most excited about and partner with. I will continue to maintain that focus over the course of 2016 and 2017.

Here are some notes for the founders of the startups I am most eager to meet.

About KEC Ventures

We are a team of early stage investors based in New York City. We invest in information technology startups that are pursuing business models with the potential to transform the way business is done in their market. In such startups, we generally invest in the first institutional Seed Round or, less frequently, we will invest in the Series A round of financing. Often, but not always, we act as the lead investor. On rare occasions, we might invest earlier than this when we meet a founder pursuing a vision that we believe in. Currently, we focus on investing in startups based in the United States or Canada.

Connecting With Me

If you know someone who knows me, an introduction would help. If you do not, never hesitate to communicate with me directly. I am easy to reach on the major social networking platforms. Also, I hold regular and frequent office hours at various co-working spaces in New York City. Some allow non-members to sign-up and attend.

The best time to start communicating with me is at least 6 – 9 months before you believe you will raise a round in which KEC Ventures might invest because I believe it is important to build trust before entering into the kind of working relationship that exists between startup founders and their early stage investors.

That also gives me sufficient time to understand the problem you are solving, so that if we invest, we are doing so with conviction. Time enables me to become a more effective advocate on the startup’s behalf when my colleagues and I have discussions about making an investment.

Communicating With Me 

If we are not meeting through an introduction, I will respond quickest to founders who get straight to the point, and explain why we should meet in 250 – 400 words in their first email to me. I try my best to respond. However, depending on what else I have going on, I may not respond if I feel the startup is outside KEC Ventures’ areas of interest and that the founder could have easily found that out before emailing me. Please follow up with me once or twice if you believe I have made a mistake.

If you are not connecting with me or anyone else at KEC ventures through a warm intro, you can email me at: pitch@kecventures.com. I’ll go through submissions to that email address every Friday.

Characteristics I Look For in Founders, and Teams 

I look for teams in which the founders have known one another for a considerable amount of time prior to launching their startup. I look for teams in which the level of trust and respect between the co-founders is high. I look for teams that will not have difficulty attracting other great people to join the startup. I look for founders who inspire confidence and loyalty from others because they are good at what they do, the kind of people I could picture myself working for.

I look for founders for whom solving the problem that their startup is solving has become their life’s mission and they plan to solve that problem with or without help from outside investors. I look for founders who have an unconventional opinion about the market opportunity they are pursuing, and can explain why their position is correct with evidence which investors can analyze independently.

At the outset I look for teams that can focus on building a simple product that their initial customers love, and who can focus on a niche within which to launch their product. I look for teams that are judicious and frugal in how they deploy the startup’s resources.

I look for founders who value teamwork, and who can become great leaders if they desire to do so. I value transparency, honesty, and openness. I value self-awareness. I like people who are determined and tenacious, who do not give up just because the going gets get uncomfortable and things seem bleak.

I look for founders who have a hard time doing something simply because it is what someone else expects them to do. I look for founders who are not afraid to be different.

Characteristics I Look For In Markets 

I look for large markets that could ultimately be served by the startup’s product, even though the initial target might be a small portion of the whole. I look for customers capable of and willing to pay for the product, and who are looking for and eager to find a solution to their problem.

I look for markets in which the pain is acute because the problem suppresses customers’ profits significantly, or because the problem makes users less happy than they could be.

If currently the addressable market is between $1B and $10B, I want to see evidence that it is growing quickly enough to support the startup’s future goals, and the competition that I assume will quickly follow if the team is successful.

Characteristics I look For In Business Models 

I look for products and business models that:

  • will benefit from network effects as time progresses,
  • can scale efficiently and quickly, and
  • can eventually benefit from an economic moat.

The Themes I Am Focused On

Notes:

  1. These themes cut across different industries and sectors. That is a deliberate choice.
  2. The technology sector evolves constantly. Accordingly, our team’s interests might ebb and flow in response. The themes I have described below should serve as a rough guide to how I think about the universe of startups in which we wish to invest.
  3. Ideally, a startup raising its first institutional seed round should have raised less than $1.5M – 2.0M or so prior to the round in which KEC Ventures would be investing.

I am currently interested in hearing about:

  • Marketplaces: Platforms that enable the participants in large, global markets to interact with one another in ways that reduce waste or create new, untapped opportunities.
  • Interconnectivity: Platforms that enable large numbers of different types of connected devices, machines, apps, and websites to communicate with one another and with the people managing or using them within a secure environment.
  • Data & Analytics: Platforms or applications that help people or other machines to manage, analyze, interpret, make decisions, and take actions based on vast and growing troves of centralized or decentralized data.
  • Effectiveness & Happiness: Products that enable people to accomplish more at work, or to become happier outside work. Products that help large enterprises and other types of businesses and organizations to grow or function more effectively.
  • Distribution: Products that make it easier to create, manage, distribute, and consume existing and emerging forms of digital media and content.
  • Asset Management: Technologies for managing different forms of enterprise, business, or individual assets. Technologies for managing different forms of enterprise, business, or individual risk.
  • Other: New, and as-yet unknown technologies and innovations founders are building to solve problems that exist only because no one else has developed a solution.

Things I am Not Interested In

  1. Exploding rounds: An exploding round comes with a caveat like “Seed round in ground-breaking tech startup closing in 1 week!” I do not like exploding rounds, not even exploding rounds that are being led by a name-brand VC. I need time to do my own homework.
  2. Meetings led by an advisor: I prefer my first few interactions with a startup to be with the team of co-founders, not with an advisor. It is okay for an introduction to come from an advisor, but I do not like to have advisors or mentors micro-manage my interactions with startup founders. That does not inspire confidence.
  3. Lack of control over core technologies: I try to avoid situations in which the startup has a product that has launched to the public, but the startup’s team has no primary responsibility for actually building the core product.
  4. Founders who will not share bad news: I only want to work with founders who will not hide bad news until it is too late for investors to do anything that might help the startup make a course-correction. I absolutely want to hear about difficulties, challenges, and problems. I expect the good news, but I think we have an obligation to try to fix the bad stuff before it becomes unfixable.

My Commitment to Startup Founders

Based on Gil Dibner’s VC Code of Conduct;

  1. I will be transparent.
  2. I will respect your time.
  3. I will not ask you for material I do not need.
  4. I will not string you along.
  5. I will let you know about any competitors in our portfolio.
  6. I will be transparent about conflicts of interest.
  7. I will not share any of your material without your permission.
  8. I will not speak with your customers without your permission.
  9. I will educate before I negotiate.
  10. I will be honest about what standard terms are.
  11. I will not issue a term sheet unless my firm has made a firm decision to invest.
  12. I will reflect the term sheet in the final legal documents.
  13. I will not seek an unreasonable equity stake.
  14. I will avoid surprises.
  15. I will always act in the best interests of the company.

The Proliferation of Sustainable Social Enterprises in Sub-Sahara Africa

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Over the past ten years in Sub-Sahara Africa (SSA), there has been a proliferation of social enterprises replacing traditional donation-led philanthropic organisations.

A social enterprise is a business whose main objective is to tackle social problems, improve people’s lives and improve the environment. Additionally, a common characteristic shared by all social enterprises is sustainability, both social and economic.

Emerging markets pioneered the development of social entrepreneurship by developing and scaling successful social enterprises in the form of micro-finance and mobile phone banking. In Kenya, M-Pesa transformed the banking sector by providing affordable mobile banking solutions to more than 10 million poor local businesses and individuals.

In Zimbabwe, there are more than 500,000 social enterprises generating nearly three million jobs across the agriculture value chain. This translates to more than $5 billion value generated, contributing nearly 60 percent of the country’s overall GDP.

Contrary to common misconceptions, social enterprises are outperforming the small and medium-sized enterprise (SME) segment. Per market research conducted by GIIN in 2016, almost a third more social enterprises compared to SMEs increased their revenues in 2016.

Although historical industry performance has been favorable, there are some significant constraints slowing full growth potential.

  • Many social enterprises are still in infancy stages of development and operating at a sub-optimal scale. Consequently, these businesses have limited capacity to optimize business performance, hence struggle to compete with larger established for-profit businesses. Approximately 80 percent of social enterprises in SSA, have less than five employees, while just 1 percent have more than 100 employees. However, in developed markets like the United States, social enterprises operate at larger profitable scale with approximately 10 percent having more than 100 employees. African social enterprises generate less than $10,000 annual revenue relative to $250,000 annual revenue generated by social enterprises based in United States.
  • “Lack of appropriate capital across the risk-return spectrum” and “shortage of high-quality investment opportunities with a track record” are slowing industry growth. Approximately $13 billion in impact investing funds were looking for investment-worthy social ventures in 2014, up 19 percent from the year before based on the latest industry report published by GIIN in 2016. However, there is a shortage of tools for developing compelling propositions to promote investment. To close the gap, industry leaders are mentoring social entrepreneurs, developing networks, enhancing information transparency and diversifying capital streams – in the form of blended patient capital, debt, equity, or hybrid financing that better serve the needs of social enterprises.
  • Individual geographies have their own economic and political issues that can constrain growth or impact the viability of a social enterprise model. Last year, Ignition Impact Fund assessed the social enterprises in its portfolio to determine which ones would best scale up in certain country. That analysis yielded specific insights about the interactions among product innovations and ideas, business models, and country-specific conditions. As such, investors should carefully assess each deal to determine its standalone attractiveness given large discrepancies in different environments.
  • Logistical and value chain barriers limit full growth potential. A product or service may be innovative, but appropriate ecosystem enablers must be in place to ensure access, availability, and affordability. For instance, A.T. Kearney helped establish a cash-and-carry chain in Ethiopia, based on the government’s aspiration to lower food prices. The focus was on developing the resources and infrastructure behind the food supply chain.

The successful evolution of social enterprises requires both commercial and legislative mindset shift. Investors need to look beyond the expectation of turning a quick profit and consider the benefits of patient capital. On the legislative side, investment incentives, such as partial tax subsidies, would encourage investors to finance social enterprises over profit-oriented businesses that offer more compelling returns. From a policy perspective, this is a justifiable trade-off, since social enterprises often substitute for or complement public sector services.

Until changes are incorporated into the ecosystem, the fundamental question social enterprise leaders should be asking is not just “How do we expand?” but rather “How do we expand in a commercial and regulatory environment that restricts our growth?”

I am keen to hear your thoughts.

 

Jo Chidwala is an experienced business leader with proven record of accomplishment to transform businesses by formulating and executing product and pricing strategies that generate value. He is a strategic thinker with strong analytics, modelling and communication skills; can lead and motivate teams to drive projects to completion.